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The Northern Hemisphere is currently warming at the rate which is unprecedented during the Holocene. Quantitative palaeoclimatic records show that the most recent time in the geological history with comparable warming rates was during the Pleistocene-Holocene transition (PHT) about 14,000 to 11,000 years ago. To better understand the biotic response to rapid temperature change, we explore the community turnover rates during the PHT by focusing on the Baltic region in the southeastern sector of the Scandinavian Ice Sheet, where an exceptionally dense network on microfossil and macrofossil data that reflect the biotic community history are available. We further use a composite chironomid-based summer temperature reconstruction compiled specifically for our study region to calculate the rate of temperature change during the PHT. The fastest biotic turnover in the terrestrial and aquatic communities occurred during the Younger Dryas-Holocene shift at 11,700 years ago. This general shift in species composition was accompanied by regional extinctions, including disappearance of mammoth ( Mammuthus primigenius ) and reindeer ( Rangifer tarandus ) and many arctic-alpine plant taxa, such as Dryas octopetala , Salix polaris and Saxifraga aizoides , from the region. This rapid biotic turnover rate occurred when the rate of warming was 0.17 °C/decade, thus slightly lower than the current Northern Hemisphere warming of 0.2 °C/decade. We therefore conclude that the Younger Dryas-Holocene shift with its rapid turnover rates and associated regional extinctions represents an important palaeoanalogue to the current high latitude warming and gives insights about the probable future turnover rates and patterns of the terrestrial and aquatic ecosystem change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

New pollen based reconstructions of summer (May-to-August) and winter (December-to-February) temperatures between 15 and 8 ka BP along a S–N transect in the Baltic–Belarus (BB) area display trends in temporal and spatial changes in climate variability. These results are completed by two chironomid-based July mean temperature reconstructions. The magnitude of change compared with modern temperatures was more prominent in the northern part of BB area. The 4 C° winter and 2 C° summer warming at the start of GI-1 was delayed in the BB area and Lateglacial maximum temperatures were reached at ca 13.6 ka BP, being 4 C° colder than the modern mean. The Younger Dryas cooling in the area was 5 C° colder than present, as inferred by all proxies. In addition, our analyses show an early Holocene divergence in winter temperature trends with modern values reaching 1 ka earlier (10 ka BP) in southern BB compared to the northern part of the region (9 ka BP). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: This paper discusses a complete record of vegetation history since the Bølling (GI-1e) warming (14,500calyrBP) up to the Holocene in Latvia. To date, this is the only complete record of such age in the eastern Baltic area and the northernmost area for which Bølling records are present. Combining pollen evidence, pollen accumulation rates (PAR) and plant macrofossil data, we assess the local and regional vegetation development, and we attempt to separate the true Lateglacial vegetation signal by removing the obviously redeposited thermophilous pollen; however, we remove not only their signal, we discuss the possibilities of separating the redeposition signal of the so-called “local Lateglacial trees”, pine and birch, by looking at their corrosion and degradation. The results show that the Bølling warming in the eastern Baltic area was a treeless tundra community consisting of the shrubs Betula nana, Dryas octopetala and Salix polaris. The Older Dryas cold spell is clearly recognised as a decline in the total concentration of plant macrofossils and PARs at between 14,200 and 13,500calyrBP. At 13,460calyrBP, the B. nana macrofossils disappear, and tree birch (Betula sect. Albae) appears, marking the start of tree birch forest. The presence of pine forest is confirmed by a variety of macrofossils, including bark, wood, needles and seeds, since 13,400calyrBP, at the same time at which pine stomata are found. The first identified pine stomata finds are associated with a Pinus PAR over 3000grainscm−2 yr−1 and pine macrofossil finds with a Pinus PAR over 4000grainscm−2 yr−1. During the warmest period of the GI-1a (Allerød) at 13,000–12,700calyrBP, a pine forest with deciduous trees (birch –Betula pendula and aspen –Populus tremula) developed in the study area. The Younger Dryas (GS-1) cooling strongly affected the floral composition in eastern Latvia. The PAR of the tree taxa declined abruptly from a maximum value at 12,700 to below 1000grainscm−2 yr−1 at 12,600calyrBP. The response time for the pine forest to collapse was 100 years according to the PAR data. Pine macrofossils disappear simultaneously with the pollen signal at 12,600calyrBP, yet occasional Pinus stomata are recorded throughout the Younger Dryas (GS-1). The landscape was treeless shrub tundra again, with D. octopetala, S. polaris, B. nana and Juniperus present. Picea is introduced in the region within the cold Younger Dryas and is represented by stomata (12,400–12,200calyrBP), needles, seeds and wood (since 12,050calyrBP up to the Holocene). The Pleistocene/Holocene boundary at 11,650calyrBP is marked by changes both in vegetation composition and sediment type. The organic rich gyttja accumulated instead of silts and clays, and the start of the Holocene warm period permitted forest re-expansion in eastern Latvia. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]