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Concentrated Solar Thermal (CST) offers a promising solution for large-scale solar energy utilization as Thermal Energy Storage (TES) enables electricity generation independently of daily solar fluctuations, shifting to high-priced electricity intervals. The development of dispatch planning tools is mandatory to account for uncertainties associated with solar irradiation and electricity price forecasts as well as limited storage capacity. This study proposes the Stochastic Mixed Integer Linear Program (SMILP) to maximize expected profit within a specified scenario space. The SMILP scenario space is generated by different Empirical Cumulative Distribution Function percentiles of the potential solar energy to accumulate in storage and the expected profit is estimated using the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) method. SMILP exhibits robust performance, however, its computational time poses a challenge. Thus, three heuristic solutions are developed which run a set of deterministic optimizations on different historical weather profiles to generate candidate dispatching plans (DPs). The candidate DP with the best average performance on all profiles is then selected. The new methods were applied to a case study for a 115 MW CST plant in South Australia. When the historical database has a limited set of historical weather profiles, the SMILP achieves 6% to 9% higher profit than the closest benchmark when the DP is applied to novel weather conditions. With a large historical weather data, the performance of SMILP and Heuristic-2 becomes nearly identical because the SMILP can only utilize a limited number of trajectories for optimization without becoming computationally infeasible. In this case, Heuristic-2 emerges a practical alternative, since it provides similar average profit in a reasonable time (saving about 7 hours in computing time)., Comment: This paper is going to be submitted to "Energy Conversion and Management" for publication in Elsevier journal

The main objective of this paper is to assess the estimation of track condition parameters using onboard micro-electro-mechanical-system (MEMS) accelerometers. A prototype of an onboard data acquisition system was designed and installed on a track recording car (TRC) and a measurement campaign was conducted on an extensive portion of the Brisbane Suburban railway network. Comparison of the accelerometer-based results vs TRC recordings have shown that accelerometers installed on the bogie are the best compromise between proximity to the source and insensitivity to impulsive noise. It was found that two vertical bogie accelerometers (left and right) provide a good quantitative estimate of vertical alignment and that strong correlations with TRC measurements exist for lateral MEMS accelerometer measurements (horizontal alignment). These findings suggest that two bogie MEMS accelerometers with vertical and lateral measurement axes are effective in estimating geographical distributions of vertical/horizontal alignment.

Railway infrastructure requires effective maintenance to ensure safe and comfortable transportation. Among the various degradation modes, track geometry deformation caused by repeated loading is a critical mechanism impacting operational safety. Detecting and maintaining acceptable track geometry relies on track recording vehicles (TRVs) that inspect and record geometric parameters. This study aims to develop a novel track geometry degradation model considering multiple indicators and their correlation, while accounting for both imperfect manual and mechanized tamping. A multi-variate Wiener model is formulated to capture the characteristics of track geometry degradation. To overcome data limitations, a hierarchical Bayesian approach with Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulation is utilized. This study offers a contribution on the analysis of a multi-variate predictive model which considers correlation between the degradation rates of multiple indicators, providing insights for rail operators and new track-monitoring systems. The performance of the models is rigorously validated through a real-world case study on a commuter track in Queensland, Australia, utilizing actual data and independent test datasets. This experimental calibration and validation procedure represents a novel contribution to the existing literature, offering valuable guidance for rail asset management and decision-making.

This paper presents a novel methodology for characterizing soiling losses through experimental measurements. Soiling predictions were obtained by calibrating a soiling model based on field measurements from a 50 MW modular solar tower project in Mount Isa, Australia. The study found that the mean predicted soiling rate for horizontally fixed mirrors was 0.12 percentage points per day (pp/d) during low dust seasons and 0.22 pp/d during high seasons. Autoregressive time series models were employed to extend two years of onsite meteorological measurements to a 10-year period, enabling the prediction of heliostat-field soiling rates. A fixed-frequency cleaning heuristic was applied to optimise the cleaning resources for various operational policies by balancing direct cleaning resource costs against the expected lost production, which was computed by averaging multiple simulated soiling loss trajectories. Analysis of resource usage showed that the cost of fuel and operator salaries contributed 42 % and 35 % respectively towards the cleaning cost. In addition, stowing heliostats in the horizontal position at night increased daily soiling rates by 114 % and the total cleaning costs by 51 % relative to vertically stowed heliostat-field. Under a simplified night-time-only power production configuration, the oversized solar field effectively charged the thermal storage during the day, despite reduced mirror reflectance due to soiling. These findings suggest that the plant can maintain efficient operation even with a reduced cleaning rate. Finally, it was observed that performing cleaning operations during the day led to a 7 % increase in the total cleaning cost compared to a night-time cleaning policy. This was primarily attributed to the need to park operational heliostats for cleaning.

Reflectance losses on solar mirrors due to soiling are a significant challenge for Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) plants. Soiling losses can vary significantly from site to site -- with (absolute) reflectance losses varying from fractions of a percentage point up to several percentage points per day (pp/day), a fact that has motivated several studies in soiling predictive modelling. Yet, existing studies have so far neglected the characterization of statistical uncertainty in their parameters and predictions. In this paper, two reflectance loss models are proposed that model uncertainty: an extension of a previously developed physical model and a simplified model. A novel uncertainty characterization enables Maximum Likelihood Estimation techniques for parameter estimation for both models, and permits the estimation of parameter (and prediction) confidence intervals. The models are applied to data from ten soiling campaigns conducted at three Australian sites (Brisbane, Mount Isa, Wodonga). The simplified model produces high-quality predictions of soiling losses on novel data, while the semi-physical model performance is mixed. The statistical distributions of daily losses were estimated for different dust loadings. Under median conditions, the daily soiling losses for Brisbane, Mount Isa, and Wodonga are estimated as $0.53 \pm 0.66$, $0.08 \pm 0.08$, and $0.58 \pm 0.15$ pp/day, respectively. Yet, higher observed dust loadings can drive average losses as high as $2$ pp/day. Overall, the results suggest a relatively simple approach characterizing the statistical distributions of soiling losses using airborne dust measurements and short reflectance monitoring campaigns., Comment: 55 pages, 13 figures