1. Does Unemployment Risk Affect Business Cycle Dynamics?
- Author
-
Graves, Sebastian
- Subjects
UNEMPLOYMENT insurance ,BUSINESS cycle management ,LIQUID assets ,KEYNESIAN economics ,MONETARY policy - Abstract
In this paper, I show that the decline in household consumption during unemploy- ment spells depends on both liquid and illiquid asset positions. I also provide evidence that unemployment spells predict the withdrawal of illiquid assets, particularly when households have few liquid assets. Motivated by these findings, I embed endogenous unemployment risk in a two-asset heterogeneous-agent New Keynesian model. The model is consistent with the above evidence and provides a new propagation mecha- nism for aggregate shocks due to a ight-to-liquidity that occurs when unemployment risk rises. This mechanism implies that unemployment insurance plays an important role as an automatic stabilizer, particularly when monetary policy is constrained. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF