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As an efficient and interference-resistant coding technique, multiple description coding (MDC) is proposed with the aim to solve the transmission unreliability problem caused by packet errors, loss or blocking delays. The integration of MDC with non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) scheme (MDC-NOMA) can effectively boost the robustness and throughput of the underlying system. Additionally, space-time block coding (STBC) can further enhance the system reliability with increased diversity gain, as well as reduced decoding complexity. In this paper, we propose a novel framework referred to as MDC-NOMA-STBC, in which we apply Alamouti STBC integrated with MDC and NOMA to implement more reliable transmission. Specifically, NOMA signals are constructed by superimposing the descriptions from different users, then transmitted by the base station (BS) using Alamouti STBC. In order to substantiate the performance of the proposed framework, first, we derive closed-form expressions of both the outage probability and ergodic rate for each user in a two-antenna BS scenario. Second, for multi-antenna BS, we investigate different antenna selection strategies to further enhance the outage performance under the considered framework, whose analytical expression is provided wherever possible. Third, Monte Carlo simulation results are presented to validate our theoretical framework and to corroborate the superiority of the proposed MDC-NOMA-STBC over state-of-the-art MDC-NOMA scheme. Moreover, under realistic contexts with image transmission, it is confirmed that MDC-NOMA-STBC outperforms its counterpart MDC-NOMA in terms of the peak signal-to-noise ratio and the bit error rate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We study the problem of off-policy evaluation in the multi-armed bandit model with bounded rewards, and develop minimax rate-optimal procedures under three settings. First, when the behavior policy is known, we show that the Switch estimator, a method that alternates between the plug-in and importance sampling estimators, is minimax rate-optimal for all sample sizes. Second, when the behavior policy is unknown, we analyze performance in terms of the competitive ratio, thereby revealing a fundamental gap between the settings of known and unknown behavior policies. When the behavior policy is unknown, any estimator must have mean-squared error larger—relative to the oracle estimator equipped with the knowledge of the behavior policy— by a multiplicative factor proportional to the support size of the target policy. Moreover, we demonstrate that the plug-in approach achieves this worst-case competitive ratio up to a logarithmic factor. Third, we initiate the study of the partial knowledge setting in which it is assumed that the minimum probability taken by the behavior policy is known. We show that the plug-in estimator is optimal for relatively large values of the minimum probability, but is sub-optimal when the minimum probability is low. In order to remedy this gap, we propose a new estimator based on approximation by Chebyshev polynomials that provably achieves the optimal estimation error. Numerical experiments on both simulated and real data corroborate our theoretical findings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Line-of-sight (LoS) path is essential for the reliability of air-to-ground (A2G) communications, but the existence of the LoS path is difficult to predict due to random obstacles on the ground. Based on the statistical geographic information and Fresnel clearance zone, a general stochastic LoS probability model for 3-D A2G channels under urban scenarios is developed. By considering the factors, that is, building height distribution, building width, building space, carrier frequency, and transceiver’s heights, the proposed model is suitable for different frequencies and altitudes. Moreover, in order to get a closed-form expression and reduce the computational complexity, an approximate parametric model is also built with the machine-learning (ML) method to estimate the model parameters. The simulation results show that the proposed model has good consistency with existing models at low altitude. When the altitude increases, it has a better performance by comparing with that of the ray-tracing (RT) Monte-Carlo simulation data. The analytical results of the proposed model are helpful for the channel modeling and performance analyses such as cell coverage, outage probability, and bit error rate in A2G communications. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) is considered as a multiple access technique for supporting massive number of devices with high spectral efficiency. Simultaneous wireless information and power transfer (SWIPT) is an efficient solution for fully autonomous and sustainable communication networks. In this paper, application of SWIPT in networks employing cooperative NOMA (CNOMA) is investigated with imperfect channel state information (CSI). Performance of the CNOMA network with SWIPT is investigated in a multi-tier downlink scenario with macro-base stations (MBSs) and femto-base stations (FBSs). The distribution of MBSs and FBSs follow Poisson point process model. Unlike solution in the existing literature, instead of using only the superimposed signal for energy harvesting (EH), in this work, the cooperating node/user employs EH using interference from the adjacent base stations. Expressions for outage probability and throughput are derived at the user pair (comprising a cell-center user and a cell-edge user) served using NOMA. Comparison of the proposed EH system with the existing solutions is highlighted. Monte Carlo simulations are carried out to validate the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reconfigurable intelligent surface (RIS) has emerged as an important transmission technology for numerous applications in Internet of Things (IoT) systems. Thus, in this paper, we investigate the application of RIS in energy harvesting (EH) based unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) communication network with finite block length (BL) codes, where a rotary wing type flying UAV communicates with the multiple single antenna IoT users with the aid of multiple RISs mounted on several skyscraper buildings. To transmit the signal to a particular IoT user, the UAV selects an RIS on the basis of either UAV-RIS (i.e., partial) or UAV-RIS-IoT (i.e., full) channel state information (CSI) and then transmits the signal through the selected RIS along with the direct link transmission. In particular, we derive (i) the expression for probability of RIS selection, (ii) the statistical distribution of instantaneously received information signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) at the IoT user. Based on the derived statistics, we analyze the performance of the considered system under finite BL codes in terms of the average outage probability, average block error rate (ABLER) and goodput averaged over entire flying duration. Moreover, the BLER performance with finite BL codes is also compared with the infinite BL codes scenario. Additionally, we also investigate the impact of various channel and system parameters like imperfect CSI, number of RISs and the number of reflecting elements at each RIS, location of IoT users, variable altitude of the UAV, and the severity of channel fading of UAV-RIS link on the system performance. Furthermore, we have obtained the optimum UAV location in each time slot which minimizes the ABLER per time slot over all the users in the network. The analytical results are corroborated with Monte Carlo simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper investigates the performance of a new framework for low-outage downlink non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) using a coordinated direct and relay transmission (CDRT) scheme with direct links to both the near-user (NU) and the far-user (FU). Both amplify-and-forward and decode-and-forward relays are considered. In this framework, the NU combines the signals from base-station and relay at each stage of the successive interference cancellation (SIC) to attain good outage performance. For both NU and FU, the expressions for outage probability and throughput are derived in closed form. We also derive the high-SNR expressions for the outage probability to demonstrate that with the proposed framework, both users harness a diversity of two without feedback bits (this is the only framework to achieve this). We demonstrate that the choice of power allocation coefficient and target symbol rates is crucial to maximizing the NU throughput while ensuring a desired target FU throughput. We demonstrate that CDRT with the proposed framework outperforms known schemes in terms of outage probability, sum throughput, and energy efficiency. Moreover, we also show that optimal rate selection is important to maximize the energy efficiency. Monte Carlo simulations validate the accuracy of the derived analytical expressions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Cumulative damage processes for discrete degrading systems caused by stochastic shocks have received increasing attention. However, the degradation data is often subject to incomplete observation or censoring due to imperfect monitoring instruments or inspection strategies. In such situations, the arrival time of stochastic shocks cannot be accurately recorded. This makes a challenging task for parameter estimation and remaining useful lifetime (RUL) prognosis based on the cumulative damage process. Motivated by this fact, this article proposed a new Bayesian data augmentation approach to overcome the obstacles caused by incomplete observation. First, the proposal distribution for the occurrence number of shocks in the cumulative damage process subject to interval censoring is derived. Second, an effective data augmentation for the missing shock time is proposed by integrating rejection sampling and the order statistics technique. On this basis, multiple imputation is extended to discrete non-Gaussian stochastic processes subject to interval censoring. Finally, an RUL prognosis method of a system subject to the cumulative damage process is derived based on the Monte Carlo method. And a real case study on the head wear problem is applied to illustrate the superiority of the proposed approach, and the results show that the proposed approach can improve the estimation accuracy of RUL compared with the existing method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, we study the outage probability (OP) at the destination of an intelligent reflecting surface (IRS) assisted communication system in a $\kappa -\mu $ fading environment. A practical system model that takes into account the presence of phase error due to quantization at the IRS when a) source-destination (SD) link is present and b) SD link is absent is considered. First, an exact expression is derived, and then we derive three simple approximations for the OP using the following approaches: (i) uni-variate dimension reduction, (ii) moment matching and, (iii) Kullback–Leibler (KL) divergence minimization. The resulting expressions for OP are simple to evaluate and quite tight even in the tail region. The validity of these approximations is demonstrated using extensive Monte Carlo simulations. We also study the impact of the number of bits available for quantization, the position of IRS with respect to the source and destination and the number of IRS elements on the OP for systems with and without an SD link. We also demonstrate how the method of moment matching and KL divergence minimization can be used to analyze systems experiencing spatial correlation between the IRS elements. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Aging asset management requires careful consideration of end-of-life of any asset. This is particularly serious with aging infrastructure which may require complete replacement of a large asset which has a long lead time. In many current End-of-Life analysis approaches to calculate unavailability, the period of interest is sub-divided into yearly cycles with the assumption that the asset is available at the start of the year. Although this assumption is adequate if the replacement time for the asset occurs within the year, with longer lead times this can create excessively optimistic availabilities. This paper presents an improved probabilistic tool for risk assessment due to End-of-Life failure unavailability which overcomes this deficiency. The End-of-Life methodology proposed in this paper is required when aging assets have long lead times to replacement and so the capital investment decision must be made several years ahead. The method is applied to evaluate the End-of-Life unavailability of Manitoba Hydro Bipole II HVdc converters. The results are corroborated using Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, the risk of End-of-Life is incorporated into an economic cost-benefit analysis corresponding to the presented unavailability evaluation method. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this work, we provide a framework analysis of dual-hop hybrid Millimeter Wave Radio Frequency (RF)/Free Space Optical (FSO) MIMO relaying system. The source is equipped with multiple antennas and employs conjugate beamforming while the destination consists of multiple apertures with selection combining. The system also consists of a relay operating at amplify-and-forward mode. The RF channels are subject to Nakagami-m fading while the optical links experience the Málaga distribution. In addition, we introduce the impairments to the relay and receiver. In fact, the relay is impaired by the High Power Amplifier (HPA) nonlinearities while the receiver suffers from the In phase and Quadrature Imbalance. Moreover, we assume two types of HPA nonlinearities impairments called Soft Envelope Limiter (SEL) and Traveling Wave Tube Amplifier (TWTA). Closed-forms of the outage probability, the bit error probability, and the ergodic capacity are derived. Capitalizing on these performances, we derive the high SNR asymptotes to unpack insightful metrics such as the diversity gain. We also address the impacts of some key factors on the system performance such as the impairments, the interferers, the number of antennas and apertures and the pointing errors, etc. Finally, the analytical expressions are confirmed by Monte Carlo simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Active brake control systems are able to use more accurate control designs on the real-time knowledge of wheel slip such as tire braking forces and external momentums. A multi-objective Pareto type optimization approach is used to evaluate the inconsistent points of the optimization design namely those of minimizing the directional deviation while achieving maximum braking forces on wheels. Moreover, the optimal target slip values defined by the braking purposes like as shorter stopping distance and stability increment by keeping the vehicle in the straight line. This gets by the control of the longitudinal and lateral slip dynamics of each wheel concerning to the road conditions. A controller is optimally brought up by manipulating optimal control law with weights of two control inputs with mathematical and probabilistic characterization. The first-passage probability of critical response levels is used to directly control the vehicle directional stability. An impressive simulation technique based on Monte Carlo method named asymptotic sampling is applied to define the required first-passage probabilities and the Latin Hypercube sampling is used to design of experiments and to cover the design space. Afterwards, a Pareto-type optimization approach is applied to a trade-off between the inconsistent points of the optimization design. The simulation is conducted by the validated vehicle model and the results are indicated that the probability-based control design is represented as a preferable braking performance in comparison with the other systems for braking in sever conditions.

Non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) is considered as a potential multiple access technique for supporting massive number of devices with high spectral efficiency for the 5 G and beyond networks. Simultaneous wireless information and power transfer (SWIPT) is considered as an efficient solution for fully autonomous and sustainable communication networks. In this paper, application of SWIPT in heterogeneous networks (HetNets) employing cooperative NOMA (CNOMA) is investigated. The HetNets consists of macro-base stations (MBS) under-laid by small-base stations (SBS). The distribution of MBSs follow Poisson point process model, while the SBS tier supports NOMA and carrier sensing for its transmission. Carrier sensing helps in reducing interference by blocking the base stations within a specific range from transmitting. In this work, the analysis at SBS tier is carried out in two phases. In the direct phase transmission, the SBS transmits the superimposed signal to a user pair, comprising of a cell-centre user (CCU) and a cell-edge user (CEU), using NOMA principle. The CCU acts as a cooperative relay to forward information to the CEU in the cooperative phase. Unlike existing literature, instead of using only the superimposed signal for energy harvesting (EH), in this work, the cooperating user (i.e. CCU) employs EH using interference from the adjacent base stations along with the EH from the superimposed signal. Expressions for outage probability and throughput are derived at the user pair served using NOMA. Comparison of the proposed EH system with existing solutions are highlighted and useful insights are drawn. Monte Carlo simulations are carried out to validate the analytical results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A UAV-aided wireless power transfer and data collection network is studied, where it is assumed that when the harvested energy at the sensor node (SN) cannot surpass its circuit activation threshold or the received data rate at UAV falls below a minimal required rate threshold, the information outage occurs. The closed-form expressions of energy outage probability and rate outage probability are derived at first, and then the overall outage probability and coverage performance of the system are analyzed. Based on which, an optimization problem is formulated to minimize the overall outage probability by optimizing UAV’s elevation angle and the time splitting (TS) factor. Since the problem is non-convex and has no known solution, an alternating optimization (AO)-based algorithm with Golden-section (GS) based linear search method is designed to find the global optimal solution. In order to explore the maximum coverage area of the UAV for a given tolerable outage probability, another optimization problem is also formulated to maximize the coverage range by optimizing UAV’s elevation angle. By using Karush-Kuhn-Tucker (KKT) conditions, the closed-form solution of the optimal elevation angle for maximizing the coverage area is derived. Monte Carlo simulations verify the accuracy of the derived closed-form expression of the overall outage probability and the semi-closed-form expressions of the optimum UAV’s elevation angle and TS factor. It shows that there exist a unique optimum elevation angle and the TS factor to achieve the minimum overall outage probability, and significant performance gain can be obtained by using our proposed optimization scheme. The developed theoretical results can be useful to the design of UAV-aided wireless communication systems with wireless power transfer. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Performance failure has become a major threat for various memory and analog circuits. It is challenging to estimate the extremely small failure probability when failed samples are distributed in multiple disjoint regions. In this article, we propose an adaptive importance sampling (AIS) algorithm. AIS has several iterations of sampling region adjustments, while existing methods predecide a static sampling distribution. We design two adaptive frameworks based on resampling and population Metropolis–Hastings (MH) to iteratively search for failure regions. The experimental results of the AIS method exhibit better efficiency and higher accuracy. For SRAM bit cell with single failure region, the AIS method uses 2– $27{\times }$ fewer samples and reaches better accuracy when compared to several recent methods. For a two-stage amplifier circuit with multiple failure regions, the AIS method is $90{\times }$ faster than Monte Carlo and 7–23 ${\times }$ over other methods. For charge pump circuit and $C^{2}MOS$ master–slave latch circuit, the AIS method can reach 6– $18{\times }$ and 4– $6{\times }$ speedup over other methods, respectively. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) and millimeter-wave (mmWave) communication are two important technologies considered for the fifth generation (5G) of mobile networks. In this paper, we propose a machine-to-machine (M2M) communication underlaying heterogeneous network (HetNet) with mmWave-NOMA transmission, where small cell users (SCUs) and machine type communication (MTC) devices share the same resource block (RB) to increase the network capacity. We formulate an optimization problem to select efficient users and allocate transmission powers to SCUs and MTC devices. The object of optimization is to maximize the energy efficiency (EE) subject to the minimum spectral efficiency (SE) requirements and maximum transmission powers. We present a low computational complexity sub-optimum solution based on the non-cooperative game. An iterative algorithm with fast convergence speed and a reduced complexity search-based algorithm are respectively presented to solve the power control and user selection problems. The comparison between the proposed solution and optimum solution for different number of transmit antennas indicate that there is a small gap between SEs and EEs of the proposed and optimum solutions. Further, the results of user selection scheme demonstrate that the location of strong user affects the performance. We also derive analytical expressions for the outage probability which confirm Monte Carlo simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The combination between non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) and hybrid automatic repeat request (HARQ) is capable of realizing ultra-reliability, high throughput and many concurrent connections particularly for emerging communication systems. This paper focuses on characterizing the asymptotic scaling law of the outage probability of HARQ-aided NOMA systems with respect to the transmit power, i.e., diversity order. The analysis of diversity order is carried out for three basic types of HARQ-aided downlink NOMA systems, including Type I HARQ, HARQ with chase combining (HARQ-CC) and HARQ with incremental redundancy (HARQ-IR). The diversity orders of three HARQ-aided downlink NOMA systems are derived in closed-form, where an integration domain partition trick is developed to obtain the bounds of the outage probability specially for HARQ-CC and HARQ-IR-aided NOMA systems. The analytical results show that the diversity order is a decreasing step function of transmission rate, and full time diversity can only be achieved under a sufficiently low transmission rate. It is also revealed that HARQ-IR-aided NOMA systems have the largest diversity order, followed by HARQ-CC-aided and then Type I HARQ-aided NOMA systems. Additionally, the users’ diversity orders follow a descending order according to their respective average channel gains. Furthermore, we expand discussions on the cases of power-efficient transmissions and imperfect channel state information (CSI). Monte Carlo simulations finally confirm our analysis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we propose a two-way cooperative relay scheme based on non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) where bidirectional communication is supported for two users in three phases. We jointly optimize power and time allocations to minimize system outage probability whose exact closed-form expression is derived and verified by Monte Carlo simulations. For performance comparison, four schemes based on power allocation and time allocation as well as the conventional one-way cooperative NOMA (OW-CNOMA) scheme are provided. It is shown that the proposed scheme can improve outage probability and ergodic rate performances over a conventional OW-CNOMA system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We propose a new opportunistic non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) scheme under wireless backhaul unreliability and fronthaul channel uncertainty, where fronthaul represents regular radio access link. In particular, we propose two opportunistic methods for the proposed NOMA, which allow the best transmitter selection approaches based on either a near or a far-away receiver, considering the wireless backhaul unreliability and the fronthaul fading impairment. For the performance analysis, new closed-form expressions of exact and approximated outage probabilities of the grouped receivers are derived. The theoretical analysis provides an insight into the impact of wireless backhaul unreliability and imperfect channel estimation on the behaviour of outage probabilities at NOMA receivers. Furthermore, we analytically investigate how the number of multiple transmitters in the proposed opportunistic NOMA can determine the outage floors. We show that under unreliable wireless backhauls, a dominant receiver in the proposed NOMA scheme can achieve more than 3 dB gain in outage performance, compared to the orthogonal multiple access. In addition, the outage probability at a dominant receiver is less influenced by imperfect channel information, while the outage probability at a non-dominant receiver is significantly sensitive. The analytical expressions and asymptotic results have been validated through Monte Carlo simulations, thus verifying the derived impact analysis of NOMA under wireless backhaul unreliability and imperfect channel estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Outage probability analysis of diversity reception over lognormal fading channels is challenging because the cumulative distribution function (CDF) of a sum of lognormal random variables (RVs) does not yield a closed-form expression. Furthermore, traditional asymptotic analysis techniques fail for lognormal fading channels. The well-applied approximation techniques, such as Fenton, Wilkinson, and Schwartz and Yeh approximations, become unreliable when the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) is high. In this paper, we derive closed-form bounds of outage probability for dual-branch equal-gain combining system over non-identically distributed lognormal fading channels. The bounds are shown tight from low-to-high SNR regimes, which provides an efficient way to evaluate the EGC system without resorting to expensive Monte Carlo simulation or numerical integration. Furthermore, the new analytical expressions can be used to test at what SNR the existing approximation techniques become inaccurate, and can also be used as criteria for system design. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Most of the well-known fading distributions, if not all of them, could be encompassed by the Fox's $H$ -function fading. Consequently, we investigate the physical layer security over Fox's $H$ -function fading wiretap channels, in the presence of non-colluding and colluding eavesdroppers. In particular, for the non-colluding scenario, closed-form expressions are derived for the secrecy outage probability (SOP), the probability of non-zero secrecy capacity, and the average secrecy capacity. These expressions are given in terms of either univariate or bivariate Fox's $H$ -function. In order to show the effectiveness of our derivations, three metrics are respectively listed over the following frequently used fading channels, including Rayleigh, Weibull, Nakagami- $m$ , $\alpha -\mu$ , Fisher-Snedecor (F-S) $\mathcal {F}$ , and extended generalized- $\mathcal {K}$. Our tractable results are not only straightforward and general, but also feasible and applicable, especially the SOP, which is usually limited to the lower bound in the literature due to the difficulty of deriving closed-from analytical expressions. For the colluding scenario, a super eavesdropper equipped with maximal ratio combining (MRC) or selection-combining (SC) schemes is characterized. The lower bound of SOP and exact PNZ are thereafter derived with closed-form expressions in terms of the multivariate Fox's $H$ -function. In order to validate the accuracy of our analytical results, Monte Carlo simulations are subsequently conducted for the aforementioned fading channels. One can observe that for the former non-colluding scenario, we have perfect agreement between the exact analytical and simulation results, and highly accurate approximations between the exact and asymptotic analytical results. On the contrary, the SOP and PNZ of colluding eavesdropper is greatly degraded with the increase of the number of eavesdroppers. Also, the so-called super eavesdropper with MRC is much powerful to wiretap the main channel than the one with SC. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A new method is developed for integer ambiguity resolution in carrier-phase differential global navigation satellite system positioning. The method is novel in that it is simultaneously data-driven, generalized to include partial ambiguity resolution, and amenable to a full analytical characterization of the prior probabilities of correctly and incorrectly resolved ambiguities. The technique is termed generalized integer aperture bootstrapping (GIAB). A full development of the GIAB is provided herein, including sizing its integer aperture to usually produce a higher prior probability of full ambiguity resolution than comparable existing methods. In Monte-Carlo simulations, the GIAB is shown to provide nearly optimal ambiguity resolution success rates of full ambiguity resolution for relevant integrity requirements under strong models while enabling partial ambiguity resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Timing analysis is a key step in the digital design process. By modeling device delay variations statistical static timing analysis (SSTA) reduces pessimism compared to traditional static timing analysis (STA). However, it ignores the circuit’s logic which causes some timing paths to never, or only rarely, be sensitized. We introduce a general timing analysis approach and tool to calculate the probability that individual timing paths are sensitized, enabling the calculation of bounding delay distributions over all input combinations. We show how this analysis is related to the well-known #SAT problem and present approaches to improve scalability, achieving, on average, results 75% to 37% less pessimistic than STA while running 569 to 16 times faster than Monte-Carlo timing simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we analyze the secrecy outage probability and computation overhead of a multi-user multi-eavesdropper wireless system which is composed of one cluster head (CH) transmitting to multiple users, while multiple eavesdroppers attempt to tap the transmission from CH to multiple users in the presence of co-channel interference (CCI). To achieve high security and low computation overhead, we present two multi-user scheduling schemes, namely, the switch-and-examine combining with post-selection user scheduling (SECpsUS) scheme and the selection combining-based user scheduling (SCbUS) scheme. For the purpose of comparison, the conventional round-robin scheduling (RRS) is also considered as a benchmark scheme. Furthermore, we derive closed-form secrecy outage probability expressions and analyze computation overheads for the conventional RRS, SCbUS, and SECpsUS schemes. Numerical results and Monte Carlo simulations are provided to verify the correctness of our theoretical secrecy outage analysis and to demonstrate the effect of CCI on the system performance. It is shown that the SECpsUS and SCbUS schemes outperform the conventional RRS scheme in terms of their secrecy outage probabilities, where SCbUS achieves the best secrecy outage performance but at cost of the highest computation overhead, while the conventional RRS scheme has no computation overhead with the worst secrecy performance. Moreover, a flexible tradeoff between the secrecy outage performance and computation overhead can be achieved by the proposed SECpsUS scheme by adjusting a so-called switching threshold. In addition, as the number of users increases, the secrecy outage performance of the SECpsUS and SCbUS is improved significantly, whereas no secrecy benefit is achieved by the conventional RRS scheme. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper presents a new approach for reliability evaluation of composite power systems by combining Monte Carlo simulation and multi label k-nearest neighbor (MLKNN) algorithm. MLKNN is a classification technique in which target vector of each instance is assigned into multiple classes. In this paper, MLKNN is used to classify states (failure or success at system or bus level) of a complete power system without requiring optimal power flow (OPF) analysis, except in the training phase. As a result, the computational burden to perform OPF is reduced dramatically. For illustration, the proposed method is applied to the IEEE 30 BUS Test System and IEEE Reliability Test System. The obtained results from various case studies demonstrate that MLKNN based reliability evaluation provides promising results in both classification accuracy and computation time in evaluating the composite power system reliability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Visible light communications (VLC) has been studied thoroughly in recent years as an alternative or complementary technology to radio frequency communications. The reliability of VLC channels highly depends on the availability and alignment of line of sight links. In this paper, we study the effect of random receiver orientation for mobile users over VLC downlink channels, which affects the existence and quality of line of sight links. Based on the statistics of the receiver location and relative orientation with respect to the transmitter LED, we develop an analytical framework to characterize the statistical distribution of VLC downlink channels, which is then utilized to obtain the outage probability and the bit error rate. Our analysis is generalized for arbitrary distributions of relative orientation and location for a single transmitter, and extended to multiple transmitter case for some certain scenarios. Extensive Monte Carlo simulations show a perfect match between the analytical and the simulation data in terms of both the statistical channel distribution and the resulting bit error rate. Our results also characterize the channel attenuation due to random receiver orientation and location for various scenarios of interest. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Non-orthogonal multiple access (NOMA) is currently considered as a promising technology for the next-generation wireless networks. In this paper, the error rate performance of NOMA systems is investigated over Nakagami- $m$ fading channels, while considering imperfect successive interference cancelation. In particular, this paper focuses on the pairwise error probability (PEP) analysis, where exact PEP expressions are derived to characterize the performance of all users under different fading conditions. The obtained PEP expressions are then used to derive an exact union bound on the bit error rate (BER). Through the derived PEP expressions, the asymptotic PEP analysis is presented to investigate the maximum achievable diversity gain of NOMA users. Moreover, using the derived BER bound, the power allocation problem for all users in NOMA systems is considered under average power and users BER constraints, which allows realizing the full potential of NOMA. Monte Carlo simulation and numerical results are presented to corroborate the derived analytical expressions and give valuable insights into the error rate performance of each user and the achievable diversity gain. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A new directional canopy emissivity model (CE-P) based on spectral invariants is proposed in this paper. First, we prove the existence of the spectral invariant properties in the thermal infrared (TIR) band using a Monte Carlo model. Based on it, the equation of the new model is derived from the perspective of absorption. In this expression, single-scattering and multiscattering effects are separated analytically in the TIR band. We find that the overall contribution of multiple scatterings is less than 0.005 when the component emissivities are over 0.90, and the overall contribution decreases with increasing leaf or soil emissivity. Furthermore, the new model can avoid the logical difficulty encountered when using the traditional cavity effect factor to simulate the emissivity of a sparse vegetation canopy. The results of 4SAIL and Discrete Anisotropic Radiative Transfer (DART) are selected to do cross validation. The CE-P can achieve a high accuracy compared with 4SAIL and DART, with an absolute bias less than 0.002 when the leaf (soil) emissivity is equal to 0.98 (0.94). Four widely used analytical models are selected for comparison. The resulting accuracies of these models are ordered from CE-P to REN15, FR97, FR02, and VALOR96 with the most serious error up to 0.002, 0.002, 0.007, 0.013, and 0.014, respectively. Three main conclusions are obtained through the sensitivity analysis: the multiscattering between vegetation and the background can be ignored when the leaf (soil) emissivity is no less than 0.94 (0.90), the second and higher order scattering within the vegetation can also be ignored when the leaf (soil) emissivity is no less than 0.94 (0.90), and the single-scattering effect within the canopy should be considered which can be calculated using three view factors. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This paper considers the problem of approximating the failure frequency of large-scale composite $\boldsymbol{k}$ -terminal reliability systems. In such systems, the nodes ($\boldsymbol{k}$ of which are terminals) are connected through components, which are subject to random failure and repair processes. At any time, a system failure occurs if the surviving system fails to connect all the $\boldsymbol{k}$ terminals together. We assume that each component's up times and down times follow statistically independent stationary random processes, and these processes are statistically independent across the components. In this setting, the exact computation of failure frequency is known to be computationally intractable (NP-hard). In this paper, we present an algorithm to approximate the failure frequency for any given multiplicative error factor that runs in polynomial time in the number of (minimal) cutsets. Moreover, for the special case of all-terminal reliability systems, i.e., where all the nodes are terminals, we propose an algorithm for approximating the failure frequency within an arbitrary multiplicative error that runs in polynomial time in the number of nodes (which can be much smaller than the number of cutsets). Our simulation results confirm that the proposed method is much faster and more accurate than the standard Monte Carlo simulation technique for approximating the failure frequency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to errors in the phase and amplitude of element excitations in an antenna array, the array radiation pattern gets distorted. In order to derive statistical results on this distortion, specifically on determining the probability of exceeding a certain sidelobe level (SLL), it is often assumed that the magnitude of the array amplitude pattern follows a Rician distribution. It is shown that the Rician distribution implies two assumptions, and therefore, a more general Beckmann distribution is proposed to describe the distribution of the magnitude of the array amplitude pattern. Using Monte Carlo simulations, it is shown that the use of a Beckmann distribution outperforms the Rician distribution. Also, the seemingly counterintuitive result that the maximum probability of exceeding a certain SLL, in general, does not have to be at the angle where the highest sidelobe in the error-free case is located, is obtained. Due to this result, the importance of using an angular probability plot is emphasized. Furthermore, a physical explanation for the observed seemingly counterintuitive behavior is given. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Traditional techniques for statistical analysis of rare events require a good understanding of the dependence of the outputs on the independent input variables. This can sometimes be an insurmountable challenge, especially when the dimensionality of the input variation space is high. In this paper, we present an innovative scaled sigma sampling (SSS) technique that is able to obtain an accurate quantification of the low probability tails without requiring visibility to the failure regions or their input dimensionality. SSS leverages the probability density differences produced by process sigma scale factors to uncover the nature of the population redistribution induced by the circuit. This understanding is used to construct an efficient transform for the circuit metric, one that has the same sigma scale factor dependency of the cumulative probabilities as the SPICE simulations. This transform is then used to obtain the low probability tails corresponding to the original process distribution. We present representative circuit applications to illustrate the large savings in computational costs that one can achieve with SSS and the transparency and accuracy of this approach. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

An analytical approach and a control strategy are proposed in Part I of this two-part paper for leveraging the aggregate demand of a population of thermostatically-controlled loads (TCLs) to deliver contingency-type reserve capacity. Further, a metric is introduced to quantify the TCL users' comfort satisfaction in response to a control signal. In Part II, we address the validation of the concepts put forth in the first part of the paper. To do so, we develop an extensive set of case studies based upon a population of 10\thinspace000 electric water heaters (EWH). Here, a physically-based model is first derived for the calculation of EWHs on-time statistics. The model is then extended to calculate the probability of EWH users' comfort satisfaction. The analytical approach and control strategy presented in Part I are validated using the EWH model against Monte Carlo simulations. Further, the trade-off between demand response capacity and EWH users' comfort satisfaction is investigated. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A network-on-chip (NoC), a redundancy-rich and thus relatively robust system-chip, is still vulnerable to defects due to its large-scale integration. Thus, it is desirable to analyze the NoC yield in an early design phase. A Monte Carlo (MC) approach was proposed for the NoC yield analysis at the system level; however, it is inefficient due to the requirement of a large number of simulation runs. In this paper, we propose a Gibbs sampling approach, which can efficiently generate failed NoC instances as simulation samples, for yield estimation. This approach significantly reduces the number of required simulation runs for obtaining an accurate yield estimation. Implementation issues, such as initial sample selection, calculation of conditional distributions, and stop criterion, to customize Gibbs sampling for the NoC yield analysis are discussed. Potential optimization opportunities to further improve Gibbs sampling’s efficiency are also explored. Compared to the MC approach, our experimental results show that the proposed approach can reduce the simulation runtime by 5\times – 100\times for a high-yield NoC (a failure rate at 10^-2 – 10^-5 ), while achieving the same level of accuracy for yield estimation. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

We examine the adaptive detection problem in the presence of colored noise with an unknown covariance matrix, by exploiting a persymmetric structure in the received signal. The persymmetric adaptive matched filter (PS-AMF) is used to address this problem, which can significantly alleviate the requirement of secondary data. In G. Pailloux et al. “Persymmetric adaptive radar detectors,” (2011) the probability of false alarm of the PS-AMF has been obtained in terms of the Gaussian hypergeometric function. In this paper, finite-sum expressions for the probability of false alarm of the PS-AMF are derived, which are more convenient to use in calculating the detection threshold. Moreover, the detection probabilities of the PS-AMF for both nonfluctuating and fluctuating target models are derived. In the fluctuating model, the amplitude of the target echoes is described by a generalized Chi distribution that involves the Rayleigh distribution as a special case. These theoretical results are all confirmed using Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]

Effective verification methods are necessary for finding bugs in complex system design. Given domain specific knowledge, design verification engineers typically specify cross coverage for certain risky areas where bugs tend to appear. This paper proposes a pragmatic coverage model based on cross coverage. We address the verification on user specified cross coverage regions. The proposed analysis models the probability of exposing the bug within a given number of samplings, and derives the expected number of samples until bug detection. The approach is applicable to random, round-robin, and hybrid sampling strategies in recurring and nonrecurring cases based on our cross coverage model. We have written Matlab and C programs that use our formulas to calculate the probabilities. Experimental results show that our analysis is consistent with Monte Carlo simulation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Random telegraph noise (RTN) is one of the important dynamic variation sources in ultrascaled MOSFETs. In this paper, the recently focused ac trap effects of RTN in digital circuits and their impacts on circuit performance are systematically investigated. Instead of trap occupancy probability under dc bias condition ( pdc ), which is traditionally used for RTN characterization, ac trap occupancy probability ( pac ), i.e., the effective percentage of time trap being occupied under ac bias condition, is proposed and evaluated analytically to investigate the dynamic trapping/detrapping behavior of RTN. A simulation approach that fully integrates the dynamic properties of ac trap effects is presented for accurate simulation of RTN in digital circuits. The impacts of RTN on digital circuit performances, e.g., failure probabilities of SRAM cells and jitters of ring oscillators, are then evaluated by the simulations and verified against predictions based on pac . The results show that degradations are highly workload dependent and that pac is critical in accurately evaluating the RTN-induced performance degradation and variability. The results are helpful for robust and resilient circuit design. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Real-time load composition knowledge will dramatically benefit demand-side management (DSM). Previous works disaggregate the load via either intrusive or nonintrusive load monitoring. However, due to the difficulty in accessing all houses via smart meters at all times and the unavailability of frequently measured high-resolution load signatures at bulk supply points, neither is suitable for frequent or widespread application. This paper employs the artificial intelligence (AI) tool to develop a load disaggregation approach for bulk supply points based on the substation rms measurement without relying on smart meter data, customer surveys, or high-resolution load signatures. Monte Carlo simulation is used to generate the training and validation data. Load compositions obtained by the AI tool are compared with the validation data and used for load characteristics estimation and validation. Probabilistic distributions and confidence levels of different confidence intervals for errors of load compositions and load characteristics are also derived. [ABSTRACT FROM PUBLISHER]