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Quantitative real-time observations of a tsunami have been limited to deep-water, pressure-sensor observations of changes in the sea surface elevation and observations of sea level fluctuations at the coast, which are essentially point measurements. Constrained by these data, models have been used for predictions and warning of the arrival of a tsunami, but to date no system exists for local detection of an actual incoming wave with a significant warning capability. Networks of coastal high frequency (HF)-radars are now routinely observing surface currents in many countries. We report here on an empirical method for the detection of the initial arrival of a tsunami, and demonstrate its use with results from data measured by fourteen HF radar sites in Japan and USA following the magnitude 9.0 earthquake off Sendai, Japan, on 11 March 2011. The distance offshore at which the tsunami can be detected, and hence the warning time provided, depends on the bathymetry: the wider the shallow continental shelf, the greater this time. We compare arrival times at the radars with those measured by neighboring tide gauges. Arrival times measured by the radars preceded those at neighboring tide gauges by an average of 19 min (Japan) and 15 min (USA) The initial water-height increase due to the tsunami as measured by the tide gauges was moderate, ranging from 0.3 to 2 m. Thus it appears possible to detect even moderate tsunamis using this method. Larger tsunamis could obviously be detected further from the coast. We find that tsunami arrival within the radar coverage area can be announced 8 min (i.e., twice the radar spectral time resolution) after its first appearance. This can provide advance warning of the tsunami approach to the coastline locations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Horizontal wind data over Indonesia obtained by global reanalyses were compared with wind-profiling radar (WPR) observations in Indonesia at Kototabang (100.32°E, 0.20°S), Pontianak (109.37°E, 0.00°S), Manado (124.92°E, 1.55°N), and Biak (136.10°E, 1.18°S). The global-reanalysis data were 850- and 700-hPa horizontal winds for 2007 and 2008. These data were obtained from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction/National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCEP/NCAR) Reanalysis (R1), the NCEP-Department of Energy (DOE) Atmospheric Model Intercomparison Project (AMIP-II) Reanalysis (R2), the Japan Meteorological Agency Climate Data Assimilation System (JCDAS), the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) reanalysis-interim (ERA-Interim). All the four reanalyses showed good agreement with the WPR zonal and meridional wind data (correlation coefficient >0.7 in most cases). Of the four reanalyses, ERA-Interim had the highest correlation coefficient with the WPR winds in both zonal (correlation coefficient 0.89) and meridional (0.77) components. It can be explained that ERA-Interim used four-dimensional variational analysis (4D-var) for data assimilation, whereas the other reanalyses used three-dimensional variational analysis (3D-var). The zonal winds of the four reanalyses had smaller (78–87%) amplitudes than did the WPR winds. Further comparison of the zonal winds between the global reanalyses and operational radiosondes indicated that global-reanalysis zonal winds with smaller amplitudes are common in and around Indonesia. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]