1. Blueprint for Resilience: The Tahoe-Central Sierra Initiative.
- Author
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Manley, Patricia N., Povak, Nicholas A., Wilson, Kristen N., Fairweather, Mary Lou, Griffey, Vivian, and Long, Linda L.
- Subjects
FOREST fires ,FOREST resilience ,ECOSYSTEM management ,FOREST protection ,FOREST density ,BIODIVERSITY conservation - Abstract
The Tahoe-Central Sierra Initiative (TCSI) Blueprint for Resilience (hereafter TCSI Blueprint) is a set of strategy maps that identify opportunities for forest protection and adaptation across a 978 381-ha (2.4 million-ac) region of the central Sierra Nevada. The TCSI partners, along with scientists and forest managers versed in the concept of resilience, defined resilience based on 10 ecological and social pillars. The TCSI Blueprint includes evaluations of 30 unique metrics, such as large tree density and probability of high-severity fire, that describe conditions across five of the pillars of resilience: forest resilience, fire-adapted communities, fire dynamics, biodiversity conservation, and carbon sequestration. The TCSI Blueprint uses a novel application of the Ecosystem Management Decision Support tool and fuzzy logic modeling to evaluate the degree to which current conditions are indicative of resilient landscapes. The TCSI Blueprint integrates assessments of both current (2019) and future (2020-2060) conditions under climate change (based on dynamic forest modeling) to reflect where management can likely make the most impact toward achieving functions on the landscape now and into the future. The model outputs spatial maps of condition scores ranging from -1 (out of target conditions) to +1 (within target conditions) for current and future conditions separately. These metric scores are then mapped onto a two-dimensional space, with current conditions on the x-axis and the potential to achieve target conditions in the future on the y-axis. Within that space, scores for each of four climate-informed management strategies are calculated and mapped: monitor, protect, adapt, and transform. The full suite of data used to generate the TCSI Blueprint offers a robust foundation for large landscape management and project planning, from strategic to tactical to operational. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
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