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Background Extended spectrum beta-lactamase producing Enterobacterales (ESBL-PE) present a risk to public health by limiting the efficacy of multiple classes of beta-lactam antibiotics against infection. International travellers may acquire these organisms and identifying individuals at high risk of acquisition could help inform clinical treatment or prevention strategies. Methods We used data collected from a cohort of 528 international travellers enrolled in a multicentre US-based study to derive a clinical prediction rule (CPR) to identify travellers who developed ESBL-PE colonization, defined as those with new ESBL positivity in stool upon return to the United States. To select candidate features, we used data collected from pre-travel and post-travel questionnaires, alongside destination-specific data from external sources. We utilized LASSO regression for feature selection, followed by random forest or logistic regression modelling, to derive a CPR for ESBL acquisition. Results A CPR using machine learning and logistic regression on 10 features has an internally cross-validated area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (cvAUC) of 0.70 (95% confidence interval 0.69–0.71). We also demonstrate that a four-feature model performs similarly to the 10-feature model, with a cvAUC of 0.68 (95% confidence interval 0.67–0.69). This model uses traveller's diarrhoea, and antibiotics as treatment, destination country waste management rankings and destination regional probabilities as predictors. Conclusions We demonstrate that by integrating traveller characteristics with destination-specific data, we could derive a CPR to identify those at highest risk of acquiring ESBL-PE during international travel. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The earth is rapidly warming, driven by increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide and other gases that result primarily from fossil fuel combustion. In addition to causing arctic ice melting and extreme weather events, climatologic factors are linked strongly to the transmission of many infectious diseases. Changes in the prevalence of infectious diseases not only reflect the impacts of temperature, humidity, and other weather-related phenomena on pathogens, vectors, and animal hosts but are also part of a complex of social and environmental factors that will be affected by climate change, including land use, migration, and vector control. Vector- and waterborne diseases and coccidioidomycosis are all likely to be affected by a warming planet; there is also potential for climate-driven impacts on emerging infectious diseases and antimicrobial resistance. Additional resources for surveillance and public health activities are urgently needed, as well as systematic education of clinicians on the health impacts of climate change. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Pediatric international travelers account for nearly half of measles importations in the United States. Over one third of pediatric international travelers depart the United States without the recommended measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccinations: 2 doses for travelers ≥12 months and 1 dose for travelers 6 to <12 months. Methods We developed a model to compare 2 strategies among a simulated cohort of international travelers (6 months to <6 years): (1) No pretravel health encounter (PHE): travelers depart with baseline MMR vaccination status; (2) PHE: MMR-eligible travelers are offered vaccination. All pediatric travelers experience a destination-specific risk of measles exposure (mean, 30 exposures/million travelers). If exposed to measles, travelers' age and MMR vaccination status determine the risk of infection (range, 3%-90%). We included costs of medical care, contact tracing, and lost wages from the societal perspective. We varied inputs in sensitivity analyses. Model outcomes included projected measles cases, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ($/quality-adjusted life year [QALY], cost-effectiveness threshold ≤$100 000/QALY). Results Compared with no PHE, PHE would avert 57 measles cases at $9.2 million/QALY among infant travelers and 7 measles cases at $15.0 million/QALY among preschool-aged travelers. Clinical benefits of PHE would be greatest for infants but cost-effective only for travelers to destinations with higher risk for measles exposure (ie, ≥160 exposures/million travelers) or if more US-acquired cases resulted from an infected traveler, such as in communities with limited MMR coverage. Conclusions Pretravel MMR vaccination provides the greatest clinical benefit for infant travelers and can be cost-effective before travel to destinations with high risk for measles exposure or from communities with low MMR vaccination coverage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Culture-based studies have shown that acquisition of extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Enterobacterales is common during international travel; however, little is known about the role of the gut microbiome before and during travel, nor about acquisition of other antimicrobial-resistant organisms. We aimed to identify (1) whether the gut microbiome provided colonisation resistance against antimicrobial-resistant organism acquisition, (2) the effect of travel and travel behaviours on the gut microbiome, and (3) the scale and global heterogeneity of antimicrobial-resistant organism acquisition., Methods: In this metagenomic analysis, participants were recruited at three US travel clinics (Boston, MA; New York, NY; and Salt Lake City, UT) before international travel. Participants had to travel internationally between Dec 8, 2017, and April 30, 2019, and have DNA extractions for stool samples both before and after travel for inclusion. Participants were excluded if they had at least one low coverage sample (<1 million read pairs). Stool samples were collected at home before and after travel, sent to a clinical microbiology laboratory to be screened for three target antimicrobial-resistant organisms (extended-spectrum β-lactamase-producing Enterobacterales, carbapenem-resistant Enterobacterales, and mcr-mediated colistin-resistant Enterobacterales), and underwent DNA extraction and shotgun metagenomic sequencing. We profiled metagenomes for taxonomic composition, antibiotic-resistant gene content, and characterised the Escherichia coli population at the strain level. We analysed pre-travel samples to identify the gut microbiome risk factors associated with acquisition of the three targeted antimicrobial resistant organisms. Pre-travel and post-travel samples were compared to identify microbiome and resistome perturbation and E coli strain acquisition associated with travel., Findings: A total of 368 individuals travelled between the required dates, and 296 had DNA extractions available for both before and after travel. 29 travellers were excluded as they had at least one low coverage sample, leaving a final group of 267 participants. We observed a perturbation of the gut microbiota, characterised by a significant depletion of microbial diversity and enrichment of the Enterobacteriaceae family. Metagenomic strain tracking confirmed that 67% of travellers acquired new strains of E coli during travel that were phylogenetically distinct from their pre-travel strains. We observed widespread enrichment of antibiotic-resistant genes in the gut, with a median 15% (95% CI 10-20, p<1 × 10 -10 ) increase in burden (reads per kilobase per million reads). This increase included antibiotic-resistant genes previously classified as threats to public health, which were 56% (95% CI 36-91, p=2 × 10 -11 ) higher in abundance after travel than before. Fluoroquinolone antibiotic-resistant genes were aquired by 97 (54%) of 181 travellers with no detected pre-travel carriage. Although we found that visiting friends or relatives, travel to south Asia, and eating uncooked vegetables were risk factors for acquisition of the three targeted antimicrobial resistant organisms, we did not observe an association between the pre-travel microbiome structure and travel-related antimicrobial-resistant organism acquisition., Interpretation: This work highlights a scale of E coli and antimicrobial-resistant organism acquisition by US travellers not apparent from previous culture-based studies, and suggests that strategies to control antimicrobial-resistant organisms addressing international traveller behaviour, rather than modulating the gut microbiome, could be worthwhile., Funding: US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests SET is a Committee Member for the American Society of Transplantation Consensus Conference on Novel Infectious Disease Diagnostics in Solid Organ Transplant, Subgroup Leader on the Rapid Antimicrobial Resistance Detection Methods Subgroup, and received funding within the past 36 months from the Massachusetts General Hospital Vickery-Colvin Grant. DTL is a councillor on Clinical Group, Member of the Scientific Program Committee for American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, and received authorship royalties from UpToDate. JBH provided editorial services for UpToDate. RCL received payments for editorial services from UpToDate and the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Foundation. All other authors declare no competing interests., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an Open Access article under the CC BY 4.0 license. Published by Elsevier Ltd.. All rights reserved.)

Background: Pediatric international travelers account for nearly half of measles importations in the United States. Over one third of pediatric international travelers depart the United States without the recommended measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccinations: 2 doses for travelers ≥12 months and 1 dose for travelers 6 to <12 months., Methods: We developed a model to compare 2 strategies among a simulated cohort of international travelers (6 months to <6 years): (1) No pretravel health encounter (PHE): travelers depart with baseline MMR vaccination status; (2) PHE: MMR-eligible travelers are offered vaccination. All pediatric travelers experience a destination-specific risk of measles exposure (mean, 30 exposures/million travelers). If exposed to measles, travelers' age and MMR vaccination status determine the risk of infection (range, 3%-90%). We included costs of medical care, contact tracing, and lost wages from the societal perspective. We varied inputs in sensitivity analyses. Model outcomes included projected measles cases, costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios ($/quality-adjusted life year [QALY], cost-effectiveness threshold ≤$100 000/QALY)., Results: Compared with no PHE, PHE would avert 57 measles cases at $9.2 million/QALY among infant travelers and 7 measles cases at $15.0 million/QALY among preschool-aged travelers. Clinical benefits of PHE would be greatest for infants but cost-effective only for travelers to destinations with higher risk for measles exposure (ie, ≥160 exposures/million travelers) or if more US-acquired cases resulted from an infected traveler, such as in communities with limited MMR coverage., Conclusions: Pretravel MMR vaccination provides the greatest clinical benefit for infant travelers and can be cost-effective before travel to destinations with high risk for measles exposure or from communities with low MMR vaccination coverage., (© The Author(s) 2022. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society.)