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由于用户级综合能源系统（integrated energy system，IES）的多元负荷序列之间复杂的耦合关系及易受外部因素影响等原因，综合能源系统多元负荷的精准预测面临很大困难。为此，提出一种基于Spearman相关性分析阈值寻优（threshold optimization，TO）和变分模态分解结合长短期记忆网络（variational mode decomposition based long short-term memory network，VMD-LSTM）的多元负荷预测方法。首先，使用斯皮尔曼等级（Spearman rank，SR）相关系数定量计算多元负荷间以及负荷与其他气候因素间的相关关系并通过循环寻优确定最优相关阈值，然后采用VMD算法将以最优阈值筛选出的负荷特征序列分解成更简单、平稳、有规律性的本征模态函数（intrinsic mode function，IMF）后与最优气象特征一起输入LSTM模型进行负荷预测。通过某用户级IES的实际数据对所提方法的有效性进行了验证，结果表明，所提方法能有效提高IES的多元负荷预测精度。

地磁导航是通过对地球周围矢量磁场进行测量从而实现导航的一种方法. 地磁导航在运动平台上应用的难点之一是平台剩磁对地磁测量的影响, 严重污染了磁强计的测量. 消除平台剩磁对地磁测量的影响是地磁导航向应用转化的一项关键技术. 为实现运动平台剩磁的有效测量与估计, 提出了基于递推最小二乘法的运动平台剩磁差分测量与估计方法. 基于载体干扰磁场值只与测量点到磁偶极子的距离和磁偶极子的磁矩有关的结论, 根据磁偶极子的磁场分布特性, 推导出一种基于内置磁强计阵列的运动平台剩磁差分估计模型, 并通过递推最小二乘法求解差分估计模型. 大量仿真实验表明, 可以通过内置阵列磁强计对平台剩磁进行测量与估计, 验证了所提出的平台剩磁估计方法的有效性.

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Constitutive model of stone masonry is an important foundation and prerequisite for physical calculation and finite element numerical simulation of stone masonry. In order to further study the constitutive relationship of stone masonry under uniaxial compression, based on the theory of damage mechanics, the two-parameter Weibull distribution function was applied to reflect the damage variable, and its parameters were determined according to the characteristic conditions of the whole process of the stress-strain curve of stone masonry under uniaxial compression. The uniaxial compression damage constitutive model of stone masonry was derived and established, and the correctness of the constitutive model was verified by the existing test data. The constitutive model was compared with the typical masonry constitutive model. Finally, the finite element analysis of the existing stone masonry arch bridge test was carried out to verify the applicability of the constitutive model. The results show that the model is in good agreement with the uniaxial compression test results of existing stone masonry. The established model verifies the general law of masonry damage evolution and accords with the general trend of typical masonry constitutive model. The model can be applied to the finite element analysis and calculation of masonry structure with good applicability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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