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Abstract The carbon market plays a critical role in promoting the transition toward renewable energy sources and reducing greenhouse gas emissions in the electricity generation and transmission. Extant research has overlooked the dynamic bilateral causality that exists between electricity and carbon markets. Moreover, these studies have frequently treated the macroeconomic effect as exogenous. To bridge this research gap, this paper presents a holistic modeling framework that comprehensively captures the intertwined nature of electricity and carbon markets and their concomitant interactions with the overarching economy. The suggested modeling framework is an integration of three principal modules, namely, a carbon market, an electricity market, and economic system. This synergistic blend provides an exhaustive understanding of the entire market operation cycle. It offers detailed clearance rules, and most importantly, it adopts a macroeconomic systematic modeling approach for evaluating the impact emanating from the interconnected electricity and carbon markets. To illustrate the practicality and effectiveness of the proposed approach, a case study anchored on empirical data sourced from the electricity and carbon markets in China is conducted. The empirical findings underscore the fact that incorporating a green certificate market into the modeling framework can precipitate a reduction in greenhouse gas emissions. Additionally, the results indicate that expanding the scale of the green certificate market from 1.9% in 2021 to 33% by 2023 will increase the generation of green electricity by 10%.

The nuclear event risk (NER) is an important and disputed factor that should be reasonably considered when planning the pathway of nuclear power development (NPD) to assess the benefits and risks of developing nuclear power more objectively. This paper aims to explore the impact of nuclear events on NPD pathway planning. The influence of nuclear events is quantified as a monetary risk component, and an optimization model that incorporates the NER in the objective function is proposed. To optimize the pathway of NPD in the lowcarbon transition course of power supply structure evolution, a simulation model is built to deduce alternative NPD pathways and corresponding power supply evolution scenarios under the constraint of an exogenously assigned carbon emission pathway (CEP); moreover, a method is proposed to describe the CEP by superimposing the maximum carbon emission space and each carbon emission reduction (CER) component, and various CER components are clustered considering the emission reduction characteristics and resource endowments of different power generation technologies. A case study is conducted to explore the impact of NER and its risk valuation uncertainty on NPD pathway planning. The method presented in this paper allows the impact of nuclear events on NPD pathway planning to be quantified and improves the level of coordinated optimization of benefits and risks.

Abstract The effective use of wind energy is an essential part of the sustainable development of human society, in particular, at the recent unprecedented pressure in shaping a low carbon energy environment. Accurate wind resource and power forecasting play a key role in improving the wind penetration. However, it has not been well adopted in the real‐world applications due to the strong stochastic characteristics of wind energy. In recent years, the application boost of deep learning methods provides new effective tools in wind forecasting. This paper provides a comprehensive overview of the forecasting models based on deep learning in the field of wind energy. Featured approaches include time‐series‐based recurrent neural networks, restricted Boltzmann machines, convolutional neural networks as well as auto‐encoder‐based approaches. In addition, future development directions of deep‐learning‐based wind energy forecasting have also been discussed.

The decreasing cost of solar photovoltaics (PVs) and battery storage systems is driving their adoption in the residential distribution system, where more consumers are becoming prosumers. Accompanying this trend is the potential roll-out of home energy management systems (HEMSs), which provide a means for prosumers to respond to externalities such as energy price, weather, and energy demands. However, the economic operation of prosumers can affect grid security, especially when energy prices are extremely low or high. Therefore, it is paramount to design a framework that can accommodate the interests of the key stakeholders in distribution systems—namely, the network operator, prosumer, and aggregator. In this paper, a novel transactive energy (TE)-based operational framework is proposed. Under this framework, aggregators interact with the distribution grid operator through a negotiation process to ensure network security, while at the lower level, prosumers submit their schedule to the aggregator through the HEMS. If network security is at risk, aggregators will send an additional price component representing the cost of security (CoS) to the prosumer to stimulate further response. The simulation results show that the proposed framework can effectively ensure the economic operation of aggregators and prosumers in distribution systems while maintaining grid security.

Abstract Non‐intrusive load monitoring (NILM) is essential for understanding consumer power consumption patterns and may have wide applications such as in carbon emission reduction and energy conservation. Determining NILM models requires massive load data containing different types of appliances. However, inadequate load data and the risk of power consumer privacy breaches may be encountered by local data owners when determining the NILM model. To address these problems, a novel NILM method based on federated learning (FL) called Fed‐NILM is proposed. In Fed‐NILM, instead of local load data, local model parameters are shared among multiple data owners. The global NILM model is obtained by averaging the parameters with the appropriate weights. Experiments based on two measured load datasets are performed to explore the generalization capability of Fed‐NILM. In addition, a comparison of Fed‐NILM with locally trained NILM models and the centrally trained NILM model is conducted. Experimental results show that the Fed‐NILM exhibits superior performance in terms of scalability and convergence. Fed‐NILM out performs locally trained NILM models operated by local data owners and approaches the centrally trained NILM model, which is trained on the entire load dataset without privacy protection. The proposed Fed‐NILM significantly improves the co‐modelling capabilities of local data owners while protecting the privacy of power consumers.

With the growing interdependence between the electricity system and the natural gas system, the operation uncertainties in either subsystem, such as wind fluctuations or component failures, could have a magnified impact on the reliability of the whole system due to energy interactions. A joint reserve scheduling model considering the cross-sectorial impacts of operation uncertainties is essential but still insufficient to guarantee the reliable operation of the integrated electricity and natural gas system (IEGS). Therefore, this paper proposes a day-ahead security-constrained unit commitment (SCUC) model for the IEGS to schedule the operation and reserve si-multaneously considering reliability requirements. Firstly, the multi-state models for generating units and gas wells are established. Based on the multi-state models, the expected unserved energy cost (EUEC) and the expected wind curtailment cost (EWC) criteria are proposed based on probabilistic methods considering wind fluctuation and random failures of components in IEGS. Furthermore, the EUEC and EWC criteria are incorporated into the day-ahead SCUC model, which is noncon-vex and mathematically reformulated into a solvable mixed-integer second-order cone programming (MISOCP) problem. The proposed model is validated using an IEEE 30-bus system and Belgium 20-node natural gas system. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed model can effectively schedule the energy reserve to guarantee the reliable operation of the IEGS considering the multiple uncertainties in different subsystems and the cross-sectorial failure propagation.

Aiming at the high-dimensional uncertainties of restoration process, an optimization model for distribution system restoration control is proposed considering expected restoration benefits, expected restoration costs, and security risks of the overall restoration scheme. In the proposed model, the effect of security control on restoration process is actively analyzed considering the security control costs of preventive, emergency, and correction controls. A two-layer decision support framework for distribution system restoration decision support system (DRDSS) is also designed. The upper layer of the proposed framework generates the pre-adjustment schemes of operation mode for energized power grid by load transfer and selects the optimal pre-adjustment scheme and the corresponding partitioning scheme based on the partition adjustment results of each pre-adjustment scheme. In addition, it optimizes the spatial-temporal decision-making of the inter-partition connectivity. For each partition, the lower layer of the proposed framework pre-selects the units and loads to be restored according to the pre-evaluated restoration income, generates the table of alternative restoration scheme for coping with uncertain events through simulation and deduction, and evaluates the risk and benefit of each scheme. For the uncertain events in the actual restoration process, the current restoration scheme can be adaptively switched to a sub-optimal scheme or re-optimized if necessary. Meanwhile, the proposed framework provides an information interaction interface for collaborative restoration with the related transmission system. A 123-node test system is built to evaluate the effectiveness and adaptability of the proposed model and framework.

Nuclear power development is a complex issue spanning cyber, physical, and social systems that is essential to achieving energy security and climate goals. With the ongoing worldwide trend towards carbon neutrality, the positioning of nuclear power in energy mix should be reconsidered. This paper aims to present a systematic review of current research on optimization of nuclear power development. The concept of cyber – physical – social system in energy (CPSSE) is adopted, which provides a suitable perspective and enables the review of relevant studies to achieve some novel insights. Based on the CPSSE, firstly, a research framework is established and the main research elements in optimization are identified, followed by a proposed conceptual risk-based optimization model. Secondly, current studies are analyzed and classified into four categories according to the research boundary. The status quo and limitations are discussed. It is found that the research results of nuclear-specific issues have not been well integrated into the optimization of nuclear power. As a relatively reliable power supply, nuclear power is capable of maintaining power and electricity adequacy of the whole system, especially in the case of power shortage caused by long-period low output of renewable energy or extreme external disasters. This superiority should not be ignored in the optimization. Other critical factors that should be further considered include disruptive technologies, nuclear safety, energy policies, and stakeholder behaviors. Finally, suggestions are given for future research.