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Background Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is shown to cause substantial morbidity, hospitalization, and mortality in infants and older adults. Population-level modeling of RSV allows to estimate the full burden of disease and the potential epidemiological impact of novel prophylactics. Methods We modeled the RSV epidemiology in the United States across all ages using a deterministic compartmental transmission model. Population-level symptomatic RSV acute respiratory tract infection (ARI) cases were projected across different natural history scenarios with and without vaccination of adults aged ≥60 years. The impact of vaccine efficacy against ARIs, infectiousness and vaccine coverage on ARI incidence were assessed. The impact on medical attendance, hospitalization, complications, death, and other outcomes was also derived. Results Without a vaccine, we project 17.5–22.6 million symptomatic RSV ARI cases annually in adults aged ≥18 years in the US, with 3.6–4.8 million/year occurring in adults aged ≥60 years. Modeling indicates that up to 2.0 million symptomatic RSV-ARI cases could be prevented annually in ≥60-year-olds with a hypothetical vaccine (70% vaccine efficacy against symptomatic ARI and 60% vaccine coverage) and that up to 0.69 million/year could be prevented in the nonvaccinated population, assuming 50% vaccine impact on infectiousness. Conclusions The model provides estimated burden of RSV in the US across all age groups, with substantial burden projected specifically in older adults. Vaccination of adults aged ≥60 years could significantly reduce the burden of disease in this population, with additional indirect effect in adults aged <60 years due to reduced transmissibility. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Although invasive Escherichia coli disease (IED) can lead to severe clinical outcomes, little is known about the associated medical resource use and cost burden of IED in US hospitals. OBJECTIVE: To comprehensively describe medical resource use and costs associated with IED during the initial IED event and over the subsequent 12 months. METHODS: Patients aged 60 years or older with 1 or more IED encounters were identified from the PINC AI Healthcare US hospital database (October 1, 2015, to March 31, 2020). The index encounter was defined as the first encounter with a positive E coli culture in a normally sterile site (group 1 IED) or positive E coli culture in urine with signs of sepsis (group 2 IED). Encounters with a positive culture from other bacteria or fungal pathogens were excluded. Outcomes were descriptively reported between admission and discharge for the index encounter and more than 1 - year post-index discharge. Medical resource use and costs included inpatient admissions and outpatient hospital services; costs were reported from a hospital's perspective (ie, charged amount) in 2021 USD. RESULTS: A total of 19,773 patients were identified (group 1 IED = 51.8%; group 2 IED = 48.2%). Mean age was 76.8 years, 67.4% were female, and 82.1% were White. Most index encounters were community-onset (94.3%) and led to hospitalization (96.5%) (mean inpatient days = 6.9 days). During the 1 - year post-index, 36.8% of patients had 1 or more all-cause hospitalizations. Mean [median] total all-cause hospital costs (as captured through the PINC AI Healthcare database) amounted to $16,760 [$11,340] during the index encounter and $10,942 [$804] during the 1 - year post-index; these costs were higher in the presence of sepsis and multidrug resistance and among hospital-onset IED. CONCLUSIONS: IED is associated with a substantial medical resource use and economic burden both during the initial encounter and over the following year in older adults. This highlights the critical need and potential benefits of preventive measures that may reduce the incidence of IED and associated economic burden. DISCLOSURES: This study was funded by Janssen Global Services, LLC. Dr Hernandez-Pastor is an employee of Janssen Pharmaceutica NV. Dr Geurtsen is an employee of Janssen Vaccines & Prevention BV. Dr Baugh is an employee of Janssen Research & Development, LLC. Dr El Khoury is an employee of Janssen Global Services, LLC. Dr Kalu and Dr Krishnarajah are employees of Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC. Dr Gauthier-Loiselle, Ms Bungay, and Mr Cloutier are employees of Analysis Group, Inc., a consulting company that provided paid consulting services to Janssen Global Services, LLC. Dr Saade received consultation and speaker fees from Janssen.

Background: Literature describing respiratory syncytial virus (RSV)-related complications in older adults in the United States is scarce. This study described risk factors of RSV-related complications and healthcare costs of Medicare-insured patients aged ≥60 years with medically attended RSV., Methods: 100% Medicare Research Identifiable Files (1 January 2007-31 December 2019) were used to identify adults aged ≥60 years with RSV (index: first diagnosis date). Predictors of ≥1 RSV-related complication (ie, pneumonia, acute respiratory failure, congestive heart failure, hypoxia/dyspnea, non-RSV lower/upper respiratory tract infections, or chronic respiratory disease) during the up to 6-month post-RSV diagnosis period were identified. Patients with all aforementioned diagnoses during the 6 months pre-index could not be evaluated for a complication and were therefore ineligible for analyses. Differences between 6-month pre- and post-index total all-cause and respiratory/infection-related healthcare costs were assessed., Results: Overall, 175 392 patients with RSV were identified. Post-RSV diagnosis, 47.9% had ≥1 RSV-related complication, with mean time-to-event of 1.0 month. The most common complications were pneumonia (24.0%), chronic respiratory disease (23.6%), and hypoxia or dyspnea (22.0%). Baseline predictors of ≥1 RSV-related complication included having previous diagnoses for complication/comorbidity listed in the Methods, hypoxemia, chemotherapy, chest radiograph, stem cell transplant, and anti-asthmatic and bronchodilator use. Total all-cause and respiratory/infection-related healthcare costs were $7797 and $8863 higher, respectively, post-index versus pre-index (both P < .001)., Conclusions: In this real-world study, almost half of patients with medically attended RSV experienced an RSV-related complication within 1 month post-RSV diagnosis, and costs significantly increased post-diagnosis. Having a complication/comorbidity pre-RSV predicted a higher risk of developing a different complication post-RSV infection., Competing Interests: Potential conflicts of interest. J. K. D. and G. K. are employees of Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC, and stockholders of Johnson & Johnson. M.-H. L., B. E., C. R., and P. L. are employees of Analysis Group, Inc, a consulting company that has provided paid consulting services to Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC, which funded the development and conduct of this study and manuscript. J. W. and S. L. were employees of Analysis Group, Inc, at the time the study was conducted., (© The Author(s) 2023. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)