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Summary: Policy changes are often implemented without the assessment of their full environmental impact. We investigate the hydrological effects of changes in forest area triggered by shifts in European agricultural policy, and changes in species composition caused by decisions of regional forest authorities. The scenarios were modelled for the Federal State of Brandenburg (Germany) on a 50m grid scale using the SWIM (Soil Water Integrated Model) model utilising spatially-explicit land-use patterns. The results suggest a negative impact of afforestation on abandoned arable land (9.4% total state area) on the regional water balance, causing an increase in mean annual evapotranspiration of 3.7% at 100% afforestation when compared to no afforestation. The relatively small annual change covers a much more pronounced seasonal effect, leading to an increase in evapotranspiration by 25.1% in spring with a strong feedback to other hydrological components. In contrast, a change in species composition in existing forest (29.2% total state area) from predominantly Scots Pine to Common Oak decreased the evapotranspiration by 3.4%, accompanied by a much weaker but apparent seasonal pattern. The changes show a high spatial heterogeneity that is masked by a linear mean response for the total state area. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: All over the world forests and woodlands are damaged or reset to initial stages by fire, insect outbreaks or storms. In Central Europe storm events are the most important natural disturbances affecting stand structures of both natural and managed forests and yet only a few studies exist on long-term forest development following the destruction of the tree layer by a storm. This paper presents a permanent plot study established in 1988 in the Bavarian Forest National Park (SE Germany) on areas, where the tree layer had been destructed by a storm on August 1, 1983. The records concerning (1) floristic composition (spermatophytes, pteridophytes, bryophytes, lichens) and cover degree, (2) location and shape of each tree higher than 1 meter (height, diameter at breast height) including position of fallen trees and (3) number of seedlings and saplings were taken in 1988, 1993 and 1998. Two windfall areas, situated next to each other in the same broad and flat valley bottom on wet soils under local cold climate conditions (potential as well as recent vegetation: Calamagrostio villosae-Piceetum bazzanietosum) were analyzed, one of them with completely free development after the storm event ("untouched"), the other with dead wood cleared off after the event, but thereafter with free development ("cleared"). The vegetation analysis separated two major trends in vegetation dynamics: (1) On the cleared plots with intensive soil-surface disturbance (removal of the damaged wood) the species composition changed towards pioneer herb vegetation (Rubus sp.), and pioneer forest species (here: birch, Betula pendula and/or B. pubescens) established. Subsequently, vegetation dynamics leading towards clusters of forest ground-layer species composition took place. (2) In untouched stands, where soil-surface disturbances were restricted to pit-and-mound-system created by uprooted trees, the patchiness of forest vegetation increased and a regeneration of mainly terminal tree speci [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]