Richard M Goldberg, Richard Adams, Marc Buyse, Cathy Eng, Axel Grothey, Thierry André, Alberto F Sobrero, Stuart M Lichtman, Al B Benson, Cornelis J A Punt, Tim Maughan, Tomasz Burzykowski, Dirkje Sommeijer, Everardo D Saad, Qian Shi, Elisabeth Coart, Benoist Chibaudel, Miriam Koopman, Hans-Joachim Schmoll, Takayuki Yoshino, Julien Taieb, Niall C Tebbutt, John Zalcberg, Josep Tabernero, Eric Van Cutsem, Alastair Matheson, Aimery de Gramont, Adams, Richard/0000-0003-3915-7243, Buyse, Marc/0000-0002-4559-0994, Eng, Cathy/0000-0003-2335-0612, Grothey, Axel/0000-0002-9341-6499, Maughan, Timothy Stanley/0000-0002-0580-5065, Goldberg, Richard M., Adams, Richard, BUYSE, Marc, Eng, Cathy, Grothey, Axel, Andre, Thierry, Sobrero, Alberto F., Lichtman, Stuart M., Benson, Al B., Punt, Cornelis J. A., Maughan, Tim, BURZYKOWSKI, Tomasz, Sommeijer, Dirkje, Saad, Everardo D., Shi, Qian, Coart, Elisabeth, Chibaudel, Benoist, Koopman, Miriam, Schmoll, Hans-Joachim, Yoshino, Takayuki, Taieb, Julien, Tebbutt, Niall C., Zalcberg, John, Tabernero, Josep, Van Cutsem , Eric, Matheson, Alastair, and de Gramont, Aimery
Meta-analysis based on individual participant data (IPD) is a powerful methodology for synthesizing evidence by combining information drawn from multiple trials. Hitherto, its principal application has been in questions of clinical management, but an increasingly important use is in clarifying trials methodology, for instance in the selection of endpoints, as discussed in this review. In oncology, the Aide et Recherche en Cancerologie Digestive (ARCAD) Metastatic Colorectal Cancer Database is a leader in the use of IPD-based meta-analysis in methodological research. The ARCAD database contains IPD from more than 38 000 patients enrolled in 46 studies and continues to collect phase III trial data. Here, we review the principal findings of the ARCAD project in respect of endpoint selection and examine their implications for cancer trials. Analysis of the database has confirmed that progression-free survival (PFS) is no longer a valid surrogate endpoint predictive of overall survival in the first-line treatment of colorectal cancer. Nonetheless, PFS remains an endpoint of choice for most first-line trials in metastatic colorectal cancer and other solid tumors. Only substantial PFS effects are likely to translate into clinically meaningful benefits, and accordingly, we advocate an oncology research model designed to identify highly effective treatments in carefully defined patient groups. We also review the use of the ARCAD database in assessing clinical response including novel response metrics and prognostic markers. These studies demonstrate the value of IPD as a tool for methodological studies and provide a reference point for the expansion of this approach within clinical cancer research. SL was supported by the US National Cancer Institute Cancer Center Support Grant, award number: P30CA008748. AS was supported by AIRC, grant number IG2018. We thank our ARCAD colleagues Daniel G Haller, MD, for guidance and helpful revisions to the text, and Lama Sharara, PhD, Director General of ARCAD, for expertly coordinating this multi-author review. We also thank the many ARCAD members who commented on this article at the outline stage. AIRCFondazione AIRC per la ricerca sul cancro [IG2018]