Background/purpose: We explored determinants of success in a large cohort of patients with pectus excavatum submitted to vacuum bell treatment and compared groups with satisfactory versus unsatisfactory outcomes., Methods: Retrospective case-control study in a single center between May 2013 and January 2020, including patients with pectus excavatum treated with vacuum bell. We classified patients according to their status at closure of data registry (surveillance; withdrawal; complete correction; failure) and according to Obermeyer's classification of degrees of pectus excavatum correction. Determinants of success were calculated using receiver operating characteristic curves., Results: Overall, 186 patients were included. Complete correction was achieved by 17% of the cases, while 45% remained under surveillance. Failure rates were low (n = 9; 5%), whereas withdrawal rates were 34%. Based on Obermeyer's classification of degree of excavation correction, 35% had excellent/good, 25% fair, and 40% poor/worse results. When comparing patients with good/excellent results with those with unsatisfactory results, patients with good/excellent results had a longer treatment duration [19.0 (13.0; 28) months vs. 13.0 (6.5; 22.5) months, p<0.0001], and lower initial pectus depth [1.6 (1.2; 2.0) cm, vs. 2.0 (1.5; 2.6) cm, p = 0.001]. Using ROC curves, the best determinants of success were an initial pectus depth ≤ 1.8 cm and a length of treatment > 12 months., Conclusion: One-third of patients in treatment with a vacuum bell achieved excellent or good outcomes in our cohort. Determinants of success included an initial pectus depth of 1.8 cm or less and a minimum length of treatment of 12 months., Type of Study: retrospective comparative study LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: III., (Copyright © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)