1. A mathematical model for the within-host (re)infection dynamics of SARS-CoV-2.
- Author
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Schuh, Lea, Markov, Peter V., Veliov, Vladimir M., and Stilianakis, Nikolaos I.
- Subjects
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SARS-CoV-2 , *MATHEMATICAL models , *VIRAL load , *INFECTION , *EPITHELIAL cells - Abstract
Interactions between SARS-CoV-2 and the immune system during infection are complex. However, understanding the within-host SARS-CoV-2 dynamics is of enormous importance for clinical and public health outcomes. Current mathematical models focus on describing the within-host SARS-CoV-2 dynamics during the acute infection phase. Thereby they ignore important long-term post-acute infection effects. We present a mathematical model, which not only describes the SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics during the acute infection phase, but extends current approaches by also recapitulating clinically observed long-term post-acute infection effects, such as the recovery of the number of susceptible epithelial cells to an initial pre-infection homeostatic level, a permanent and full clearance of the infection within the individual, immune waning, and the formation of long-term immune capacity levels after infection. Finally, we used our model and its description of the long-term post-acute infection dynamics to explore reinfection scenarios differentiating between distinct variant-specific properties of the reinfecting virus. Together, the model's ability to describe not only the acute but also the long-term post-acute infection dynamics provides a more realistic description of key outcomes and allows for its application in clinical and public health scenarios. • A novel model of the within-host SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics. • Describes acute infection dynamics of individual viral load data accurately. • Reveals long-term post-acute SARS-CoV-2 infection dynamics. • Accommodates reinfections accounting for higher infectivity or immune escape variants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
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