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Cognitive disorders are prevalent in people with HIV (PWH) despite antiretroviral therapy. Given the heterogeneity of cognitive disorders in PWH in the current era and evidence that these disorders have different etiologies and risk factors, scientific rationale is growing for using data-driven models to identify biologically defined subtypes (biotypes) of these disorders. Here, we discuss the state of science using machine learning to understand cognitive phenotypes in PWH and their associated comorbidities, biological mechanisms, and risk factors. We also discuss methods, example applications, challenges, and what will be required from the field to successfully incorporate machine learning in research on cognitive disorders in PWH. These topics were discussed at the National Institute of Mental Health meeting on "Biotypes of CNS Complications in People Living with HIV" held in October 2021. These ongoing research initiatives seek to explain the heterogeneity of cognitive phenotypes in PWH and their associated biological mechanisms to facilitate clinical management and tailored interventions.

Background and objectivesThere are disparities in the prevalence of obesity by race, and the relationship between obesity and cognitive decline is unclear. The objective of this study was to determine whether obesity is independently associated with cognitive decline and whether the association between obesity and cognitive decline differs in Black and White adults. We hypothesized that obesity is associated with greater cognitive decline compared with normal weight and that the effect of obesity on cognitive decline is more pronounced in Black adults compared with their White counterparts.MethodsWe pooled data from 28,867 participants free of stroke and dementia (mean, SD: age 61 [10.7] years at the first cognitive assessment, 55% female, 24% Black, and 29% obese) from 6 cohorts. The primary outcome was the annual change in global cognition. We performed linear mixed-effects models with and without time-varying cumulative mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG). Global cognition was set to a t-score metric (mean 50, SD 10) at a participant's first cognitive assessment; a 1-point difference represents a 0.1 SD difference in global cognition across the 6 cohorts. The median follow-up was 6.5 years (25th percentile, 75th percentile: 5.03, 20.15).ResultsObese participants had lower baseline global cognition than normal-weight participants (difference in intercepts, -0.36 [95% CI, -0.46 to -0.17]; p < 0.001). This difference in baseline global cognition was attenuated but was borderline significant after accounting for SBP and FPG (adjusted differences in intercepts, -0.19 [95% CI, -0.39 to 0.002]; p = 0.05). There was no difference in the rate of decline in global cognition between obese and normal-weight participants (difference in slope, 0.009 points/year [95% CI, -0.009 to 0.03]; p = 0.32). After accounting for SBP and FPG, obese participants had a slower decline in global cognition (adjusted difference in slope, 0.03 points/year slower [95% CI, 0.01 to 0.05]; p < 0.001). There was no evidence that race modified the association between body mass index and global cognitive decline (p = 0.34).DiscussionThese results suggest that obesity is associated with lower initial cognitive scores and may potentially attenuate declines in cognition after accounting for BP and FPG.

ObjectivesLate-life depression is a comorbidity that may co-occur in older adults with hearing loss-each has prevalent and independent modifiable risk factors for dementia.MethodsUsing data from 1,820 Health, Aging and Body Composition study participants (74 ± 2.8 years, 38% Black race), we compared the hearing loss-dementia/cognitive decline relationship between those with normal hearing/mild hearing loss and those with moderate or greater hearing loss. Using linear mixed-effects and Cox proportional hazard models, we investigated if the associations between hearing loss and cognitive decline or dementia (Modified Mini-Mental State [3MS] Examination and Digit Symbol Substitution Test [DSST]) differed by the presence or absence of depressive symptoms. Depressive symptoms were defined as Center for Epidemiologic Study-Depression scale 10 ≥10 at one or more visits from Years 1-5. Algorithmic incident dementia was defined using medication use, hospitalizations, and cognitive test scores. Audiometric hearing loss was measured at Year 5 and categorized as normal/mild versus moderate or greater hearing loss.ResultsHaving both hearing loss and depressive symptoms (vs. having neither) was associated with faster rates of decline in 3MS Examination (β = -0.30; 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.78, -0.19) and DSST (β = -0.35; 95% CI: -0.67, -0.03) over 10 years of follow-up. Having both hearing loss and depressive symptoms (vs. neither) was associated with increased risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.91; 95% CI: 1.59, 5.33 vs. HR: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.10, 2.15 hearing loss only and HR: 2.35; 95% CI: 1.56, 3.53 depressive symptoms only) of incident dementia in multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models.DiscussionComorbid conditions among hearing-impaired older adults should be considered and may aid in dementia prevention and management strategies.

BackgroundEthnic differences in cognitive decline have been reported. Whether they can be explained by differences in systolic blood pressure (SBP) is uncertain.ObjectiveDetermine whether cumulative mean SBP levels explain differences in cognitive decline between Hispanic and White individuals.MethodsPooled cohort study of individual participant data from six cohorts (1971-2017). The present study reports results on SBP and cognition among Hispanic and White individuals. Outcomes were changes in global cognition (GC) (primary), executive function (EF) (secondary), and memory standardized as t-scores (mean [SD], 50 [10]); a 1-point difference represents a 0.1 SD difference in cognition. Median follow-up was 7.7 (Q1-Q3, 5.2-20.1) years.ResultsWe included 24,570 participants free of stroke and dementia: 2,475 Hispanic individuals (median age, cumulative mean SBP at first cognitive assessment, 67 years, 132.5 mmHg; 40.8% men) and 22,095 White individuals (60 years,134 mmHg; 47.3% men). Hispanic individuals had slower declines in GC, EF, and memory than White individuals when all six cohorts were examined. Two cohorts recruited Hispanic individuals by design. In a sensitivity analysis, Hispanic individuals in these cohorts had faster decline in GC, similar decline in EF, and slower decline in memory than White individuals. Higher time-varying cumulative mean SBP was associated with faster declines in GC, EF, and memory in all analyses. After adjusting for time-varying cumulative mean SBP, differences in cognitive slopes between Hispanic and White individuals did not change.ConclusionWe found no evidence that cumulative mean SBP differences explained differences in cognitive decline between Hispanic and White individuals.

BackgroundAs global populations age, cross-national comparisons of cognitive health and dementia risk are increasingly valuable. It remains unclear, however, whether country-level differences in cognitive function are attributable to population differences or bias due to incommensurate measurement. To demonstrate an effective method for cross-national comparison studies, we aimed to statistically harmonize measures of episodic memory and language function across two population-based cohorts of older adults in the United States (HRS HCAP) and India (LASI-DAD).MethodsData for 3,496 HRS HCAP (≥65 years) and 3,152 LASI-DAD (≥60 years) participants were statistically harmonized for episodic memory and language performance using confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) methods. Episodic memory and language factor variables were investigated for differential item functioning (DIF) and precision.ResultsCFA models estimating episodic memory and language domains based on a priori adjudication of comparable items fit the data well. DIF analyses revealed that four out of ten episodic memory items and five out of twelve language items measured the underlying construct comparably across samples. DIF-modified episodic memory and language factor scores showed comparable patterns of precision across the range of the latent trait for each sample.ConclusionsHarmonization of cognitive measures will facilitate future investigation of cross-national differences in cognitive performance and differential effects of risk factors, policies, and treatments, reducing study-level measurement and administrative influences. As international aging studies become more widely available, advanced statistical methods such as those described in this study will become increasingly central to making universal generalizations and drawing valid conclusions about cognitive aging of the global population.

IntroductionPractice effects (PEs) on cognitive tests obscure decline, thereby delaying detection of mild cognitive impairment (MCI). Importantly, PEs may be present even when there are performance declines, if scores would have been even lower without prior test exposure. We assessed how accounting for PEs using a replacement-participants method impacts incident MCI diagnosis.MethodsOf 889 baseline cognitively normal (CN) Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) participants, 722 returned 1 year later (mean age = 74.9 ± 6.8 at baseline). The scores of test-naïve demographically matched "replacement" participants who took tests for the first time were compared to returnee scores at follow-up. PEs-calculated as the difference between returnee follow-up scores and replacement participants scores-were subtracted from follow-up scores of returnees. PE-adjusted cognitive scores were then used to determine if individuals were below the impairment threshold for MCI. Cerebrospinal fluid amyloid beta, phosphorylated tau, and total tau were used for criterion validation. In addition, based on screening and recruitment numbers from a clinical trial of amyloid-positive individuals, we estimated the effect of earlier detection of MCI by accounting for cognitive PEs on a hypothetical clinical trial in which the key outcome was progression to MCI.ResultsIn the ADNI sample, PE-adjusted scores increased MCI incidence by 19% (P

ObjectiveCognitive practice effects (PEs) can delay detection of progression from cognitively unimpaired to mild cognitive impairment (MCI). They also reduce diagnostic accuracy as suggested by biomarker positivity data. Even among those who decline, PEs can mask steeper declines by inflating cognitive scores. Within MCI samples, PEs may increase reversion rates and thus impede detection of further impairment. Within an MCI sample at baseline, we evaluated how PEs impact prevalence, reversion rates, and dementia progression after 1 year.MethodsWe examined 329 baseline Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative MCI participants (mean age = 73.1; SD = 7.4). We identified test-naïve participants who were demographically matched to returnees at their 1-year follow-up. Since the only major difference between groups was that one completed testing once and the other twice, comparison of scores in each group yielded PEs. PEs were subtracted from each test to yield PE-adjusted scores. Biomarkers included cerebrospinal fluid phosphorylated tau and amyloid beta. Cox proportional models predicted time until first dementia diagnosis using PE-unadjusted and PE-adjusted diagnoses.ResultsAccounting for PEs increased MCI prevalence at follow-up by 9.2% (272 vs. 249 MCI), and reduced reversion to normal by 28.8% (57 vs. 80 reverters). PEs also increased stability of single-domain MCI by 12.0% (164 vs. 147). Compared to PE-unadjusted diagnoses, use of PE-adjusted follow-up diagnoses led to a twofold increase in hazard ratios for incident dementia. We classified individuals as false reverters if they reverted to cognitively unimpaired status based on PE-unadjusted scores, but remained classified as MCI cases after accounting for PEs. When amyloid and tau positivity were examined together, 72.2% of these false reverters were positive for at least one biomarker.InterpretationEven when PEs are small, they can meaningfully change whether some individuals with MCI retain the diagnosis at a 1-year follow-up. Accounting for PEs resulted in increased MCI prevalence and altered stability/reversion rates. This improved diagnostic accuracy also increased the dementia-predicting ability of MCI diagnoses.

Background: Western countries have provided reference values (RV) for Alzheimer's disease (AD) plasma biomarkers, but there are not available in Sub-Saharan African populations. Objective: We provide preliminary RV for AD and other plasma biomarkers including amyloid- β (Aβ42/40), phosphorylated tau-181 and 217 (p-tau181, p-tau217), neurofilament light (Nfl), glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), interleukin 1b and 10 (IL-1b and IL-10) and tumor necrosis factor α (TNFα) in Congolese adults with and without dementia. Methods: 85 adults (40 healthy and 45 dementia) over 50 years old were included. Blood samples were provided for plasma AD biomarkers Aβ42/40 and p-tau181, p-tau217; Nfl and GFAP; IL-1b and IL-10 and TNFα analyzed using SIMOA. Linear and logistic regressions were conducted to evaluate differences in biomarkers by age and gender and neurological status, and for the prediction of dementia status by each individual biomarker. RV were those that optimized sensitivity and specificity based on Youden's index. Results: In this sample of 85 adults, 45 (53%) had dementia, 38 (45%) were male, overall mean age was 73.2 (SD 7.6) years with 8.3 (5.4) years of education. There were no significant differences in age, gender, and education based on neurological status. Biomarker concentrations did not significantly differ by age except for p-tau181 and GFAP and did not differ by sex. Preliminary normal value cutoffs of various plasma in pg./mL were 0.061 for Aβ42/40, 4.50 for p-tau 181, 0.008 for p-tau 217, 36.5 for Nfl, 176 for GFAP, 1.16 for TNFa, 0.011 for IL-1b, and 0.38 for IL-10. All AUCs ranged between 0.64–0.74. P-tau 217 [0.72 (95% CI: 0.59, 0.84)] followed by GFAP [0.72 (95% CI: 0.61, 0.83)], and Nfl [0.73 (95% CI: 0.62, 0.84)] had the highest AUC compared to other plasma biomarkers. Conclusion: This study provides RV which could be of preliminary utility to facilitate the screening, clinical diagnostic adjudication, and classification, of dementia in Congolese adults. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

INTRODUCTION: The Health and Retirement Study International Partner Surveys (HRS IPS) have rich longitudinal data, but the brevity of cognitive batteries is a limitation. METHODS: We used data from a substudy of the English Longitudinal Study of Ageing (ELSA) administering detailed cognitive assessments with the Harmonized Cognitive Assessment Protocol (ELSA‐HCAP) (N = 1273) to inform approaches for estimating cognition in ELSA (N = 11,213). We compared two novel approaches: confirmatory factor analysis (CFA)‐ and regression‐based prediction. RESULTS: Compared to estimates from the full HCAP battery, estimated cognitive functioning derived using regression models or CFA had high correlations (regression: r = 0.85 [95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.83 to 0.87]; CFA: r = 0.83 [95% CI: 0.81 to 0.85]) and reasonable mean squared error (regression: 0.25 [0.22 to 0.27]; CFA: 0.29 [0.26 to 0.32]) in held‐out data. The use of additional items from waves 7 to 9 improved performance. DISCUSSION: Both approaches are recommended for future research; the similarity in approaches may be due to the brevity of available cognitive assessments in ELSA. Highlights: Estimates of cognitive functioning informed by English Longitudinal Study of Ageing‐Harmonized Cognitive Assessment Protocol (ELSA‐HCAP) data had an adequate performance.Standard errors were smaller for associations with example risks when using measures informed by ELSA‐HCAP.Performance was better when including additional cognitive measures available in waves 7 to 9.Conceptual advantages to the confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) approach were not important in practice due to the brevity of the ELSA cognitive battery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Objectives: Prior investigations have not considered whether poor vision biases cognitive testing. However, such research is vital given increasing evidence that vision impairment (VI) may be an important modifiable risk factor for dementia, particularly in low- and middle-income settings where the prevalence of VI is high. Research Design and Methods: This study employed data from 3 784 participants in Wave 1 of the Longitudinal Aging Study in India-Diagnostic Assessment of Dementia (LASI-DAD) who underwent both visual acuity and cognitive function testing. We used multiple indicators and multiple causes models to assess differential item functioning (DIF; eg, bias) in cognitive testing by objectively measured distance and near VI. Multivariable linear regression was used to model the association between VI and cognitive factor scores before and after DIF adjustment. Analyses were performed for general cognition and separate cognitive domains, corresponding to memory, language/fluency, executive functioning, and visuospatial performance. Models were adjusted for demographic, health, and socioeconomic covariates. Results: Participants in our sample were 60 and older. Most participants with VI were 60–69 years old (59.6%) and 50.8% were female. Individuals experiencing both distance and near VI tended to be older, have lower educational attainment, be married, reside in rural settings, and belong to lower consumption and BMI categories. Both distance and near VI were associated with poorer cognition before and after DIF-adjustment. Differences between DIF-unadjusted and -adjusted scores were small compared to the standard error of measurement, indicating no evidence of meaningful measurement differences by VI. Discussion and Implications: In well-conducted large-scale surveys, bias in cognitive testing due to VI is likely minimal. Findings strengthen previous evidence on the association between VI and dementia by showing that such associations are unlikely to be attributable to vision-related measurement error in the assessment of cognitive functioning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: We investigated the effects of apolipoprotein E (APOE) ε4 and its interactions with sociodemographic characteristics on cognitive measures in South Asians from the Diagnostic Assessment of Dementia for the Longitudinal Aging Study of India (LASI‐DAD). METHODS: Linear regression was used to assess the association between APOE ε4 and global‐ and domain‐specific cognitive function in 2563 participants (mean age 69.6 ± 7.3 years; 53% female). Effect modification by age, sex, and education were explored using interaction terms and subgroup analyses. RESULTS: APOE ε4 was inversely associated with most cognitive measures (p < 0.05). This association was stronger with advancing age for the Hindi Mental State Examination (HMSE) score (βε4×age = −0.44, p = 0.03), orientation (βε4×age = −0.07, p = 0.01), and language/fluency (βε4×age = −0.07, p = 0.01), as well as in females for memory (βε4×male = 0.17, p = 0.02) and language/fluency (βε4×male = 0.12, p = 0.03). DISCUSSION: APOE ε4 is associated with lower cognitive function in South Asians from India, with a more pronounced impact observed in females and older individuals. Highlights: APOE ε4 carriers had lower global and domain‐specific cognitive performance.Females and older individuals may be more susceptible to ε4 effects.For most cognitive measures, there was no interaction between ε4 and education. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

INTRODUCTION: The contribution of neuropsychological assessments to risk assessment for incident dementia is underappreciated. METHODS: We analyzed neuropsychological testing results in dementia‐free participants in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. We examined associations of index domain–specific neuropsychological test performance with incident dementia using cumulative incidence curves and Cox proportional hazards models. RESULTS: Among 5296 initially dementia‐free participants (mean [standard deviation] age of 75.8 [5.1] years; 60.1% women, 22.2% Black) over a median follow‐up of 7.9 years, the covariate‐adjusted hazard ratio varied substantially depending on the pattern of domain‐specific performance and age, in an orderly manner from single domain language abnormalities (lowest risk) to single domain executive or memory abnormalities, to multidomain abnormalities including memory (highest risk). DISCUSSION: By identifying normatively defined cognitive abnormalities by domains based on neuropsychological test performance, there is a conceptually orderly and age‐sensitive spectrum of risk for incident dementia that provides valuable information about the likelihood of progression. Highlights: Domain‐specific cognitive profiles carry enhanced prognostic value compared to mild cognitive impairment.Single‐domain non‐amnestic cognitive abnormalities have the most favorable prognosis.Multidomain amnestic abnormalities have the greatest risk for incident dementia.Patterns of domain‐specific risks are similar by sex and race. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: We examined the association of both midlife occupation and age at retirement with cognitive decline in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) biracial community-based cohort. Methods: Current or most recent occupation at ARIC baseline (1987–1989; aged 45–64 years) was categorized based on 1980 US Census major occupation groups and tertiles of the Nam-Powers-Boyd occupational status score (n = 14,090). Retirement status via annual follow-up questionnaires administered ascertained in 1999–2007 was classified as occurring before or after age 70 (n = 7,503). Generalized estimating equation models were used to examine associations of occupation and age at retirement with trajectories of global cognitive factor scores, assessed from visit 2 (1990–1992) to visit 5 (2011–2013). Models were a priori stratified by race and sex and adjusted for demographics and comorbidities. Results: Low occupational status and blue-collar occupations were associated with low baseline cognitive scores in all race-sex strata. Low occupational status and homemaker status were associated with faster decline in white women but slower decline in black women compared to high occupational status. Retirement before age 70 was associated with slower cognitive decline in white men and women and in black men. Results did not change substantially after accounting for attrition. Conclusion: Low occupational status was associated with cognitive decline in women but not in men. Earlier retirement was associated with a slower cognitive decline in white participants and in black men. Further research should explore reasons for the observed associations and race-sex differences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Strategies to prevent or delay Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (AD/ADRD) are urgently needed, and blood pressure (BP) management is a promising strategy. Yet the effects of different BP control strategies across the life course on AD/ADRD are unknown. Randomized trials may be infeasible due to prolonged follow-up and large sample sizes. Simulation analysis is a practical approach to estimating these effects using the best available existing data. However, existing simulation frameworks cannot estimate the effects of BP control on both dementia and cardiovascular disease. This manuscript describes the design principles, implementation details, and population-level validation of a novel population-health microsimulation framework, the MIchigan ChROnic Disease SIMulation (MICROSIM), for The Effect of Lower Blood Pressure over the Life Course on Late-life Cognition in Blacks, Hispanics, and Whites (BP-COG) study of the effect of BP levels over the life course on dementia and cardiovascular disease. MICROSIM is an agent-based Monte Carlo simulation designed using computer programming best practices. MICROSIM estimates annual vascular risk factor levels and transition probabilities in all-cause dementia, stroke, myocardial infarction, and mortality in a nationally representative sample of US adults 18+ using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). MICROSIM models changes in risk factors over time, cognition and dementia using changes from a pooled dataset of individual participant data from 6 US prospective cardiovascular cohort studies. Cardiovascular risks were estimated using a widely used risk model and BP treatment effects were derived from meta-analyses of randomized trials. MICROSIM is an extensible, open-source framework designed to estimate the population-level impact of different BP management strategies and reproduces US population-level estimates of BP and other vascular risk factors levels, their change over time, and incident all-cause dementia, stroke, myocardial infarction, and mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives Identifying social policies that can promote cognitive health is crucial for reducing the global burden of dementia. We evaluated the importance of educational attainment for later-life cognitive function in various social and geographic settings. Methods Using harmonized data for individuals aged ≥65 years from the United States Health and Retirement Study (HRS) and its international partner studies in England, Mexico, China, and India, and each study's respective Harmonized Cognitive Assessment Protocol (HCAP), we conducted a cross-national comparative study to examine the role of educational attainment in later-life cognitive function across countries (n = 14,980, 2016–2019). We used multivariable-adjusted regression to estimate associations between educational attainment and harmonized global cognitive function scores. Results In Mexico, China, and India, the general cognitive function scores on average are approximately one standard deviation of the HRS-HCAP cognitive function score distribution lower compared to the United States and England, paralleling patterns of educational attainment across countries. In all countries, higher educational attainment was associated with progressively higher later-life cognitive function scores. Population-level differences in educational attainment explained about 50%–90% of the observed differences in cognitive function scores across countries. Discussion The relationship between education and later-life cognitive function across social and geographic contexts underscores the crucial role of education to promote cognitive health and reduce dementia risk. Continual improvement of educational attainment in low- and middle-income settings may yield a significant pay-off in later-life cognitive health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background and Objectives Consumer credit has shown increasing relevance to the health of older adults; however, studies have not been able to assess the extent to which creditworthiness influences future health or health influences future creditworthiness. We assessed the relationships between 4-year pre and postmorbid consumer credit history and self-rated physical and mental health outcomes among older adults. Research Design and Methods Generalized estimating equations models assessed pre and postmorbid credit history (credit scores, derogatory accounts, and unpaid accounts in collections) and the onset of poor self-rated health (SF-36 score <50) among 1,740 participants aged 65+ in the Advanced Cognitive Training for Independent and Vital Elderly study from 2001 to 2017, linked to TransUnion consumer credit data. Results In any given year, up to 1/4 of participants had a major derogatory, unpaid, or collections account, and up to 13% of the sample had poor health. Each 50-point increase in credit score trended toward a 5% lower odds of poor health in the next 1 year, a 6% lower odds in the next 2 years, and a statistically significant finding of 13% lower odds by 3 years. A drop in credit score was associated with a 10% greater odds of poor health in the next year, and having a major derogatory account was associated with an 86% greater odds of poor health in the next 3 years. After poor health onset, credit scores continued to see significant losses up to the 3 years, with larger decrements over time. Discussion and Implications Having a major derogatory account or a sudden loss in credit may be a time to monitor older adults for changes in health. After a downturn in health, supporting older adults to manage their debt may help stabilize their credit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]