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Background: International guidelines recommend targeted screening to identify gestational thyroid dysfunction. However, currently used risk factors have questionable discriminative ability. We quantified the risk for thyroid function test abnormalities for a subset of risk factors currently used in international guidelines. Methods: We included prospective cohort studies with data on gestational maternal thyroid function and potential risk factors (maternal age, body mass index [BMI], parity, smoking status, pregnancy through in vitro fertilization, twin pregnancy, gestational age, maternal education, and thyroid peroxidase antibody [TPOAb] or thyroglobulin antibody [TgAb] positivity). Exclusion criteria were pre-existing thyroid disease and use of thyroid interfering medication. We analyzed individual participant data using mixed-effects regression models. Primary outcomes were overt and subclinical hypothyroidism and a treatment indication (defined as overt hypothyroidism, subclinical hypothyroidism with thyrotropin >10 mU/L, or subclinical hypothyroidism with TPOAb positivity). Results: The study population comprised 65,559 participants in 25 cohorts. The screening rate in cohorts using risk factors currently recommended (age >30 years, parity ≥2, BMI ≥40) was 58%, with a detection rate for overt and subclinical hypothyroidism of 59%. The absolute risk for overt or subclinical hypothyroidism varied <2% over the full range of age and BMI and for any parity. Receiver operating characteristic curves, fitted using maternal age, BMI, smoking status, parity, and gestational age at blood sampling as explanatory variables, yielded areas under the curve ranging from 0.58 to 0.63 for the primary outcomes. TPOAbs/TgAbs positivity was associated with overt hypothyroidism (approximate risk for antibody negativity 0.1%, isolated TgAb positivity 2.4%, isolated TPOAb positivity 3.8%, combined antibody positivity 7.0%; p < 0.001), subclinical hypothyroidism (r, Background: International guidelines recommend targeted screening to identify gestational thyroid dysfunction. However, currently used risk factors have questionable discriminative ability. We quantified the risk for thyroid function test abnormalities for a subset of risk factors currently used in international guidelines. Methods: We included prospective cohort studies with data on gestational maternal thyroid function and potential risk factors (maternal age, body mass index [BMI], parity, smoking status, pregnancy through in vitro fertilization, twin pregnancy, gestational age, maternal education, and thyroid peroxidase antibody [TPOAb] or thyroglobulin antibody [TgAb] positivity). Exclusion criteria were pre-existing thyroid disease and use of thyroid interfering medication. We analyzed individual participant data using mixed-effects regression models. Primary outcomes were overt and subclinical hypothyroidism and a treatment indication (defined as overt hypothyroidism, subclinical hypothyroidism with thyrotropin >10 mU/L, or subclinical hypothyroidism with TPOAb positivity). Results: The study population comprised 65,559 participants in 25 cohorts. The screening rate in cohorts using risk factors currently recommended (age >30 years, parity ≥2, BMI ≥40) was 58%, with a detection rate for overt and subclinical hypothyroidism of 59%. The absolute risk for overt or subclinical hypothyroidism varied <2% over the full range of age and BMI and for any parity. Receiver operating characteristic curves, fitted using maternal age, BMI, smoking status, parity, and gestational age at blood sampling as explanatory variables, yielded areas under the curve ranging from 0.58 to 0.63 for the primary outcomes. TPOAbs/TgAbs positivity was associated with overt hypothyroidism (approximate risk for antibody negativity 0.1%, isolated TgAb positivity 2.4%, isolated TPOAb positivity 3.8%, combined antibody positivity 7.0%; p < 0.001), subclinical hypothyroidism (risk f

Background: Fetal overgrowth (large for gestational age, LGA) is associated with an increased risk of maternal and fetal morbidity and adverse health outcomes. Thyroid hormones are key regulators of metabolism during pregnancy and fetal development. Lower maternal free thyroxine (fT4) and higher maternal triglyceride (TG) levels during early pregnancy are associated with higher birth weight. We aimed at examining the mediating role of maternal TG in the association between maternal fT4 and birth weight. Methods: We performed a large prospective cohort study including pregnant Chinese women who were treated at a tertiary obstetric center during the period of January 2016 to December 2018. We included 35,914 participants with complete medical records. We performed causal mediation analysis to decompose the overall effect of fT4 on birth weight and LGA with maternal TG as the mediator. Results: We observed statistically significant associations between maternal fT4, TG levels, and birth weight (all p < 0.0001). Using a four-way decomposition model, we identified a controlled direct effect (coefficient [confidence interval, CI], -0.038 [-0.047 to -0.029], p < 0.0001) that accounted for 63.9% of the total effect, in addition to the other three estimated effects (reference interaction, coefficient [CI] = -0.006 [-0.009 to -0.001], p = 0.008; mediated interaction, coefficient [CI] = 0.0004 [0.000 to 0.001], p = 0.008; and pure indirect effect, coefficient [CI] = -0.009 [-0.013 to -0.005], p < 0.0001) of TG on the association between fT4 and birth weight Z score. Moreover, maternal TG accounted for 21.6% and 20.7% (via mediation) and 13.6% and 41.6% (via maternal fT4 and TG interaction) of the total effect of maternal fT4 on fetal birth weight and LGA, respectively. The proportions of the total associations that could be reduced by "eliminating"the effect of maternal TG were 36.1% for birth weight and 65.1% for LGA, respectively. Conclusions: High maternal TG le