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A trading system in any stock market is built on long-term, intermediate-term, and short-term indicators. Some 'lagging' indicators, such as the simple and exponential moving averages, can be used to determine the direction of a medium- to long-term trend. Some 'leading' oscillators, on the other hand, can tell a trader whether or not a trend is losing momentum. This paper examines how well moving average envelopes and Bollinger Bands measure stock price volatility, and how useful these technical analysis tools are for short-term horizons. The paper then attempts to evaluate the speed of these indicators in order to explain the sensitivity and response time of data collected from a secondary survey in the Indian capital market. The article concludes that moving average envelopes outperform Bollinger Bands in real trading settings, since technical trading rules are generally designed for short-term investments. Bollinger Bands can detect abrupt price fluctuations, however they are not more effective than moving average envelopes to measure profitability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using the Bollinger Bands trading strategy (BBTS), investors are advised to buy (and then sell) Bitcoin and Ethereum spot prices in response to BBTS's oversold (overbought) signals. As a result of analyzing whether investors would profit from round-turn trading of these two spot prices, this study may reveal the following remarkable outcomes and investment strategies. This study first demonstrated that using our novel design with a heatmap matrix would result in multiple higher returns, all of which were greater than the highest return using the conventional design. We contend that such an impressive finding could be the result of big data analytics and the adaptability of BBTS in our new design. Second, because cryptocurrency spot prices are relatively volatile, such indices may experience a significant rebound from oversold to overbought BBTS signals, resulting in the potential for much higher returns. Third, if history repeats itself, our findings might enhance the profitability of trading these two spots. As such, this study extracts the diverse trading performance of multiple BB trading rules, uses big data analytics to observe and evaluate many outcomes via heatmap visualization, and applies such knowledge to investment practice, which may contribute to the literature. Consequently, this study may cast light on the significance of decision-making through the utilization of big data analytics and heatmap visualization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Quantitative investment trading is becoming more and more popular due to the gradual integration of computer technology, mathematics, and statistics. It is of great practical significance to develop a multi-species portfolio investment model that takes into account various transaction costs and conforms to live trading. In this paper, we use the free software R to program the Bollinger Bands trading strategy and test it on the historical data of the Chinese futures market. Through in-sample optimization, out-of-sample testing and correlation test, the varieties with good back testing effect are selected for risky investment portfolio to provide investors involved in the Chinese futures market with specific trading strategies that can be used for reference, and at the same time to provide investors with a way of thinking to develop quantitative investment portfolio models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Technical analysis helps investors to better time their entry and exit from financial asset positions. This methodology relies solely on past information on financial assets price and volumes to predict a financial asset's future price trend. Modern research has established that combined with other sentiment measures such as social media, it can outperform the standard buy and hold strategy. Moreover, it has been documented that novice and professional investors technical analysis in their investing strategy. An experienced investor should combine fundamental analysis and technical analysis for better trading results. Programmers use technical analysis to create algorithmic trading systems that learn and adapt to the changing trading environments and perform trading accordingly without human involvement. There are hundreds of technical tools offered by known trading platforms. investors must use specific tools that fit their trading style and risk adoption. Moreover, different financial assets such as stocks, exchange trade funds (ETFs), cryptocurrency, futures, and commodities demand different sets of tools. Furthermore, investors should use these tools according to the time frame they use for trading. This paper will discuss different technical tools that are used to help traders of different time frames and different financial assets to achieve better returns over the traditional buy and hold strategy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Using the Bollinger Bands trading strategy (BBTS), investors are advised to buy (and then sell) Bitcoin and Ethereum spot prices in response to BBTS’s oversold (overbought) signals. As a result of analyzing whether investors would profit from round-turn trading of these two spot prices, this study may reveal the following remarkable outcomes and investment strategies. This study first demonstrated that using our novel design with a heatmap matrix would result in multiple higher returns, all of which were greater than the highest return using the conventional design. We contend that such an impressive finding could be the result of big data analytics and the adaptability of BBTS in our new design. Second, because cryptocurrency spot prices are relatively volatile, such indices may experience a significant rebound from oversold to overbought BBTS signals, resulting in the potential for much higher returns. Third, if history repeats itself, our findings might enhance the profitability of trading these two spots. As such, this study extracts the diverse trading performance of multiple BB trading rules, uses big data analytics to observe and evaluate many outcomes via heatmap visualization, and applies such knowledge to investment practice, which may contribute to the literature. Consequently, this study may cast light on the significance of decision-making through the utilization of big data analytics and heatmap visualization.

The article "Envelopes, Bollinger Bands, and Ichimoku Clouds in Cryptoasset Trading" presents a technical explanation of three financial indicators used in cryptoasset trading: Envelopes, Bollinger Bands, and Ichimoku Clouds. These indicators are used by traders to develop trading strategies in the cryptoasset market. The article describes the trading signals that can be obtained using these indicators and mentions other indicators that complement their analysis. The article focuses on the "Ichimoku Clouds" indicator, which uses multiple lines and clouds to identify momentum signals, support and resistance areas, and bullish or bearish trends. The importance of using other indicators to confirm trends and minimize trading risks is highlighted. It is concluded that while these indicators are useful, none of them are infallible, and it is necessary to compare them with other indicators. [Extracted from the article]

An investor uses the graphical presentation of Bollinger Bands to get signals of the ups and downs, as well the volatility of the market from the expansion and tightening of the UBB and LBB, reflecting higher and lower volatility. The percent (%) b helps determine the opportunities during extreme periods from the market, looking at the concentration of line graph at the value "0" or "1" reflecting the bearish and bullish trend, respectively. The Bandwidth Index was able to picture out the bullish trend with a squeeze at the upper band. The positive unimodality of Q for NEPSE daily return for the period of the fiscal year 1998–1999 to the fiscal year 2019–2020 indicated normality for the market return. Nevertheless, the results for the trading signals based on the Bollinger bands are seen as useful for an investor by giving a clear signal to "buy" or "sell". At the same time, relying only on Bollinger Bands with a specific period MA, i.e. the Bollinger Bands with a shorter moving average (MA) shows higher fluctuations and vice-versa, hence, could show false signals while choosing inappropriate MA, therefore, help of other technical analysis tools should be taken while going for an investment decision.

Predicting agricultural commodity prices accurately is of utmost importance due to various factors such as perishability, seasonality, production uncertainty etc. Moreover, the substantial volatility that may be exhibited in time series further adds to the complexity and constitutes a significant challenge. In this paper, a Hidden Markov (HM) guided Deep Learning (DL) models has been developed on nonlinear and nonstationary price data of agricultural commodities for forecasting by considering technical indicators viz., Moving Average (MA), Bollinger Bands (BB), Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), Exponential MA (EMA) and Fast Fourier Transformation (FFT). HM Models (HMMs) can effectively handle the sequential dependencies and hidden states, while DL approach can learn complex patterns and relationships within the price series and thus the drawback of lack of generalization capability in the DL model has been overcome by HMM. In this study, the Potato price data of the Champadanga district of West Bengal, India has been utilized to assess the performance of the proposed technique. HMM has been combined with six baseline DL models viz., Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Convolutional Neural Networks (CNN), Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), Bidirectional LSTM (BiLSTM) and Bidirectional GRU (BiGRU) for forecast modeling. Performance evaluation metrics viz., Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and the insightful Diebold–Mariano (DM) test revealed that Hidden Markov hybridized with DL models surpassed baseline DL models in forecasting accuracy for 1-week, 4-week, 8-week and 12-week ahead DL predictions. The proposed approach holds significant promise for enhancing the precision of agricultural commodity price forecasting with far-reaching implications for various stakeholders such as farmers and planners. • A novel Hidden Markov based Deep Learning (DL) models for accurate agricultural commodity price forecasting. • Addresses DL model generalization challenges by integrating sequential dependencies and hidden states obtained from HMMs. • Proposed models outperform baseline models - RNN, CNN, LSTM, GRU, BiLSTM, and BiGRU for price predictions of agriculture commodities. • Evaluated using RMSE, MAPE, MAE and Diebold Mariano test, for accuracy and reliability of the proposed approach. • Offers precision in commodity price forecasts, benefiting stakeholders such as farmers, planners and policymakers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Throughout the history of modern finance, very few financial instruments have been as strikingly volatile as cryptocurrencies. The long-term prospects of cryptocurrencies remain uncertain; however, taking advantage of recent advances in neural networks and volatility, we show that the trading algorithms reinforced by short-term price predictions are bankable. Traditional trading algorithms and indicators are often based on mean reversal strategies that do not advantage price predictions. Furthermore, deterministic models cannot capture market volatility even after incorporating price predictions. Thus motivated by these issues, we integrate randomness in the price prediction models to simulate stochastic behavior. This paper proposes hybrid trading strategies that take advantage of the traditional mean reversal strategies alongside robust price predictions from stochastic neural networks. We trained stochastic neural networks to predict prices based on market data and social sentiment. The backtesting was conducted on three cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin, for over 600 days from August 2017 to December 2019. We show that the proposed trading algorithms are better when compared to the traditional buy and hold strategy in terms of both stability and returns. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We use mixture of percentile functions to model credit spread evolution, which allows to obtain a flexible description of indices and their components at the same time. We show regularity results in order to extend mixture percentile to the dynamic case. We characterize the stochastic differential equation of the flow of cumulative distribution function and we link it with the ordered list of the components of the credit index. The main financial goal is to introduce a functional version of Bollinger bands. The crossing of bands by the spread is associated with a trading signal. Finally, we show the richness of the signals produced by functional Bollinger bands compared with standard one with a practical example in credit asset. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In the financial market, commodity prices change over time, yielding profit opportunities. Various trading strategies have been proposed to yield good earnings. Pairs trading is one such critical, widely-used strategy with good effect. Given two highly correlated paired target stocks, the strategy suggests buying one when its price falls behind, selling it when its stock price converges, and operating the other stock inversely. In the existing approach, the genetic Bollinger Bands and correlation-coefficient-based pairs trading strategy (GBCPT) utilizes optimization technology to determine the parameters for correlation-based candidate pairs and discover Bollinger Bands-based trading signals. The correlation coefficients are used to calculate the relationship between two stocks through their historical stock prices, and the Bollinger Bands are indicators composed of the moving averages and standard deviations of the stocks. In this paper, to achieve more robust and reliable trading performance, AGBCPT, an advanced GBCPT algorithm, is proposed to take into account volatility and more critical parameters that influence profitability. It encodes six critical parameters into a chromosome. To evaluate the fitness of a chromosome, the encoded parameters are utilized to observe the trading pairs and their trading signals generated from Bollinger Bands. The fitness value is then calculated by the average return and volatility of the long and short trading pairs. The genetic process is repeated to find suitable parameters until the termination condition is met. Experiments on 44 stocks selected from the Taiwan 50 Index are conducted, showing the merits and effectiveness of the proposed approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Throughout the history of modern finance, very few financial instruments have been as strikingly volatile as cryptocurrencies. The long-term prospects of cryptocurrencies remain uncertain; however, taking advantage of recent advances in neural networks and volatility, we show that the trading algorithms reinforced by short-term price predictions are bankable. Traditional trading algorithms and indicators are often based on mean reversal strategies that do not advantage price predictions. Furthermore, deterministic models cannot capture market volatility even after incorporating price predictions. Thus motivated by these issues, we integrate randomness in the price prediction models to simulate stochastic behavior. This paper proposes hybrid trading strategies that take advantage of the traditional mean reversal strategies alongside robust price predictions from stochastic neural networks. We trained stochastic neural networks to predict prices based on market data and social sentiment. The backtesting was conducted on three cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin, for over 600 days from August 2017 to December 2019. We show that the proposed trading algorithms are better when compared to the traditional buy and hold strategy in terms of both stability and returns.

In the financial market, commodity prices change over time, yielding profit opportunities. Various trading strategies have been proposed to yield good earnings. Pairs trading is one such critical, widely-used strategy with good effect. Given two highly correlated paired target stocks, the strategy suggests buying one when its price falls behind, selling it when its stock price converges, and operating the other stock inversely. In the existing approach, the genetic Bollinger Bands and correlation-coefficient-based pairs trading strategy (GBCPT) utilizes optimization technology to determine the parameters for correlation-based candidate pairs and discover Bollinger Bands-based trading signals. The correlation coefficients are used to calculate the relationship between two stocks through their historical stock prices, and the Bollinger Bands are indicators composed of the moving averages and standard deviations of the stocks. In this paper, to achieve more robust and reliable trading performance, AGBCPT, an advanced GBCPT algorithm, is proposed to take into account volatility and more critical parameters that influence profitability. It encodes six critical parameters into a chromosome. To evaluate the fitness of a chromosome, the encoded parameters are utilized to observe the trading pairs and their trading signals generated from Bollinger Bands. The fitness value is then calculated by the average return and volatility of the long and short trading pairs. The genetic process is repeated to find suitable parameters until the termination condition is met. Experiments on 44 stocks selected from the Taiwan 50 Index are conducted, showing the merits and effectiveness of the proposed approach.