1. Diagnostic accuracy for self-reported methamphetamine use versus oral fluid test as the reference standard in a methamphetamine-dependent intervention trial population
- Author
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Carter, G, Spittal, MJ, Glowacki, L, Gerostamoulos, D, Dietze, P, Sinclair, B, Arunogiri, S, Berk, M, Lubman, DI, Manning, V, Higgs, P, Quinn, B, Baker, A, Dean, OM, Turner, A, McKetin, R, Carter, G, Spittal, MJ, Glowacki, L, Gerostamoulos, D, Dietze, P, Sinclair, B, Arunogiri, S, Berk, M, Lubman, DI, Manning, V, Higgs, P, Quinn, B, Baker, A, Dean, OM, Turner, A, and McKetin, R
- Abstract
AIMS: Treatment of methamphetamine dependence requires monitoring of recent use or abstinence. Self-report is commonly used for routine monitoring, but the accuracy of self-report is not established. For the treating clinician, the key accuracy statistic is the negative predictive value (NPV). The study aim was to estimate the NPV of self-reported non-use of methamphetamine compared with an oral fluid reference standard. DESIGN, SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS: This study was a secondary (subgroup) analysis from a randomized controlled pharmacotherapy trial. Three Australian outpatient addiction services took part. Particpants were 139 people dependent on methamphetamine. MEASUREMENTS: Weekly oral fluid samples over 12 weeks to determine methamphetamine (and amphetamine) concentrations were used as the reference standard. Self-report of any methamphetamine use in the previous 7 days by the time-line follow-back method was the index test. Standard diagnostic accuracy statistics were calculated for all available paired episodes (n = 1134). Three NPV values were calculated: unadjusted NPV and NPV adjusted for clustering of observations through logistic regression and generalized estimating equation (GEE). We also calculated the NPVs for a range of prevalence rates of methamphetamine use, for the calculated levels of sensitivity and specificity. FINDINGS: Sensitivity was 96.4% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 95-97.5], specificity was 63.7% (95% CI = 57.3-69.8) and positive predictive value (PPV) was 90.8% (95% CI = 88.8-92.6). The unadjusted NPV was 82.7% (95% CI = 76.5-87.9), adjusted NPV by logistic regression 82.7% (95% CI = 73.9-91.5) and GEE 76.8% (95% CI = 66.8-86.8). At a methamphetamine use prevalence of 5%, the estimated NPV would be 99.7% (95% CI = 99.6-99.9) and at 95% prevalence, 48.2% (95% CI = 39.6-57.0). CONCLUSIONS: Self-report of no recent methamphetamine use appears to be sufficiently accurate to be clinically useful at the expected prevalence rates of metham
- Published
- 2023