Search

Aims: Layer‐specific global longitudinal strain (GLS) has been demonstrated to predict outcome in various patient cohorts. However, little is known regarding the prognostic value of layer‐specific GLS in the general population and whether different layers entail differential prognostic information. The aim of the present study was to investigate the prognostic value of whole wall (GLSWW), endomyocardial (GLSEndo), and epimyocardial (GLSEpi) GLS in the general population. Methods and results: A total of 4013 citizens were included in the present study. All 4013 had two‐dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography performed and analysed. Outcome was a composite endpoint of incident heart failure and/or cardiovascular death. Mean age was 56 years and 57% were female. During a median follow‐up time of 3.5 years, 133 participants (3.3%) reached the composite outcome. Sex modified the relationship between all GLS parameters and outcome. In sex‐stratified analysis, no GLS parameter remained significant predictors of outcome in females. In contrast, GLSWW [hazard ratio (HR) 1.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02–1.31, per 1% decrease] and GLSEpi (HR 1.19, 95% CI 1.04–1.38, per 1% decrease) remained as significant predictors of outcome in males after multivariable adjustment (including demographic, clinical, biochemistry, and echocardiographic parameters). Lastly, only in males did GLS parameters provide incremental prognostic information to general population risk models. Conclusions: In the general population, sex modifies the prognostic value of GLS resulting in GLSEpi being the only layer‐specific prognosticator in males, while no GLS parameter provides independent prognostic information in females. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A diagnosis of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is mainly considered in individuals with more than 10 pack-years of smoking. We tested the hypothesis that low smoking exposure, below the critical threshold of 10 pack-years, increases risk of COPD and leads to poor prognosis.We followed non-obstructive adult smokers from the Copenhagen City Heart Study for COPD, defined as forced expiratory volume in one second [FEV 1 ]/forced vital capacity [FVC]<0.70 and FEV 1 <80% predicted, and for related clinical outcomes. First, we followed individuals for 5years according to baseline smoking for risk of developing COPD, and hereafter for up to four decades for severe exacerbations and death.In 6098 non-obstructive smokers, 1781(29%) developed COPD after 5 years follow-up; 23% in individuals with <10pack-years of smoking at baseline, 26% in those with 10-19.9pack-years, 30% in those with 20-39.9pack-years, and 39% in those with ≥40pack-years. During four decades follow-up, we recorded 620 exacerbations and 5573 deaths. Compared to individuals without COPD with <10pack-years of smoking, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for exacerbations were 1.94(95% confidence interval:1.36-2.77) in those without COPD with ≥10pack-years, 2.83(1.72-4.66) in those with COPD with <10pack-years, 4.34(2.93-6.43) in COPD with 10-19.9pack-years, 4.39(2.98-6.47) in COPD with 20-39.9pack-years, and 4.98(3.11-7.97) in COPD with ≥40pack-years. Corresponding HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.20(1.10-1.32), 1.33(1.14-1.56), 1.59(1.40-1.80),1.81(1.62-2.03), and 1.81(1.55-2.10), respectively.Low smoking exposure below the critical threshold of 10 pack-years increases risk of COPD in middle-aged adults within 5 years, and these individuals have increased risk of severe exacerbation and early death over four decades., (Copyright ©The authors 2024. For reproduction rights and permissions contact permissions@ersnet.org.)