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The PM2.5 index is an important basis for measuring the degree of air pollution. The accurate prediction of PM2.5 concentration has an important guiding role in air pollution prevention and control. The Pearson Correlation Coefficient (PCC) is a common index used to mine the correlation between meteorological factors and other air pollutants. However, this index cannot be used to mine non-linear correlations, nor can it quantitatively analyze the weight of each related attribute. In order to accurately explore the correlation between meteorological factors and other air pollutants and to achieve an accurate prediction of PM2.5 concentration, this paper proposes a short- and long-time memory (LSTM) network prediction model based on Copula entropy (CE) and the adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA). By calculating CE, the correlation between multiple meteorological factors and various atmospheric pollutants and PM2.5 was analyzed. The correlation of influencing factors was sorted according to the size of the correlation coefficients. The contribution rate of meteorological factors and atmospheric pollutants to PM2.5 concentration was determined, used as the weight of each influencing factor and predicted as the input data of the prediction model. In this paper, a long- and short-term memory network (LSTM) suitable for time series data was selected as the prediction model, while the selection of model parameters was taken into account, and the relevant parameters were sought by an adaptive genetic algorithm (AGA). The air pollutant data and meteorological data of Beijing from 1 January 2016 to 31 December 2016 were selected, and MAE and RMSE were used as evaluation indexes. By comparing the experimental results of the CE-AGA-LSTM with those of other eight prediction models (LR, SVM, RF, ARMA, ST-LSTM, LSTM, CE-LSTM and CE-RNN), we found that among the models, the CE-AGA-LSTM model provided the lowest MAE and RMSE values, i.e., 14.5 and 21.88, respectively. At the same time, the loss rate and accuracy of the CE-AGA-LSTM model were evaluated, and the experimental results verified the validity of the model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Day by day pollution in cities is increasing due to urbanization. One of the biggest challenges posed by the rapid migration of inhabitants into cities is increased air pollution. Sustainable Development Goal 11 indicates that 99 percent of the world's urban population breathes polluted air. In such a trend of urbanization, predicting the concentrations of pollutants in advance is very important. Predictions of pollutants would help city administrations to take timely measures for ensuring Sustainable Development Goal 11. In data engineering, imputation and the removal of outliers are very important steps prior to forecasting the concentration of air pollutants. For pollution and meteorological data, missing values and outliers are critical problems that need to be addressed. This paper proposes a novel method called multiple iterative imputation using autoencoder-based long short-term memory (MIA-LSTM) which uses iterative imputation using an extra tree regressor as an estimator for the missing values in multivariate data followed by an LSTM autoencoder for the detection and removal of outliers present in the dataset. The preprocessed data were given to a multivariate LSTM for forecasting PM2.5 concentration. This paper also presents the effect of removing outliers and missing values from the dataset as well as the effect of imputing missing values in the process of forecasting the concentrations of air pollutants. The proposed method provides better results for forecasting with a root mean square error (RMSE) value of 9.8883. The obtained results were compared with the traditional gated recurrent unit (GRU), 1D convolutional neural network (CNN), and long short-term memory (LSTM) approaches for a dataset of the Aotizhonhxin area of Beijing in China. Similar results were observed for another two locations in China and one location in India. The results obtained show that imputation and outlier/anomaly removal improve the accuracy of air pollution forecasting. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Finding students at high risk of poor academic performance as early as possible plays an important role in improving education quality. To do so, most existing studies have used the traditional machine learning algorithms to predict students' achievement based on their behavior data, from which behavior features are extracted manually thanks to expert experience and knowledge. However, owing to an increase in the varieties and overall volume of behavioral data, it has become more and more challenging to identify high-quality handcrafted features. In this paper, we propose an end-to-end deep learning model that automatically extracts features from students' multi-source heterogeneous behavior data to predict academic performance. The key innovation of this model is that it uses long short-term memory networks to capture inherent time-series features for each type of behavior, and it takes two-dimensional convolutional networks to extract correlation features among different behaviors. We conducted experiments with four types of daily behavior data from students of the university in Beijing. The experimental results demonstrate that the proposed deep model method outperforms several machine learning algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Over the past few decades, due to human activities, industrialization, and urbanization, air pollution has become a life-threatening factor in many countries around the world. Among air pollutants, Particulate Matter with a diameter of less than 2.5 μ m ( P M 2.5 ) is a serious health problem. It causes various illnesses such as respiratory tract and cardiovascular diseases. Hence, it is necessary to accurately predict the P M 2.5 concentrations in order to prevent the citizens from the dangerous impact of air pollution beforehand. The variation of P M 2.5 depends on a variety of factors, such as meteorology and the concentration of other pollutants in urban areas. In this paper, we implemented a deep learning solution to predict the hourly forecast of P M 2.5 concentration in Beijing, China, based on CNN-LSTM, with a spatial-temporal feature by combining historical data of pollutants, meteorological data, and P M 2.5 concentration in the adjacent stations. We examined the difference in performances among Deep learning algorithms such as LSTM, Bi-LSTM, GRU, Bi-GRU, CNN, and a hybrid CNN-LSTM model. Experimental results indicate that our method "hybrid CNN-LSTM multivariate" enables more accurate predictions than all the listed traditional models and performs better in predictive performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Accurate traffic congestion estimation and prediction are critical building blocks for smart trip planning and rerouting decisions in transportation systems. Over the decades, there have been many studies focusing on traffic congestion estimation and prediction with different statistical approaches (e.g., Markov chain) and machine learning models (e.g., clustering, Bayesian networks, and artificial neural networks). However, there is a lack of a unified framework to address the mechanisms of different models and integrate the advantages of different methods through combinations. This paper introduces the FD-Markov-LSTM model, a hybrid interpretable approach that combines the fundamental diagram (FD), Markov chain, and long short-term memory (LSTM). The aim is to estimate and predict traffic states by integrating statistical data in both congested and uncongested scenarios. The FD-Markov-LSTM model leverages the FD to identify hierarchical traffic states and utilizes the Markov process to capture the probabilistic transitions between these states. We employ the LSTM model to further capture the residual time series produced by the Markov chain model (assuming a memoryless property) to enhance the estimation and prediction performance. The proposed model's accuracy in estimating and predicting traffic flow is evaluated using empirical data from three case studies conducted in Beijing and Los Angeles. The results highlight a significant improvement in accuracy compared to classical benchmark models such as the Markov model, ARIMA model, k-Nearest Neighbor model, Random Forest model, and LSTM. Specifically, the FD-Markov-LSTM model achieves reductions of over 39% in mean absolute error, 35% in root mean squared error, and 7.4% in mean absolute percentage error. These results clearly demonstrate that the FD-Markov-LSTM model outperforms the benchmark models, enabling more precise predictions of traffic flow. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Water resources, as one of the indispensable resources for urban development, have become an important factor limiting the sustainable development of cities. In order to promote sustainable urban development, Beijing has set the work task of reaching 99% of urban and rural wastewater treatment rate from 2020 to 2035. Accurate prediction of future wastewater discharge is essential to achieve the target. For this reason, this study takes Beijing as the research object and constructs a combined prediction model based on gray relational analysis and long- and short-term memory (GRA-LSTM). Firstly, gray relational analysis (GRA) is used to analyze the correlation of the experimental data indicators affecting the amount of wastewater discharged in order to obtain experimental data indicators with stronger correlation. Secondly, the long short-term memory (LSTM) model was used to learn the characteristics of the key impact indicators and obtain the optimal model parameters. The results showed that the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) value of the combined GRA-LSTM model constructed in this study was 5.62%, and the prediction accuracy was higher than that of the other seven prediction models. Then, three scenarios with low, medium, and high dimensions were set to predict the wastewater discharge in Beijing from 2020 to 2035, and the prediction result that the wastewater discharge in Beijing will still continue to grow was obtained. Finally, in order to improve the water utilization rate and promote the sustainable development of the city, this study proposes relevant policy recommendations in terms of the unbalanced urban–rural development of Beijing's wastewater treatment capacity and the increase of recycled water usage. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The timeliness, precision, and low cost of search data have great potential for projecting tourist volume. Obtaining valuable information for decision-making, particularly for predicting, is hampered by the vast amount of search data. A systematic investigation of keyword selection and processing has been conducted. Using Beijing tourist volume as an example, 11 different feature extraction algorithms were selected and combined with long short-term memory (LSTM), random forest (RF) and fuzzy time series (FTS) for forecasting tourist volume. A total of 1612 keywords were retrieved from Baidu Index demand mapping using the direct word extraction method, range word extraction method and empirical selection method. The remaining 813 keywords were subjected to feature extraction. Based on the forecasting results of medium and short-term (1-day, 7-days and 10-days), the forecasting results of Kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) and locally linear embedding (LLE) are relatively stable when the dimensionality is reduced to 5 dimensions. The forecasting results of t-stochastic neighbor embedding (t-SNE), isometric mapping (IsoMap) and locally linear embedding (LLE), locality preserving projections (LPP), independent component correlation (ICA) are relatively stable when the dimensionality is reduced to 10 dimensions. Accurately forecasting many factors (transportation, attraction, food, lodging, travel, tips, tickets, and weather) provides a solid foundation for tourism demand optimization and scientific management and a resource for tourists' holistic vacation planning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Social media has seen a significant change in the current day in terms of how people use it to interact with friends and family, publish content, and share it. A few social media platforms, like Twitter, LinkedIn, and Facebook, were also utilized to share the current everyday trends in the actual world. People often struggle to get to their destinations on time in major cities with heavy traffic, like Washington DC, Beijing, and New Delhi. To ensure that travelers reach their destination or locations quickly, we concentrated on collecting useful traffic-related data from social media content in our study. Additionally, we were committed to providing immediate safety precautions for traffic incidents. The key benefit is the improvement of traffic event accuracy and the presentation of location data for heavy traffic. In this study, the CNN-LSTM (Convolution Neural Network-Long Short Term Memory) approach and the Logistic Regression method were tested for their ability to extract real-time traffic information. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]