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This paper focusses on Secular Stagnation in the United States. It answers to two research questions. First: is Secular Stagnation a fact? Second: conditional to the previous reply, how does the literature meet the qualitative and quantitative evidence? I focus on historical annual data related to the USA from 1870 onwards. The contribution to the debate is manifold. Firstly, I provide a careful systematization of the concept and explain why this definition is crucial for the topic analysis. Secondly, I talk about Secular Stagnation in terms of labor and multifactor productivity growth: their decline since the 1970s is not comparable to any previous shortfall. Thirdly, the definition allows to evaluate whether present-day debates on the phenomenon are supported by data, but it also lets to disentangle the most relevant channels through which Secular Stagnation emerges. Therefore, I carry out a comparative validation exercise on the different lines of thought. Finally, as long as Secular Stagnation is confirmed as empirical evidence, also policy implications can be drawn from the different theoretical frameworks. Despite the several contrasting approaches and viewpoints, I trace out a complementary in policy implications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Lamalunga Cave (Altamura, Southern Italy) is renowned for the discovery in 1993 of an excellently preserved Neanderthal skeleton. Given the importance of the findings and the potential use of Lamalunga speleothems for paleoclimate reconstructions, a detailed monitoring program was undertaken to investigate the connections between microclimate parameters and speleothem growth. The cave air temperature is characterized by annual sinusoidal cycles with increasing phase shift and decreasing thermal amplitude from ± 2.1°C to ± 0.04°C as a function of increasing rock overburden, and daily to sub-daily cycles induced by surface air pressure (SAP) variations characterized by strong 24-hour and 12-hour solar harmonic frequencies, with thermal amplitude decreasing from 0.0054°C to 0.0021°C in the deeper parts of the cave. The ventilation regime is mainly controlled by SAP fluctuations. Fast SAP rises can trigger "emptying events" during which most of the cave air is replaced and the CO2 concentration falls towards near-atmospheric values. The steady and gentle ventilation created by SAP fluctuations also influences the growth and morphology of calcite coralloids, with larger popcorn assemblages concentrated in the northern galleries and delicate branching morphologies prevailing along the South Gallery where stable temperature and relative humidity conditions occur. The study is a seminal example of how high-precision measurements of cave air temperature can provide a wealth of information on cave ventilation and thermal regime and provide valuable support for robust paleoclimate reconstruction from speleothems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study utilizes speleothem trace elements as climate proxies to reconstruct hydroclimate variability over approximately 350 years in the Southern Cook Islands. Stalagmites Pu17 and Pu4 from Pouatea cave were analyzed using high-resolution LA-ICP-MS for trace elements (Mg, Na, Sr, P, U, Y). By monitoring cave dripwater and conducting regression analysis, we found that Mg, Sr, and Na in Pouatea dripwater mostly originated from marine aerosols, while Sr and Ba were primarily from bedrock, with additional Ba coming from marine aerosols and weathered oceanic basalt leaching. Mg was identified as the most reliable element for hydroclimate reconstruction due to its predominantly marine aerosol origin. Infiltration, via dilution of marine aerosols and bedrock inputs, was identified as the main driver of trace element variations in Pouatea at a seasonal scale. Transfer functions were established between each trace element and effective infiltration was calculated, with Mg showing the strongest correlation. The reconstructed infiltration data were compared with climate indices, showing an overarching role of the SPCZ and ENSO in controlling rainfall in the South Pacific. This research demonstrates the potential of speleothem trace elements for paleohydroclimate reconstructions, improving understanding of rainfall variability in the climatically vulnerable South Pacific Islands over the past millennia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cave carbonate mineral deposits (speleothems) contain trace elements that are intensively investigated for their significance as palaeoclimate and environmental proxies. However, chlorine, which is abundant in marine and meteoric waters, has been overlooked as a potential palaeo-proxy, while cosmogenic 36Cl could, in principle, provide a solar irradiance proxy. Here, total Cl concentrations analysed from various speleothems were low (3–14 mg/kg), with variations linked to crystal fabrics. High-resolution synchrotron radiation micro X-ray fluorescence (μ-XRF) trace element mapping showed Cl often associated with Na, Si, and Al. We propose that speleothems incorporate Cl in two fractions: (1) water soluble (e.g., fluid inclusions) and (2) water insoluble and strongly bound (e.g., associated with detrital particulates). However, disparities indicated that alternate unidentified mechanisms for Cl incorporation were present, raising important questions regarding incorporation of many trace elements into speleothems. Our first measurements of 36Cl/Cl ratios in speleothems required large samples due to low Cl concentrations, limiting the potential of 36Cl as a solar irradiance proxy. Critically, our findings highlight a knowledge gap into how Cl and other trace elements are incorporated into speleothems, how the incorporation mechanisms and final elemental concentrations are related to speleothem fabrics, and the significance this may have for how trace elements in speleothems are interpreted as palaeoclimate proxies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The 8.2 ka event is the most significant global climate anomaly of the Holocene epoch, but a lack of records from Mainland Southeast Asia (MSEA) currently limits our understanding of the spatial and temporal extent of the climate response. A newly developed speleothem record from Tham Doun Mai Cave, Northern Laos provides the first high‐resolution record of this event in MSEA. Our multiproxy record (δ18O, δ13C, Mg/Ca, Sr/Ca, and petrographic data), anchored in time by 9 U‐Th ages, reveals a significant reduction in local rainfall amount and weakening of the monsoon at the event onset at ∼8.29 ± 0.03 ka BP. This response lasts for a minimum of ∼170 years, similar to event length estimates from other speleothem δ18O monsoon records. Interestingly, however, our δ13C and Mg/Ca data, proxies for local hydrology, show that abrupt changes to local rainfall amounts began decades earlier (∼70 years) than registered in the δ18O. Moreover, the δ13C and Mg/Ca also show that reductions in rainfall continued for at least ∼200 years longer than the weakening of the monsoon inferred from the δ18O. Our interpretations suggest that drier conditions brought on by the 8.2 ka event in MSEA were felt beyond the temporal boundaries defined by δ18O‐inferred monsoon intensity, and an initial wet period (or precursor event) may have preceded the local drying. Most existing Asian Monsoon proxy records of the 8.2 ka event may lack the resolution and/or multiproxy information necessary to establish local and regional hydrological sensitivity to abrupt climate change. Plain Language Summary: The most significant global climate event in the last ∼11,000 years occurred ∼8,200 years ago (the "8.2 ka event"). Many globally distributed records of past climate (paleoclimate) document significant changes during the event, but there are few from Mainland Southeast Asia available to reconstruct the climate impacts in this region. We present a new speleothem (cave sample) record from Tham Doun Mai Cave, Northern Laos that uses multiple geochemical and physical signals (proxies) to document local and regional climate effects of the 8.2 ka event at a high resolution. Using oxygen isotopes, we find that the 8.2 ka event weakened regional monsoon intensity for at least ∼170 years, which resembles findings from other studies. However, other proxies suggest local rainfall changed abruptly decades before the signal of monsoon weakening. Additionally, local drying may have lasted much longer than current estimates of 8.2 ka event responses. Most proxy records of the 8.2 ka event in monsoon regions lack similar multiproxy information and/or do not have high enough resolution to fully capture the climatic response. Additional records like ours from monsoon regions may assist in establishing how sensitive local and regional rainfall is to abrupt climate change. Key Points: High‐resolution speleothem record of the 8.2 ka event in northern Laos shows weakened monsoon intensity and reduced local rainfall amountsMultiproxy data suggest the disruption to local rainfall amounts started decades before the weakened monsoon intensity inferred from δ18OPrevious monsoon records of the event lack the resolution and/or multiproxy dimensions needed to reconstruct local hydrologic changes [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]