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Diabetes mellitus is associated with increased cardiovascular disease (CVD) related morbidity, mortality and death. Exercise capacity in persons with type 2 diabetes has been shown to be predictive of cardiovascular events. In this study, we used the data from the prospective randomized LOOK AHEAD study and used machine learning algorithms to help predict exercise capacity (measured in Mets) from the baseline data that included cardiovascular history, medications, blood pressure, demographic information, anthropometric and Dual-energy X-Ray Absorptiometry (DXA) measured body composition metrics. We excluded variables with high collinearity and included DXA obtained Subtotal (total minus head) fat percentage and Subtotal lean mass (gms). Thereafter, we used different machine learning methods to predict maximum exercise capacity. The different machine learning models showed a strong predictive performance for both females and males. Our study shows that using baseline data from a large prospective cohort, we can predict maximum exercise capacity in persons with diabetes mellitus. We show that subtotal fat percentage is the most important feature for predicting the exercise capacity for males and females after accounting for other important variables. Until now, BMI and waist circumference were commonly used surrogates for adiposity and there was a relative under-appreciation of body composition metrics for understanding the pathophysiology of CVD. The recognition of body fat percentage as an important marker in determining CVD risk has prognostic implications with respect to cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The factors that determine Serum Thyrotropin (TSH) levels have been examined through different methods, using different covariates. However, the use of machine learning methods has so far not been studied in population databases like NHANES (National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey) to predict TSH. In this study, we performed a comparative analysis of different machine learning methods like Linear regression, Random forest, Support vector machine, multilayer perceptron and stacking regression to predict TSH and classify individuals with normal, low and high TSH levels. We considered Free T4, Anti-TPO antibodies, T3, Body Mass Index (BMI), Age and Ethnicity as the predictor variables. A total of 9818 subjects were included in this comparative analysis. We used coefficient of determination (r2) value to compare the results for predicting the TSH and show that the Random Forest, Gradient Boosting and Stacking Regression perform equally well in predicting TSH and achieve the highest r2 value = 0.13, with mean absolute error of 0.78. Moreover, we found that Anti-TPO is the most important feature in predicting TSH followed by Age, BMI, T3 and Free-T4 for the regression analysis. While classifying TSH into normal, high or low levels, our comparative analysis also shows that Random forest performs the best in the classification study, performed with individuals with normal, high and low levels of TSH. We found the following Areas Under Curve (AUC); for low TSH, AUC = 0.61, normal TSH, AUC = 0.61 and elevated TSH AUC = 0.69. Additionally, we found that Anti-TPO was the most important feature in classifying TSH. In this study, we suggest that artificial intelligence and machine learning methods might offer an insight into the complex hypothalamic-pituitary -thyroid axis and may be an invaluable tool that guides us in making appropriate therapeutic decisions (thyroid hormone dosing) for the individual patient. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Isolation profoundly influences social behavior in all animals. In humans, isolation has serious effects on health and disease. Drosophila melanogaster is a powerful model to study small-scale, temporally-transient social behavior. However, longer-term analysis of large groups of flies is hampered by the lack of effective and reliable tools. We built a new imaging arena and improved the existing tracking algorithm to reliably follow a large number of flies simultaneously. Next, based on the automatic classification of touch and graph-based social network analysis, we designed an algorithm to quantify changes in the social network in response to prior social isolation. We observed that isolation significantly and swiftly enhanced individual and local social network parameters depicting near-neighbor relationships. We explored the genome-wide molecular correlates of these behavioral changes and found that whereas behavior changed throughout the six days of isolation, gene expression alterations occurred largely on day one. These changes occurred mostly in metabolic genes, and we verified the metabolic changes by showing an increase of lipid content in isolated flies. In summary, we describe a highly reliable tracking and analysis pipeline for large groups of flies that we use to unravel the behavioral, molecular and physiological impact of isolation on social network dynamics in Drosophila. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]