Search

In this paper, searching for a better chloride ions sub-diffusion system, a multi-term time-fractional derivative diffusion model is proposed for the description of the time-dependent chloride ions penetration in reinforced concrete structures exposed to chloride environments. We prove the stability and convergence of the model. We use the modified grid approximation method (MGAM) to estimate the fractional orders and chloride ions diffusion coefficients in the reinforced concrete for the multiterm time fractional diffusion system. And then to verify the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed methods in dealing with the fractional inverse problem, two numerical examples with real data are investigated. Meanwhile, we use two methods of fixed chloride ions diffusion coefficient and variable. diffusion coefficient with diffusion depth to simulate chloride ions sub-diffusion system. The result shows that with the new fractional orders and parameters, our multi-term fractional order chloride ions sub-diffusion system is capable of providing numerical results that agree better with the real data than other models. On the other hand, it is also noticed from the numerical solution of the chloride ions sub-diffusion system that setting the variable diffusion coefficient with diffusion depth is more reasonable. And it is also found that chloride ions diffusion coefficients in reinforced concrete should be decreased with diffusion depth which is completely consistent with the theory. In addition, the model can be used to predict the chloride profiles with a time-dependent property. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Advanced materials modelling via fractional calculus: challenges and perspectives’. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The significance of accurate long-term forecasting of air quality for a long-term policy decision for controlling air pollution and for evaluating its impacts on human health has attracted greater attention recently. This paper proposes an ensemble multi-scale framework to refine the previous version with ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EMD) and nonstationary oscillation resampling (NSOR) for long-term forecasting. Within the proposed ensemble multi-scale framework, we on one hand apply modified EMD to produce more regular and stable EMD components, allowing the long-range oscillation characteristics of the original time series to be better captured. On the other hand, we provide an ensemble mechanism to alleviate the error propagation problem in forecasts caused by iterative implementation of NSOR at all lead times and name it improved NSOR. Application of the proposed multi-scale framework to long-term forecasting of the daily PM2.5 at 14 monitoring stations in Hong Kong demonstrates that it can effectively capture the long-term variation in air pollution processes and significantly increase the forecasting performance. Specifically, the framework can, respectively, reduce the average root-mean-square error and the mean absolute error over all 14 stations by 8.4% and 9.2% for a lead time of 100 days, compared to previous studies. Additionally, better robustness can be obtained by the proposed ensemble framework for 180-day and 365-day long-term forecasting scenarios. It should be emphasized that the proposed ensemble multi-scale framework is a feasible framework, which is applicable for long-term time series forecasting in general., (© 2024 Author(s). Published under an exclusive license by AIP Publishing.)

In this paper, searching for a better chloride ions sub-diffusion system, a multi-term time-fractional derivative diffusion model is proposed for the description of the time-dependent chloride ions penetration in reinforced concrete structures exposed to chloride environments. We prove the stability and convergence of the model. We use the modified grid approximation method (MGAM) to estimate the fractional orders and chloride ions diffusion coefficients in the reinforced concrete for the multi-term time fractional diffusion system. And then to verify the efficiency and accuracy of the proposed methods in dealing with the fractional inverse problem, two numerical examples with real data are investigated. Meanwhile, we use two methods of fixed chloride ions diffusion coefficient and variable diffusion coefficient with diffusion depth to simulate chloride ions sub-diffusion system. The result shows that with the new fractional orders and parameters, our multi-term fractional order chloride ions sub-diffusion system is capable of providing numerical results that agree better with the real data than other models. On the other hand, it is also noticed from the numerical solution of the chloride ions sub-diffusion system that setting the variable diffusion coefficient with diffusion depth is more reasonable. And it is also found that chloride ions diffusion coefficients in reinforced concrete should be decreased with diffusion depth which is completely consistent with the theory. In addition, the model can be used to predict the chloride profiles with a time-dependent property. This article is part of the theme issue 'Advanced materials modelling via fractional calculus: challenges and perspectives'.