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Background We aimed to forecast the number of unidentified and newly acquired HIV-infected individuals each year and to estimate the effectiveness of government prevention and control programs in China. Methods Dynamic and stochastic models were established based on officially published data regarding the four main modes of transmission: male homosexual sexual behavior, heterosexual sexual behavior, injection drug use (IDU) and plasma donation. Finally, we performed sensitivity analyses on model parameters. Results Nationally, by December 2016, approximately 280 790 individuals were estimated to have an unidentified HIV infection, with transmission via male homosexual sexual behavior (n  = 100 710), heterosexual sexual behavior (n  = 174 310), IDU (n  = 5 620) and plasma donation (n  = 150). Moreover, 196 970 newly acquired HIV-infected individuals were expected in 2016, via male homosexual sexual behavior (n  = 78 610), heterosexual sexual behavior (n  = 116,540), IDU (n  = 1820), and plasma donation (n  < 2). Conclusions Our results show that HIV transmission via IDU and plasma donation has been effectively controlled; transmission via heterosexual sexual contact is being somewhat controlled; however, transmission via male homosexual sexual contact is not controlled. Hence, China should strengthen efforts aimed at control of unsafe sexual behaviors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Previous studies reported that DNA damage repair (DDR) genes may play an important role in HIV-1 infection. The MRE11 gene, a member of the MRN complex, plays an essential part in the homologous recombination pathway, which is one of the classical DDR pathways. Previous reports have demonstrated that MRE11 has an effect on HIV-1 replication. However, the role of SNPs in the MRE11 gene and their impact on HIV-1 infection and AIDS progression remain unknown.Methods: In this study, 434 MSM HIV-1-infected patients in northern China and 431 age-matched healthy controls were enrolled. Five SNPs (rs2155209, rs10831234, rs13447720, rs601341 and rs11020803) at the MRE11 gene were genotyped. Another series of cases (409 MSM HIV-1-infected patients) and controls (403 age-matched healthy males) were recruited as the validation set.Results: In our study, rs10831234 showed differences in allele frequencies between cases and controls (P = 0.005). Additionally, there was an association between rs10831234 and HIV-1 infection susceptibility in dominant and additive models (P = 0.005 and P = 0.006, respectively). All significant associations were replicated in the validation set, and the associations were still significant after Bonferroni correction for multiple testing when the two data sets were combined. Furthermore, in haplotype association analyses between the case and control groups, the frequencies of the haplotypes Crs11020803Crs10831234 and Trs11020803Trs10831234 showed significant differences (P = 0.0181 and P = 0.0068, respectively).Conclusions: We demonstrated that the MRE11 rs10831234-T allele may confer increased risk of HIV-1 infection. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background. Studies have shown a recent upsurge in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) burden among men who have sex with men (MSM) in China, especially in urban areas. For intervention planning and resource allocation, spatial analyses of HIV/ AIDS case-clusters were required to identify epidemic foci and trends among MSM in China. Methods. Information regarding MSM recorded as HIV/AIDS cases during 2006-2015 were extracted from the National Case Reporting System. Demographic trends were determined through Cochran-Armitage trend tests. Distribution of case-clusters was examined using spatial autocorrelation. Spatial-temporal scan was used to detect disease clustering. Spatial correlations between cases and socioenvironmental factors were determined by spatial regression. Results. Between 2006 and 2015, in China, 120 371 HIV/AIDS cases were identified among MSM. Newly identified HIV/AIDS cases among self-reported MSM increased from 487 cases in 2006 to >30 000 cases in 2015. Among those HIV/AIDS cases recorded during 2006-2015, 47.0% were 20-29 years old and 24.9% were aged 30-39 years. Based on clusters of HIV/AIDS cases identified through spatial analysis, the epidemic was concentrated among MSM in large cities. Spatial-temporal clusters contained municipalities, provincial capitals, and main cities such as Beijing, Shanghai, Chongqing, Chengdu, and Guangzhou. Spatial regression analysis showed that sociodemographic indicators such as population density, per capita gross domestic product, and number of county-level medical institutions had statistically significant positive correlations with HIV/AIDS among MSM. Conclusions. Assorted spatial analyses revealed an increasingly concentrated HIV epidemic among young MSM in Chinese cities, calling for targeted health education and intensive interventions at an early age. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Molecular epidemiology can be useful in identifying clusters of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission that can be targeted for prevention. Methods: Regular screening of 2000 men who have sex with men (MSM) in Beijing, China, for HIV infection every 2 months identified 179 primary infections (2007-2010). HIV-1 pol sequences were obtained and used to infer the transmission network and identify transmitted drug resistance (TDR) among these individuals.We evaluated the use of clinical and network information to target prevention efforts. Prevention efficiency was calculated as the number of infections saved per number of interventions. Results: This cohort was infected with HIV-1 subtype B (28%), circulating recombinant form (CRF)_01 AE (53%), and CRF_07 BC (16%). The overall rate of TDR was low (5%), but the rate of clustering was high (64%), suggesting deep sampling of the subnetwork. Provision of a theoretically high-efficacy intervention like antiretroviral therapy to all participants had a prevention efficiency of 23%. The efficiency of targeting prevention based on lower CD4 counts (<200 cells/mL, <350 cells/mL, or <500 cells/mL) and higher viral loads (>100 000 copies/mL and >50 000 copies/mL) was between 10% and 18%. The efficiency of targeting prevention based on number of network connections was much higher (30%-42%). For example, treating the 33 participants with =5 connections in 2009 would have theoretically prevented 14 infections in 2010 (42% prevention efficiency). Conclusions: Regular HIV testing of MSM in Beijing can deeply sample the local transmission subnetwork, and targeting prevention efforts based on network connectivity may be an efficient way to deliver prevention interventions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus and syphilis among men who have sex with men in China is high, yet the 2 epidemics are largely geographically separate. Characteristics of the overall population surveyed as well as segments within this population are described.Background. Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) has rapidly spread among men who have sex with men (MSM) in China in recent years; the magnitude of the epidemic is unclear. We sought to test 3 hypotheses: (1) The prevalence of both HIV and syphilis among MSM in China is high, (2) the 2 epidemics each have unique geographical distributions, and (3) demographic and sexual behavior characteristics are different among segments of the MSM population in China.Methods. A total of 47 231 MSM from 61 cities in China participated in a cross-sectional survey conducted from February 2008 to September 2009. Demographic and behavioral data were collected and analyzed and blood samples tested for HIV and syphilis. Three subgroups among the broader MSM sample were described. Main outcome measures were HIV and syphilis prevalence.Results. An overall prevalence of 4.9% (2314/47 231; 95% confidence interval [CI], 4.7%–5.1%) for HIV and 11.8% (5552/47 231; 95% CI, 11.5%–12.0%) for syphilis was found. Syphilis-positive MSM had the highest HIV prevalence, 12.5% (693/5552; 95% CI, 11.6%–13.4%). However, correlations between HIV and syphilis prevalence were found in only 3 of 6 geographical regions (Northwest: r = 0.82, P = .0253; East: r = 0.78, P = .0004; and South-central: r = 0.63, P = .0276). Three subgroups—nonlocal MSM, Internet-using MSM, and female-partnering MSM—were found to have different profiles of characteristics and behaviors.Conclusions. HIV and syphilis prevalences among MSM in China are high and the 2 epidemics are largely separate geographically. Three segments of the Chinese MSM population each have different demographic and sexual risk “profiles” that suggest high potential for bridging infection across geographies, generations, and sexes. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

ABSTRACT Introduction. Previous studies suggest the risk of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission among men who have sex with men (MSM) is associated with characteristics of venues. However, very few studies have systematically compared HIV/sexually transmitted disease (STD) prevalence among MSM according to key venue type for sourcing sex partners. Aims. The aim of this study was to investigate the associations between HIV/syphilis prevalence and the types of venues, namely saunas, parks, gay bars, and the Internet, which are mostly used for sourcing male sex partners by MSM in China. Methods. Meta-analyses using fixed-effect and random-effect methods were conducted. Secondary data were obtained from 10 concurrent surveys conducted in 10 cities basing on a common protocol. Pairwise comparisons (e.g., 'saunas' vs. 'parks') were made. Main Outcomes Measures. Odds ratios (OR) for HIV/syphilis infection in relations to venue type for partner sourcing. Results. The distribution of the most commonly used source to recruit male sex partner was 59.32% (Internet), 18.47% (gay bars), 14.18% (gay saunas), and 8.02% (parks). The median prevalence of HIV/syphilis was 10.49% and 19.38% (gay saunas), 2.12% and 16.25% (parks), 6.06% and 15.45% (Internet), and 4.41% and 11.90% (gay bars). We found significant between-group differences when comparing 'sauna' against 'Internet' (HIV: OR = 2.27, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.65-3.12; syphilis: OR = 1.61, 95% CI = 1.07-2.41), 'sauna' against 'bars' (HIV: OR = 1.65, 95% CI = 1.14-2.39; syphilis: OR = 1.35, 95% CI = 1.02-1.78), and 'parks' against 'Internet' (syphilis: OR = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.12-2.15) as the main source to recruit male sex partners. Other pairwise comparisons were not statistically significant. Conclusions. The results of this study suggest that those sourcing partners mainly from gay saunas have higher prevalence of HIV/syphilis when compared with those doing so via the Internet or gay bars. Venue based (sauna-based) interventions using socio-ecological approaches are greatly warranted in order to reduce HIV and syphilis prevalence among MSM in China. Lau JTF, Zhao J-K, Wu X-B, Gu J, and Hao C. Gay saunas and the risks of HIV and syphilis transmissions in China-results of a meta-analysis. J Sex Med 2013;10:642-652. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background To monitor the prevalence of HIV and syphilis as well as behaviours, a sentinel site for men who have sex with men was established in Harbin in 2002. With additional funding, the sentinel surveillance evolved into annual cross-sectional surveys since 2006.Methods Behavioural and serological data collected in five consecutive cross-sectional surveys were analysed. SPSS 13.0 was applied to compare prevalence of HIV and syphilis as well as behavioural variables over time by demographic variables, bivariate and multivariate analysis.Results The prevalence of HIV and syphilis increased from 1.0% in 2006 to 7.5% in 2010 and from 9.2% in 2006 to 22.4% in 2009, respectively, whereas the rate of unprotected anal intercourse decreased from 61.3% in 2006 to 47.1% in 2010. Syphilis positivity and HIV infection are independently associated with each other across years. The rate of unprotected anal sex remains high although it has decreased over the years.Conclusion Findings support an increasing prevalence of HIV and syphilis among men who have sex with men in Harbin. Targeted behavioural intervention and syphilis treatment are urgently needed to prevent the epidemic from growing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]