1. Are Breast Cancer Nomograms Still Valid to Predict the Need for Axillary Dissection?
- Author
-
Madekivi V, Karlsson A, Boström P, and Salminen E
- Subjects
- Adult, Aged, Aged, 80 and over, Axilla, Breast Neoplasms pathology, Female, Humans, Middle Aged, Retrospective Studies, Tumor Burden, Breast Neoplasms surgery, Lymph Node Excision methods, Lymphatic Metastasis pathology, Nomograms
- Abstract
Background: Nomograms can help in estimating the nodal status among clinically node-negative patients. Yet their validity in external cohorts over time is unknown. If the nodal stage can be estimated preoperatively, the need for axillary dissection can be decided., Objectives: The aim of this study was to validate three existing nomograms predicting 4 or more axillary lymph node metastases., Method: The risk for ≥4 lymph node metastases was calculated for n = 529 eligible breast cancer patients using the nomograms of Chagpar et al. [Ann Surg Oncol. 2007;14:670-7], Katz et al. [J Clin Oncol. 2008;26(13):2093-8], and Meretoja et al. [Breast Cancer Res Treat. 2013;138(3):817-27]. Discrimination and calibration were calculated for each nomogram to determine their validity., Results: In this cohort, the AUC values for the Chagpar, Katz, and Meretoja models were 0.79 (95% CI 0.74-0.83), 0.87 (95% CI 0.83-0.91), and 0.82 (95% CI 0.76-0.86), respectively, showing good discrimination between patients with and without high nodal burdens., Conclusion: This study presents support for the use of older breast cancer nomograms and confirms their current validity in an external population., (© 2021 S. Karger AG, Basel.)
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF