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This paper investigates the power load composition of an isolated power system using a load survey and estimates wind power generation with a probabilistic network. The typical load pattern of various customer classes is derived, which are then used to derive the total power consumption of all customers within each class. A probabilistic neural network is used to solve the win power generation based on the wind speed for an offshore island in Taiwan. With the hourly wind speed and load composition, the power generation of diesel generators was obtained. Results of this paper demonstrate that wind power generation can economically and effectively replace the power generation of the island's diesel power plant and provide partial power-supply capability for the net peak load requirement. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a novel approach based on Weibull distribution to determine the capacity of wind turbine generators (WTGs) using capacity factor (CF), normalized average power (PN), and the product of CF and PN under different values of tower height and rated wind speed. Five locations for installation of WTG in Taiwan are practically examined. The proposed Weibull distribution is employed to represent probability distribution of wind speed variation, while the important relationships among mean wind speed (MWS), standard deviation of wind speed, and both scale and shape parameters of the Weibull distribution are also derived. The cost of energy (COE) and capital costs of WTG under different tower heights and various locations are also determined. It can be concluded from the simulation results of five installation locations of WTG in Taiwan that suitable values for both shape parameter and scale parameters of Weibull distribution as well as wind turbine capacity are identically important for selecting locations of installing WTG. The scale parameter of Weibull distribution also significantly affects COE, and it is important to determine whether a wind farm is good or not. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]