1. Statistical modeling of chikungunya virus intra-vector infection dynamics in a FrenchAedes albopictuspopulation reveals an explosive epidemic potential
- Author
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Barbara Viginier, Céline Garnier, Lucie Cappuccio, Edwige Martin, Claire Valiente Moro, Albin Fontaine, Sébastian Lequime, Frédérick Arnaud, Maxime Ratinier, Vincent Raquin, Infections Virales et Pathologie Comparée - UMR 754 (IVPC), École Pratique des Hautes Études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (UCBL), Université de Lyon-Université de Lyon-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Laboratoire d'Ecologie Microbienne - UMR 5557 (LEM), Université Claude Bernard Lyon 1 (UCBL), Université de Lyon-Université de Lyon-Ecole Nationale Vétérinaire de Lyon (ENVL)-VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE), Unité de Parasitologie et d’Entomologie, Département des Maladies Infectieuses-Institut de Recherche Biomédicale des Armées [Brétigny-sur-Orge] (IRBA), Vecteurs - Infections tropicales et méditerranéennes (VITROME), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Aix Marseille Université (AMU)-Institut de Recherche Biomédicale des Armées [Brétigny-sur-Orge] (IRBA), Institut Hospitalier Universitaire Méditerranée Infection (IHU Marseille), Groningen Institute for Evolutionary Life Sciences [Groningen] (GELIFES), and University of Groningen [Groningen]
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[SDV]Life Sciences [q-bio] ,[SDV.MP.VIR]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Microbiology and Parasitology/Virology - Abstract
Arbovirus emergence and epidemic potential, as approximated by the vectorial capacity formula, depends on several host and vector parameters including vector intrinsic ability to transmit the pathogen. Such ability, called vector competence is influenced by biotic (e.g. virus and vector genotype) and abiotic (e.g. temperature). Vector competence is often evaluated as a qualitative phenotype although it is a multistep, time-dependent, quantitative phenotype. Combination of experimental and modelling approaches can i) capture intra-vector dynamics of arboviral infection and ii) use data to estimate arbovirus epidemic potential. Here, we measured individualAedes albopictus(Lyon, France) mosquitoes infection, dissemination, and transmission rate upon oral exposure to chikungunya virus (CHIKV, La Reunion Island isolate) at eleven time-points from day 2 to day 20 post-exposure (dpe) for a range of CHIKV infectious doses spanning human viremia. Statistical modelisation indicates an explosive CHIKV intra-vector dynamics mainly due to an absence of dissemination barrier with 100% of the infected mosquitoes ultimately exhibiting a disseminated infection regardless of the viral dose. Transmission rate data revealed a time and dose-dependent but overall weak transmission barrier with individuals transmitting as soon as 2 dpe and >50% infectious mosquitoes at 6 dpe for the highest dose. Epidemiological simulations conducted with an Agent-Based Model based on experimental intra-vector dynamics data showed that even at low mosquito biting rates, CHIKV triggers explosive outbreaks. Together, this reveals the high epidemic potential of this CHIKV isolate with this French metropolitan population ofAedes albopictus.
- Published
- 2022
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