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This paper investigates the effects of obesity, socio-economic variables, and individual-specific factors on work productivity across Italian regions. A dynamic panel data with correlated random effects is used to jointly deal with incidental parameters, endogeneity issues, and functional forms of misspecification. Methodologically, a hierarchical semiparametric Bayesian approach is involved in shrinking high dimensional model classes, and then obtaining a subset of potential predictors affecting outcomes. Monte Carlo designs are addressed to construct exact posterior distributions and then perform accurate forecasts. Cross-sectional Heterogeneity is modelled nonparametrically allowing for correlation between heterogeneous parameters and initial conditions as well as individual-specific regressors. Prevention policies and strategies to handle health and labour market prospects are also discussed., (© 2022. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.)

Within scientific debate on post-digital and education, we present a position paper to describe a research project aimed at the design of a predictive model for students' low achievements in mathematics in Italy. The model is based on the INVALSI data set, an Italian large-scale assessment test, and we use decision trees as the classification algorithm. In designing this tool, we aim to overcome the use of economic, social, and cultural context indices as main factors for the prediction of a learning gap occurrence. Indeed, we want to include a suitable representation of students' learning in the model, by exploiting the data collected through the INVALSI tests. We resort to a knowledge-based approach to address this issue and specifically, we try to understand what knowledge is introduced into the model through the representation of learning. In this sense, our proposal allows a students' learning encoding, which is transferable to different students' cohort. Furthermore, the encoding methods may be applied to other large-scale assessments test. Hence, we aim to contribute to a debate on knowledge representation in AI tool for education.

We introduce "Ricerca Operativa Applicazioni Reali" (ROAR; in English, "Real Applications of Operations Research"), a three-year project for higher secondary schools. Its main aim is to improve students' interest, motivation, and skills related to Science, Technology, Engineering, and Mathematics disciplines by integrating mathematics and computer science through operations research. ROAR offers examples and problems closely connected with students' everyday life or with the industrial reality, balancing mathematical modeling and algorithmics. The project is composed of three teaching units, addressed to grades 10, 11, and 12. The implementation of the first teaching unit took place in Spring 2021 at the scientific high school IIS Antonietti in Iseo (Brescia, Italy). In particular, in this paper, we provide a full description of this first teaching unit in terms of objectives, prerequisites, topics and methods, organization of the lectures, and digital technologies used. Moreover, we analyze the feedback received from students and teachers involved in the experimentation, and we discuss advantages and disadvantages related to distance learning that we had to adopt because of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Around the world, the occurrence of landslides has become one of the greatest threats to human life, property, infrastructure, and natural environments. Despite extensive research and discussions on the spatiotemporal dependence of landslide displacements, there is still a lack of understanding concerning the factors that appear to control displacement distribution in landslides because of their significant variations. This paper implements a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) to predict displacement following the Moio della Civitella landslide in southern Italy and identify factors that may affect the distribution of movement following the landslide. An interferometric technique, known as permanent scatter interferometry (PSI), has been developed based on Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) satellite imagery to derive permanent scatter points that can be used to represent the deformation of landslides. This study utilized the GCN regression model applied to PSs points and data reflecting geological and geomorphological factors to extract the interdependency between paired data points, resulting in an adjacency matrix of the interval [0, 0,8). The proposed model outperforms conventional machine learning and deep learning algorithms such as linear regression (LR), K-nearest neighbors (KNN), Support vector regression (SVR), Decision tree, lasso, and artificial neural network (ANN). The absolute error between the actual and predicted deformation is used to evaluate the proposed model, which is less than 2 millimeters for most test set points. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Italian Government planned to invest €15 billion of European funds on National Health Service digitalization and primary care enhancement. The critical burden brought by the pandemic upon hospital care mean these investments could no longer be delayed, considering the extraordinary backlogs of many treatments and the ordinary gaps of fragmented long-term care, in Italy and abroad. National guidelines have been published to standardize interventions across the Italian regions, and telemedicine is frequently mentioned as a key innovation to achieve both goals. The professional resources needed to run the facilities introduced in primary care are defined with great precision, but no details are given on how digitalization and remote care technologies must be implemented in this context. Building on this policy case, this paper focuses on what contribution digitalization and telemedicine can offer to specific primary care innovations, drawing from implemented technology-driven policies which may support the effective stratification, prevention and management of chronic patient needs, including anticipatory healthcare, population health management, adjusted clinical groups, chronic care management, quality and outcomes frameworks, patient-reported outcomes and patient-reported experience. All these policies can benefit significantly from digitalization and remote care technology, provided that some risks and limitations are considered by design. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: This paper aims to present open-source computer simulation programs developed to simulate, track, and estimate the COVID-19 outbreak. Methods: The programs included two separate parts, one set of programs built in Simulink with a block diagram display, and another one coded as a script in MATLAB R2020b. The mathematical model used in this package was the suspectable-infected-removed (SIR), suspectable-exposed-infected-removed (SEIR), and susceptible-exposed-infected-recovereddeceased (SEIRD) models represented by a set of differential-algebraic equations. It can be easily modified to develop new models for the problem. A generalized method was adopted to simulate worldwide outbreaks in an efficient, fast, and simple way. Results: To get a good tracking of the virus spread, a sum of sigmoid functions was proposed to capture any dynamic changes in the data. The parameters used for the input (infection and recovery rate functions) were computed using the parameter estimation tool in MATLAB. Several statistical methods were applied for the rate function, including linear, Mean±SD and root mean square (RMS). In addition, an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) was employed and proposed to train the model and predict its output. Conclusion: This procedure is presented in such a way that it can be generalized and applied in other parts and applications of estimating the scenarios of an event, including the potential of several models, including suspectable-infected-removed (SIR), which is sensitive to pollution, etc. This program can be used as an educational tool or for research studies and this article promises some lasting contributions in the field of COVID-19. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Classification of outdoor point clouds is an intensely studied topic, particularly with respect to the separation of vegetation from the terrain and manmade structures. In the presence of many overhanging and vertical structures, the (relative) height is no longer a reliable criterion for such a separation. An alternative would be to apply supervised classification; however, thousands of examples are typically required for appropriate training. In this paper, an unsupervised and rotation-invariant method is presented and evaluated for three datasets with very different characteristics. The method allows us to detect planar patches by filtering and clustering so-called superpoints, whereby the well-known but suitably modified random sampling and consensus (RANSAC) approach plays a key role for plane estimation in outlier-rich data. The performance of our method is compared to that produced by supervised classifiers common for remote sensing settings: random forest as learner and feature sets for point cloud processing, like covariance-based features or point descriptors. It is shown that for point clouds resulting from airborne laser scans, the detection accuracy of the proposed method is over 96% and, as such, higher than that of standard supervised classification approaches. Because of artifacts caused by interpolation during 3D stereo matching, the overall accuracy was lower for photogrammetric point clouds (74-77%). However, using additional salient features, such as the normalized green-red difference index, the results became more accurate and less dependent on the data source.

A three-dimensional survey of natural caves is often a difficult task due to the roughness of the investigated area and the problems of accessibility. Traditional adopted techniques allow a simplified acquisition of the topography of caves characterized by an oversimplification of the geometry. Nowadays, the advent of LiDAR and Structure from Motion applications eased three-dimensional surveys in different environments. In this paper, we present a comparison between other three-dimensional survey systems, namely a Terrestrial Laser Scanner, a SLAM-based portable instrument, and a commercial photo camera, to test their possible deployment in natural caves survey. We presented a comparative test carried out in a tunnel stretch to calibrate the instrumentation on a benchmark site. The choice of the site is motivated by its regular geometry and easy accessibility. According to the result obtained in the calibration site, we presented a methodology, based on the Structure from Motion approach that resulted in the best compromise among accuracy, feasibility, and cost-effectiveness, that could be adopted for the three-dimensional survey of complex natural caves using a sequence of images and the structure from motion algorithm. The methods consider two different approaches to obtain a low resolution complete three-dimensional model of the cave and ultra-detailed models of most peculiar cave morphological elements. The proposed system was tested in the Gazzano Cave (Piemonte region, Northwestern Italy). The obtained result is a three-dimensional model of the cave at low resolution due to the site's extension and the remarkable amount of data. Additionally, a peculiar speleothem, i.e., a stalagmite, in the cave was surveyed at high resolution to test the proposed high-resolution approach on a single object. The benchmark and the cave trials allowed a better definition of the instrumentation choice for underground surveys regarding accuracy and feasibility. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

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The knowledge of crop evapotranspiration is crucial for several hydrological processes, including those related to the management of agricultural water sources. In particular, the estimations of actual evapotranspiration fluxes within fields are essential to managing irrigation strategies to save water and preserve water resources. Among the indirect methods to estimate actual evapotranspiration, ET a , the eddy covariance (EC) method allows to acquire continuous measurement of latent heat flux (LE). However, the time series of EC measurements are sometimes characterized by a lack of data due to the sensors' malfunctions. At this aim, Machine Learning (ML) techniques could represent a powerful tool to fill possible gaps in the time series. In this paper, the ML technique was applied using the Gaussian Process Regression (GPR) algorithm to fill gaps in daily actual evapotranspiration. The technique was tested in six different plots, two in Italy, three in the United States of America, and one in Canada, with different crops and climatic conditions in order to consider the suitability of the ML model in various contexts. For each site, the climate variables were not the same, therefore, the performance of the method was investigated on the basis of the available information. Initially, a comparison of ground and reanalysis data, where both databases were available, and between two different satellite products, when both databases were available, have been conducted. Then, the GPR model was tested. The mean and the covariance functions were set by considering a database of climate variables, soil water status measurements, and remotely sensed vegetation indices. Then, five different combinations of variables were analyzed to verify the suitability of the ML approach when limited input data are available or when the weather variables are replaced with reanalysis data. Cross-validation was used to assess the performance of the procedure. The model performances were assessed based on the statistical indicators: Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), coefficient of determination (R2), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), regression coefficient (b), and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient (NSE). The quite high Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) coefficient, and the root mean square error (RMSE) low values confirm the suitability of the proposed algorithm. • GPR algorithm is suitable to fill gaps in daily ET a time series. • The best m(x) and k(x,x') functions required by the GPR algorithm were identified. • The best results were obtained when the dataset included climate data, SWC and VIs. • The use of ERA5-L data and VIs retrieved by Sentinel 2 or MODIS is a good alternative. • GPR algorithm was tested for different crops in continental and temperate zones. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The field of additive manufacturing, particularly 3D printing, has ushered in a significant transformation in the realm of joint arthritis treatment through prosthetic surgery. This innovative technology allows for the creation of bespoke prosthetic devices that are tailored to meet the specific needs of individual patients. These devices are constructed using high-performance materials, including titanium and cobalt-chrome alloys. Nevertheless, the routine physical activities of patients, such as walking, sitting, and running, can induce wear and tear on the materials comprising these prosthetic devices, subsequently diminishing their functionality and durability. In response to this challenge, this research has endeavored to leverage novel techniques. The primary focus of this study lies in the development of an algorithm designed to optimize hip replacement procedures via the mechanical design of the prosthesis. This optimization process exploits the capabilities of machine learning algorithms, multi-body dynamics, and finite element method (FEM) simulations. The paramount innovation in this methodology is the capacity to design a prosthetic system that intricately adapts to the distinctive characteristics of each patient (weight, height, gait cycle). The primary objective of this research is to enhance the performance and longevity of prosthetic devices by improving their fatigue strength. The evaluation of load distribution on the prosthetic device, facilitated by FEM simulations, anticipates a substantial augmentation in the useful life of the prosthetic system. This research holds promise as a notable advancement in prosthetic technology, offering a more efficacious treatment option for patients suffering from joint arthritis. The aim of this research is to make meaningful contributions to the enhancement of patient quality of life and the long-term performance of prosthetic devices. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The aim of this study was to develop and test an artificial intelligence (AI)-based algorithm for detecting common technical errors in canine thoracic radiography. The algorithm was trained using a database of thoracic radiographs from three veterinary clinics in Italy, which were evaluated for image quality by three experienced veterinary diagnostic imagers. The algorithm was designed to classify the images as correct or having one or more of the following errors: rotation, underexposure, overexposure, incorrect limb positioning, incorrect neck positioning, blurriness, cut-off, or the presence of foreign objects, or medical devices. The algorithm was able to correctly identify errors in thoracic radiographs with an overall accuracy of 81.5% in latero-lateral and 75.7% in sagittal images. The most accurately identified errors were limb mispositioning and underexposure both in latero-lateral and sagittal images. The accuracy of the developed model in the classification of technically correct radiographs was fair in latero-lateral and good in sagittal images. The authors conclude that their AI-based algorithm is a promising tool for improving the accuracy of radiographic interpretation by identifying technical errors in canine thoracic radiographs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Resilience is defined as the ability to modify thoughts to cope with stressful events. Patients with schizophrenia (SCZ) having higher resilience (HR) levels show less severe symptoms and better real-life functioning. However, the clinical factors contributing to determine resilience levels in patients remain unclear. Thus, based on psychological, historical, clinical and environmental variables, we built a supervised machine learning algorithm to classify patients with HR or lower resilience (LR). Methods: SCZ from the Italian Network for Research on Psychoses (N = 598 in the Discovery sample, N = 298 in the Validation sample) underwent historical, clinical, psychological, environmental and resilience assessments. A Support Vector Machine algorithm (based on 85 variables extracted from the above-mentioned assessments) was built in the Discovery sample, and replicated in the Validation sample, to classify between HR and LR patients, within a nested, Leave-Site-Out Cross-Validation framework. We then investigated whether algorithm decision scores were associated with the cognitive and clinical characteristics of patients. Results: The algorithm classified patients as HR or LR with a Balanced Accuracy of 74.5% (p < 0.0001) in the Discovery sample, and 80.2% in the Validation sample. Higher self-esteem, larger social network and use of adaptive coping strategies were the variables most frequently chosen by the algorithm to generate decisions. Correlations between algorithm decision scores, socio-cognitive abilities, and symptom severity were significant (p FDR < 0.05). Conclusions: We identified an accurate, meaningful and generalizable clinical-psychological signature associated with resilience in SCZ. This study delivers relevant information regarding psychological and clinical factors that non-pharmacological interventions could target in schizophrenia. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

One of the problems of wound specialists is that they may not have enough time to assess the length and width of the wound. This problem is aggravated when they have to visit the wounds virtually. This paper presents a novel AI-based method for evaluation of the wound healing process. In this algorithm, a neural network is used to detect a combination of color spectra next to each other and a neural network is used to detect the distance of the wound from the camera via hand detection. Finally, the dimensions of the wound are obtained along with the analysis of its texture. The neural networks used are a deep networks and use intensive learning algorithms with less computational complexity than deep networks, which can be implemented on mobile processors as well. Networks are modified in a way that the additional connections between different nodes are removed without any change in performance. In this way, time and computational complexity are reduced. Then through the server, images of the wound and its analysis can be sent to different users, including doctors and medical centers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A reliable prediction of the spatio-temporal drought variation can lead to a reduction in vulnerability and an improvement in the management of drought-dependent businesses. In this study, three clustering algorithms, K-mean, Hierarchical and Expectation–Maximization, were first used to divide Southern Italy into homogeneous drought regions, based on gridded data of the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index forecasting with a 6 months' time scale (SPEI6). The Hierarchical algorithm identified five well-distinct clusters characterized by drought events of different duration and severity, considering the different morphoclimatic characteristics of the study area. Then, the mean SPEI6 time series were evaluated for each cluster and used to assess the evolutionary drought trends. In addition, two Machine Learning (ML) algorithms, M5P and Support Vector Regression (SVR), were also used to develop forecasting models for the SPEI6, without the need for additional exogenous inputs. Moreover, the Stacking ML technique was used to develop a hybrid model based on both individual M5P and SVR algorithms. The clustering-forecasting combination makes it possible to identify the evolutionary trends taking place in the various homogeneous areas in a concise but effective manner. The hybrid M5P-SVR model (R2 up to 0.91, minimum Root Mean Square Error RMSE = 0.38) outperformed both M5P (R2 up to 0.87, minimum RMSE = 0.42) and SVR (R2 up to 0.89, minimum RMSE = 0.39) models, showing to be particularly suitable for drought forecasting in areas with long and severe drought events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In recent years, immediate breast reconstruction after mastectomy surgery has steadily increased in the treatment pathway of breast cancer (BC) patients due to its potential impact on both the morpho-functional and aesthetic type of the breast and the quality of life. Although recent studies have demonstrated how recent radiotherapy techniques have allowed a reduction of adverse events related to breast reconstruction, capsular contracture (CC) remains the main complication after post-mastectomy radio-therapy (PMRT). In this study, we evaluated the association of the occurrence of CC with some clinical, histological and therapeutic parameters related to BC patients. We firstly performed bivariate statistical tests and we then evaluated the prognostic predictive power of the collected data by using machine learning techniques. Out of a sample of 59 patients referred to our institute, 28 patients (i.e., 47%) showed contracture after PMRT. As a result, only estrogen receptor status (ER) and molecular subtypes were significantly associated with the occurrence of CC after PMRT. Different machine learning models were trained on a subset of clinical features selected by a feature importance approach. Experimental results have shown that collected features have a non-negligible predictive power. The extreme gradient boosting classifier achieved an area under the curve (AUC) value of 68% and accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity values of 68%, 64%, and 74%, respectively. Such a support tool, after further suitable optimization and validation, would allow clinicians to identify the best therapeutic strategy and reconstructive timing. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

During the outbreak of a disease caused by a pathogen with unknown characteristics, the uncertainty of its progression parameters can be reduced by devising methods that, based on rational assumptions, exploit available information to provide actionable insights. In this study, performed a few (~6) weeks into the outbreak of COVID-19 (caused by SARS-CoV-2), one of the most important disease parameters, the average time-to-recovery, was calculated using data publicly available on the internet (daily reported cases of confirmed infections, deaths, and recoveries), and fed into an algorithm that matches confirmed cases with deaths and recoveries. Unmatched cases were adjusted based on the matched cases calculation. The mean time-to-recovery, calculated from all globally reported cases, was found to be 18.01 days (SD 3.31 days) for the matched cases and 18.29 days (SD 2.73 days) taking into consideration the adjusted unmatched cases as well. The proposed method used limited data and provided experimental results in the same region as clinical studies published several months later. This indicates that the proposed method, combined with expert knowledge and informed calculated assumptions, could provide a meaningful calculated average time-to-recovery figure, which can be used as an evidence-based estimation to support containment and mitigation policy decisions, even at the very early stages of an outbreak. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective: The aim of this study was to examine the processes involved in a guided self‐help (GSH) pre‐treatment intervention (RecoveryMANTRA) for patients with anorexia nervosa (AN), by measuring the levels of patient/mentor Language Style Matching (LSM). RecoveryMANTRA was supported by student mentors or peer mentors (recovered individuals) over six weekly chat‐based sessions. We examined whether LSM during RecoveryMANTRA predicted patients'working alliance with the clinic therapist, motivation, eating disorder (ED) and general psychopathology. A further aim was to examine differences in LSM between student mentors and peer mentors. Method: 87 AN adults received RecoveryMANTRA plus treatment as usual. The LSM algorithm was used to calculate verbal attunement between patient and mentor. Participants were assessed at baseline and at the end of the intervention. Results: Both early (1st session) and late (6th session) LSM predicted higher working alliance with the clinic therapist. Moreover, late LSM predicted lower EDs symptoms at the end of the RecoveryMANTRA intervention. Patient/peer mentor dyads showed higher late verbal attunement than patient/student mentor dyads. Conclusions: These findings suggests that in the early phase of treatment relational aspects can impact on engagement with treatment. Verbal attunement in a GSH for AN is associated with working alliance and better clinical outcome. Highlights: Language Style Matching (LSM) between patients and mentors in both the early and late phase of the RecoveryMANTRA intervention predicted higher working alliance with the clinic therapist.LSM in the last phase (6th session) was associated with lower eating disorders (EDs) symptoms at the end of the RecoveryMANTRA intervention.Patients/peer mentors dyads showed higher late LSM than patients/student mentors dyads. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Fibromyalgia (FM) is a chronic pain syndrome with an unclear etiology. In addition to pain, FM patients suffer from a diverse array of symptoms and comorbidities, encompassing fatigue, cognitive dysfunction, mood disorders, sleep deprivation, and dizziness. Due to the complexity of FM, the diagnosis and treatment of it are highly challenging. The aim of the present work was to investigate some clinical and psychological characteristics of FM patients, and to uncover possible correlations with pharmacological and non-pharmacological therapies. We conducted a cross-sectional, questionnaire-based study aimed at evaluating pain, psychological traits, and the self-perceived effectiveness of pharmacological and non-pharmacological treatments in an Italian population of FM patients. Descriptive statistics, correlation, and inference analyses were performed. We found a prevalence of a neuropathic/nociplastic type of pain, which correlated with psychological traits such as anxiety, low mood, psychophysical discomfort, and the inability to relax. The pain type and psychological traits proved to play a role in determining the self-perceived effectiveness of therapeutic interventions. Patients revealed a better response to non-pharmacological therapies, particularly dietary interventions, relaxation techniques, and psychotherapy rather than pharmacological interventions. The sum of our data indicates that for better outcomes, the type of pain and psychological traits should be considered for tailor-made treatments considering non-pharmacological protocols as a complement to the use of drugs. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

With seismic catalogues becoming progressively larger, extracting information becomes challenging and calls upon using sophisticated statistical analysis. Data are typically clustered by machine learning algorithms to find patterns or identify regions of interest that require further exploration. Here, we investigate two density-based clustering algorithms, DBSCAN and OPTICS, for their capability to analyse the spatial distribution of seismicity and their effectiveness in discovering highly active seismic volumes of arbitrary shapes in large data sets. In particular, we study the influence of varying input parameters on the cluster solutions. By exploring the parameter space, we identify a crossover region with optimal solutions in between two phases with opposite behaviours (i.e. only clustered and only unclustered data points). Using a synthetic case with various geometric structures, we find that solutions in the crossover region consistently have the largest clusters and best represent the individual structures. For identifying strong anisotropic structures, we illustrate the usefulness of data rescaling. Applying the clustering algorithms to seismic catalogues of recent earthquake sequences (2016 Central Italy and 2016 Kumamoto) confirms that cluster solutions in the crossover region are the best candidates to identify 3-D features of tectonic structures that were activated in a seismic sequence. Finally, we propose a list of recipes that generalizes our analyses to obtain such solutions for other seismic sequences. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The Respiratory Disturbance Index (RDI) computed by an implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) algorithm accurately identifies severe sleep apnea (SA). In the present analysis, we tested the hypothesis that RDI could also predict atrial fibrillation (AF) burden. Methods: Patients with ejection fraction ≤35% implanted with an ICD were enrolled and followed up for 24 months. One month after implantation, patients underwent a polysomnographic study. The weekly mean RDI value was considered, as calculated during the entire follow‐up period and over a 1‐week period preceding the sleep study. The endpoints were as follows: daily AF burden of ≥5 min, ≥6 h, ≥23 h. Results: Here, 164 patients had usable RDI values during the entire follow‐up period. Severe SA (RDI ≥ 30 episodes/h) was diagnosed in 92 (56%) patients at the time of the sleep study. During follow‐up, AF burden ≥ 5 min/day was documented in 70 (43%), ≥6 h/day in 48 (29%), and ≥23 h/day in 33 (20%) patients. Device‐detected RDI ≥ 30 episodes/h at the time of the polygraphy, as well as the polygraphy‐measured apnea hypopnea index ≥ 30 episodes/h, were not associated with the occurrence of the endpoints, using a Cox regression model. However, using a time‐dependent model, continuously measured weekly mean RDI ≥ 30 episodes/h was independently associated with AF burden ≥ 5 min/day (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.13, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.24–3.65, p =.006), ≥6 h/day (HR: 2.75, 95% CI: 1.37–5.49, p =.004), and ≥23 h/day (HR: 2.26, 95% CI: 1.05–4.86, p =.037). Conclusions: In heart failure patients, ICD‐diagnosed severe SA on follow‐up data review identifies patients who are from two‐ to three‐fold more likely to experience an AF episode, according to various thresholds of daily AF burden. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background The proportion of reported causes of death (CoDs) that are not underlying causes can be relevant even in high-income countries and seriously affect health planning. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study identifies these 'garbage codes' (GCs) and redistributes them to underlying causes using evidence-based algorithms. Planners relying on vital registration data will find discrepancies with GBD estimates. We analyse these discrepancies, through the analysis of GCs and their redistribution. Methods We explored the case of Italy, at national and regional level, and compared it to nine other Western European countries with similar population sizes. We analysed differences between official data and GBD 2019 estimates, for the period 1990–2017 for which we had vital registration data for most select countries. Results In Italy, in 2017, 33 000 deaths were attributed to unspecified type of stroke and 15 000 to unspecified type of diabetes, these making a fourth of the overall garbage. Significant heterogeneity exists on the overall proportion of GCs, type (unspecified or impossible underlying causes), and size of specific GCs among regions in Italy, and among the select countries. We found no pattern between level of garbage and relevance of specific GCs. Even locations performing below average show interesting lower levels for certain GCs if compared to better performing countries. Conclusions This systematic analysis suggests the heterogeneity in GC levels and causes, paired with a more detailed analysis of local practices, strengths and weaknesses, could be a positive element in a strategy for the reduction of GCs in Italy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Handwriting is an acquired complex cognitive and motor skill resulting from the activation of a widespread brain network. Handwriting therefore may provide biologically relevant information on health status. Also, handwriting can be collected easily in an ecological scenario, through safe, cheap, and largely available tools. Hence, objective handwriting analysis through artificial intelligence would represent an innovative strategy for telemedicine purposes in healthy subjects and people affected by neurological disorders. Materials and Methods: One-hundred and fifty-six healthy subjects (61 males; 49.6 ± 20.4 years) were enrolled and divided according to age into three subgroups: Younger adults (YA), middle-aged adults (MA), and older adults (OA). Participants performed an ecological handwriting task that was digitalized through smartphones. Data underwent the DBNet algorithm for measuring and comparing the average stroke sizes in the three groups. A convolutional neural network (CNN) was also used to classify handwriting samples. Lastly, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and sensitivity, specificity, positive, negative predictive values (PPV, NPV), accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated to report the performance of the algorithm. Results: Stroke sizes were significantly smaller in OA than in MA and YA. The CNN classifier objectively discriminated YA vs. OA (sensitivity = 82%, specificity = 80%, PPV = 78%, NPV = 79%, accuracy = 77%, and AUC = 0.84), MA vs. OA (sensitivity = 84%, specificity = 56%, PPV = 78%, NPV = 73%, accuracy = 74%, and AUC = 0.7), and YA vs. MA (sensitivity = 75%, specificity = 82%, PPV = 79%, NPV = 83%, accuracy = 79%, and AUC = 0.83). Discussion: Handwriting progressively declines with human aging. The effect of physiological aging on handwriting abilities can be detected remotely and objectively by using machine learning algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The paper presents a machine-learning based framework, named VULMA (VULnerability analysis using MAchine-learning), for vulnerability analysis of existing buildings. The underlying idea is to provide an indication of the seismic vulnerability by exploiting available photographs, which can be properly processed to provide some input data for empirical vulnerability algorithms. To this scope, a complete processing pipeline has been defined, which consists in four consecutive modules offering different and specific services. The first module, Street VULMA , performs the image gathering starting from the raw data; the second module, Data VULMA , provides a mean for the data labelling and storage; the third module, Bi VULMA , uses the collected data to train several machine-learning models for image classification; the fourth module, In VULMA , performs a ranking of the images, their analysis and consequently assigns the vulnerability index. The proposed procedure has been employed on the existing building portfolio in an extended area of the municipality of Bisceglie, Puglia, Southern Italy, for which all the modules have been tested and, above all, the machine-learning models of Bi VULMA have been trained. After, in order to test the efficiency and the reliability of the proposed tools, the entire procedure has been applied on five case study buildings. The results in terms of vulnerability index have been compared with the manual computations performed by the authors applying the same algorithm. Despite the proposed tool could be improved or modified in some of its modules, the obtained results show a good effectiveness of VULMA , which opens new scenarios in the field of vulnerability assessment procedures and risk mitigation strategies. • Proposal of a framework for the vulnerability analysis of existing building starting from a photo: VULMA ; • Definition of the four modules characterizing VULMA: Street VULMA , Data VULMA , Bi VULMA and In VULMA ; • Application and training of the proposed procedure to a dataset extracted from a municipality of Southern Italy and testing and validation of the tool; • Assessment and proposal of VULMA as new instrument for the definition of the vulnerability response of individual buildings and for the seismic risk estimate at large-scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper considers the modernization of an existing non-commercial Pulse Duplicator in use at the Healing Research Laboratory at the University of Padova, Italy. The system reproduces human systemic circulation and it is used to test heart medical devices. The focus of this study is the full automation of a crucial system component that is the peripheral resistance manual valve that is replaced by a motorized one. First, under certain technological constraints, the problem of the automatic setting adjustment of the valve is tackled by using a Sliding Mode Extremum Seeking Control (ESC) method. This approach guarantees the system fundamental pressure drop to simulate the peripheral resistance to flow in the human systemic circulation in various system configurations and operating conditions. Then, the Sliding Mode ESC algorithm is embedded in an Arduino board driving the motorized valve. Finally, experimental tests are performed to assess the effectiveness of the motorized valve. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The COVID-19 pandemic has impacted on every human activity and, because of the urgency of finding the proper responses to such an unprecedented emergency, it generated a diffused societal debate. The online version of this discussion was not exempted by the presence of misinformation campaigns, but, differently from what already witnessed in other debates, the COVID-19 -intentional or not- flow of false information put at severe risk the public health, possibly reducing the efficacy of government countermeasures. In this manuscript, we study the effective impact of misinformation in the Italian societal debate on Twitter during the pandemic, focusing on the various discursive communities. In order to extract such communities, we start by focusing on verified users, i.e., accounts whose identity is officially certified by Twitter. We start by considering each couple of verified users and count how many unverified ones interacted with both of them via tweets or retweets: if this number is statically significant, i.e. so great that it cannot be explained only by their activity on the online social network, we can consider the two verified accounts as similar and put a link connecting them in a monopartite network of verified users. The discursive communities can then be found by running a community detection algorithm on this network. We observe that, despite being a mostly scientific subject, the COVID-19 discussion shows a clear division in what results to be different political groups. We filter the network of retweets from random noise and check the presence of messages displaying URLs. By using the well known browser extension NewsGuard, we assess the trustworthiness of the most recurrent news sites, among those tweeted by the political groups. The impact of low reputable posts reaches the 22.1% in the right and center-right wing community and its contribution is even stronger in absolute numbers, due to the activity of this group: 96% of all non reputable URLs shared by political groups come from this community. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Bed sills are a kind of grade control structure built at the same level as the river bed to protect it against erosion and to reduce the longitudinal slope of the channel. The aim of the present research was to determine the optimal dimensions of the structure by devising a new methodology to minimize cost and maximize stability, based on the optimization model of the multi-objective non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm (NSGA-II). This is achieved by calculating the width, height and distance between bed sills with these stability and cost objectives in mind. The NSGA-II algorithm is applied to solve the problem, and a set of Pareto points is obtained. The results are verified by considering the bed sills of the River Madarsoo in Iran and the River Plima in Italy, and comparing the results with those obtained using the Branch-and-Bound (B-and-B) algorithm. The results indicate that the cost and stability could respectively be improved by up to 18 and 20% in the River Madarsoo, and up to 18 and 26% in the River Plima, if the NSGA-II algorithm is used. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The HLA‐DPB1 locus has been demonstrated to have a significant role on patients' outcome after allogeneic HSCT, and the so‐called T‐cell epitope (TCE) algorithm has been incorporated in international guidelines for the selection of unrelated donors. The purpose of the present study is to measure, through a national survey conducted on behalf of the Associazione Italiana di Immunogenetica e Biologia dei Trapianti (AIBT), the extent of awareness and use of HLA‐DPB1 TCE‐based algorithms during the donor search. 89% of the HLA laboratories answered to a short questionnaire and the results showed a progressive increase of the laboratories typing DPB1 in patients and their potential donors during the search (from 44% to 79% during the 2010–2019 period) as well as the application of a TCE‐based algorithm for the donor choice whenever possible (from 24% to 65% during the same period). The DP‐permissiveness status is detailed in the official HLA typing report by 12%, 32% and 50% of laboratories in 2010, 2015 and 2019, respectively. The present data indicate an encouraging raise in the awareness of the HLA‐DPB1 role in unrelated donor selection; noteworthy, mentioning the TCE‐based permissiveness status in the HLA typing report of each potential unrelated donor represents a notable mean to raise awareness among transplant physicians and to support them in their task of choosing the best donor. Nonetheless, despite the compelling evidence of the predictive ability of TCE‐based algorithms, further efforts are still needed to extend its application to all transplant centers in Italy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this study, performed on a set of twenty-two earthquakes that occurred in central Italy between 2019 and 2020, we will explore the possibility to locate the hypocenter of local events by using a ring laser gyroscope observing the vertical ground rotation and a standard broadband seismometer. A picking algorithm exploiting the four components (4C) polarization properties of the wavefield is used to identify the first shear onset transversely polarized (SH). The wavefield direction is estimated by correlation between the vertical rotation rate and the transverse acceleration. The picked times for Pg and Sg onsets are compared to the ones obtained after manual revision on the GIGS station seismometer. The results are compared with the location provided by the national monitoring service of the INGV. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Scientific names are not part of everyday language in any modern country, and their input as strings in a query system can be easily associated with typographical errors. While globally unique identifiers univocally address a taxon name, they can hardly be used for querying a database manually. Thus, matching algorithms are often used to overcome misspelled names in query systems in several data repositories worldwide. In order to improve users' experience in the use of FlorItaly, the Portal to the Flora of Italy, a near match algorithm to resolve misspelled scientific names has been integrated in the query systems. In addition, a novel tool in FlorItaly, capable of rapidly aligning any list of names to the nomenclatural backbone provided by the national checklists, has been developed. This manuscript aims at describing the potential of these new tools. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]