35 results on '"Kuparinen, Anna"'
Search Results
2. Effects of top predator re-establishment and fishing on a simulated food web: Allometric Trophic Network model for Lake Oulujärvi
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Kokkonen, Eevi, Kuisma, Mikael, Hyvärinen, Pekka, Vainikka, Anssi, Vuorio, Kristiina, Perälä, Tommi, Härkönen, Laura S., Estlander, Satu, and Kuparinen, Anna
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- 2024
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3. Environmental forcing alters fisheries selection
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Thambithurai, Davide and Kuparinen, Anna
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- 2024
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4. Atlantic salmon survival at sea: temporal changes that lack regional synchrony
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Tirronen, Maria, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., Pardo, Sebastian A., and Kuparinen, Anna
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Atlantic salmon -- Environmental aspects -- Behavior ,Human beings -- Influence on nature ,Ontogeny -- Analysis ,Earth sciences - Abstract
Spatial and temporal synchrony in abundance or survival trends can be indicative of whether populations are affected by common environmental drivers. In Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar), return rates to natal rivers have generally been assumed to be affected primarily by shared oceanic conditions, leading to spatially synchronous trends in mortality. Here, we investigated the existence of parallel trends in salmon sea survival, using data on migrating smolts and returning adults from seven Canadian populations presumed to share feeding grounds. We analysed sea survival, using a Bayesian change-point model capable of detecting nonstationarity in time series data. Our results indicate that while salmon have experienced broadly comparable patterns in survival, finer-scale temporal shifts are not synchronous among populations. Our findings are not consistent with the hypothesis that salmon populations consistently share the same mortality-related stressors in the marine environment. Although populations may have shared greater synchrony in survival patterns in the past, this synchrony may be breaking down. It may be prudent to direct greater attention to smaller-scale regional and population-level correlates of survival. Le synchronisme spatial et temporel des tendances d'abondance ou de survie peut indiquer si differentes populations sont influencees par les memes facteurs environnementaux. Il est generalement presume que, chez les saumons atlantiques (Salmo salar), les taux de retour aux rivieres natales sont principalement influences par des conditions oceaniques communes, ce qui mene a des tendances de mortalite synchrones dans l'espace. Nous examinons l'existence de tendances paralleles de survie en mer des saumons en utilisant des donnees sur les saumoneaux migrants et les adultes retournant dans leur riviere natale de sept populations canadiennes presumees avoir les memes aires d'alimentation. Nous analysons la survie en mer en utilisant un modele bayesien de points de changement pouvant detecter la presence de non-stationnarite dans les donnees de series chronologiques. Nos resultats indiquent que, bien que les saumons presentent des motifs de survie generalement semblables, des changements temporels a echelle plus fine ne sont pas synchrones d'une population a l'autre. Nos resultats ne concordant pas avec l'hypothese voulant que les populations de saumons aient toujours en commun les memes facteurs de stress relies a la mortalite dans le milieu marin. Si les motifs de survie des populations peuvent avoir presente un plus grand synchronisme par le passe, ce synchronisme pourrait etre en train de s'effriter. Il peut etre prudent d'accorder plus d'attention aux correlats de la survie a des echelles regionales ou populationnelles plus fines. [Traduit par la Redaction], 1. Introduction The viability of a species depends on the resistance and resilience of its constituent populations to natural and human-induced environmental change. Reduced viability reflects reductions in the abundance [...]
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- 2022
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5. Limited effects of size-selective harvesting and harvesting-induced life-history changes on the temporal variability of biomass dynamics in complex food webs
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Nonaka, Etsuko and Kuparinen, Anna
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- 2023
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6. Fishing triggers trophic cascade in terms of variation, not abundance, in an allometric trophic network model
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Uusi-Heikkila, Silva, Perala, Tommi, and Kuparinen, Anna
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Food chains (Ecology) -- Environmental aspects ,Fisheries -- Environmental aspects -- Methods ,Fish industry -- Environmental aspects -- Methods ,Earth sciences - Abstract
Trophic cascade studies often rely on linear food chains instead of complex food webs and are typically measured as biomass averages, not as biomass variation. We study trophic cascades propagating across a complex food web including a measure of biomass variation in addition to biomass average. We examined whether different fishing strategies induce trophic cascades and whether the cascades differ from each other. We utilized an allometric trophic network (ATN) model to mechanistically study fishing-induced changes in food web dynamics. Different fishing strategies did not trigger traditional, reciprocal trophic cascades, as measured in biomass averages. Instead, fishing triggered a variation cascade that propagated across the food web, including fish, zooplankton and phytoplankton species. In fisheries that removed a large amount of top-predatory and cannibalistic fish, the biomass oscillations started to decrease after fishing was started. In fisheries that mainly targeted large planktivorous fish, the biomass oscillations did not dampen but slightly increased over time. Removing species with specific ecological functions might alter the food web dynamics and potentially affect the ecological resilience of aquatic ecosystems. Les etudes de cascades trophiques reposent souvent sur des chaines alimentaires lineaires plutot que sur des reseaux trophiques complexes, ainsi que sur des mesures de la biomasse moyenne, plutot que des variations de la biomasse. Nous etudions la propagation de cascades trophiques a travers un reseau trophique complexe en integrant une mesure de la variation de la biomasse en plus de la moyenne de cette derniere. Nous tentons de determiner si differentes strategies de peche induisent des cascades trophiques et si ces dernieres different les unes des autres. Nous utilisons un modele de reseau trophique allometrique (RTA) pour etudier de maniere mecaniste les modifications induites par la peche de la dynamique du reseau trophique. Differentes strategies de peche ne declenchent pas de cascades trophiques reciproques traditionnelles, telles que mesurees par la biomasse moyenne. La peche declenche plutot une cascade de variations qui se propage dans tout le reseau trophique, incluant des especes de poissons, de zooplancton et de phytoplancton. Dans les peches qui prelevent une grande quantite de poissons cannibales et predateurs de niveau superieur, les oscillations de la biomasse commencent a diminuer apres le debut de la peche. Dans les peches qui ciblent principalement de grands poissons planctonivores, les oscillations de la biomasse ne s'attenuent pas, mais augmentent plutot legerement au fil du temps. Le retrait d'especes ayant des fonctions ecologiques precises pourrait modifier la dynamique des reseaux trophiques et avoir une incidence sur la resilience ecologique des ecosystemes aquatiques. [Traduit par la Redaction], Introduction The widespread importance of trophic cascades ('indirect species interactions that originate with predators and spread downward through food webs' sensu Ripple et al. 2016) has become increasingly recognized since [...]
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- 2022
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7. Salmon lice in the Pacific Ocean show evidence of evolved resistance to parasiticide treatment
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Godwin, Sean C., Bateman, Andrew W., Kuparinen, Anna, Johnson, Rick, Powell, John, Speck, Kelly, and Hutchings, Jeffrey A.
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- 2022
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8. Effects of top predator re-establishment and fishing on a simulated food web:Allometric Trophic Network model for Lake Oulujärvi
- Author
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Kokkonen, Eevi, Kuisma, Mikael, Hyvärinen, Pekka, Vainikka, Anssi, Vuorio, Kristiina, Perälä, Tommi, Härkönen, Laura S., Estlander, Satu, Kuparinen, Anna, Kokkonen, Eevi, Kuisma, Mikael, Hyvärinen, Pekka, Vainikka, Anssi, Vuorio, Kristiina, Perälä, Tommi, Härkönen, Laura S., Estlander, Satu, and Kuparinen, Anna
- Abstract
Fish communities face changes in environmental conditions and fishing that affects the abundances and structures of the populations. Before 1960s there were abundant stocks of both pikeperch (Stizostedion lucioperca) and whitefish (Coregonus lavaretus) in Lake Oulujärvi, but in 1960s–1970s the stock of pikeperch declined to very low levels while whitefish stock remained abundant. Due to massive re-introductions, pikeperch recovered since 1999 and is again common while whitefish stock has declined. To understand the ecosystem-level changes observed along the recovery of the pikeperch stock, we constructed a food web model capturing the two most recent states of pikeperch abundance in Lake Oulujärvi. We used Allometric Trophic Network (ATN) model to simulate the pelagic food web in the presence and absence of pikeperch and in the presence and absence of fishing. To parametrize ATN model based on body masses and food web interactions, we used data collections of fish cohort analyses, fish individuals, fish stomach contents, zooplankton, and phytoplankton in Lake Oulujärvi. Pikeperch decreased the biomasses of its planktivorous prey. Fishing truncated the age distribution of planktivorous fish. Pikeperch and fishing had synergistic negative effects on vendace (Coregonus albula) and smelt (Osmerus eperlanus) percentages of fish biomass, and antagonistic negative effect on whitefish and brown trout (Salmo trutta) percentages of fish biomass. Mysis relicta, Chaoborus flavicans, Leptodora and other predatory zooplankton, and Cyclopoida zooplankton guilds increased with fishing and pikeperch. Fishing, and pikeperch in the presence of fishing, increased biomass of Crustacean zooplankton guild. There were marked differences between the ATN model simulations and empirically observed time series of fish stock abundances suggesting that the observed changes are partially caused by environmental or fishing-related factors that were not included in the model.
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- 2024
9. SEAwise Report on improved predictive models of recruitment under different environmental scenarios
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Melià, Paco, Schiavo, Andrea, Einberg, Heli, Ojaveer, Henn, Rubene, Gunta, Putnis, Ivars, Neuenfeldt, Stefan, Henriksen, Ole, Rindorf, Anna, Voss, Ruediger, Kühn, Bernhard, Taylor, Marc, Kempf, Alexander, Depestele, Jochen, Tirronen, Maria, Kuparinen, Anna, Ibaibarriaga, Leire, Uriarte, Andres, Citores, Leire, Sarasua, Ixak, Fontán, Almudena, Sánchez-Maroño, Sonia, Garcia, Dorleta, Gatti, Paul, Woillez, Mathieu, Lebigre, Christophe, Servili, Ariana, Mazurais, David, Savina-Rolland, Marie, Fincham, Jenni, Spence, Mike, Sagger, Gary, Thorpe, Robert, Martiradonna, Angela, Bitetto, Isabella, Zupa, Walter, Spedicato, Maria Teresa, Tsagarakis, Konstantinos, Sgardeli, Vasiliki, Damalas, Dimitrios, Vassilopoulou, Vassiliki, Melià, Paco, Schiavo, Andrea, Einberg, Heli, Ojaveer, Henn, Rubene, Gunta, Putnis, Ivars, Neuenfeldt, Stefan, Henriksen, Ole, Rindorf, Anna, Voss, Ruediger, Kühn, Bernhard, Taylor, Marc, Kempf, Alexander, Depestele, Jochen, Tirronen, Maria, Kuparinen, Anna, Ibaibarriaga, Leire, Uriarte, Andres, Citores, Leire, Sarasua, Ixak, Fontán, Almudena, Sánchez-Maroño, Sonia, Garcia, Dorleta, Gatti, Paul, Woillez, Mathieu, Lebigre, Christophe, Servili, Ariana, Mazurais, David, Savina-Rolland, Marie, Fincham, Jenni, Spence, Mike, Sagger, Gary, Thorpe, Robert, Martiradonna, Angela, Bitetto, Isabella, Zupa, Walter, Spedicato, Maria Teresa, Tsagarakis, Konstantinos, Sgardeli, Vasiliki, Damalas, Dimitrios, and Vassilopoulou, Vassiliki
- Abstract
This report investigates how key environmental variables influence the recruitment process of target fish stocks. Understanding how the environment affects recruitment may allow more accurate predictions of fish stock dynamics under scenarios of environmental change and in particular their response to global warming, supporting the development and implementation of robust management policies. Case studies from the four Seawise case study regions have been analysed, and the main results obtained so far are summarized below. In the Baltic Sea, the Gulf of Riga spring spawning herring showed effects of spawning stock biomass on individual weight of age-1 fish, with prey abundance in May and previous year feeding period temperature also playing significant roles. The explanatory power of the final model was moderate. Higher weight of herring is achieved at higher prey densities, lower SSB levels and lower temperatures during the main feeding season of age-0 fish. Recruitment of Western Baltic cod and herring showed decreasing reproductive potential at increasing temperature. In the North Sea, the effects of temperature, salinity, currents, chlorophyll and zooplankton on recruitment of cod, haddock, saithe, whiting, plaice, sole, sprat and herring were investigated using a semi-automated, machine learning framework. The incorporation of environmental signals in recruitment predictions showed improved predictions over a stock recruitment model without environmental effects in six out of the eight stocks. For small pelagic foirage fish, four stock-recruitment models were fitted for three sandeel stocks and the North Sea sprat stock Linear regressions revealed various relationships between recruitment and environmental variables. Short-term time scales based on monthly averages produced a noisier and less consistent pattern for most stock. In the Western Waters, Bayesian online change point detection models were applied to thr
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- 2024
10. Fish with slow life‐history cope better with chronic manganese exposure than fish with fast life‐history.
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Uusi‐Heikkilä, Silva, Salonen, Jouni K., Karjalainen, Juha S., Väisänen, Ari, Hippeläinen, Johanna, Hämärvuo, Teemu, and Kuparinen, Anna
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MANGANOUS sulfate ,LIFE history theory ,ZEBRA danio ,BODY size ,STRAINS & stresses (Mechanics) ,BRACHYDANIO - Abstract
Animals with different life‐history types vary in their stress‐coping styles, which can affect their fitness and survival in changing environments. We studied how chronic exposure to manganese sulfate (MnSO4), a common aquatic pollutant, affects life‐history traits, physiology, and behavior of zebrafish (Danio rerio) with two life‐history types: fast (previously selected for fast juvenile growth, early maturation, and small adult body size) and slow life histories (selected for slow juvenile growth, late maturation, and large adult body size). We found that MnSO4 had negative effects on growth and condition factors, but the magnitude of these effects depended on the life‐history type. Individuals with fast life histories were more susceptible to MnSO4 than fish with slow life histories as they had lower growth rate, condition factor and feeding probability in high MnSO4 concentrations. Our results demonstrate that MnSO4 can impair fish performance, and life‐history variation can modulate the stress‐coping ability of individuals. Animals with different life‐history types vary in their stress‐coping styles, which can affect their fitness and survival in changing environments. We found that MnSO4 had negative effects on growth and condition factors, but the magnitude of these effects depended on the life‐history type. Individuals with fast life histories were more susceptible to MnSO4 than fish with slow life histories as they had lower growth rate, condition factor and feeding probability in high MnSO4 concentrations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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11. Growth and longevity of the endangered freshwater pearl mussel (Margaritifera margaritifera): Implications for conservation and management.
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Nykänen, Sabrina, Taskinen, Jouni, Hajisafarali, Mahsa, and Kuparinen, Anna
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FRESHWATER mussels ,WILDLIFE conservation ,SAMPLE size (Statistics) ,LONGEVITY ,POPULATION aging - Abstract
Key life‐history data, such as growth and age, are necessary to effectively manage and conserve threatened freshwater mussel species. Traditionally growth and age studies require large yet destructive sample sizes covering all age classes. Such methods pose a risk to populations of conservation concern, and therefore, alternative methods that need only limited sample sizes are necessitated to prevent further threats to such populations. We applied retrospective shell growth at age reconstructions to 98 critically endangered freshwater pearl mussel (FPM) individuals from 34 populations across Finland and Sweden, enabling the use of extremely small sample sizes (n = 1–6 per population). We compared the performance of six different growth models with the reconstructed size‐at‐age data across FPM juvenile (<20 years old) and adult life stages. The growth reconstruction model showed reasonable skill in reconstructing FPM growth patterns. The von Bertalanffy model showed to be a good general descriptor of growth for FPM, but it systematically underestimated the asymptotic size. The power law model was the most accurate in estimating juvenile growth (lowest deviances from the size‐at‐age data). FPM showed great variability in longevity (Amax = 54–254 years) and growth constant k (0.018–0.057 year−1). Our results show that reasonable estimates of growth can be attained even when sample sizes are extremely limited. The results can be further applied to gain knowledge on the population's age structure, size at maturation, and recovery potential. The methodology is applicable to other freshwater mussel species of conservation concern. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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12. Parasite‐mediated changes in host traits alter food web dynamics
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Klemme, Ines, primary, Perälä, Tommi, additional, Lehtinen, Sami O., additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2024
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13. Mutually exclusive feeding yields Holling type III functional response
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Lehtinen, Sami O., primary, Perälä, Tommi A., additional, Uusi‐Heikkilä, Silva K., additional, and Kuparinen, Anna K., additional
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- 2023
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14. Atlantic cod individual spatial behaviour and stable isotope associations in a no‐take marine reserve
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Monk, Christopher T., primary, Power, Michael, additional, Freitas, Carla, additional, Harrison, Philip M., additional, Heupel, Michelle, additional, Kuparinen, Anna, additional, Moland, Even, additional, Simpfendorfer, Colin, additional, Villegas‐Ríos, David, additional, and Olsen, Esben M., additional
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- 2023
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15. Can regime shifts in reproduction be explained by changing climate and food availability?
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Tirronen, Maria, primary, Depestele, Jochen, additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2023
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16. Correlation between body size and longevity: New analysis and data covering six taxonomic classes of vertebrates
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Kuparinen, Anna, primary, Yeung, Emily, additional, and Hutchings, Jeffrey A., additional
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- 2023
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17. Mutually exclusive feeding yields Holling type III functional response.
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Lehtinen, Sami O., Perälä, Tommi A., Uusi‐Heikkilä, Silva K., and Kuparinen, Anna K.
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PREDATION ,POPULATION dynamics ,PERIODICAL articles - Abstract
Many generalist predators, including fish, insects and mammals, temporarily focus on their search behaviour and can switch between prey species. Flexible and rapid behavioural plasticity enables a predator to forage optimally, as guided by search image formation and prey switching in response to changing prey abundances.More than half a century of studies have used Holling type III functional response to model the impact of this feeding behaviour on population dynamics, yet a mechanistic understanding for the pathway between individual behaviour and feeding rates remains poorly understood.To understand this common feeding behaviour, we developed three mechanistic models using first‐principles to provide direct derivations for the relationship between observed individual behaviour and feeding rates.The derived models yield three novel, generalised functional responses for predators characterised by prey switching and mutually exclusive feeding (i.e. feeding is limited to one prey species at a time). We show how these functional responses act as Holling type III response, and how they can be used to predict predators' diet compositions.Our results demonstrate that several behavioural forms of prey switching, as displayed in a wide range of predator species, consistently produce type III conforming functional responses. Read the free Plain Language Summary for this article on the Journal blog. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2024
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18. Generalist invasion in a complex lake food web
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Kuparinen, Anna, primary, Uusi‐Heikkilä, Silva, additional, Perälä, Tommi, additional, Ercoli, Fabio, additional, Eloranta, Antti P., additional, Cremona, Fabien, additional, Nõges, Peeter, additional, Laas, Alo, additional, and Nõges, Tiina, additional
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- 2023
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19. Effects of temporal abiotic drivers on the dynamics of an allometric trophic network model
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Eloranta, Antti P., primary, Perälä, Tommi, additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2023
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20. Gill area explains deviations from body size–metabolic rate relationship in teleost fishes
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Kuparinen, Anna, Gielewski, Darby, and Hutchings, Jeffrey A.
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teleost fish ,Gills ,endocrine system ,animal structures ,fungi ,Fishes ,VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400 ,VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Marinbiologi: 497 ,kidukset ,Aquatic Science ,oxygen consumption ,Oxygen ,Oxygen Consumption ,meta-analyses ,koko ,Gill size ,Animals ,Body Size ,body size ,metabolism ,aineenvaihdunta ,Ecology, Evolution, Behavior and Systematics ,kalat ,hapenotto - Abstract
Whether gill area constrains fish metabolism through oxygen limitation is a debated topic. Here, the authors provide insights into this question by analysing mass-specific metabolic rates across 44 teleost fishes extracted from FishBase. They explore whether species deviations from metabolic rates predicted by body mass can be explained by species gill area. They show that the gill area explains c. 26%–28% of species-level deviations from mass-specific metabolic rates. Their findings suggest that gill area might indeed be one of the factors limiting metabolic rate in fishes.
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- 2022
21. Re‐launch of Fish and Fisheries Special Issues and call for proposals
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Carvalho, Gary, primary, Arlinghaus, Robert, additional, Gillanders, Bronwyn, additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2023
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22. Abiotic forcing in allometric trophic network models
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Eloranta, Antti, primary, Perälä, Tommi, additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2022
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23. Are there plenty of fish in the sea? How life history traits affect the eco-evolutionary consequences of population oscillations
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Ahti, Pauliina A., primary, Uusi-Heikkilä, Silva, additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2022
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24. Multiple-batch spawning: a risk-spreading strategy disarmed by highly intensive size-selective fishing rate
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Hočevar, Sara, primary, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2022
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25. Workshop on ICES reference points (WKREF2)
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Lordan, Colm, Orio, Alessandro, Kempf, Alexander, Pierucci, Andrea, Kuparinen, Anna, Rindorf, Anna, Peyronnet, Arnaud, Wilson, Ashley, Albertsen, Christoffer Moesgaard, Konrad, Christoph, Sparrevohn, Claus Reedtz, Minto, Cóilín, Howell, Daniel, Gilljam, David, Miller, David, Garcia, Dorleta, Armelloni, Enrico, Abad, Esther, Masnadi, Francesco, Scarcella, Giuseppe, Dingsør, Gjert Endre, Winker, Henning, Sparholt, Henrik, Farias, Inês, Horbowy, Jan, Lecomte, Jean-Baptiste, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., Fall, Johanna, Lövgren, Johan, Simmonds, John, Shrives, Jonathan, De Oliveira, José, Hommik, Kristiina, Kell, Laurence, Vansteenbrugge, Lies, Borges, Lisa, Batts, Luke, Taylor, Marc, Pastoors, Martin, Scanu, Martina, Cardinale, Massimiliano, Gras, Michaël, Deurs, Mikael van, Goñi, Nicolas, Graham, Norman, Silvar Viladomiu, Paula, Sampedro, Paz, Hilborn, Ray, Sharma, Rishi, Millar, Sarah, Nimmegeers, Sofie, Miethe, Tanja, Perälä, Tommi, Bartolino, Valerio, Lordan, Colm, Orio, Alessandro, Kempf, Alexander, Pierucci, Andrea, Kuparinen, Anna, Rindorf, Anna, Peyronnet, Arnaud, Wilson, Ashley, Albertsen, Christoffer Moesgaard, Konrad, Christoph, Sparrevohn, Claus Reedtz, Minto, Cóilín, Howell, Daniel, Gilljam, David, Miller, David, Garcia, Dorleta, Armelloni, Enrico, Abad, Esther, Masnadi, Francesco, Scarcella, Giuseppe, Dingsør, Gjert Endre, Winker, Henning, Sparholt, Henrik, Farias, Inês, Horbowy, Jan, Lecomte, Jean-Baptiste, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., Fall, Johanna, Lövgren, Johan, Simmonds, John, Shrives, Jonathan, De Oliveira, José, Hommik, Kristiina, Kell, Laurence, Vansteenbrugge, Lies, Borges, Lisa, Batts, Luke, Taylor, Marc, Pastoors, Martin, Scanu, Martina, Cardinale, Massimiliano, Gras, Michaël, Deurs, Mikael van, Goñi, Nicolas, Graham, Norman, Silvar Viladomiu, Paula, Sampedro, Paz, Hilborn, Ray, Sharma, Rishi, Millar, Sarah, Nimmegeers, Sofie, Miethe, Tanja, Perälä, Tommi, and Bartolino, Valerio
- Abstract
The ICES Workshop on ICES reference points (WKREF2) was tasked review the WKREF1 report and based on the outcome develop updated guidelines for the ICES reference points system and recommendations for ACOM consideration. The WKREF1 report has suggested 5 key recommendations to simplify and harmonise the ICES reference points framework representing a major change to the current guidelines. At WKREF2, we detailed discussions and four key concerns were raised about the proposed approach. The first related to the simplification of rules to define Blim. Around two thirds of category 1 stocks would end up as WKREF1 “Blim Type 2” where Blim would be set as a fraction of B0. The Allee effect or “depensation” maybe more important than previously thought and should be furthered explored for ICES stocks since it has important consequences for Blim. A number of challenges and issues around defining Blim using the current guidelines were documented. Some suggestions on improvement criteria were discussed including using classifiers to define spasmodic stocks and using change point algorithms to address non-stationary productivity regimes. However, further work is need to make these approaches operational and there was no consensus that the WKREF1 Blim types should replace the current guidelines. WKREF1 recommended that the FMSY proxy should be based on a biological proxies and should be less than the deterministic FMSY. It was pointed out that the stochastic FMSY estimated in EqSim for example, is lower than the deterministic FMSY and that the current guidelines ensure that the FMSY should not pose a more than 5% risk to Blim. A large amount of work described in WD 1 was carried out to develop an MSE framework to consistency and robustness test a candidate reference point system for North East Atlantic stocks. However, WKREF2 recommended tha
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- 2022
26. Workshop on ICES reference points (WKREF2)
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Orio, Alessandro, Kemp, Alexander, Pierucci, Andrea, Kuparinen, Anna, Rindorf, Anna, Peyronnet, Arnaud, Wilson, Ashley, Albertsen, Christoffer Moesgaard, Konrad, Christoph, Sparrevohn, laus Reedtz, Minto, Cóilín, Howell, Daniel, Gilljam, David, Miller, David, Garcia, Dorleta, Armelloni, Enrico, Abad, Esther, Masnadi, Francesco, Scarcella, Giuseppe, Dingsør, Gjert Endre, Winker, Henning, Sparholt, Henrik, Farias, Inês, Horbowy, Jan, Lecomte, Jean-Baptiste, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., Fall, Johanna, Lövgren, Johan, Simmonds, John, Shrives, Jonathan, Oliveira, José De, Hommik, Kristiina, Kel, Laurence, Vansteenbrugge, Lies, Borges, Lisa, Batts, Luke, Taylor, Marc, Pastoors, Martin, Scanu, Martina, Cardinale, Massimiliano, Gras, Michaël, Deurs, Mikael van, Goñi, Nicolas, Graham, Norman, Viladomiu, Paula Silvar, Sampedro, Paz, Hilborn, Ray, Sharma, Rishi, Millar, Sarah, Nimmegeers, Sofie, Miethe, Tanja, Perälä, Tommi, Bartolino, Valerio, Lordan, Colm, and ICES
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Fisheries and aquaculture ,Fishery management reference points ,ICES ,Management advice ,Reference points ,Fisheries ,ICES resources ,All ICES Ecoregions - Abstract
The ICES Workshop on ICES reference points (WKREF2) was tasked review the WKREF1 report and based on the outcome develop updated guidelines for the ICES reference points system and recommendations for ACOM consideration. The WKREF1 report has suggested 5 key recom- mendations to simplify and harmonise the ICES reference points framework representing a ma- jor change to the current guidelines. At WKREF2, we detailed discussions and four key concerns were raised about the proposed approach. The first related to the simplification of rules to define Blim. Around two thirds of category 1 stocks would end up as WKREF1 “Blim Type 2” where Blim would be set as a fraction of B0. The Allee effect or “depensation” maybe more important than previously thought and should be furthered explored for ICES stocks since it has important consequences for Blim. A number of challenges and issues around defining Blim using the current guidelines were documented. Some suggestions on improvement criteria were discussed including using classifiers to define spas- modic stocks and using change point algorithms to address non-stationary productivity regimes. However, further work is need to make these approaches operational and there was no consen- sus that the WKREF1 Blim types should replace the current guidelines. WKREF1 recommended that the FMSY proxy should be based on a biological proxies and should be less than the deterministic FMSY. It was pointed out that the stochastic FMSY estimated in EqSim for example, is lower than the deterministic FMSY and that the current guidelines ensure that the FMSY should not pose a more than 5% risk to Blim. A large amount of work described in WD 1 was carried out to develop an MSE framework to consistency and robustness test a candidate refer- ence point system for North East Atlantic stocks. However, WKREF2 recommended that further work needs to be carried out to condition and test the simulation framework before the conclu- sions could be adopted by ICES and incorporated into the guidelines. A number of considerations for defining MSY related reference points were discussed including using model validation and prediction skill to ensure that ICES provide robust and credible ad- vice. There is evidence that density dependence (DD) is important in the majority of ICES stocks (68% in recruitment and 54% in growth). The correct prediction of the shape and strength of density-dependence in productivity is key to predicting future stock development and providing the best possible long-term fisheries management advice. A suggested approach to use surplus production models (SPMs) to account for DD in FMSY was suggested and discussed but there was no consensus on whether that approach was appropriate. There was consensus that the FECO approach as a means of adapting target fishing mortality to medium-term changes in productiv- ity should be included in the guidelines subject to a benchmark and ACOM approval. While WKREF1 and 2 focused mainly on Category 1 stocks ToR c) called for a “simplified and harmonised set of guidelines for estimating MSY and precautionary reference points applicable in the advice framework across various ICES stock categories.” Ideally the ICES assessment cat- egories should provide equivalent risk across all stocks. This issue was discussed but no recom- mendations emerged. There was no consensus a revised reference point framework was proposed at WKREF2. How- ever, it was agreed that it should be presented here for further discussion at ACOM and other fora. The key feature of the suggested approach is that the stock status evaluation is treated in- dependent of the Advice Rule (AR). The main feature of the system is that the biomass trigger is not linked to a stock status evaluation, it is linked to the expected biomass when fishing at the target fishing mortality, in contrast to the current ICES approach. It also entailed that FMSY would also become an upper limit of fishing mortality and that the advised fishing mortality would be set at or lower than that level. WKREF2 did not discuss what to do in situations where SSB< Blim or alternative forms of HCR for the advice rule. Building community understanding and con- sensus around simplified and harmonised guidelines has yet to be achieved. A further workshop WKREF3 will be required to achieve that aim. The report includes 6 recommendations for ACOM consideration. ICES The main objective of the workshop was to review the recommendations of WKREF1 and con- sider how these might feed into a new reference points framework and guidelines for ICES. There were a number of presentations on the wider issues of best practice for reference points, the Allee effect, density dependence and the WKIRISH approach. The starting point was to try and develop a set of simplified and harmonised guidelines based on the WKREF1 report rather than evolving the current guidelines to include the WKREF1 conclusions. A key aspect of the meeting was to allow for discussions in order to build a shared understanding of the strengths and weakness of the current framework and of the new framework emerging from WKREF1. Published Non Refereed
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27. Supplementary figures file from Multiple-batch spawning: a risk-spreading strategy disarmed by highly intensive size-selective fishing rate
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Hočevar, Sara, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., and Kuparinen, Anna
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Eight figures illustrating further eco-evolutionary characteristics of multiple-batch spawning strategy.
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28. Additional methods and figures from Allee effects and the Allee-effect zone in a northwest Atlantic cod
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Per��l��, Tommi, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., and Kuparinen, Anna
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Considerations for the choice of prior distributions and figures for sensitivity analyses as well as model selection and 3Ps cod stock trends
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29. Multiple-batch spawning: a risk-spreading strategy disarmed by highly intensive size-selective fishing rate
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Hočevar, Sara, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., and Kuparinen, Anna
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kalastus ,liikakalastus ,elinkierto ,multiple-batch spawning ,evoluutioekologia ,lisääntymiskäyttäytyminen ,Atlantic cod ,VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Basale biofag: 470 ,size-selective fishing ,fisheries-induced evolution ,bet-hedging ,turska ,fitness - Abstract
Can the advantage of risk-managing life-history strategies become a disadvantage under human-induced evolution? Organisms have adapted to the variability and uncertainty of environmental conditions with a vast diversity of life-history strategies. One such evolved strategy is multiple-batch spawning, a spawning strategy common to long-lived fishes that ‘hedge their bets' by distributing the risk to their offspring on a temporal and spatial scale. The fitness benefits of this spawning strategy increase with female body size, the very trait that size-selective fishing targets. By applying an empirically and theoretically motivated eco-evolutionary mechanistic model that was parameterized for Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua), we explored how fishing intensity may alter the life-history traits and fitness of fishes that are multiple-batch spawners. Our main findings are twofold; first, the risk-spreading strategy of multiple-batch spawning is not effective against fisheries selection, because the fisheries selection favours smaller fish with a lower risk-spreading effect; and second, the ecological recovery in population size does not secure evolutionary recovery in the population size structure. The beneficial risk-spreading mechanism of the batch spawning strategy highlights the importance of recovery in the size structure of overfished stocks, from which a full recovery in the population size can follow. peerReviewed
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- 2022
30. Allee effects and the Allee-effect zone in northwest Atlantic cod
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Perälä, Tommi, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., and Kuparinen, Anna
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VDP::Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Zoologiske og botaniske fag: 480::Økologi: 488 ,compensation ,low-abundance dynamics ,marine conservation ,liikakalastus ,Gadus morhua ,depensation ,palautuminen ,kalakannat ,stock–recruitment relationship ,populaatiodynamiikka ,turska - Abstract
According to the theory of compensatory dynamics, depleted populations should recover when the threat responsible for their decline is removed because per capita population growth is assumed to be highest when populations are at their smallest viable sizes. Yet, many seriously depleted fish populations have failed to recover despite threat mitigation. Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stocks off Newfoundland, despite 30 years of dramatically reduced fishing mortality and numerous fishery closures, have not recovered, suggesting that drivers other than fishing can regulate the growth of collapsed fish populations, inhibiting or preventing their recovery. Here, using Bayesian inference, we show strong evidence of Allee effects in a south Newfoundland cod population, based on data on recruitment and spawning stock biomass. We infer the Allee-effect threshold, below which recovery is impaired. We demonstrate the necessity of data at low population sizes to make inferences about the nature of low-abundance dynamics. Our work indicates that Allee effects are not negligible in commercially exploited fish populations, as commonly projected, and that they represent an inhibitory force that can effectively prevent recovery from overfishing. Our findings contrast with prevailing fisheries management practices that assume compensatory dynamics at low abundances with potential to seriously overestimate the recovery potential of collapsed populations. peerReviewed
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31. Allee effects and the Allee-effect zone in northwest Atlantic cod
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Perälä, Tommi, primary, Hutchings, Jeffrey A., additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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32. The effect of fish life-history structures on the topologies of aquatic food webs
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Vesterinen, Milko, primary, Perälä, Tommi, additional, and Kuparinen, Anna, additional
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- 2021
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33. Temporary Allee effects among non‐stationary recruitment dynamics in depleted gadid and flatfish populations.
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Tirronen, Maria, Perälä, Tommi, and Kuparinen, Anna
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ALLEE effect ,FLATFISHES ,FISH populations ,TIME series analysis ,LABOR demand - Abstract
Many considerably declined fish populations have not fully recovered despite reductions in fishing pressure. One of the possible causes of impaired recovery is the (demographic) Allee effect. To investigate whether low‐abundance recruitment dynamics can switch between compensation and depensation, the latter implying the presence of the Allee effect, we analysed the stock–recruitment time series of 17 depleted cod‐type and flatfish populations using a Bayesian change point model. The recruitment dynamics were represented with the sigmoidal Beverton–Holt and the Saila–Lorda stock–recruitment models, allowing the parameters of the models to shift at a priori unknown change points. Our synthesis study questions the common assumption that recruitment is stationary and compensatory and the high amount of scatteredness often present in stock–recruitment data is only due to random variation. When a moderate amount of such variation was assumed, stock–recruitment dynamics were best explained by a non‐stationary model for 53% of the populations, which suggests that these populations exhibit temporal changes in the stock–recruitment relationship. For four populations, we found shifts between compensation and depensation, suggesting the presence of temporary Allee effects. However, the evidence of Allee effects was highly dependent on the priors of the stock–recruitment model parameters and the amount of random variation assumed. Nonetheless, detection of changes in low‐abundance recruitment is essential in stock assessment since such changes affect the renewal ability of the population and, ultimately, its sustainable harvest limits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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34. Species interactions, environmental gradients and body size shape population niche width.
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Eloranta, Antti P., Finstad, Anders G., Sandlund, Odd Terje, Knudsen, Rune, Kuparinen, Anna, and Amundsen, Per‐Arne
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BODY size ,PREDATION ,SPECIES ,ECOLOGICAL disturbances ,SIZE of fishes ,STABLE isotopes ,LOTKA-Volterra equations - Abstract
Competition for shared resources is commonly assumed to restrict population‐level niche width of coexisting species. However, the identity and abundance of coexisting species, the prevailing environmental conditions, and the individual body size may shape the effects of interspecific interactions on species' niche width.Here we study the effects of interspecific and intraspecific interactions, lake area and altitude, and fish body size on the trophic niche width and resource use of a generalist predator, the littoral‐dwelling large, sparsely rakered morph of European whitefish (Coregonus lavaretus; hereafter LSR whitefish). We use stable isotope, diet and survey fishing data from 14 subarctic lakes along an environmental gradient in northern Norway.The isotopic niche width of LSR whitefish showed a humped‐shaped relationship with increasing relative abundance of sympatric competitors, suggesting widest population niche at intermediate intensity of interspecific interactions. The isotopic niche width of LSR whitefish tended to decrease with increasing altitude, suggesting reduced niche in colder, less productive lakes.LSR whitefish typically shifted to a higher trophic position and increased reliance on littoral food resources with increasing body size, although between‐lake differences in ontogenetic niche shifts were evident. In most lakes, LSR whitefish relied less on littoral food resources than coexisting fishes and the niche overlap between sympatric competitors was most evident among relatively large individuals (>250 mm). Individual niche variation was highest among >200 mm long LSR whitefish, which likely have escaped the predation window of sympatric predators.We demonstrate that intermediate intensity of interspecific interactions may broaden species' niche width, whereas strong competition for limited resources and high predation risk may suppress niche width in less productive environments. Acknowledging potential humped‐shaped relationships between population niche width and interspecific interactions can help us understand species' responses to environmental disturbance (e.g. climate change and species invasions) as well as the driving forces of niche specialization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
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- 2022
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35. Multiple-batch spawning: a risk-spreading strategy disarmed by highly intensive size-selective fishing rate.
- Author
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Hočevar S, Hutchings JA, and Kuparinen A
- Subjects
- Animals, Body Size, Female, Fisheries, Humans, Population Density, Population Dynamics, Gadus morhua, Hunting
- Abstract
Can the advantage of risk-managing life-history strategies become a disadvantage under human-induced evolution? Organisms have adapted to the variability and uncertainty of environmental conditions with a vast diversity of life-history strategies. One such evolved strategy is multiple-batch spawning, a spawning strategy common to long-lived fishes that 'hedge their bets' by distributing the risk to their offspring on a temporal and spatial scale. The fitness benefits of this spawning strategy increase with female body size, the very trait that size-selective fishing targets. By applying an empirically and theoretically motivated eco-evolutionary mechanistic model that was parameterized for Atlantic cod ( Gadus morhua ), we explored how fishing intensity may alter the life-history traits and fitness of fishes that are multiple-batch spawners. Our main findings are twofold; first, the risk-spreading strategy of multiple-batch spawning is not effective against fisheries selection, because the fisheries selection favours smaller fish with a lower risk-spreading effect; and second, the ecological recovery in population size does not secure evolutionary recovery in the population size structure. The beneficial risk-spreading mechanism of the batch spawning strategy highlights the importance of recovery in the size structure of overfished stocks, from which a full recovery in the population size can follow.
- Published
- 2022
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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