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Objective: Body mass index (BMI) is the primary criterion differentiating anorexia nervosa (AN) and atypical anorexia nervosa despite prior literature indicating few differences between disorders. Machine learning (ML) classification provides us an efficient means of accurately distinguishing between two meaningful classes given any number of features. The aim of the present study was to determine if ML algorithms can accurately distinguish AN and atypical AN given an ensemble of features excluding BMI, and if not, if the inclusion of BMI enables ML to accurately classify between the two. Methods: Using an aggregate sample from seven studies consisting of individuals with AN and atypical AN who completed baseline questionnaires (N = 448), we used logistic regression, decision tree, and random forest ML classification models each trained on two datasets, one containing demographic, eating disorder, and comorbid features without BMI, and one retaining all features and BMI. Results: Model performance for all algorithms trained with BMI as a feature was deemed acceptable (mean accuracy = 74.98%, mean area under the receiving operating characteristics curve [AUC] = 74.75%), whereas model performance diminished without BMI (mean accuracy = 59.37%, mean AUC = 59.98%). Discussion: Model performance was acceptable, but not strong, if BMI was included as a feature; no other features meaningfully improved classification. When BMI was excluded, ML algorithms performed poorly at classifying cases of AN and atypical AN when considering other demographic and clinical characteristics. Results suggest a reconceptualization of atypical AN should be considered. Public Significance: There is a growing debate about the differences between anorexia nervosa and atypical anorexia nervosa as their diagnostic differentiation relies on BMI despite being similar otherwise. We aimed to see if machine learning could distinguish between the two disorders and found accurate classification only if BMI was used as a feature. This finding calls into question the need to differentiate between the two disorders. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been used for thousands of years and has been proven to be effective at treating many complicated illnesses with minimal side effects. The application and advancement of TCM are, however, constrained by the absence of objective measuring standards due to its relatively abstract diagnostic methods and syndrome differentiation theories. Ongoing developments in machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL), specifically in computer vision (CV) and natural language processing (NLP), offer novel opportunities to modernize TCM by exploring the profound connotations of its theory. This review begins with an overview of the ML and DL methods employed in TCM; this is followed by practical instances of these applications. Furthermore, extensive discussions emphasize the mature integration of ML and DL in TCM, such as tongue diagnosis, pulse diagnosis, and syndrome differentiation treatment, highlighting their early successful application in the TCM field. Finally, this study validates the accomplishments and addresses the problems and challenges posed by the application and development of TCM powered by ML and DL. As ML and DL techniques continue to evolve, modern technology will spark new advances in TCM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: This study aimed to investigate the value of nonenhanced computed tomography (CT)‐based radiomics in determining disease progression in breast cancer patients with bone marrow metastases and to develop a model for assessing treatment efficacy. Methods: A total of 134 breast cancer patients with bone metastases were enrolled from three hospitals. Nonenhanced CT was performed after two cycles of drug treatment. The images were categorized into an invalid and a valid group according to disease progression status. The largest osteolytic lesions' maximum cross‐sections in the CT images were selected as regions of interest (ROIs) for feature extraction. Variance threshold, SelectKBest, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used to reduce feature dimensionality. K‐nearest neighbor algorithm (KNN), support vector machine (SVM), extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost), random forest (RF), logistic regression (LR), and decision tree (DT) algorithms were trained to establish radiomics models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the models. Results: The KNN classifier demonstrated the best performance compared to the random grouping method. In the validation group, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) was 0.810. In the cross‐validation method, the RF classifier showed the best performance with an AUC of 0.84. Conclusion: Nonenhanced CT‐based radiomics provides a promising method for evaluating the efficacy of systemic drug therapy in breast cancer patients with osteolytic bone metastases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Class noise is a common issue that affects the performance of classification techniques on real-world data sets. Class noise appears when a class variable in data sets has incorrect class labels. In the case of noisy data, the robustness of classification techniques against noise could be more important than the performance results on noise-free data sets. The decision tree method is one of the most popular techniques for classification tasks. The C4.5, CART, and random forest (RF) algorithms are considered to be three of the most used algorithms in decision trees. The aim of this paper is to reach conclusions on which decision tree algorithm is better to use for building decision trees in terms of its performance and robustness against class noise. In order to achieve this aim, we study and compare the performance of the models when applied to class variables with noise. The results obtained indicate that the RF algorithm is more robust to data sets with noisy class variable than other algorithms. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: Well-trained staff is needed to interpret cardiopulmonary exercise tests (CPET). We aimed to examine the accuracy of machine learning–based algorithms to classify exercise limitations and their severity in clinical practice compared with expert consensus using patients presenting at a pulmonary clinic. Methods: This study included 200 historical CPET data sets (48.5% female) of patients older than 40 yr referred for CPET because of unexplained dyspnea, preoperative examination, and evaluation of therapy progress. Data sets were independently rated by experts according to the severity of pulmonary–vascular, mechanical–ventilatory, cardiocirculatory, and muscular limitations using a visual analog scale. Decision trees and random forests analyses were calculated. Results: Mean deviations between experts in the respective limitation categories ranged from 1.0 to 1.1 points (SD, 1.2) before consensus. Random forests identified parameters of particular importance for detecting specific constraints. Central parameters were nadir ventilatory efficiency for CO2, ventilatory efficiency slope for CO2 (pulmonary–vascular limitations); breathing reserve, forced expiratory volume in 1 s, and forced vital capacity (mechanical–ventilatory limitations); and peak oxygen uptake, O2 uptake/work rate slope, and % change of the latter (cardiocirculatory limitations). Thresholds differentiating between different limitation severities were reported. The accuracy of the most accurate decision tree of each category was comparable to expert ratings. Finally, a combined decision tree was created quantifying combined system limitations within one patient. Conclusions: Machine learning–based algorithms may be a viable option to facilitate the interpretation of CPET and identify exercise limitations. Our findings may further support clinical decision making and aid the development of standardized rating instruments. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The burden of lumbar degenerative diseases (LDD) has increased substantially with the unprecedented aging population. Identifying elderly patients with high risk of postoperative adverse events (AEs) and establishing individualized perioperative management is critical to mitigate added costs and optimize cost-effectiveness to the healthcare system. We aimed to develop a predictive tool for AEs in elderly patients with transforaminal lumbar interbody fusion (TLIF), utilizing multivariate logistic regression, single classification and regression tree (hereafter, "classification tree"), and random forest machine learning algorithms. Methods: This study was a retrospective review of a prospective Geriatric Lumbar Disease Database (age ≥ 65). Our outcome measure was postoperative AEs, including prolonged hospital stays, postoperative complications, readmission, and reoperation within 90 days. Patients were grouped as either having at least one adverse event (AEs group) or not (No-AEs group). Three models for predicting postoperative AEs were developed using training dataset and internal validation using testing dataset. Finally, online tool was developed to assess its validity in the clinical setting (external validation). Results: The development set included 1025 patients (mean [SD] age, 72.8 [5.6] years; 632 [61.7%] female), and the external validation set included 175 patients (73.2 [5.9] years; 97 [55.4%] female). The predictive ability of our three models was comparable, with no significant differences in AUC (0.73 vs. 0.72 vs. 0.70, respectively). The logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. A nomogram based on logistic regression was developed, and the C-index of external validation for AEs was 0.69 (95% CI 0.65–0.76). Conclusion: The predictive ability of our three models was comparable. Logistic regression model had a higher net benefit for clinical intervention than the other models. Our nomogram and online tool (https://xuanwumodel.shinyapps.io/Model%5ffor%5fAEs/) could inform physicians about elderly patients with a high risk of AEs within the 90 days after TLIF surgery. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Recently, there has been an increase in telemedicine applied to child neuropsychiatry, such as the use of online platforms to collect remotely case histories and demographic and behavioral information. In the present proof-of-concept study, we aimed to understand to what extent information parents and teachers provide through online questionnaires overlaps with clinicians' diagnostic conclusions on attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD). Moreover, we intended to explore a possible role that autism spectrum disorders (ASD) symptoms played in this process. We examined parent- and teacher-rated questionnaires collected remotely and an on-site evaluation of intelligence quotients from 342 subjects (18% females), aged 3–16 years, and referred for suspected ADHD. An easily interpretable machine learning model—decision tree (DT)—was built to simulate the clinical process of classifying ADHD/non-ADHD based on collected data. Then, we tested the DT model's predictive accuracy through a cross-validation approach. The DT classifier's performance was compared with those that other machine learning models achieved, such as random forest and support vector machines. Differences in ASD symptoms in the DT-identified classes were tested to address their role in performing a diagnostic error using the DT model. The DT identified the decision rules clinicians adopt to classify an ADHD diagnosis with an 82% accuracy rate. Regarding the cross-validation experiment, our DT model reached a predictive accuracy of 74% that was similar to those of other classification algorithms. The caregiver-reported ADHD core symptom severity proved the most discriminative information for clinicians during the diagnostic decision process. However, ASD symptoms were a confounding factor when ADHD severity had to be established. Telehealth procedures proved effective in obtaining an automated output regarding a diagnostic risk, reducing the time delay between symptom detection and diagnosis. However, this should not be considered an alternative to on-site procedures but rather as automated support for clinical practice, enabling clinicians to allocate further resources to the most complex cases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Economic progress has been founded on environmental pressure by generating all types of environmental harm, such as an increase in greenhouse gases in the atmosphere and significant climate change, which has forced people to reflect. Building a people-oriented, comprehensive, coordinated system to compile experience and lessons assists the government in formulating appropriate policies according to the meaning of the scientific development viewpoint. Based on the above, this research designs Cost–Benefit Decision Tree (CBDT) Algorithm for the economic protection development level using a Decision Tree (DT) and Ensemble Algorithm. In the design of ML Algorithm, this research work initially introduces the Decision Tree model for economic protection evaluation by emphasizing its value as a basic machine-learning framework for fully examining many aspects of economic protection development. Second, it investigates the critical role of Ensemble Algorithms, such as Random Forest in augmenting the capabilities of DT. Third, the paper focuses on the development of a complete Economic Protection Evaluation Index System using the DT Algorithm. To provide a robust, scientifically sound, and practicable framework for evaluating economic protection, this approach integrates scientificity, comparability, systematization, hierarchy, relative decoupling, and data availability principles. Finally, the study constructs the suggested ML Algorithm using the insights from the preceding parts. This algorithm combines the Decision Tree and Random Forest models to generate a single, effective tool for evaluating economic development levels. The experimental findings suggest that the proposed hybrid assessment technique is effective across several dimensions. The proposed CBDT demonstrated its capacity to adapt to changing data circumstances in evaluating low-carbon efficiency using real-world data from 30 major Chinese cities. Furthermore, the algorithm regularly beats rival techniques regarding efficiency improvements, with an average improvement of 12.5% across all cities. Notably, it outperforms other algorithms regarding computational efficiency, with a quicker execution time and an exceptional accuracy rate of 93.2%. The proposed ML Algorithm improves decision-making in the economic protection development level field by effectively balancing cost and benefit considerations. It will improve accuracy and efficiency to outperform existing approaches, thereby advancing economic protection evaluation and decision-making processes in this domain. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD) is a neurodevelopmental disorder, often associated with social and communication challenges and whose prevalence has increased significantly over the past two decades. The variety of different manifestations of ASD makes the condition difficult to diagnose, especially in the case of highly independent adults. A large body of work is dedicated to developing new and improved diagnostic techniques, emphasising approaches that rely on objective markers. One such paradigm is investigating eye-tracking data as a promising and objective method to capture attention-related differences between people with and without autism. This study builds upon prior work in this area that focussed on developing a machine-learning classifier trained on gaze data from web-related tasks to detect ASD in adults. Using the same data, we show that a new data pre-processing approach, combined with an exploration of the performance of different classification algorithms, leads to an increased classification accuracy compared to prior work. The proposed approach to data pre-processing is stimulus-independent, suggesting that the improvements in performance shown in these experiments can potentially generalise over other studies that use eye-tracking data for predictive purposes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: A no-show appointment occurs when a patient does not attend a previously booked appointment. This situation can cause other problems, such as discontinuity of patient treatments as well as a waste of both human and financial resources. One of the latest approaches to address this issue is predicting no-shows using machine learning techniques. This study aims to propose a predictive analytical approach for developing a patient no-show appointment model in Hospital Kuala Lumpur (HKL) using machine learning algorithms. Methods: This study uses outpatient data from the HKL's Patient Management System (SPP) throughout 2019. The final data set has 246,943 appointment records with 13 attributes used for both descriptive and predictive analyses. The predictive analysis was carried out using seven machine learning algorithms, namely, logistic regression (LR), decision tree (DT), k-near neighbours (k-NN), Naïve Bayes (NB), random forest (RF), gradient boosting (GB) and multilayer perceptron (MLP). Results: The descriptive analysis showed that the no-show rate was 28%, and attributes such as the month of the appointment and the gender of the patient seem to influence the possibility of a patient not showing up . Evaluation of the predictive model found that the GB model had the highest accuracy of 78%, F1 score of 0.76 and area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.65. Conclusion: The predictive model could be used to formulate intervention steps to reduce no-shows, improving patient care quality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The progressive ageing in developed countries entails an increase in multimorbidity. Population-wide predictive models for adverse health outcomes are crucial to address these growing healthcare needs. The main objective of this study is to develop and validate a population-based prognostic model to predict the probability of unplanned hospitalization in the Basque Country, through comparing the performance of a logistic regression model and three families of machine learning models. Methods: Using age, sex, diagnoses and drug prescriptions previously transformed by the Johns Hopkins Adjusted Clinical Groups (ACG) System, we predict the probability of unplanned hospitalization in the Basque Country (2.2 million inhabitants) using several techniques. When dealing with non-deterministic algorithms, comparing a single model per technique is not enough to choose the best approach. Thus, we conduct 40 experiments per family of models - Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Decision Trees and Multilayer Perceptrons - and compare them to Logistic Regression. Models' performance are compared both population-wide and for the 20,000 patients with the highest predicted probabilities, as a hypothetical high-risk group to intervene on. Results: The best-performing technique is Multilayer Perceptron, followed by Gradient Boosting Decision Trees, Logistic Regression and Random Forest. Multilayer Perceptrons also have the lowest variability, around an order of magnitude less than Random Forests. Median area under the ROC curve, average precision and positive predictive value range from 0.789 to 0.802, 0.237 to 0.257 and 0.485 to 0.511, respectively. For Brier Score the median values are 0.048 for all techniques. There is some overlap between the algorithms. For instance, Gradient Boosting Decision Trees perform better than Logistic Regression more than 75% of the time, but not always. Conclusions: All models have good global performance. The only family that is consistently superior to Logistic Regression is Multilayer Perceptron, showing a very reliable performance with the lowest variability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The most common methods to detect non-technical losses involve Deep Learning-based classifiers and samples of consumption remotely collected several times a day through Smart Meters (SMs) and Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI). This approach requires a huge amount of data, and training is computationally expensive. However, most energy meters in emerging countries such as Brazil are technologically limited. These devices can measure only the accumulated energy consumption monthly. This work focuses on detecting energy theft in scenarios without AMI and SM. We propose a strategy called HyMOTree intended for the hyperparameter tuning of tree-based algorithms using different multiobjective optimization strategies. Our main contributions are associating different multiobjective optimization strategies to improve the classifier performance and analyzing the model's performance given different probability cutoff operations. HyMOTree combines NSGA-II and GDE-3 with Decision Tree, Random Forest, and XGboost. A dataset provided by a Brazilian power distribution company CPFL ENERGIA™ was used, and the SMOTE technique was applied to balance the data. The results show that HyMOTree performed better than the random search method, and then, the combination between Random Forest and NSGA-II achieved 0.95 and 0.93 for Precision and F1-Score, respectively. Field studies showed that inspections guided by HyMOTree achieved an accuracy of 76%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) has been practiced for thousands of years with clinical efficacy. Natural products and their effective agents such as artemisinin and paclitaxel have saved millions of lives worldwide. Artificial intelligence is being increasingly deployed in TCM. By summarizing the principles and processes of deep learning and traditional machine learning algorithms, analyzing the application of machine learning in TCM, reviewing the results of previous studies, this study proposed a promising future perspective based on the combination of machine learning, TCM theory, chemical compositions of natural products, and computational simulations based on molecules and chemical compositions. In the first place, machine learning will be utilized in the effective chemical components of natural products to target the pathological molecules of the disease which could achieve the purpose of screening the natural products on the basis of the pathological mechanisms they target. In this approach, computational simulations will be used for processing the data for effective chemical components, generating datasets for analyzing features. In the next step, machine learning will be used to analyze the datasets on the basis of TCM theories such as the superposition of syndrome elements. Finally, interdisciplinary natural product-syndrome research will be established by unifying the results of the two steps outlined above, potentially realizing an intelligent artificial intelligence diagnosis and treatment model based on the effective chemical components of natural products under the guidance of TCM theory. This perspective outlines an innovative application of machine learning in the clinical practice of TCM based on the investigation of chemical molecules under the guidance of TCM theory. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Approximately one-third of the veteran population suffers from post-traumatic stress disorder, a mental illness that is often co-morbid with social anxiety disorder. Student veterans are especially vulnerable as they struggle to adapt to a new, less structured lifestyle with few peers who understand their difficulties. To support mental health experts in the treatment of social anxiety disorder, this study utilized machine learning to detect anxiety in text transcribed from interviews with patients and applied topic modeling to highlight common stress factors for student veterans. We approach our anxiety detection task by exploring both deep learning and traditional machine learning strategies such as transformers, transfer learning, and support vector classifiers. Our models provide a tool to support psychologists and social workers in treating social anxiety. The results detailed in this paper could also have broader impacts in fields such as pedagogy and public health.1 [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: To develop and validate models based on logistic regression and artificial intelligence for prognostic prediction of molar survival in periodontally affected patients. Materials and Methods: Clinical and radiographic data from four different centres across four continents (two in Europe, one in the United States, and one in China) including 515 patients and 3157 molars were collected and used to train and test different types of machine‐learning algorithms for their prognostic ability of molar loss over 10 years. The following models were trained: logistic regression, support vector machine, K‐nearest neighbours, decision tree, random forest, artificial neural network, gradient boosting, and naive Bayes. In addition, different models were aggregated by means of the ensembled stacking method. The primary outcome of the study was related to the prediction of overall molar loss (MLO) in patients after active periodontal treatment. Results: The general performance in the external validation settings (aggregating three cohorts) revealed that the ensembled model, which combined neural network and logistic regression, showed the best performance among the different models for the prediction of MLO with an area under the curve (AUC) = 0.726. The neural network model showed the best AUC of 0.724 for the prediction of periodontitis‐related molar loss. In addition, the ensembled model showed the best calibration performance. Conclusions: Through a multi‐centre collaboration, both prognostic models for the prediction of molar loss were developed and externally validated. The ensembled model showed the best performance in terms of both discrimination and validation, and it is made freely available to clinicians for widespread use in clinical practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simple Summary: In the Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS), liver observations are categorized as LR1-LR5 according to the probability of benign and hepatoma on the basis of major features. Subsequent adjustment is allowed using ancillary features (AFs). However, the LI-RADS does not provide specific guidelines. In this study, we determined the utilization of a machine-learning-based strategy of applying AFs to LR3/4 on MRI. Our decision tree algorithm of applying AFs for LR3/4 provides significantly higher AUC, sensitivity, and accuracy than those of other methods, albeit reduced specificity. These appear to be usefully employed in certain circumstances in which there is a focus on the early detection of hepatoma. Background: This study aimed to identify the important ancillary features (AFs) and determine the utilization of a machine-learning-based strategy for applying AFs for LI-RADS LR3/4 observations on gadoxetate disodium-enhanced MRI. Methods: We retrospectively analyzed MRI features of LR3/4 determined with only major features. Uni- and multivariate analyses and random forest analysis were performed to identify AFs associated with HCC. A decision tree algorithm of applying AFs for LR3/4 was compared with other alternative strategies using McNemar's test. Results: We evaluated 246 observations from 165 patients. In multivariate analysis, restricted diffusion and mild–moderate T2 hyperintensity showed independent associations with HCC (odds ratios: 12.4 [p < 0.001] and 2.5 [p = 0.02]). In random forest analysis, restricted diffusion is the most important feature for HCC. Our decision tree algorithm showed higher AUC, sensitivity, and accuracy (0.84, 92.0%, and 84.5%) than the criteria of usage of restricted diffusion (0.78, 64.5%, and 76.4%; all p < 0.05); however, our decision tree algorithm showed lower specificity than the criterion of usage of restricted diffusion (71.1% vs. 91.3%; p < 0.001). Conclusion: Our decision tree algorithm of applying AFs for LR3/4 shows significantly increased AUC, sensitivity, and accuracy but reduced specificity. These appear to be more appropriate in certain circumstances in which there is an emphasis on the early detection of HCC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The use of machine learning has the potential to estimate the probability of a second classification event more accurately than traditional statistical methods, and few previous studies on predicting new fractures after osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures (OVCFs) have focussed on this point. The aim of this study was to explore whether several different machine learning models could produce better predictions than logistic regression models and to select an optimal model. Methods: A retrospective analysis of 529 patients who underwent percutaneous kyphoplasty (PKP) for OVCFs at our institution between June 2017 and June 2020 was performed. The patient data were used to create machine learning (including decision trees (DT), random forests (RF), support vector machines (SVM), gradient boosting machines (GBM), neural networks (NNET), and regularized discriminant analysis (RDA)) and logistic regression models (LR) to estimate the probability of new fractures occurring after surgery. The dataset was divided into a training set (75%) and a test set (25%), and machine learning models were built in the training set after ten cross-validations, after which each model was evaluated in the test set, and model performance was assessed by comparing the area under the curve (AUC) of each model. Results: Among the six machine learning algorithms, except that the AUC of DT [0.775 (95% CI 0.728–0.822)] was lower than that of LR [0.831 (95% CI 0.783–0.878)], RA [0.953 (95% CI 0.927–0.980)], GBM [0.941 (95% CI 0.911–0.971)], SVM [0.869 (95% CI 0.827–0.910), NNET [0.869 (95% CI 0.826–0.912)], and RDA [0.890 (95% CI 0.851–0.929)] were all better than LR. Conclusions: For prediction of the probability of new fracture after PKP, machine learning algorithms outperformed logistic regression, with random forest having the strongest predictive power. Highlights: Machine learning significantly outperformed logistic regression models in predicting new fractures after osteoporotic vertebral compression fractures. The random forest model performs best among these machine learning models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Many modifiable and non-modifiable risk factors have been associated with hypertension. However, current screening programs are still failing in identifying individuals at higher risk of hypertension. Given the major impact of high blood pressure on cardiovascular events and mortality, there is an urgent need to find new strategies to improve hypertension detection. We aimed to explore whether a machine learning (ML) algorithm can help identifying individuals predictors of hypertension. We analysed the data set generated by the questionnaires administered during the World Hypertension Day from 2015 to 2019. A total of 20206 individuals have been included for analysis. We tested five ML algorithms, exploiting different balancing techniques. Moreover, we computed the performance of the medical protocol currently adopted in the screening programs. Results show that a gain of sensitivity reflects in a loss of specificity, bringing to a scenario where there is not an algorithm and a configuration which properly outperforms against the others. However, Random Forest provides interesting performances (0.818 sensitivity – 0.629 specificity) compared with medical protocols (0.906 sensitivity – 0.230 specificity). Detection of hypertension at a population level still remains challenging and a machine learning approach could help in making screening programs more precise and cost effective, when based on accurate data collection. More studies are needed to identify new features to be acquired and to further improve the performances of ML models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Sarcoma, the second common type of solid tumor in children and adolescents, has a wide variety of subtypes that are often not properly diagnosed at an early stage, leading to late metastases and causing serious loss of life and property to patients and families. It exhibits a high degree of heterogeneity at the cellular, molecular, and epigenetic levels, where DNA methylation has been proposed to play a role in the diagnosis of sarcoma subtypes. Thus, this study is aimed at finding potential biomarkers at the DNA methylation level to distinguish different sarcoma subtypes. A machine learning process was designed to analyse sarcoma samples, each of which was represented by lots of methylation sites. Irrelevant sites were removed using the Boruta method, and remaining sites related to the target variables were kept for further analyses. Afterward, three feature ranking methods (LASSO, LightGBM, and MCFS) were adopted to rank these features, and six classification models were constructed by combining incremental feature selection and two classification algorithms (decision tree and random forest). Among these models, the performance of RF model was higher than that of DT model under all three ranking conditions. The specific expression of genes obtained from the annotation of highly correlated methylation site features, such as PRKAR1B, INPP5A, and GLI3, was proven to be associated with sarcoma by publications. Moreover, the quantitative rules obtained by decision tree algorithm helped us to understand the essential differences between various sarcoma types and classify sarcoma subtypes, providing a new means of clinical identification and determining new therapeutic targets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A stroke is a medical disorder in which blood arteries in the brain rupture, causing brain damage. Symptoms may appear when the brain's blood supply and other nutrients are cut off. According to the World Health Organization, Stroke is the leading cause of death and disability globally. Early recognition of the multiple warning signs of a stroke helps reduce the severity of the stroke. The paper presents a modified version of the Genetic Folding algorithm to predict stroke based on symptoms. Considerable Machine Learning models, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Naïve Bayes, Support Vector Machine, and the proposed Minimal Genetic Folding, were compared to forecast the probability of having a stroke in the brain using a variety of physiological characteristics. The proposed minimal Genetic Folding approach has been developed using the open-access Stroke Prediction dataset using minimal kernel operators. The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are available in the Kaggle repository. With an accuracy of 83.2%, the proposed minimal Genetic Folding approach outperformed Logistic Regression by 4.2%, Naïve Bayes by 1.2%, Decision Tree by 17.2%, and Support Vector Machine by 83.2%. The area under the curve of the proposed model is much more significant than earlier research by 7%, demonstrating that this model is more dependable and was the top-performing algorithm. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The present study aimed to evaluate the performance of several machine learning (ML) algorithms in predicting 1‐year afatinib continuation and 2‐year survival after afatinib initiation and to identify the differences in survival outcomes between ML‐classified strata. Methods: Data that were also used in the RESET study were retrospectively collected from 16 hospitals in South Korea. A stratified random sampling method was applied to split the data into training and test sets (70:30 split ratio). Clinical information, such as age, sex, tumor stage, smoking, performance status, metastasis, type of metastasis, dose adjustment, and pathologic information on EGFR mutations were inputted. Training was performed using eight ML algorithms: logistic regression, decision tree, deep neural network, random forest, support vector machine, boosting, bagging, and the naïve Bayes classifier. The model performance was assessed based on sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy. Area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) was calculated and compared between the ML models using DeLong's test. A Kaplan–Meier (KM) curve was used to visualize the identified strata obtained from the ML models. Results: No significant differences in the input variables were observed between the training and test datasets. The best‐performing models were support vector machine in predicting 1‐year afatinib continuation (AUC 0.626) and decision tree in 2‐year survival after afatinib start (AUC 0.644), although the performances of the ML models were comparable and did not display any predictive roles. KM analysis and log‐rank test revealed significant differences between the strata identified from the ML model (p < 0.001) in terms of both time‐on‐treatment (TOT) and overall survival (OS). Conclusion: The performances of ML models in our study found no discernible roles in predicting afatinib‐related outcomes, although the identified strata revealed different TOT and OS in the KM analysis. This implies the strength of ML in predicting the survival outcome, as well as the limitation of electronic medical record‐based variables in ML algorithms. Careful consideration of variable inclusion is likely to improve the general model performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The issue of how to improve the usability of data publishing under differential privacy has become one of the top questions in the field of machine learning privacy protection, and the key to solving this problem is to allocate a reasonable privacy protection budget. To solve this problem, we design a privacy budget allocation algorithm based on out-of-bag estimation in random forest. The algorithm firstly calculates the decision tree weights and feature weights by the out-of-bag data under differential privacy protection. Secondly, statistical methods are introduced to classify features into best feature set, pruned feature set, and removable feature set. Then, pruning is performed using the pruned feature set to avoid decision trees over-fitting when constructing an ϵ -differential privacy random forest. Finally, the privacy budget is allocated proportionally based on the decision tree weights and feature weights in the random forest. We conducted experimental comparisons with real data sets from Adult and Mushroom to demonstrate that this algorithm not only protects data security and privacy, but also improves model classification accuracy and data availability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Smartphones with embedded Global Positioning System (GPS) technology provide an opportunity to passively collect individuals' travel trajectory data, which can be utilized to identify critical aspects of travel behavior such as transport modes. This paper presents a mode detection algorithm developed to infer modes from smartphone GPS data. The algorithm is designed to classify single-mode trip segments into one of six modes. There are 31 features selected for the algorithm, which are divided into two categories: general features and transit-specific features. General features are needed to classify all available modes. Transit-specific features representing proximity to the nearest transit lines enhance the classification of the three transit modes. Four tree-based ensemble learning models are evaluated: Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and Light Gradient Boosting Machine (LightGBM). The results show that LightGBM performs the best in terms of detection accuracy and computation time. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim:Prediction of human activity data using Random forest algorithm against Decision tree algorithm for better accuracy using machine learning. Materials and Methods: Random forest algorithm (N=20)and Decision Tree algorithm (N=20) these two algorithms are calculated by using 2 Groups and I have taken 20 samples for both algorithm and accuracy in this work. Results: Based on the Results Accuracy obtained in terms of accuracy is identified by Random forest algorithm (90.6%) over Decision Tree algorithm algorithm(86.66%). Statistical significance difference between Random forest algorithm and Decision Tree algorithm was found to be 0.001 (p<0.05), using a=0.05 and power=0.80.conclusion: From the analysis it was observed that the human activity data using Random forest algorithm is better than Decision Tree algorithm for better accuracy using machine learning. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: To improve the accuracy rate of vehicle crash severity in highways using Random forest over Decision tree. Materials and Methods: Random forest and Decision tree with sample size of (N=10) is executed with varying training and testing splits for calculating the accuracy for accident crash severity with g power as 75%, threshold 0.000 and confidence interval 95%. The performance of the classifiers are evaluated based on their accuracy rate using accident severity dataset. Results: The accuracy for calculating accident crash severity in Random Forest(91%) and Decision Tree (85%) is obtained(P<0.005). Conclusion: Prediction of accident crash severity using Random Forest (RF) algorithm appears to be significantly better than Decision Tree (DT) with improved accuracy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aim: The proposed study aims to perform detection of wrong-lane accidents using Novel Penalty Based Logistic Regression (LR) algorithm and compare accuracy with Decision Tree (DT), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Random Forest (RF) algorithm. Materials and Methods: Novel Penalty Based Logistic Regression is applied on a road accident dataset that consists of 1834 records. A Machine learning technique for the detection of wrong-lane accidents which compares Novel Penalty Based Logistic Regression with Decision Tree, SVM and Random Forest has been proposed and developed. Sample size was calculated as 21 in each group using G power. Sample size was calculated using clinical analysis, with alpha and beta values of 0, 05 and 0.5, 95% confidence, 80% pre-test power and enrolment ratio is 1. The accuracy of the detection of wronglane accidents was evaluated and recorded. Results: The accuracy was maximum in detection of wrong-lane accidents using Novel Penalty Based Logistic Regression (90.0%) with minimum mean error when compared with Decision Tree (89.88%), SVM (89.90%), Random Forest (89.77%) and attained significance value of p = 0.02. Conclusion: The study proves that the Novel Penalty Based Logistic Regression Algorithm exhibits better accuracy than the Decision Tree, SVM and Random Forest in detection of wrong-lane accidents. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Machine learning investigates how computers can automatically learn. The present study aimed to predict dietary patterns and compare algorithm performance in making predictions of dietary patterns. Methods: We analysed the data of public employees (n = 12,667) participating in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA‐Brasil). The K‐means clustering algorithm and six other classifiers (support vector machines, naïve Bayes, K‐nearest neighbours, decision tree, random forest and xgboost) were used to predict the dietary patterns. Results: K‐means clustering identified two dietary patterns. Cluster 1, labelled the Western pattern, was characterised by a higher energy intake and consumption of refined cereals, beans and other legumes, tubers, pasta, processed and red meats, high‐fat milk and dairy products, and sugary beverages; Cluster 2, labelled the Prudent pattern, was characterised by higher intakes of fruit, vegetables, whole cereals, white meats, and milk and reduced‐fat milk derivatives. The most important predictors were age, sex, per capita income, education level and physical activity. The accuracy of the models varied from moderate to good (69%–72%). Conclusions: The performance of the algorithms in dietary pattern prediction was similar, and the models presented may provide support in screener tasks and guide health professionals in the analysis of dietary data. Key points: Machine learning (ML) investigates how computers can automatically learn. The present study aimed to predict dietary patterns and to compare the performance of various ML algorithms for making the predictions of dietary patterns.K‐means clustering identified two major dietary patterns. The models presented may provide support in screener tasks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Simple Summary: Colorectal cancer is one of the most frequent cancers worldwide, with a high incidence and mortality. Although many treatment options are available for metastatic disease, patient survival is still limited. The molecular classification of colorectal cancer proposed in 2015 has helped us to better understand colorectal cancer and realize a more effective implementation of therapeutic sequences. It has also been observed that the existing mutational landscape is closely correlated with the epigenetics of colorectal cancer. The identification of prognostic and predictive biomarkers in this context becomes a necessity closely related to therapeutics, and artificial intelligence can be used to discover new biomarkers. Colorectal cancer is a major cause of cancer-related death worldwide and is correlated with genetic and epigenetic alterations in the colonic epithelium. Genetic changes play a major role in the pathophysiology of colorectal cancer through the development of gene mutations, but recent research has shown an important role for epigenetic alterations. In this review, we try to describe the current knowledge about epigenetic alterations, including DNA methylation and histone modifications, as well as the role of non-coding RNAs as epigenetic regulators and the prognostic and predictive biomarkers in metastatic colorectal disease that can allow increases in the effectiveness of treatments. Additionally, the intestinal microbiota's composition can be an important biomarker for the response to strategies based on the immunotherapy of CRC. The identification of biomarkers in mCRC can be enhanced by developing artificial intelligence programs. We present the actual models that implement AI technology as a bridge connecting ncRNAs with tumors and conducted some experiments to improve the quality of the model used as well as the speed of the model that provides answers to users. In order to carry out this task, we implemented six algorithms: the naive Bayes classifier, the random forest classifier, the decision tree classifier, gradient boosted trees, logistic regression and SVM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The governance of cross-border data flows around the digital economy, data security, and data sovereignty has become a crucial global governance issue. This paper evaluates the legitimacy of data exit rules of CPTPP countries based on machine learning algorithm models under the perspective of cross-border data flow governance. In this study, four machine learning algorithms, namely, logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, and GBDT, are used to build an outbound data assessment and evaluation model. The confusion matrix is used to classify the outbound data legitimacy dichotomously. The recall, precision, and F1 scores are evaluated to compare the empirical results of each model. Based on this, a logistic regression-based outbound data risk scoring model is introduced to quantify the outbound data risk at a deeper level and to classify the outbound data risk level for the reference of regulators to make more scientific and reasonable decisions. The experimental results show that the machine learning models can meet the needs and applications of practical work and make accurate predictions of outbound data risks. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose. To identify significant radiomics features based on MRI and establish effective models for predicting the response to bortezomib-based regimens. Materials and Methods. In total, 95 MM patients treated with bortezomib-based therapy were enrolled, including 77 with bortezomib, cyclophosphamide, and dexamethasone (BCD) and 18 with bortezomib, lenalidomide, and dexamethasone (VRD). Based on T1-weighted imaging (T1WI) and T2-weighted imaging with fat suppression (T2WI-fs), radiomics features were extracted and then selected. The random forest (RF), k -nearest neighbor, support vector machine, logistic regression, decision tree, and Bayes models were built using the selected features. The predictive power of six models for response to BCD and VRD regimens were evaluated. The correlation between the selected features and progression-free survival (PFS) was also analyzed. Results. Four wavelet features were correlated with BCD treatment response. The six models all showed predictive power for BCD regimen (AUC: 0.84-0.896 in the training set, 0.801-0.885 in the validation set), and RF performed relatively better than others. Nevertheless, all the BCD-based models were incapable of predicting the VRD treatment response. The wavelet-HLH_firstorder_kurtosis was also associated with PFS (log-rank P = 0.019). Conclusion. The four wavelet features were valuable biomarkers for predicting the response to BCD regimen. The six models based on these features showed predictive power, and RF was the best. One wavelet feature was also a survival-related biomarker. MRI-based radiomics had the potential to guide clinicians in MM management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Inpatient violence poses a great risk to the health and well-being of other patients and members of staff. Previous research has shown that prevalence rates of violent behavior are particularly high in forensic psychiatric settings. Thus, the reliable identification of forensic inpatients who are particularly at risk for violent behavior is an important aspect of risk management. In the present study, we analyzed clinicians' assessments of N = 504 male and female inpatients of German forensic mental health institutions in order to identify risk factors for verbal institutional violence. Using a tree-based modeling approach, we found the following variables to be predictors of verbal aggression: gender, insight into the illness, number of prior admissions to psychiatric hospitals, and insight into the iniquity of the offence. A high number of prior admissions to psychiatric hospitals seems to be a risk factor for verbal aggression amongst men whereas it showed the opposite effect amongst women. Our results highlight the importance of dynamic risk factors, such as poor insight into the own illness, in the prediction of violent incidents. With regard to future research, we argue for a stronger emphasis on nonparametric models as well as on potential interaction effects of risk and protective factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The quality of a cluster analysis of unlabeled units depends on the quality of the between units dissimilarity measures. Data‐dependent dissimilarity is more objective than data independent geometric measures such as Euclidean distance. As suggested by Breiman, many data driven approaches are based on decision tree ensembles, such as a random forest (RF), that produce a proximity matrix that can easily be transformed into a dissimilarity matrix. An RF can be obtained using labels that distinguish units with real data from units with synthetic data. The resulting dissimilarity matrix is input to a clustering program and units are assigned labels corresponding to cluster membership. We introduce a general iterative cluster (GIC) algorithm that improves the proximity matrix and clusters of the base RF. The cluster labels are used to grow a new RF yielding an updated proximity matrix, which is entered into the clustering program. The process is repeated until convergence. The same procedure can be used with many base procedures such as the extremely randomized tree ensemble. We evaluate the performance of the GIC algorithm using benchmark and simulated data sets. The properties measured by the Silhouette score are substantially superior to the base clustering algorithm. The GIC package has been released in R: https://cran.r‐project.org/web/packages/GIC/index.html. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective. Internet of Things (IoT) integrates several technologies where devices learn from the experience of each other thereby reducing human-intervened likely errors. Modern technologies like IoT and machine learning enable the conventional to patient-specific approach transition in healthcare. In conventional approach, the biggest challenge faced by healthcare professionals is to predict a disease by observing the symptoms, monitoring the remote area patient, and also attending to the patient all the time after being hospitalised. IoT provides real-time data, makes decision-making smarter, and provides far superior analytics, and all these to help improve the quality of healthcare. The main objective of the work was to create an IoT-based automated system using machine learning models for symptom-based COVID-19 prognosis. Methods. Comparative analysis of predictive microbiology of COVID-19 from case symptoms using various machine learning classifiers like logistics regression, k-nearest neighbor, support vector machine, random forest, decision trees, Naïve Bayes, and gradient booster is reported here. For the sake of the validation and verification of the models, performance of each model based on the retrieved cloud-stored data was measured for accuracy. Results. From the accuracy plot, it was concluded that k-NN was more accurate (97.97%) followed by decision tree (97.79), support vector machine (97.42), logistics regression (96.50), random forest (90.66), gradient boosting classifier (87.77), and Naïve Bayes (73.50) in COVID-19 prognosis. Conclusion. The paper presents a health monitoring IoT framework having high clinical significance in real-time and remote healthcare monitoring. The findings reported here and the lessons learnt shall enable the healthcare system worldwide to counter not only this ongoing COVID but many other such global pandemics the humanity may suffer from time to come. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

One of the most widely used measures of scientific impact is the number of citations. However, due to its heavy-tailed distribution, citations are fundamentally difficult to predict but can be improved. This study was aimed at investigating the factors and parts influencing the citation number of a scientific paper in the otology field. Therefore, this work proposes a new solution that utilizes machine learning and natural language processing to process English text and provides a paper citation as the predicted results. Different algorithms are implemented in this solution, such as linear regression, boosted decision tree, decision forest, and neural networks. The application of neural network regression revealed that papers' abstracts have more influence on the citation numbers of otological articles. This new solution has been developed in visual programming using Microsoft Azure machine learning at the back end and Programming Without Coding Technology at the front end. We recommend using machine learning models to improve the abstracts of research articles to get more citations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

There are many thyroid diseases affecting people all over the world. Many diseases affect the thyroid gland, like hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism, and thyroid cancer. Thyroid inefficiency can cause severe symptoms in patients. Effective classification and machine learning play a significant role in the timely detection of thyroid diseases. This timely classification will indeed affect the timely treatment of the patients. Automatic and precise thyroid nodule detection in ultrasound pictures is critical for reducing effort and radiologists' mistake rate. Medical images have evolved into one of the most valuable and consistent data sources for machine learning generation. In this paper, various machine learning algorithms like decision tree, random forest algorithm, KNN, and artificial neural networks on the dataset create a comparative analysis to better predict the disease based on parameters established from the dataset. Also, the dataset has been manipulated for accurate prediction for the classification. The classification was performed on both the sampled and unsampled datasets for better comparison of the dataset. After dataset manipulation, we obtained the highest accuracy for the random forest algorithm, equal to 94.8% accuracy and 91% specificity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Constitution refers to the comprehensive and relatively stable characteristics of the genetic or acquired morphological structure, physiological function, and psychological state in the process of human individual life. A special metabolomics data processing method is established to find the unique m/z value of each constitution. Combined with the random forest decision tree algorithm, the discrimination model of 9 constitutions in traditional Chinese medicine is constructed, and the model is verified and tested. The test results show that the classification accuracy of each constitution is higher than 80%, indicating that the model can well identify nine constitutions of traditional Chinese medicine. The classification accuracy is related to the difficulty of distinguishing between constitutions. In a word, this study provides a fast and accurate method to distinguish the constitution of traditional Chinese medicine, provides an objective representation for the classification and judgment of clinical constitution of traditional Chinese medicine, and provides a scientific basis for the modernization of traditional Chinese medicine. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The imbalanced data problem is widespread in the real world. In the process of training machine learning models, ignoring imbalanced data problems will cause the performance of the model to deteriorate. At present, researchers have proposed many methods to deal with the imbalanced data problems, but these methods mainly focus on the imbalanced data problems in two-class classification tasks. Learning from multi-class imbalanced data sets is still an open problem. In this paper, an ensemble method for classifying multi-class imbalanced data sets is put forward, called multi-class WHMBoost. It is an extension of WHMBoost that we proposed earlier. We do not use the algorithm used in WHMBoost to process the data, but use random balance based on average size so as to balance the data distribution. The weak classifiers we use in the boosting algorithm are support vector machine and decision tree classifier. In the process of training the model, they participate in training with given weights in order to complement each other's advantages. On 18 multi-class imbalanced data sets, we compared the performance of multi-class WHMBoost with state of the art ensemble algorithms using MAUC, MG-mean and MMCC as evaluation criteria. The results demonstrate that it has obvious advantages compared with state of the art ensemble algorithms and can effectively deal with multi-class imbalanced data sets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Groove is a key structure of high-performance integral cutting tools. It has to be manufactured by 5-axis grinding machine due to its complex spatial geometry and hard materials. The crucial manufacturing parameters (CMP) are grinding wheel positions and geometries. However, it is a challenging problem to solve the CMP for the designed groove. The traditional trial-and-error or analytical methods have defects such as time-consuming, limited-applying, and low accuracy. In this study, the problem is translated into a multiple output regression model of groove manufacture (MORGM) based on the big data technology and AI algorithms. The inputs are 34 groove geometry features, and the outputs are 5 CMP. Firstly, two groove machining big data sets with different range are established, each of which is includes 46,656 records. They are used as data resource for MORGM. Secondly, 7 AI algorithms, including linear regression, k nearest-neighbor regression, decision trees, random forest regression, support vector regression, and ANN algorithms, are discussed to build the model. Then, 28 experiments are carried out to test the big data set and algorithms. Finally, the best MORGM is built by ANN algorithm and the big data set with a larger range. The results show that CMP can be calculated accurately and conveniently by the built MORGM. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This exploratory retrospective cohort analysis aimed to explore how algorithmic models may be able to identify important risk factors that may otherwise not have been apparent. Their association with injury was then assessed with more conventional data models. Participants were players registered on the England and Wales Cricket Board women's international development pathway (n=17) from April 2018 to August 2019 aged between 14–23 years (mean 18.2±1.9) at the start of the study period. Two supervised learning techniques (a decision tree and random forest with traditional and conditional algorithms) and generalised linear mixed effect models explored associations between risk factors and injury. The supervised learning models did not predict injury (decision tree and random forest area under the curve [AUC] of 0.66 and 0.72 for conditional algorithms) but did identify important risk factors. The best-fitting generalised linear mixed effect model for predicting injury (Akaike Information Criteria [AIC]=843.94, conditional r-squared=0.58) contained smoothed differential 7-day load (P<0.001), average broad jump scores (P<0.001) and 20 m speed (P<0.001). Algorithmic models identified novel injury risk factors in this population, which can guide practice and future confirmatory studies can now investigate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Problem: Autism spectrum disorders (ASD) are pervasive neurodevelopmental disorders and generally accompanied by social disorders, verbal or nonverbal communication defects, inability to concentrate and other negative symptoms that affect the autistic person's normal life. However, traditional screening methods are time‐consuming and public health resources are limited. Methods: This study proposed a novel technique that combined eye‐movement data and machine learning algorithms for predicting autistic traits. We converted raw eye movement data into features, trained and tested a model for early screening. Findings: In the preliminary experiment, 107 participants (average age = 24.84 ± 5.24 years) wore HTC Vive to watch a VR scene for 15–20 s. We explored eight classification models, among which the ensemble model performed best, with 0.73 accuracy, 0.68 precision, 0.81 recall, 0.74 F1‐score, and an area under the curve of 0.90. And in the test experiment, 22 participants (average age = 12.68 ± 7.61 years) diagnosed as ASD took the experiment and the ensemble model showed a recall of 0.77. Eye movement data is an effectively distinguishable tool and we find that the proportion of time to observe figure and animal region continuously can distinguish participants with obvious and unobvious autistic traits effectively in the model. Conclusion: This study focuses on the detection of autistic traits, and proposes a more objective and faster method for undertaking early screening, which provides possibilities to save precious time to intervene and alleviate its symptoms before making a definite diagnosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The insulating strength of an air gap is an important basis for external insulation design of power transmission and transformation project, and both gap structure and meteorological conditions have a great influence on the breakdown voltage of air gap. The temperature, humidity and other meteorological conditions in the actual operating environment of power transmission and transformation projects may change greatly with time, so presently, there is no better method to calculate the breakdown voltage of air gaps in various meteorological conditions. In this paper, a prediction model for positive switching impulse breakdown voltage of rod-plane air gap based on extremely randomized trees is proposed. All samples are divided into training set and test set by Self-Organizing Mapping neural network and stratified sampling method. In the test set, the predicted breakdown voltage results of rod-plane air gap based on decision trees, random forest, extremely randomized trees and support vector machine are compared, with reference to the rectification results of atmospheric correction method. The result shows that the maximum absolute relative error of the model is 4.3% and the mean absolute percentage error is 1.6%. Then, the importance of features of import variables is calculated with the trained extremely randomized trees model. Finally, the breakdown voltage of rod-plane air gap in correspondence to different gap distances in four extreme meteorological conditions is calculated with the model. The method can provide reference for calculation of the breakdown voltage of air gap in various meteorological conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Nonintrusive industrial load identification can accurately acquire the operation data of each load in the plant, which is the benefit of intelligent power management. The identification method of the industrial load is complicated and difficult to be realized due to the difficulty in collecting transient data for modeling, and high-precision measuring equipment is required. Aiming at this situation, the article proposes a nonintrusive industrial load identification method using a random forest algorithm and steady-state waveform. Firstly, by monitoring the change of the industrial load power state, when the load changes and becomes stable, the steady-state waveform is extracted. Due to different electrical characteristics of industrial loads, the current waveform of loads is different to some extent. We can construct characteristic data for each industrial load to construct its own current steady-state waveform. Then, using the high-dimensional data of the steady-state waveform as the sample data, the bootstrap sampling method and the CART algorithm in the random forest algorithm are used to generate multiple decision trees. Finally, the industrial load types are identified by voting multiple decision trees. The actual operating load data of a factory are used as the sample data in the simulation, and the effectiveness and rapidity of the proposed identification algorithm are verified by the combined load method simulation comparison. The simulation results show that the accuracy of the proposed identification algorithm is more than 99%, the identification time is 3.36 s, which is much higher than that of other methods, and the operation time is less than that of other methods. Therefore, the proposed identification algorithm can effectively realize the nonintrusive industrial load identification. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cash is a very important property of an enterprise, but offers the lowest return of any asset. Nevertheless, firms do not invest all assets into higher-paying assets and hold part of their cash, especially firms in the high-tech electronics industry. Firms in this industry hold considerable amounts of cash because they have high expenses and recovery is uncertain, potentially leaving the firm without sufficient funds. It is therefore necessary to prepare a certain amount of cash. This study uses a decision tree algorithm including J48, LMT, Random Forest, REP Tree, Simple CART, Extra Tree, and BF Tree to measure the performance of predictions. This study has three experiments: (1) testing the predictive ability of the decision tree algorithm, (2) testing the decision tree algorithm with performance improvements, and (3) determining the best decision tree forecast rate comparison using the logistic regression model. The experiments indicate that the random forest has the highest and best prediction rate comparison with the logistic regression model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Leaf nitrogen content (LNC) is an important factor reflecting the growth quality of plants. We estimated the nitrogen content of apple leaves using hyperspectral wavelength analysis using the differential spectrum, differential spectrum transformation, and vegetation spectrum index with different derivative gaps. We then used the characteristic wavelengths extracted via the correlation coefficient method as the input vectors to the gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) model for analysis and performed cross-validation to optimize the inversion model parameters. We analyzed the results with different input variables and loss functions and compared the GBDT model with other mainstream algorithm models. The results show that the R2 value of the optimized GBDT inversion model is higher than that obtained using the random forest (RF) and support vector regression (SVR) models. Thus, the GBDT model is accurate, and the characteristic wavelength analysis is helpful for the tasks of real-time monitoring and detection of apple tree health. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Shunting yards are one of the main areas impacting the reliability of rail freight networks, and delayed departures from shunting yards can further also affect the punctuality of mixed-traffic networks. Methods for automatic detection of departures, which are likely to be delayed, can therefore contribute towards increasing the reliability and punctuality of both freight and passenger services. In this paper, we compare the performance of tree-based methods (decision trees and random forests), which have been highly successful in a wide range of generic applications, in classifying the status of (delayed, early, and on-time) departing trains from shunting yards, focusing on the delayed departures as the minority class. We use a total number of 6,243 train connections (representing over 21,000 individual wagon connections) for a one-month period from the Hallsberg yard in Sweden, which is the largest shunting yard in Scandinavia. Considering our dataset, our results show a slight difference between the application of decision trees and random forests in detecting delayed departures as the minority class. To remedy this, enhanced sampling for minority classes is applied by the synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) to improve detecting and assigning delayed departures. Applying SMOTE improved the sensitivity, precision, and F-measure of delayed departures by 20% for decision trees and by 30% for random forests. Overall, random forests show a relative better performance in detecting all three departure classes before and after applying SMOTE. Although the preliminary results presented in this paper are encouraging, future studies are needed to investigate the computational performance of tree-based algorithms using larger datasets and considering additional predictors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]