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Patients with lower-risk myelodysplastic syndromes (LR-MDS) have a generally favorable prognosis; however, a small proportion of cases progress rapidly. This study aimed to define molecular biomarkers predictive of LR-MDS progression and to uncover cellular pathways contributing to malignant transformation. The mutational landscape was analyzed in 214 LR-MDS patients, and at least one mutation was detected in 137 patients (64%). Mutated RUNX1was identified as the main molecular predictor of rapid progression by statistics and machine learning. To study the effect of mutated RUNX1on pathway regulation, the expression profiles of CD34 + cells from LR-MDS patients with RUNX1mutations were compared to those from patients without RUNX1mutations. The data suggest that RUNX1-unmutated LR-MDS cells are protected by DNA damage response (DDR) mechanisms and cellular senescence as an antitumor cellular barrier, while RUNX1mutations may be one of the triggers of malignant transformation. Dysregulated DDR and cellular senescence were also observed at the functional level by detecting γH2AX expression and β-galactosidase activity. Notably, the expression profiles of RUNX1-mutated LR-MDS resembled those of higher-risk MDS at diagnosis. This study demonstrates that incorporating molecular data improves LR-MDS risk stratification and that mutated RUNX1is associated with a suppressed defense against LR-MDS progression.

Myelodysplastic neoplasms (MDS) are hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) disorders characterized by ineffective hematopoiesis, peripheral cytopenia, and increased tendency to leukemic transformation. Somatic mutations in spliceosome machinery occur in approx. 50% of MDS patients. Among these, up to 30% of MDS patients carry a mutation in SF3B1. According to the 2022 classification system, MDS-SF3B1 is now considered as separate MDS subtype. Mutated SF3B1perturbs mitochondrial function, resulting in apoptosis and ineffective erythropoiesis. The most common mutation of SF3B1, K700E, accounts for 50% of the variants, with additional codons (such as 666 and 662) acting as hotspot sites. Different mutations seem to be associated with distinct clinicopathological features. However, the prognostic implication of different SF3B1mutations in MDS remains controversial and needs further clarification. This study investigated differences in clinical and molecular features of MDS-SF3B1 with different types of SF3B1mutations.