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Both human activities and climate change have posed great impacts on the vegetation changes in the context of global climate change. It is necessary to identify the areas of man-made vegetation degradation for better environmental protection. However, only limited effort has been focused on distinguishing between the influences of yearly climatic factors and human activities on vegetation growth. Particularly, it is still lacking in the vegetation dynamics under the seasonal climate changes and anthropogenic activities in China. In this study, the spatiotemporal variations in the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and climate change were investigated using the AVHRR NDVI3g data, land use data and gridded climate data, A multiple linear regression model was then used to determine the driving factors of vegetation change using residual analysis at the regional and national scales from 1982 to 2015. The results show that there was outstanding regional spatial characteristic of vegetation changes with a decreasing trend from the southeast to northwest China, where the annual rate of change ranged from -0.016/a to 0.029/a. An increasing trend was found in the temperature and solar radiation, whereas, the precipitation showed a downward trend in most regions. According to the Hurst index, 80.62% of the vegetation presented a continuous and stable change, while the grasslands and woodland tended to be unstable and vulnerable to climate change and human activities. The NDVIs of Junggar Basin, Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and Xilin Gol League of Inner Mongolia were negatively correlated with the air temperature and solar radiation, whereas, the NDVIs of Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau, southern Loess Plateau, and Sichuan Basin were positively correlated. The residual analysis showed that the drought resulted in the vegetation degradation in the arid areas, such as Xinjiang Junggar Basin and central Inner Mongolia, while the increase of temperature and radiation was the main driver for the vegetation improvement in the eastern coastal plain, the southern Loess Plateau, Sichuan Basin, and the southwestern Yunnan-Guizhou Plateau. Since the beginning of the 21st century, human activities were gradually strengthened, including soil and water conservation, the conversion of farmland to forest on the Loess Plateau, the desert control in Alxa, as well as the construction of coastal city clusters and northeast industrial bases. Thus, the vegetation improvement was identified in the Alxa Plateau of Inner Mongolia, the central and northern Loess Plateau, and most parts of South China, whereas, the vegetation degradation was detected in the Greater and Lesser Khingan Mountains, the eastern regions of the Changbai Mountains and the Yangtze River Delta. Among them, the national projects of ecological protection were attributed to the significant improvement of vegetation conditions. Consequently, the monitoring of vegetation degradation can provide a theoretical basis for the implementation of ecological restoration and the construction of ecological civilization in the future. The finding can greatly contribute to regional green and sustainable development. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The detection and attribution of vegetation dynamics in drylands is an important step for the development of effective adaptation and mitigation strategies to combat the challenges posed by human activities and climate change. However, due to the spatial heterogeneity and interactive influences of various factors, quantifying the contributions of driving forces on vegetation change remains challenging. In this study, using the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) as a proxy of vegetation growth status and coverage, we analyzed the temporal and spatial characteristics of the NDVI in China's Inner Mongolian grasslands using Theil–Sen slope statistics and Mann–Kendall trend test methods. In addition, using the GeoDetector method, a spatially-based statistical technique, we assessed the individual and interactive influences of natural factors and human activities on vegetation-NDVI change. The results show that the growing season average NDVI exhibited a fluctuating upward trend of 0.003 per year from 2000 to 2018. The areas with significant increases in NDVI (p < 0.05) accounted for 45.63% of the entire region, and they were mainly distributed in the eastern part of the Mu Us sandy land and the eastern areas of the Greater Khingan Range. The regions with a decline in the NDVI were mainly distributed in the central and western regions of the study area. The GeoDetector results revealed that both natural and human factors had significant impacts on changes in the NDVI (p < 0.001). Precipitation, livestock density, wind speed, and population density were the dominant factors affecting NDVI changes in the Inner Mongolian grasslands, explaining more than 15% of the variability, while the contributions of the two topography factors (terrain slope and slope aspect) were relatively low (less than 2%). Furthermore, NDVI changes responded to the changes in the level of specific influencing factors in a nonlinear way, and the interaction of two factors enhanced the effect of each singular factor. The interaction between precipitation and temperature was the highest among all factors, accounting for 39.3% of NDVI variations. Findings from our study may aid policymakers in better understanding the relative importance of various factors and the impacts of the interactions between factors on vegetation change, which has important implications for preventing and mitigating land degradation and achieving sustainable pasture use in dryland ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The 16 years of normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and precipitation data are used to analyze the time‐lag effects of the growing‐season NDVI response to precipitation at regional scales. This study focuses on the arid and semi‐arid Hulunbuir grassland dominated by perennials in northeast China. The multi‐month time‐lag effects are examined using simple statistical approaches, which can detect the two distinct time‐lags for four subregions with four major land‐cover types. A "positive" time‐lag effect of the growing‐season NDVI response to precipitation is observed at 1‐month (May in the current year) time‐lag and 13‐month (May in the previous year) time‐lag while a "negative" time‐lag effect is observed at 9‐month (September in the previous year) time‐lag. In addition, the prediction results of NDVI based on precipitation indicate that the NDVI prediction model considered the lagged monthly precipitation has good performance. Therefore, revealing the time‐lag effects is very important for accurately predicting the growing‐season NDVI and evaluating the vegetation dynamics. Recommendations for Resource Managers: The multi‐month time‐lag effects of the growing‐season NDVI to precipitation in arid and semi‐arid grasslands in northeastern China is analyzed in this paper. We can detect the two distinct time‐lags for four subregions with four major land‐cover types. The following implications could be realized based on the observations: The "positive" 1‐month (May in the current year) and 13‐month (May in the previous year) time‐lag memory of the growing‐season NDVI response to precipitation can be found.The "negative" 9‐month time‐lag memory of the growing‐season NDVI response to precipitation associated with September (late growing‐season) meteorological condition can be detected. This "negative" effect does not support the green up of the growing‐season in the next year. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The frequency of extreme climate events has increased resulting in major changes to vegetation in arid and semi-arid areas. We selected 12 extreme climate indices and used trend analysis and multiple linear regression models to analyze extreme climate trends in steppe areas of Inner Mongolia and their impact on the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI). From 1998 to 2017, the NDVI of the Inner Mongolia steppe increased overall; however, there was a small area of decrease. Extreme climate indices related to warming exhibited increasing trends, particularly in the desert steppe. Although the extreme precipitation index did not change significantly overall, it increased in the northeastern and southwestern regions of the study area and decreased in the central region. The established model showed that the extreme climate explained the highest NDVI variation in desert steppe (R2 = 0.413), followed by typical steppe (R2 = 0.229), and meadow steppe (R2 = 0.109). In desert steppe, TX90P (warm days index) had the greatest impact; in typical steppe, R10 (number of heavy precipitation days index) had the greatest impact; in meadow steppe, R95P (very wet days index) had the greatest impact. This study offered new insights into dynamic vegetation changes in steppe areas of Inner Mongolia and provided a scientific basis for implementing environmental protection strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Drought events cause ecological problems, including reduced water resources and degraded vegetation. Quantifying vegetation responses to drought is essential for ecological management. However, in existing research, the response relationships (correlations and lags) were typically determined based on Pearson correlation coefficient and the resultant lag times were constrained by the spatial and temporal resolutions of the analyzed data. Inner Mongolia is an important ecological barrier in northern China. Ecological security is one of the most concerned issues of the region's sustainable development. Herein, we combined Global Inventory Modeling and Mapping Studies (GIMMS) normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI3g) with Systeme Probatoire d'Observation de la Terra-vegetation (SPOT-VGT) NDVI data through spatial downscaling. The obtained 1 km-resolution NDVI dataset spanning Inner Mongolia from 1982 to 2019 was used to represent the refined vegetation distribution. The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) derived from gridded meteorological data was used to measure drought over the same period. We investigated the spatiotemporal characteristics of vegetation and drought in the region in the past 38 years. We then discussed changes in different vegetation responses to drought across eastern Inner Mongolia using cross wavelet transform (XWT) and wavelet coherence (WTC). The results reveal that in 82.4% of the study area, NDVI exhibited rising trends, and the SPEI values exhibited declining trends in 78.5% of the area. In eastern Inner Mongolia, the grassland NDVI was positively correlated with SPEI and significantly affected by drought events, while NDVI in forestlands, including shrubs, broad-leaved forests, and coniferous forests, was negatively correlated with SPEI in the short term and weakly affected by drought. The NDVI lag times behind SPEI in grasslands, coniferous forests, and broad-leaved forests were 1–1.5, 4.5, and 7–7.5 months, respectively. These findings provide a scientific foundation for environmental preservation in the region. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Vegetation is an indicator of changes in the ecological environment and a key source of feedback on the impact of drought. In this work we selected northern China as the study area and used the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) and the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) to assess the relationship between drought and vegetation dynamics at annual and seasonal scales for the period 1982–2015. The results indicated that annual drought showed a slight increase in northern China during this time, and it was mainly attributed to the intensified summer drought; the percentages of areas where significant drying, drying, wetting, and significant wetting occurred accounted for 3.30%, 53.36%, 40.39%, and 2.95%, respectively. Annual NDVI showed a highly significant (p < 0.01) upward trend in northern China, suggesting that vegetation there is greening. However, there was still a significant decrease in the NDVI trend in 13.65% of the study area, and forest accounted for the greatest area among the three land cover types studied. A positive correlation between annual SPEI and annual NDVI was found in most of northern China, and 18.66% of the study area (p < 0.05) were mainly distributed in the central-eastern part of Inner Mongolia, the central part of the Loess Plateau, and northwestern part of Xinjiang Province. Residual analysis found that the percentages of vegetation dynamics affected by human-induced degradation, human-induced improvement, and drought accounted for 13.91%, 47.91%, and 38.18%, respectively; however, 54.15% of the areas affected by drought were located in arid and semi-arid regions and that about 54.61% of those were grassland. The work could provide guidance for vegetation construction and water resource management in northern China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The typical steppe in Inner Mongolia is an important component of the Eurasian steppes. It plays a dominant role in preventing desertification and against sandstorms, but highly sensitive and vulnerable to climate change. Based on long-term observed precipitation data and remotely sensed Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) images, the non-stationary behavior of summer precipitation and its linkage with vegetation change were investigated, by means of incorporating time-varying and physical based explanatory covariates in non-stationary modeling. Results indicated that time-dependent models exhibited good performance to reproduce the temporal variations of eco-hydrological variables. The non-stationarity of summer precipitation was prominently visible for the majority of sites during the period from 1957 to 2017, with the mean behavior described as a linear or nonlinear time-varying pattern. In general, the steppe has experienced a decreasing trend in summer precipitation, but whether the decline tends to maintain or weaken or strengthen depends on the spatial location of the site studied. Differences appeared in the changes of vegetation in summer from 1998 to 2017 in different sub-regions. Evidences for the presence of stationary evolution was found in most sub-regions in the middle part, together with a linear increase in the westernmost sub-regions while a non-linear decrease in the easternmost sub-regions. Covariate analyses further highlighted the role of precipitation variabilities in the modeling of the NDVI-related vegetation dynamics over the steppe. The potential relations of summer precipitation to vegetation growth were characterized as both linear and non-linear positive forms. In particular, precipitation extremes could be responsible for the occurrences of exceptional cases in vegetation condition. The fluctuations in summer precipitation have crucial significance for future predictions of vegetation succession. Findings from this study would lead to additional insights to understanding the effect of climate change on grassland ecosystem processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Conservation management usually carried out for a period of time to maintain the vegetation restoration of coal waste dumps after reclamation. However, the natural restoration of vegetation is faced with great challenges in semi-arid mining areas without management, due to the fragile ecological environment. Therefore, it is necessary to determine a reasonable management plan so that vegetation restoration can reach a stable state although the abandonment of the management. The objective was to explore the difference of vegetation restoration under different management modes in a typical semi-arid mining area. Two reclaimed coal waste dumps under different management measures, the north waste dump (ND) and the south waste dump (SD), were examined in the ShengLi coalfield in Inner Mongolia, China. The normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) dataset based on Landsat series imagery was obtained using the Google Earth Engine (GEE) platform, and the landscape metrics were also calculated based on different vegetation coverage. The results proved that 3 years of management was not enough to stabilize vegetation restoration. A serious vegetation degradation occurred at the ND after the management stopped, with 40.1% of the pixels recorded a significant decrease (ρ = 0.05). The vegetation coverage became fragmented, and there was a tendency of succession to lower coverage. On the contrary, the vegetation restoration of SD was better under continuous management, and no significant degradation trend was observed. Furthermore, the results indicated that rainfall is the main influencing factor on vegetation restoration in semi-arid mining areas. The coal waste dump was more susceptible to weather change in natural restoration. By contrast, continuous management measures will resist such climate disturbances, even in dry years. This research will provide support for the formulation of the reclamation management plan of coal waste dumps in semi-arid mining areas. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• The suitability of VMD method to extract long time-series NDVI periodic characteristics and trend information was discussed. • The specific periodic relationship between NDVI and climate change in the growing season were analyzed. • The interannual periodic variation of the NDVI from 1982 to 2015 was complex, with multiple time scales. • The periodic relationship between NDVI and climate factors has regional differences, and the periodic consistency of precipitation and NDVI is more obvious. Inner Mongolia is one of the most sensitive regions to global change with vegetation significantly affected by global warming and human activities. Therefore, exploring the dynamic change of vegetation and its impact mechanism is of great significance for guiding the protection ecosystem and policy formulation. Based on the 1982–2015 growing season and the interannual normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), simultaneous temperature and precipitation data sets, we extracted the characteristic components of the NDVI and climatic factors by the Variational Mode Decomposition (VMD) methods. And the periodic characteristics of the NDVI in Inner Mongolia and its relationship with climate over a period of 34 years were analyzed. The results show that: 1) The VMD algorithm overcomes the "mode aliasing" problem of Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD) and can more accurately extract the periodic information of long time series vegetation NDVI dataset containing complex frequencies.; 2) the NDVI in the growing season of Inner Mongolia has main change cycles of one growing season (7 months) and half a growing season, and temperature and NDVI have the same double-cycle relationship, whereas precipitation has a periodic change of one growing season; 3) the NDVI cycle change of Inner Mongolia vegetation from 1982 to 2015 shows multiple time scales, showing 16.95a, 6.8a, 4.85a, 4.25a, 3.4a and 2.83a change cycles; 4) vegetation NDVI in Inner Mongolia from 1982 to 2015 has a good correlation with climate factors, and the partial correlation coefficients are different in Inner Mongolia and three sampling areas. NDVI and precipitation have relatively good periodic consistency, and there is a significant positive correlation between vegetation NDVI and temperature and precipitation before and after removing the interference of periodic variables. In general, temperature and precipitation jointly affect the NDVI cyclical changes of Inner Mongolia. The VMD algorithm has significant effects on determining the cyclic dynamic changes of NDVI and climatic factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]