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Background: Modeling exchange rate volatility has remained crucially important because of its diverse implications. This study aimed to address the issue of error distribution assumption in modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility between the Bangladeshi taka (BDT) and the US dollar ($). Methods: Using daily exchange rates for 7 years (January 1, 2008, to April 30, 2015), this study attempted to model dynamics following generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH), asymmetric power ARCH (APARCH), exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedstic (EGARCH), threshold generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedstic (TGARCH), and integrated generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedstic (IGARCH) processes under both normal and Student's t-distribution assumptions for errors. Results and Conclusions: It was found that, in contrast with the normal distribution, the application of Student's t-distribution for errors helped the models satisfy the diagnostic tests and show improved forecasting accuracy. With such error distribution for out-of-sample volatility forecasting, AR(2)-GARCH(1, 1) is considered the best. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: In this paper, we focus on the determinants of foreign direct investment and foreign portfolio investment. Applying static and dynamic panel data models of six Asian countries and seven Latin American countries in the period from 1981 to 2011, we find that the characteristic of capital flows has locality, and both domestic and global factors can explain the capital flows to emerging markets, such as GDP, trade openness, financial interrelations, and interest rates. The result also shows expectation is an important driving factor: FDI is more prone to be affected by economic expectation while FPI is exchange rate expectation. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

The article analyzes the effect of worker remittances (WR) on the equilibrium real exchange rate (ERER) in recipient countries. It shows that in many countries, WR arrests official development assistance and private capital flows, which could cause macroeconomic problems by raising ERER. One conclusion drawn is that Dutch disease problems may not be a necessary side effect of remittance inflows, which are said to be larger in Asia and Latin America than in Africa and eastern Europe, mainly because countries such as India and Mexico receive more WR.

Discusses the bank liquidity crises in Asia, highlighting the concept of international illiquidity. Role of domestic banks in causing and transmitting situations of illiquidity; Description of the demand deposit system; Role of maturity of external debt and capital flows; Implications of adopting different exchange rate regimes; Relation between banking crises and real exchange rate movements.