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To conduct accurate lightning prediction and nowcasting, it is important to clarify the relationship between electrification and microphysical properties in clouds. Using the dual-polarization Doppler radar with the hydrometeor classification algorithm and lightning observation, radar-derived microphysical properties related to lightning flash rate were investigated in terms of 10 isolated thunderstorm cases over the Kanto Plain, Japan, with 351 radar volume scans conducted every 5 min during the summer period. In this study, the ice-related particles within the 35 dBZ volume (V35IC) showed the highest correlation coefficient (r = 0.75) and the lowest normalized root mean square error (NRMSE = 8.3%) in relation to cloud-to-ground lightning (CG), and also best to intra-cloud lightning (IC, r = 0.69, NRMSE = 8.1%). The correlation between V35IC and CG flash rate was better than that of the mixed-phase (between 0 °C and − 40 °C) 35 dBZ volume (r = 0.64), without considering the microphysical particles. The second-best radar-derived microphysical property was the ice mass consisting of the radar grids of all the ice-related particles (r = 0.72). These results suggest that an effective lightning indicator in terms of a radar-derived property is the ice-related particle volume, in addition to the traditionally used graupel and hail. The ice-related particle volume in the colder region of the thunderstorm (air temperature lower than −10 °C) showed a higher correlation with CG and IC than that in the warmer region, especially in terms of IC. These results are consistent with the non-inductive charging theory that has been well accepted in previous studies. Following time-lag correlation analysis from 0 to −30 min every 5 min before thunderstorm initiation, it was found that the ice-related index of V35IC demonstrated the slowest decrease (r = 0.75–0.65 in 30 min) in the correlation coefficient with time lapse and may be suitable as a lightning nowcast indicator. • The relationship between lightning flash rate and ice-related volume derived from the dual-polarization radar is investigated. • The ice-related volume with greater than 35 dBZ (V35IC) showed the highest correlation in relation to CG and IC lightning. • Using a time-lag correlation from 0 to 30 min before lightning initiation, V35IC showed the slowest decrease with time-lapse. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Neutral air temperatures at 90 km altitude over Svalbard (78°N, 16°E) for the period 2002 to 2019 inclusive have been estimated from observations by the Nippon/Norway Svalbard Meteor Radar (NSMR). The data are presented per se and we shall not attempt to identify contributions from extra-terrestrial or anthropogenic driving. On the other hand, comparison with the corresponding period of solar UV flux notably fails to exhibit similarities. Moreover, there is indeed evidence of systematic temporal changes, possibly with a breakpoint around 2012. Selecting winter and summer months and years before and after 2012 and fitting trend-lines, we see strong evidence for cooling during summer. An apparent winter cooling prior to 2012 lacks statistical significance. A suggestion of reversal to winter warming after 2012 is also very uncertain. The summer cooling is found to be 9.9 ± 2.9 K decade−1 between 2002 and 2012, and 4.3 ± 1.2 K decade−1 between 2002 and 2019. Importantly, there is a suggestion (although lacking statistical significance) that summer cooling alleviated after 2012, and even reversed in winter. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]