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Protected areas, or national parks, are established to preserve natural ecosystems; their effectiveness on the territory needs to be evaluated. We propose considering a time series of the SDG 15.1.2 indicator, "Proportion of important sites for terrestrial and freshwater biodiversity that are covered by protected areas, by ecosystem type", to quantify the presence over time of grassland ecosystem in Murgia Alta (southern Italy), within the Natura 2000 and national park boundaries. Time series of remote sensing imagery, freely available, were considered for extracting, by Support Vector Machine classifiers, a time series of grassland cover mappings from 1990 to 2021. This latter was, then, used for computing a time series of the SDG 15.1.2 indicator. A high reduction (about 15,000 ha) of grassland presence from 1990 to 2004, the foundation years of the national park, followed by the increasing stability up to nowadays, was evaluated. Furthermore, grassland presence was evaluated in a 5-km buffer area, surrounding Natura 2000 boundary, revealing a continuous loss from 1990 up to now (about 500 ha) in the absence of protection actions. This study represents the first long-term analysis for the grassland ecosystem in Murgia Alta and the first effort to analyze a time series of the SDG 15.1.2 indicator. The findings can provide inputs to governments in monitoring the effectiveness of protection actions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vegetation index time series from Landsat and Sentinel-2 have great potential for following the dynamics of ecosystems and are the key to develop essential variables in the realm of biodiversity. Unfortunately, the removal of pixels covered mainly by clouds reduces the temporal resolution, producing irregularity in time series of satellite images. We propose a Bayesian approach based on a harmonic model, fitted on an annual base. To deal with data sparsity, we introduce hierarchical prior distribution that integrate information across the years. From the model, the mean and standard deviation of yearly Ecosystem Functional Attributes (i.e., mean, standard deviation, and peak's day) plus the inter-year standard deviation are calculated. Accuracy is evaluated with a simulation that uses real cloud patterns found in the Peneda-Gêres National Park, Portugal. Sensitivity to the model's abrupt change is evaluated against a record of multiple forest fires in the Bosco Difesa Grande Regional Park in Italy and in comparison with the BFAST software output. We evaluated the sensitivity in dealing with mixed patch of land cover by comparing yearly statistics from Landsat at 30m resolution, with a 2m resolution land cover of Murgia Alta National Park (Italy) using FAO Land Cover Classification System 2. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]