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Evaluating causal effects in a primary population of interest with unmeasured confounders is challenging. Although instrumental variables (IVs) are widely used to address unmeasured confounding, they may not always be available in the primary population. Fortunately, IVs might have been used in previous observational studies on similar causal problems, and these auxiliary studies can be useful to infer causal effects in the primary population, even if they represent different populations. However, existing methods often assume homogeneity or equality of conditional average treatment effects between the primary and auxiliary populations, which may be limited in practice. This paper aims to remove the homogeneity requirement and establish a novel identifiability result allowing for different conditional average treatment effects across populations. We also construct a multiply robust estimator that remains consistent despite partial misspecifications of the observed data model and achieves local efficiency if all nuisance models are correct. The proposed approach is illustrated through simulation studies. We finally apply our approach by leveraging data from lower income individuals with cigarette price as a valid IV to evaluate the causal effect of smoking on physical functional status in higher income group where strong IVs are not available.

It has been reported that clustering-based topic models, which cluster high-quality sentence embeddings with an appropriate word selection method, can generate better topics than generative probabilistic topic models. However, these approaches suffer from the inability to select appropriate parameters and incomplete models that overlook the quantitative relation between words with topics and topics with text. To solve these issues, we propose graph to topic (G2T), a simple but effective framework for topic modelling. The framework is composed of four modules. First, document representation is acquired using pretrained language models. Second, a semantic graph is constructed according to the similarity between document representations. Third, communities in document semantic graphs are identified, and the relationship between topics and documents is quantified accordingly. Fourth, the word--topic distribution is computed based on a variant of TFIDF. Automatic evaluation suggests that G2T achieved state-of-the-art performance on both English and Chinese documents with different lengths., Comment: 11pages

Cross-lingual document search is an information retrieval task in which the queries' language differs from the documents' language. In this paper, we study the instability of neural document search models and propose a novel end-to-end robust framework that achieves improved performance in cross-lingual search with different documents' languages. This framework includes a novel measure of the relevance, smooth cosine similarity, between queries and documents, and a novel loss function, Smooth Ordinal Search Loss, as the objective. We further provide theoretical guarantee on the generalization error bound for the proposed framework. We conduct experiments to compare our approach with other document search models, and observe significant gains under commonly used ranking metrics on the cross-lingual document retrieval task in a variety of languages., Comment: COLING 2020

Ordinal regression predicts the objects' labels that exhibit a natural ordering, which is important to many managerial problems such as credit scoring and clinical diagnosis. In these problems, the ability to explain how the attributes affect the prediction is critical to users. However, most, if not all, existing ordinal regression models simplify such explanation in the form of constant coefficients for the main and interaction effects of individual attributes. Such explanation cannot characterize the contributions of attributes at different value scales. To address this challenge, we propose a new explainable ordinal regression model, namely, the Explainable Ordinal Factorization Model (XOFM). XOFM uses the piece-wise linear functions to approximate the actual contributions of individual attributes and their interactions. Moreover, XOFM introduces a novel ordinal transformation process to assign each object the probabilities of belonging to multiple relevant classes, instead of fixing boundaries to differentiate classes. XOFM is based on the Factorization Machines to handle the potential sparsity problem as a result of discretizing the attribute scales. Comprehensive experiments with benchmark datasets and baseline models demonstrate that the proposed XOFM exhibits superior explainability and leads to state-of-the-art prediction accuracy.

We present a preference learning framework for multiple criteria sorting. We consider sorting procedures applying an additive value model with diverse types of marginal value functions (including linear, piecewise-linear, splined, and general monotone ones) under a unified analytical framework. Differently from the existing sorting methods that infer a preference model from crisp decision examples, where each reference alternative is assigned to a unique class, our framework allows to consider valued assignment examples in which a reference alternative can be classified into multiple classes with respective credibility degrees. We propose an optimization model for constructing a preference model from such valued examples by maximizing the credible consistency among reference alternatives. To improve the predictive ability of the constructed model on new instances, we employ the regularization techniques. Moreover, to enhance the capability of addressing large-scale datasets, we introduce a state-of-the-art algorithm that is widely used in the machine learning community to solve the proposed optimization model in a computationally efficient way. Using the constructed additive value model, we determine both crisp and valued assignments for non-reference alternatives. Moreover, we allow the Decision Maker to prioritize importance of classes and give the method a flexibility to adjust classification performance across classes according to the specified priorities. The practical usefulness of the analytical framework is demonstrated on a real-world dataset by comparing it to several existing sorting methods.

The learning of predictive models for data-driven decision support has been a prevalent topic in many fields. However, construction of models that would capture interactions among input variables is a challenging task. In this paper, we present a new preference learning approach for multiple criteria sorting with potentially interacting criteria. It employs an additive piecewise-linear value function as the basic preference model, which is augmented with components for handling the interactions. To construct such a model from a given set of assignment examples concerning reference alternatives, we develop a convex quadratic programming model. Since its complexity does not depend on the number of training samples, the proposed approach is capable for dealing with data-intensive tasks. To improve the generalization of the constructed model on new instances and to overcome the problem of over-fitting, we employ the regularization techniques. We also propose a few novel methods for classifying non-reference alternatives in order to enhance the applicability of our approach to different datasets. The practical usefulness of the proposed method is demonstrated on a problem of parametric evaluation of research units, whereas its predictive performance is studied on several monotone learning datasets. The experimental results indicate that our approach compares favourably with the classical UTADIS method and the Choquet integral-based sorting model.