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Simple SummaryLow-intermediate prostate cancer has a number of viable treatment options, such as radical prostatectomy and radiotherapy, with similar survival outcomes but different treatment-related side effects. The aim of this study is to facilitate patient-specific treatment selection by developing a decision support system (DSS) that incorporates predictive models for cancer-free survival and treatment-related side effects. We challenged this DSS by validating it against randomized clinical trials and assessing the benefit through a cost-utility analysis. We aim to expand upon the applications of this DSS by using it as the basis for an in silico clinical trial for an underrepresented patient group. This modeling study shows that DSS-based treatment decisions will result in a clinically relevant increase in the patients' quality of life and can be used for in silico trials.The aim of this study is to build a decision support system (DSS) to select radical prostatectomy (RP) or external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) for low- to intermediate-risk prostate cancer patients. We used an individual state-transition model based on predictive models for estimating tumor control and toxicity probabilities. We performed analyses on a synthetically generated dataset of 1000 patients with realistic clinical parameters, externally validated by comparison to randomized clinical trials, and set up an in silico clinical trial for elderly patients. We assessed the cost-effectiveness (CE) of the DSS for treatment selection by comparing it to randomized treatment allotment. Using the DSS, 47.8% of synthetic patients were selected for RP and 52.2% for EBRT. During validation, differences with the simulations of late toxicity and biochemical failure never exceeded 2%. The in silico trial showed that for elderly patients, toxicity has more influence on the decision than TCP, and the predicted QoL depends on the initial erectile function. The DSS is estimated to result in

BACKGROUND: Tumor hypoxia increases resistance to radiotherapy and systemic therapy. Our aim was to develop and validate a disease-agnostic and disease-specific CT (+FDG-PET) based radiomics hypoxia classification signature. MATERIAL AND METHODS: A total of 808 patients with imaging data were included: N = 100 training/N = 183 external validation cases for a disease-agnostic CT hypoxia classification signature, N = 76 training/N = 39 validation cases for the H&N CT signature and N = 62 training/N = 36 validation cases for the Lung CT signature. The primary gross tumor volumes (GTV) were manually defined by experts on CT. In order to dichotomize between hypoxic/well-oxygenated tumors a threshold of 20% was used for the [18F]-HX4-derived hypoxic fractions (HF). A random forest (RF)-based machine-learning classifier/regressor was trained to classify patients as hypoxia-positive/ negative based on radiomic features. RESULTS: A 11 feature "disease-agnostic CT model" reached AUC's of respectively 0.78 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-0.94), 0.82 (95% CI, 0.67-0.96) and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.67-0.89) in three external validation datasets. A "disease-agnostic FDG-PET model" reached an AUC of 0.73 (0.95% CI, 0.49-0.97) in validation by combining 5 features. The highest "lung-specific CT model" reached an AUC of 0.80 (0.95% CI, 0.65-0.95) in validation with 4 CT features, while the "H&N-specific CT model" reached an AUC of 0.84 (0.95% CI, 0.64-1.00) in validation with 15 CT features. A tumor volume-alone model was unable to significantly classify patients as hypoxia-positive/ negative. A significant survival split (P = 0.037) was found between CT-classified hypoxia strata in an external H&N cohort (n = 517), while 117 significant hypoxia gene-CT signature feature associations were found in an external lung cohort (n = 80). CONCLUSION: The disease-specific radiomics signatures perform better than the disease agnostic ones. By identifying hypoxic patients our signatures have the p

A major challenge in radiomics is assembling data from multiple centers. Sharing data between hospitals is restricted by legal and ethical regulations. Distributed learning is a technique, enabling training models on multicenter data without data leaving the hospitals (“privacy-preserving” distributed learning). This study tested feasibility of distributed learning of radiomics data for prediction of two year overall survival and HPV status in head and neck cancer (HNC) patients. Pretreatment CT images were collected from 1174 HNC patients in 6 different cohorts. 981 radiomic features were extracted using Z-Rad software implementation. Hierarchical clustering was performed to preselect features. Classification was done using logistic regression. In the validation dataset, the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were compared between the models trained in the centralized and distributed manner. No difference in ROC was observed with respect to feature selection. The logistic regression coefficients were identical between the methods (absolute difference <10−7). In comparison of the full workflow (feature selection and classification), no significant difference in ROC was found between centralized and distributed models for both studied endpoints (DeLong p > 0.05). In conclusion, both feature selection and classification are feasible in a distributed manner using radiomics data, which opens new possibility for training more reliable radiomics models.

Objective: To validate previously identified associations between radiological features and clinical features with Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGER)/Kirsten RAt Sarcoma (KRAS) alterations in an independent group of patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC).Material and methods: A total of 122 patients with NSCLC tested for EGFR/KRAS alterations were included. Clinical and radiological features were recorded.Univariate analysis were performed to look at the associations of the studied features with EGFR/KRAS alterations. Previously calculated composite model parameters for each gene alteration prediction were applied to this validation cohort. ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves were drawn using the previously validated composite models, and also for each significant individual characteristic of the previous training cohort model. The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) was calculated and compared between the full models.Results: At univariate analysis, EGFR + confirmed an association with an internal air bronchogram, pleural retraction, emphysema and lack of smoking; KRAS + with round shape, emphysema and smoking. The AUC (95%CI) in the new cohort was confirmed to be high for EGFR + prediction, with a value of: 0.82 (0.69-0.95) vs. 0.82 in the previous cohort, whereas it was smaller for KRAS + prediction, with a value of 0.60 (0.48-0.72) vs. 0.67 in the previous cohort. Looking at single features in the new cohort, we found that the AUC for the models including only smoking was similar to that of the full model (including radiological and clinical features) for both gene alterations.Conclusions: Although this study validated the significant association of clinical and radiological features with EGFR/KRAS alterations, models based on these composite features are not superior to smoking history alone to predict the mutations.

Objective: To validate previously identified associations between radiological features and clinical features with Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor (EGFR)/ Kirsten RAt Sarcoma (KRAS) alterations in an independent group of patients with Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC). Material and methods: A total of 122 patients with NSCLC tested for EGFR/KRAS alterations were included. Clinical and radiological features were recorded. Univariate analysis were performed to look at the associations of the studied features with EGFR/KRAS alterations. Previously calculated composite model parameters for each gene alteration prediction were applied to this validation cohort. ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves were drawn using the previously validated composite models, and also for each significant individual characteristic of the previous training cohort model. The Area Under the ROC Curve (AUC) with 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) was calculated and compared between the full models. Results: At univariate analysis, EGFR+ confirmed an association with an internal air bronchogram, pleural retraction, emphysema and lack of smoking; KRAS+ with round shape, emphysema and smoking. The AUC (95%CI) in the new cohort was confirmed to be high for EGFR+ prediction, with a value of: 0.82 (0.69-0.95) vs. 0.82 in the previous cohort, whereas it was smaller for KRAS+ prediction, with a value of 0.60 (0.48-0.72) vs. 0.67 in the previous cohort. Looking at single features in the new cohort, we found that the AUC for the models including only smoking was similar to that of the full model (including radiological and clinical features) for both gene alterations. Conclusions: Although this study validated the significant association of clinical and radiological features with EGFR/KRAS alterations, models based on these composite features are not superior to smoking history alone to predict the mutations.

The growing complexity and volume of clinical data and the associated decision-making processes in oncology promote the advent of precision medicine. Precision (or personalised) medicine describes preventive and/or treatment procedures that take individual patient variability into account when proscribing treatment, and has been hindered in the past by the strict requirements of accurate, robust, repeatable and preferably non-invasive biomarkers to stratify both the patient and the disease. In oncology, tumour subtypes are traditionally measured through repeated invasive biopsies, which are taxing for the patient and are cost and labour intensive. Quantitative analysis of routine clinical imaging provides an opportunity to capture tumour heterogeneity non-invasively, cost-effectively and on large scale. In current clinical practice radiological images are qualitatively analysed by expert radiologists whose interpretation is known to suffer from inter-and intra-operator variability. Radiomics, the high-throughput mining of image features from medical images, provides a quantitative and robust method to assess tumour heterogeneity, and radiomics-based signatures provide a powerful tool for precision medicine in cancer treatment. This study aims to provide an overview of the current state of radiomics as a precision medicine decision support tool. We first provide an overview of the requirements and challenges radiomics currently faces in being incorporated as a tool for precision medicine, followed by an outline of radiomics' current applications in the treatment of various types of cancer. We finish with a discussion of possible future advances that can further develop radiomics as a precision medicine tool.

Peptide receptor radionuclide therapy (PRRT) of patients with somatostatin receptor expressing neuroendocrine neoplasms has shown promising results in clinical trials and a recently published phase III study.In our center, 2294 patients were screened between 2004 and 2014 by 68Ga somatostatin receptor (SSTR) PET/CT. Intention to treat analysis included 1048 patients, who received at least one cycle of 90Yttrium or 177Lutetium-based PRRT. Progression free survival was determined by 68Ga SSTR-PET/CT and EORTC response criteria. Adverse events were determined by CTCAE criteria.Overall survival (95% confidence interval) of all patients was 51 months (47.0-54.9) and differed significantly according to radionuclide, grading, previous therapies, primary site and functionality. Progression free survival (based on PET/CT) of all patients was 19 months (16.9-21), which was significantly influenced by radionuclide, grading, and origin of neuroendocrine neoplasm. Progression free survival after initial progression and first and second resumption of PRRT after therapy-free intervals of more than 6 months were 11 months (9.4-12.5) and 8 months (6.4-9.5), respectively. Myelodysplastic syndrome or leukemia developed in 22 patients (2.1%) and 5 patients required hemodialysis after treatment, other adverse events were rare.PRRT is effective and overall survival is favorable in patients with neuroendocrine neoplasms depending on the radionuclide used for therapy, grading and origin of the neuroendocrine neoplasm which is not exactly mirrored in progression free survival as determined by highly sensitive 68Ga somatostatin receptor PET/CT using EORTC criteria for determining response to therapy.

The adoption of enterprise digital imaging, along with the development of quantitative imaging methods and the re-emergence of statistical learning, has opened the opportunity for more personalized cancer treatments through transformative data science research. In the last 5 years, accumulating evidence has indicated that noninvasive advanced imaging analytics (i.e., radiomics) can reveal key components of tumor phenotype for multiple lesions at multiple time points over the course of treatment. Many groups using homegrown software have extracted engineered and deep quantitative features on 3-dimensional medical images for better spatial and longitudinal understanding of tumor biology and for the prediction of diverse outcomes. These developments could augment patient stratification and prognostication, buttressing emerging targeted therapeutic approaches. Unfortunately, the rapid growth in popularity of this immature scientific discipline has resulted in many early publications that miss key information or use underpowered patient data sets, without production of generalizable results. Quantitative imaging research is complex, and key principles should be followed to realize its full potential. The fields of quantitative imaging and radiomics in particular require a renewed focus on optimal study design and reporting practices, standardization, interpretability, data sharing, and clinical trials. Standardization of image acquisition, feature calculation, and statistical analysis (i.e., machine learning) are required for the field to move forward. A new data-sharing paradigm enacted among open and diverse participants (medical institutions, vendors and associations) should be embraced for faster development and comprehensive clinical validation of imaging biomarkers. In this review and critique of the field, we propose working principles and fundamental changes to the current scientific approach, with the goal of high-impact research and development of actionable

OBJECTIVES Human papillomavirus (HPV) positive oropharyngeal cancer (oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma, OPSCC) is biologically and clinically different from HPV negative OPSCC. Here, we evaluate the use of a radiomic approach to identify the HPV status of OPSCC. METHODS Four independent cohorts, totaling 778 OPSCC patients with HPV determined by p16 were collected. We randomly assigned 80% of all data for model training (N = 628) and 20% for validation (N = 150). On the pre-treatment CT images, 902 radiomic features were calculated from the gross tumor volume. Multivariable modeling was performed using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. To assess the impact of CT artifacts in predicting HPV (p16), a model was developed on all training data (M) and on the artifact-free subset of training data (M). Models were validated on all validation data (V), and the subgroups with (V) and without (V) artifacts. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was performed to compare HPV status based on p16 and radiomic model predictions. RESULTS The area under the receiver operator curve for M and M ranged between 0.70 and 0.80 and was not significantly different for all validation data sets. There was a consistent and significant split between survival curves with HPV status determined by p16 [p = 0.007; hazard ratio (HR): 0.46], M (p = 0.036; HR: 0.55) and M (p = 0.027; HR: 0.49). CONCLUSION This study provides proof of concept that molecular information can be derived from standard medical images and shows potential for radiomics as imaging biomarker of HPV status. Advances in knowledge: Radiomics has the potential to identify clinically relevant molecular phenotypes.