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5. A multinational Delphi consensus to end the COVID-19 public health threat

Author

Lazarus, Jeffrey V., Romero, Diana, Kopka, Christopher J., Karim, Salim Abdool, Abu-Raddad, Laith J., Almeida, Gisele, Baptista-Leite, Ricardo, Barocas, Joshua A., Barreto, Mauricio L., Bar-Yam, Yaneer, Bassat, Quique, Batista, Carolina, Bazilian, Morgan, Chiou, Shu-Ti, del Rio, Carlos, Dore, Gregory J., Gao, George F., Gostin, Lawrence O., Hellard, Margaret, Jimenez, Jose L., Kang, Gagandeep, Lee, Nancy, Matičič, Mojca, McKee, Martin, Nsanzimana, Sabin, Oliu-Barton, Miquel, Pradelski, Bary, Pyzik, Oksana, Rabin, Kenneth, Raina, Sunil, Rashid, Sabina Faiz, Rathe, Magdalena, Saenz, Rocio, Singh, Sudhvir, Trock-Hempler, Malene, Villapol, Sonia, Yap, Peiling, Binagwaho, Agnes, Kamarulzaman, Adeeba, El-Mohandes, Ayman, Barreto, Mauricio, Abdulla, Salim, Addleman, Sarah, Aghayeva, Gulnara, Agius, Raymond, Ahmed, Mohammed, Ramy, Mohamed Ahmed, Aide, Pedro, Aleman, Soo, Alfred, Jean-Patrick, Ali, Shamim, Aliaga, Jorge, Aloudat, Tammam, Alqahtani, Saleh A., Al-Salman, Jameela, Amuasi, John H., Agrawal, Anurag, Anwar, Wagida, Araujo-Jorge, Tania, Artaza, Osvaldo, Asadi, Leyla, Awuku, Yaw, Baker, Michael, Barberia, Lorena, Bascolo, Ernesto, Belcher, Paul, Bell, Lizett, Benzaken, Adele, Bergholtz, Emil, Bhadelia, Nahid, Bhan, Anant, Bilodeau, Stephane, Bitrán, Ricardo, Bluyssen, Philomena, Bosman, Arnold, Bozza, Fernando A., Brinkmann, Melanie M., Brown, Andrew, Mellado, Bruce, Bukusi, Elizabeth, Bullen, Chris, Buonanno, Giorgio, Burgess, Rochelle, Butler, Matthew, Byakika-Kibwika, Pauline, Cabieses, Baltica, Carlsson, Gunilla, Cascini, Fidelia, Chabala, Chishala, Chakroun, Mohamed, Cheng, null, Chetty, Agnes, Chumachenko, Dmytro, Consalves, Gregg, Conway Morris, Andrew, Cordie, Ahmed, Corrah, Tumani, Crabtree-Ramírez, Brenda, Dashdorj, Naranjargal, Davidovitch, Nadav, de Souza, Luis Eugenio, Dhariwal, Akshay Chand, Druică, Elena, Ergonul, Onder, Erondu, Ngozi A., Essar, Mohammad Yasir, Ewing, Andrew, Fanjul, Gonzalo, Feierstein, Daniel, Feigl-Ding, Eric, Figueroa, Ramon, Figueroa, John Peter, Fisher, Dale, Flores, Walter, Forero-Peña, David A., Frumkin, Howard, Gamkrelidze, Amiran, Gandhi, Monica, Garcia, Patricia, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L., García-Sastre, Adolfo, Garg, Suneela, Gbeasor-Komlanvi, null, Gershenson, Carlos, Gilada, Ishwar, Giovanella, Ligia, González, Marino, Green, Manfred S., Greenhalgh, Trisha, Griffin, Paul, Griffin, Stephen, Grinsztejn, Beatriz, Anand, Tanu, Guerra, Germán, Guinto, Renzo, Gujski, Mariusz, Guner, Rahmet, Hamdy, Adam, Hâncean, Marian-Gabriel, Haniffa, Abusayeed, Hartigan-Go, Kenneth Y., Hassan, Hoda K., Hay, Simon I., Heino, Matti T. J., Hel, Zdenek, Hotez, Peter, Hu, Jia, Hukić, Mirsada, IJsselmuiden, Carel, Iroko, Davidson, Iskarous, Maged, Izugbara, Chimaraoke, Jacobs, Choolwe, Jadad, Alejandro R., Jehan, Fyezah, Jordan, Ayana, Jroundi, Imane, Kain, Kevin, Kamberi, Fatjona, Karamov, Eduard, Karan, Abraar, Katz, Rebecca, Katzourakis, Aris, Kazembe, Abigail, Khamis, Faryal, Khamzayev, Komiljon, Khanyola, Judy, Khunti, Kamlesh, Kiguli-Malwadde, Elsie, Kim, Woo Joo, Kirenga, Bruce J., Klimovský, Daniel, Kmush, Brittany L., Knaul, Felicia, Kogevinas, Manolis, Kristensen, Frederik, Kumar, Dinesh, Kumar, Raman, Kvalsvig, Amanda, Lacerda, Marcus V., Lal, Arush, Lawton, Tom, Lemery, Jay, Leonardi, Anthony J., Li, Yuguo, Löttvall, Jan, Lounis, Mohamed, Maceira, Daniel, MacIntyre, C. Raina, Madani, Azzeddine, Magiorkinis, Gkikas, Malekzadeh, Reza, Choisy, Marc, Marcelin, Jasmine R., Marks, Guy B., Marr, Linsey, Marrazzo, Jeanne, Martina, Antonieta, Martín-Moreno, José M., Mateos, Carlos, Mayxay, Mayfong, Mazarati, Jean Bapiste, Mboup, Souleymane, McDonald, Jennifer, McMillan, Faye, Mechili, Enkeleint, Medici, Andre, Davis, Sarah L. M., Meier, Petra, Memish, Ziad A., Menon, Jaideep, Menon, Purnima, Mesiano-Crookston, Jonathan, Michie, Susan, Mikolasevic, Ivana, Milicevic, Ognjen, Mishra, Asit Kumar, Mohamed, Rahma, Mokdad, Ali H., Monroy-Valle, Michele, Morawska, Lidia, Moschos, Sterghios A., Motawea, Karam, Mousavi, Sayed Hamid, Mumtaz, Ghina, Munene, Peter K., Muñoz Almagro, Carmen, Muriuki, Janet, Muyingo, Sylvia, Naniche, Denise, Naylor, C. David, Ndembi, Nicaise, Nemec, Juraj, Nesteruk, Igor, Ngaruiya, Christine, Nguyen, Hung, Nikolova, Dafina, Nitzan, Dorit, Norheim, Ole, Noushad, Mohammed, Ntoumi, Francine, Nyborg, Gunhild Alvik, Ochodo, Eleanor, Odabasi, Zekaver, Okwen, Mbah Patrick, Olivia, Keiser, Ong, David S. Y., Opara, Ijeoma, Orozco, Miguel, Oshitani, Hitoshi, Pagel, Christina, Pai, Madhukar, Pálsdóttir, Björg, Papatheodoridis, Georgios, Paraskevis, Dimitrios, Leigh, Jeanna Parsons, Pécoul, Bernard, Peichl, Andreas, Perez-Then, Eddy, Duc, Phuc Pham, Philippe, Cécile, Pineda Rojas, Andrea, Pladsen, Courtney, Pozniak, Anton, Quiroga, Rodrigo, Qureshi, Huma, Rampal, Sanjay, Ranney, Megan, Rathe, Laura, Ratzan, Scott, Raventos, Henriette, Rees, Helen, Reis, Renata, Ricciardi, Walter, Rizk, Nesrine, Robalo, Magda, Robertson, Eleanor, Robinson, Leanne, Rokx, Casper, Ros, Tamsin, Røttingen, John-Arne, Rubin, Meir, Ruxrungtam, Kiat, Sadirova, Shakhlo, Saha, Senjuti, Salgado, Nelly, Sanchez, Lizet, Sangaramoorthy, Thurka, Santamaria-Ulloa, Carolina, Santos, Renata, Sawaf, Bisher, Schneider, Matthias F., Schooley, Robert T., Sener, Alper, Sepulveda, Jaime, Shah, Jaffer, Shibani, Mosa, Shoib, Sheikh, Sikazwe, Izukanji, Šimaitis, Aistis, Gill, Amandeep Singh, Skhvitaridze, Natia, Sokolović, Milka, Solomon, Roma, Solórzano, Xavier, Springer, Sandra A., Šrol, Jakub, Staines, Anthony, Stelfox, Henry T., Strathdee, Steffanie, Sulaiman, Lokman Hakim, Sutton, Brett, Svanæs, Dag, Swed, Sarya, Sypsa, Vana, Sørensen, Kristine, Tajudeen, Raji, Tan, Amy, Tang, Julian, Tanner, Marcel, Sethi, Tavpritesh, Temmerman, Marleen, Than, Kyu Kyu, Tinto, Halidou, Tomètissi, Sênoudé Pacôme, Torres, Irene, Tshering, null, Tsiodras, Sotirios, Tsofa, Benjamin, Vahlne, Anders, Vargas, Juan Rafael, Bernal, Ivan Dario Velez, Ventura, Deisy, Vilasanjuan, Rafael, Vipond, Joe, Wamala-Andersson, Sarah, Wargocki, Pawel, West, Robert, Weyand, Angela, White, Trenton M., Wolff, Guntram, Yao, Maosheng, Yates, Christian A., Yeboah, Georgina, Yee-Sin, Leo, Yi, Siyan, Teo, Yik-Ying, Yong, Poovorawan, Zamora-Mesía, Victor, Øvrehus, Anne, 0000-0001-9618-2299, 0000-0002-4832-9564, 0000-0002-4986-2133, 0000-0003-0790-0506, 0000-0003-0875-7596, 0000-0002-6994-1891, 0000-0002-3869-615X, 0000-0001-5286-4044, 0000-0001-6203-1847, 0000-0002-0121-9683, 0000-0003-1793-6350, 0000-0003-2418-0037, 0000-0002-5095-748X, 0000-0003-4492-3256, 0000-0002-5964-8210, 0000-0002-6779-3151, 0000-0002-8074-4450, Lazarus, Jeffrey V [0000-0001-9618-2299], Romero, Diana [0000-0002-4832-9564], Karim, Salim Abdool [0000-0002-4986-2133], Abu-Raddad, Laith J [0000-0003-0790-0506], Bassat, Quique [0000-0003-0875-7596], Chiou, Shu-Ti [0000-0002-6994-1891], Gao, George F [0000-0002-3869-615X], Gostin, Lawrence O [0000-0001-5286-4044], Jimenez, Jose L [0000-0001-6203-1847], McKee, Martin [0000-0002-0121-9683], Oliu-Barton, Miquel [0000-0003-1793-6350], Pradelski, Bary [0000-0003-2418-0037], Rathe, Magdalena [0000-0002-5095-748X], Trock-Hempler, Malene [0000-0003-4492-3256], Yap, Peiling [0000-0002-5964-8210], Binagwaho, Agnes [0000-0002-6779-3151], Kamarulzaman, Adeeba [0000-0002-8074-4450], Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository, Helsinki Collegium for Advanced Studies, Research Group of Nelli Hankonen, Doctoral Programme in Social Sciences, Academic Disciplines of the Faculty of Social Sciences, RS: CAPHRI - R2 - Creating Value-Based Health Care, International Health, Performance analysis and optimization of LARge Infrastructures and Systems (POLARIS), Inria Grenoble - Rhône-Alpes, Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Institut National de Recherche en Informatique et en Automatique (Inria)-Laboratoire d'Informatique de Grenoble (LIG), Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 (UPMF)-Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble 1 (UJF)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP )-Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble (INPG)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université Pierre Mendès France - Grenoble 2 (UPMF)-Université Joseph Fourier - Grenoble 1 (UJF)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP )-Institut National Polytechnique de Grenoble (INPG)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Internal Medicine, Medical Microbiology & Infectious Diseases, Veritati - Repositório Institucional da Universidade Católica Portuguesa, and Lazarus J. V., Romero D., Kopka C. J., Karim S. A., Abu-Raddad L. J., Almeida G., Baptista-Leite R., Barocas J. A., Barreto M. L., Bar-Yam Y., et al.

Subjects
Pandemics/economics, BIOMEDICINE AND HEALTHCARE. Clinical Medical Sciences, COVID-19 Vaccines, Delphi Technique, General Science & Technology, International Cooperation, Temel Bilimler (SCI), ÇOK DİSİPLİNLİ BİLİMLER, Public Health/economics, [SHS]Humanities and Social Sciences, SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being, RA0421 Public health. Hygiene. Preventive Medicine, Medicine and Health Sciences, Humans, prevention and control, human, Settore MED/42 - IGIENE GENERALE E APPLICATA, Health Education, Pandemics, Multidisipliner, Organizations, Multidisciplinary, MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES, COVID-19/economics, Temel Bilimler, pandemic, Communication, Health Policy, BIOMEDICINA I ZDRAVSTVO. Kliničke medicinske znanosti, Doğa Bilimleri Genel, COVID-19, 3142 Public health care science, environmental and occupational health, Delphi study, NATURAL SCIENCES, GENERAL, N/A, Public Opinion, Government, Natural Sciences (SCI), Public Health, Natural Sciences
Abstract

Despite notable scientific and medical advances, broader political, socioeconomic and behavioural factors continue to undercut the response to the COVID-19 pandemic . Here we convened, as part of this Delphi study, a diverse, multidisciplinary panel of 386 academic, health, non-governmental organization, government and other experts in COVID-19 response from 112 countries and territories to recommend specific actions to end this persistent global threat to public health. The panel developed a set of 41 consensus statements and 57 recommendations to governments, health systems, industry and other key stakeholders across six domains: communication; health systems; vaccination; prevention; treatment and care; and inequities. In the wake of nearly three years of fragmented global and national responses, it is instructive to note that three of the highest-ranked recommendations call for the adoption of whole-of-society and whole-of-government approaches , while maintaining proven prevention measures using a vaccines-plus approach that employs a range of public health and financial support measures to complement vaccination. Other recommendations with at least 99% combined agreement advise governments and other stakeholders to improve communication, rebuild public trust and engage communities in the management of pandemic responses. The findings of the study, which have been further endorsed by 184 organizations globally, include points of unanimous agreement, as well as six recommendations with >5% disagreement, that provide health and social policy actions to address inadequacies in the pandemic response and help to bring this public health threat to an end.

Published
2022

8. Wastewater Surveillance for Infectious Disease: A Systematic Review.

Author

Kilaru, Pruthvi, Hill, Dustin, Anderson, Kathryn, Collins, Mary B, Green, Hyatt, Kmush, Brittany L, and Larsen, David A

Subjects
PUBLIC health surveillance, ONLINE information services, COMMUNICABLE diseases, META-analysis, RESEARCH funding, DESCRIPTIVE statistics, INFECTIOUS disease transmission, SEWAGE, MEDLINE, DATA analysis software
Abstract

Wastewater surveillance for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has been shown to be a valuable source of information regarding SARS-CoV-2 transmission and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases. Although the method has been used for several decades to track other infectious diseases, there has not been a comprehensive review outlining all of the pathogens that have been surveilled through wastewater. Herein we identify the infectious diseases that have been previously studied via wastewater surveillance prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. Infectious diseases and pathogens were identified in 100 studies of wastewater surveillance across 38 countries, as were themes of how wastewater surveillance and other measures of disease transmission were linked. Twenty-five separate pathogen families were identified in the included studies, with the majority of studies examining pathogens from the family Picornaviridae, including polio and nonpolio enteroviruses. Most studies of wastewater surveillance did not link what was found in the wastewater to other measures of disease transmission. Among those studies that did, the value reported varied by study. Wastewater surveillance should be considered as a potential public health tool for many infectious diseases. Wastewater surveillance studies can be improved by incorporating other measures of disease transmission at the population-level including disease incidence and hospitalizations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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10. Coupling freedom from disease principles and early warning from wastewater surveillance to improve health security

Author

Larsen, David A, primary, Collins, Mary B, additional, Du, Qian, additional, Hill, Dustin, additional, Insaf, Tabassum Z, additional, Kilaru, Pruthvi, additional, Kmush, Brittany L, additional, Middleton, Frank, additional, Stamm, Abigail, additional, Wilder, Maxwell L, additional, Zeng, Teng, additional, and Green, Hyatt, additional

Published
2022
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24. Long-term Antibody Persistence After Hepatitis E Virus Infection and Vaccination in Dongtai, China

Author

Kmush, Brittany L, Yu, Huan, Huang, Shoujie, Zhang, Xuefang, Wu, Ting, Nelson, Kenrad E, and Labrique, Alain B

Subjects
hepatitis E vaccine, epidemiology, hepatitis E virus, Erratum, antibody persistence, Major Articles
Abstract

Background Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is of global significance. HEV is a common cause of acute hepatitis in China. One of the major unanswered questions about HEV is the persistence of antibodies after infection and vaccination. Methods We examined antibody persistence 6.5 years after HEV exposures through natural infection and vaccination. Ninety-seven vaccine recipients and 70 individuals asymptomatically infected with HEV enrolled in the phase III HEV239 vaccine trial in Dongtai, China, were revisited. Results Antibody loss was 23.4% (95% confidence interval [CI], 17.1%–30.5%), with a nonsignificantly higher percentage of loss among those naturally infected (30.0%; 95% CI, 19.6%–42.1%) than those vaccinated (18.6%; 95% CI, 11.4%–27.7%; P = .085). Age and gender were not associated with antibody persistence. Only 2 people (1.2%) self-reported medically diagnosed jaundice or hepatitis-like illness in the last 10 years, both of whom had persistent antibodies. Contact with a jaundice patient and injectable contraceptive use were marginally associated with loss of detectable anti-HEV antibodies (P = .047 and .082, respectively), whereas transfusion was marginally associated with antibody persistence (P = .075). Conclusions Antibody loss was more common among those naturally infected compared with those vaccinated. However, none of the characteristics examined were strongly associated with antibody loss, suggesting that factors not yet identified may play a more important role in antibody loss. Long-term postvaccination antibody persistence is currently unknown and will be an important consideration in the development of policies for the use of the highly efficacious HEV vaccine. ClinicalTrials.gov registration. NCT01014845.

Published
2019

32. The Association of Cytokines and Micronutrients with Hepatitis E Virus Infection During Pregnancy and the Postpartum Period in Rural Bangladesh

Author

Kmush, Brittany L., primary, Ali, Hasmot, additional, Engle, Ronald E., additional, West, Keith, additional, Shaikh, Saijuddin, additional, Christian, Parul, additional, Mehra, Sucheta, additional, Schulze, Kerry, additional, Klein, Sabra L., additional, Purcell, Robert H., additional, Li, Wei, additional, Labrique, Alain, additional, Wu, Lee, additional, and Nelson, Kenrad, additional

Published
2016
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35. Circulating Human Antibody-Secreting Cells during Vaccinations and Respiratory Viral Infections Are Characterized by High Specificity and Lack of Bystander Effect

Author

Lee, F. Eun-Hyung, primary, Halliley, Jessica L., additional, Walsh, Edward E., additional, Moscatiello, Andrew P., additional, Kmush, Brittany L., additional, Falsey, Ann R., additional, Randall, Troy D., additional, Kaminiski, Denise A., additional, Miller, Richard K., additional, and Sanz, Iñaki, additional

Published
2011
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36. Circulating Human Antibody-Secreting Cells during Vaccinations and Respiratory Viral Infections Are Characterized by High Specificity and Lack of Bystander Effect.

Author

F. Eun-Hyung Lee, Halliley, Jessica L., Walsh, Edward E., Moscatiello, Andrew P., Kmush, Brittany L., Falsey, Ann R., Randall, Troy D., Kaminiski, Denise A., Miller, Richard K., and Sanz, Iñaki

Subjects
*VACCINATION, *VIRUS diseases, *RESPIRATORY infections, *RADIOBIOLOGY, *IMMUNOGLOBULIN producing cells, *IMMUNIZATION, *SEROLOGY
Abstract

Surges of serum Abs after immunization and infection are highly specific for the offending Ag, and recent studies demonstrate that vaccines induce transient increases in circulating Ab-secreting cells (ASCs). These ASCs are highly enriched but not universally specific for the immunizing Ag, suggesting that a fraction of these ASCs could arise from polyclonal bystander stimulation of preexisting memory cells to unrelated Ags. This model is proposed to explain maintenance of long-lived serological memory in the absence of Ag exposure. To test this model, we measure the ability of respiratory syncytial virus and influenza virus infection or immunizations to influenza virus, tetanus toxoid, hepatitis B Ag, and human papillomavirus to stimulate bystander memory cells specific for other major environmental Ags that represent a large fraction of the preexisting memory B compartment. Bystander or nonspecific ASC responses to respiratory syncytial virus and tetanus could not be detected above the background levels in healthy adults, despite the presence of circulating memory B cells specific for the corresponding Ags. Nonspecific ASC responses in the healthy subjects and cord blood samples were similar. In contrast, both vaccination and infection induce massive expansion of circulating Ag-specific ASCs without significant increases in the frequencies of ASCs against unrelated Ags. Hence, nonspecific stimulation of memory B cells is unlikely to contribute to the mechanisms of long-term serological memory against major human pathogens. Additionally, high specificity of circulating ASCs after antigenic challenge highlights the diagnostic value of interrogating ASCs as an ideal single-time-point diagnostic immune surrogate for serology during acute infection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2011
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37. Epidemiology of Genotype 1 and 2 Hepatitis E Virus Infections.

Author

Nelson KE, Labrique AB, and Kmush BL

Subjects
Africa epidemiology, Animals, Asia epidemiology, Female, Genotype, Global Burden of Disease, Hepatitis E virology, Hepatitis E virus genetics, Humans, Infant, Infant Mortality, Infant, Newborn, Pregnancy, Pregnancy Complications, Infectious virology, Premature Birth etiology, Risk Factors, Zoonoses epidemiology, Zoonoses virology, Hepatitis E mortality, Hepatitis E virus isolation & purification, Pregnancy Complications, Infectious mortality
Abstract

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) genotypes 1 and 2 are responsible for the majority of acute viral hepatitis infections in endemic areas in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. In addition to frequent sporadic illnesses throughout the year, these viruses often cause large epidemics in association with monsoon rains in Asia or during humanitarian crises in Africa. Clinical hepatitis commonly involves adults more often than young children, with an overall mortality of ∼1%. However, the mortality among pregnant women is often 30% or higher. HEV infection in pregnant women frequently leads to infant mortality or premature delivery. Hepatitis E is an important, yet largely neglected, global public health problem., (Copyright © 2019 Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory Press; all rights reserved.)

Published
2019
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38. A Ten Year Immunopersistence Study of Hepatitis E Antibodies in Rural Bangladesh.

Author

Kmush BL, Zaman K, Yunus M, Saha P, Nelson KE, and Labrique AB

Abstract

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) is a major cause of acute, viral hepatitis in Southeast Asia. Several studies have suggested that antibody persistence after HEV infection may be transient, possibly increasing the risk of re-infection and contributing to the frequency of outbreaks in HEV endemic regions. The specific conditions under which antibodies to HEV are lost, or "sero-reversion" occurs, are poorly understood. Here, one hundred participants from population-based studies in rural Bangladesh were revisited in 2015, ten years after a documented HEV infection to examine long-term antibody persistence. Twenty percent (95% confidence interval: 12.0, 28.0) no longer had detectable antibodies at follow-up, suggesting that antibodies generally persist for at least a decade after infection in rural Bangladesh. Those who were seronegative at follow-up were generally younger at infection than those who remained positive (14.4 years versus 33.6 years, P > 0.0001). This age-dependent antibody loss could partially explain cross-sectional sero-prevalence data from South East Asia where children have reportedly low antibody prevalence. The results of this study provide new insight into the immunological persistence of HEV infection in a micronutrient deficient rural population of South Asia, highlighting the importance of age at infection in the ability to produce long-lasting antibodies against HEV.

Published
2018
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