Search

Aims Whether high body mass index (BMI) causally influences development and prognosis of heart failure has implications for clinical practice. We tested the hypotheses that high BMI causally influences heart failure incidence and mortality. Methods and results Using observational and Mendelian randomization causal, genetic analyses, we studied 106 121 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study, 18 407 from the Copenhagen City Heart Study, and 977 323 from publicly available databases. In observational analyses in the Copenhagen studies with 10 years of median follow-up, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios per 1 kg/m2 increment of BMI were 1.06 (95% confidence interval: 1.05–1.07; P < 0.001; n = 124 528; events = 6589) for heart failure incidence, 1.04 (1.03–1.06; P < 0.001; n = 124 528; events = 1237) for heart failure mortality, and 1.01 (1.00–1.01; P < 0.001; n = 124 528; events = 24 144) for all-cause mortality. In genetic analyses in the Copenhagen studies, the age and sex adjusted causal risk ratios per 1 kg/m2 increment of BMI were 1.19 (1.05–1.36; P = 0.008; n = 118 200; events = 6541) for heart failure incidence, 1.27 (0.82–1.98; P = 0.28; n = 118 200; events = 889) for heart failure mortality, and 1.11 (1.02–1.22; P = 0.022; n = 118 200; events = 16 814) for all-cause mortality. Finally, combining genetic data from the Copenhagen studies, the Genetic Investigation of ANthropometric Traits, the Heart Failure Molecular Epidemiology for Therapeutic Targets, and the UK Biobank, the unadjusted causal risk ratios per 1 kg/m2 increment of BMI were 1.39 (1.27–1.52; P < 0.001; n = 1 095 523; events = 53 850) for heart failure incidence, 1.18 (1.00–1.38; P = 0.05; n = 576 853; events = 2373) for heart failure mortality, and 1.02 (1.00–1.04; P = 0.03; n = 576 853; events = 44 734) for all-cause mortality. Conclusion High BMI causally increases the risk of both heart failure incidence and mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We tested the hypothesis that low plasma adiponectin is associated observationally and causally with increased risk of type 2 diabetes. Observational analyses are prone to confounding and reverse causation, while genetic Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses are much less influenced by these biases. We examined 30,045 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study observationally (plasma adiponectin [1,751 individuals with type 2 diabetes]), 96,903 Copenhagen individuals using one-sample MR (5 genetic variants [5,012 individuals with type 2 diabetes]), and 659,316 Europeans (ADIPOGen, GERA, DIAGRAM, UK Biobank) using two-sample MR (10 genetic variants [62,892 individuals type 2 diabetes]). Observationally, and in comparisons with individuals with median plasma adiponectin of 28.9 μg/mL (4th quartile), multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for type 2 diabetes were 1.42 (95% CI 1.18-1.72) for 19.2 μg/mL (3rd quartile), 2.21 (1.84-2.66) for 13.9 μg/mL (2nd quartile), and 4.05 (3.38-4.86) for 9.2 μg/mL (1st quartile). Corresponding cumulative incidence for type 2 diabetes at age 70 years was 3%, 7%, 11%, and 20%, respectively. A 1 μg/mL lower plasma adiponectin conferred an HR for type 2 diabetes of 1.07 (1.06-1.09), while genetic, causal risk ratio per 1 unit log-transformed lower plasma adiponectin was 1.13 (95% CI 0.83-1.53) in one-sample MR and 1.26 (1.01-1.57) in two-sample MR. In conclusion, low plasma adiponectin is associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes, an association that could represent a causal relationship. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is causally associated with a high risk of coronary artery disease. Whether this also holds for a spectrum of peripheral vascular diseases is unknown.Objectives: The purpose of this study was to determine whether high LDL-C causally relates to risk of retinopathy, neuropathy, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and peripheral arterial disease (PAD) in the general population.Methods: One-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) of 116,419 Danish individuals, 2-sample MR on summary-level data from the Global Lipid Genetics Consortium (GLGC) (n = 94,595) and the UK Biobank (n = 408,455), and meta-analysis of randomized statin trials (n = 64,134) were performed.Results: Observationally, high LDL-C did not associate with high risk of retinopathy or neuropathy. There were stepwise increases in risk of CKD and PAD with higher LDL-C (both p for trend <0.001), with hazard ratios of 1.05 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.97 to 1.13) for CKD, and 1.41 (95% CI: 1.23 to 1.62) for PAD in individuals with LDL-C above the 95th percentile versus below the 50th percentile. In genetic, causal analyses in the Copenhagen studies, the risk ratio of disease for a 1 mmol/l higher LDL-C was 1.06 (95% CI: 0.24 to 4.58) for retinopathy, 1.05 (95% CI: 0.64 to 1.72) for neuropathy, 3.83 (95% CI: 2.00 to 7.34) for CKD, and 2.09 (95% CI: 1.30 to 2.38) for PAD. Summary-level data from the GLGC and the UK Biobank for retinopathy, neuropathy, and PAD gave similar results. For CKD, a 1-mmol/l lower LDL-C conferred a higher eGFR of 1.95 ml/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI: 1.88 to 2.02 ml/min/1.73 m2) observationally, 5.92 ml/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI: 4.97 to 6.86 ml/min/1.73 m2) genetically, and 2.69 ml/min/1.73 m2 (95% CI: 1.48 to 3.94 ml/min/1.73 m2) through statin therapy.Conclusions: High LDL-C was not causally associated with risk of retinopathy and neuropathy; however, high LDL-C was observationally and genetically associated with high risks of PAD and CKD, suggesting that LDL-C is causally involved in the pathogenesis of these diseases. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Permanent hair dye contains aromatic amines which are carcinogenic, and can cause allergic skin reactions. In the long term personal use of hair dye might therefore influence both morbidity and mortality. Objectives: We tested the hypothesis that personal use of hair dye in women is associated with increased morbidity and mortality in the general population. Methods: We included 7,684 women from the Copenhagen City Heart Study with information on the use of personal hair dye. We assessed the risk of cancer, skin diseases, other morbidities, and mortality during a median follow-up of 27 years (range 0–37). Results: The multivariable adjusted hazard ratio for malignant melanoma in women with versus without personal use of hair dye was 2.07 (95% confidence interval 1.25–3.42). There was no increased risk of other cancer types. For other skin diseases and other major causes of morbidity we found no differences between the two groups, except for a minor excess of digestive diseases and increased risk of Parkinson’s disease among women using hair dye. Finally, we found no difference in all-cause mortality comparing women using personal hair dye or not. After correction for multiple comparisons, none of the results remained significant. However, in sensitivity analysis the excess risk of malignant melanoma remained increased with a hazard ratio of 2.58 (95%CI 1.33–5.03) among users of personal hair dye. Conclusions: Personal use of hair dye does not have major influences on morbidity and mortality. Our finding of a 2-fold risk of malignant melanoma in women using hair dye is hypothesis generating. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Conflicting evidence has been found regarding the association between high tobacco consumption and body weight among smokers. We tested the hypothesis that high tobacco consumption is causally associated with low body weight. Methods: We conducted a Mendelian randomization study with a genetic variant in CHRNA3 (rs1051730) as proxy for high tobacco consumption. The cohort consisted of 80 342 participants from the Copenhagen General Population Study, with details on body weight, smoking habits and CHRNA3 genotype, including 15 220 current smokers. Results: In observational analyses, high tobacco consumption was associated with high body weight, body mass index, waist circumference, hip circumference and waist-hip ratio. In multivariable adjusted models a 1-cigarette/day higher tobacco consumption was associated with 0.05 kg (95% confidence interval 0.02; 0.08) higher body weight, 0.02 kg/m² (0.01; 0.02) higher body mass index, 0.10cm (0.07; 0.12) higher waist circumference and 0.02cm (0.001; 0.03) higher hip circumference. In contrast, the per-allele increase inCHRNA3 rs1051730 associated with high tobacco consumption was associated with 0.59 kg (0.96; 0.22) lower body weight, 0.23 kg/m² (0.33; 0.13) lower body mass index, 0.32cm (0.74; 0.003) lower waist circumference and 0.45cm (0.66; 0.24) lower hip circumference. No association was found between tobacco consumption and waist-hip ratio in genetic analysis, or among CHRNA3 genotype and any of the outcome variables in former or never smokers. Conclusions: High tobacco consumption causes lower body weight among current smokers. However, smoking does not seem to affect body shape or fat distribution causally. The lack of association between CHRNA3 genotype and body weight among former smokers and never smokers favours smoking as the causal factor for the observed associations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]