1. Weather research and forecasting model tailored for regional airshed modelling in NSW.
- Author
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Prasad, Abhnil, Tzu-Chi Chang, Lisa, Fuchs, David, Duc, Hiep, Azzi, Merched, and Riley, Matthew
- Subjects
METEOROLOGICAL research ,ATMOSPHERIC boundary layer ,WEATHER forecasting ,DUST storms ,ATMOSPHERIC models ,HEAT waves (Meteorology) - Abstract
A crucial aspect of regional air quality modelling is the accurate characterisation of local meteorology, as this plays a significant role in the transport and chemical transformation of pollution across a region. This study explores the potential of The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model as an alternative meteorological model to support near-time air quality predictions for the NSW Greater Metropolitan Region (NSW GMR). We develop an optimal WRF configuration for the NSW GMR by downscaling the latest Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) Australian Community Climate and Earth-System Simulator (ACCESS) Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) data using a three nested domain setup with resolutions of 12km, 4km and 1 km by varying physical parameterisations including two cumulus schemes, two planetary boundary layer schemes, two microphysical schemes, two compatible shortwave and longwave radiation schemes and a standard land surface model. Thus, a set of 16 experiments were executed and evaluated on different days involving high ozone days, bushfire smoke, dust storms and heatwaves. Each simulation was initialised at 12UTC with a forecast horizon of four days, including three hourly updates of boundary conditions. All simulations were evaluated with metrics including Mean Absolute Errors (MAE) and Index of Agreement (IOA) calculated over selected stations operated by NSW Department of Planning, Industry and Environment (NSW DPIE) and BOM for surface and vertical variables (temperature (T), relative humidity (RH), wind speed (WS)) including precipitation (PRECIP) and planetary boundary layer heights (PBLH). Overall, results showed that the best configuration produced acceptable agreements at the surface for T (IOA > 0.8), RH (IOA > 0.7) and WSP (IOA > 0.6). Errors in PBLH were elevated in the mid-boundary layer but was within 100m where vertical profiles of temperature and winds were well simulated. Similarly, experiments with double moment microphysical schemes were better in simulating precipitation. Other performance metrics for the experiments conducted under different case days will also be discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022