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Finding students at high risk of poor academic performance as early as possible plays an important role in improving education quality. To do so, most existing studies have used the traditional machine learning algorithms to predict students' achievement based on their behavior data, from which behavior features are extracted manually thanks to expert experience and knowledge. However, owing to an increase in the varieties and overall volume of behavioral data, it has become more and more challenging to identify high-quality handcrafted features. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end deep learning model that automatically extracts features from students' multi-source heterogeneous behavior data to predict academic performance. The key innovation of this model is that it uses long short-term memory networks to capture inherent time-series features for each type of behavior, and it takes two-dimensional convolutional networks to extract correlation features among different behaviors. We conducted experiments with four types of daily behavior data from students of the university in Beijing. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed deep model method outperforms several machine learning algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Over the past few decades, due to human activities, industrialization, and urbanization, air pollution has become a life-threatening factor in many countries around the world. Among air pollutants, Particulate Matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 μ m ( P M 2.5 ) is a serious health problem. It causes various illnesses such as respiratory tract and cardiovascular diseases. Hence, it is necessary to accurately predict the P M 2.5 concentrations in order to prevent the citizens from the dangerous impact of air pollution beforehand. The variation of P M 2.5 depends on a variety of factors, such as meteorology and the concentration of other pollutants in urban areas. In this paper, we implemented a deep learning solution to predict the hourly forecast of P M 2.5 concentration in Beijing, China, based on CNN-LSTM, with a spatial-temporal feature by combining historical data of pollutants, meteorological data, and P M 2.5 concentration in the adjacent stations. We examined the difference in performances among Deep learning algorithms such as LSTM, Bi-LSTM, GRU, Bi-GRU, CNN, and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. Experimental results indicate that our method "hybrid CNN-LSTM multivariate" enables more accurate predictions than all the listed traditional models and performs better in predictive performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate traffic congestion estimation and prediction are critical building blocks for smart trip planning and rerouting decisions in transportation systems. Over the decades, there have been many studies focusing on traffic congestion estimation and prediction with different statistical approaches (e.g., Markov chain) and machine learning models (e.g., clustering, Bayesian networks, and artificial neural networks). However, there is a lack of a unified framework to address the mechanisms of different models and integrate the advantages of different methods through combinations. This paper introduces the FD-Markov-LSTM model, a hybrid interpretable approach that combines the fundamental diagram (FD), Markov chain, and long short-term memory (LSTM). The aim is to estimate and predict traffic states by integrating statistical data in both congested and uncongested scenarios. The FD-Markov-LSTM model leverages the FD to identify hierarchical traffic states and utilizes the Markov process to capture the probabilistic transitions between these states. We employ the LSTM model to further capture the residual time series produced by the Markov chain model (assuming a memoryless property) to enhance the estimation and prediction performance. The proposed model's accuracy in estimating and predicting traffic flow is evaluated using empirical data from three case studies conducted in Beijing and Los Angeles. The results highlight a significant improvement in accuracy compared to classical benchmark models such as the Markov model, ARIMA model, k-Nearest Neighbor model, Random Forest model, and LSTM. Specifically, the FD-Markov-LSTM model achieves reductions of over 39% in mean absolute error, 35% in root mean squared error, and 7.4% in mean absolute percentage error. These results clearly demonstrate that the FD-Markov-LSTM model outperforms the benchmark models, enabling more precise predictions of traffic flow. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]