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The effects of the short-wavelength heterogeneity of the crustal structure on predicted ground motion at periods of 1 s and longer were investigated by conducting three-dimensional finite-difference simulations using a detailed realistic velocity model of the Kanto region of Japan. The short-wavelength heterogeneity of the media within the upper crust was randomly modeled using the exponential-type autocorrelation function where the velocity standard deviation was set to 5%. Combinations of heterogeneous media with various correlation lengths and point source models with various depths and durations were considered in order to investigate the variability of the predicted ground motion and the sensitivity to the parameters. The effects of random heterogeneity on the simulated ground motion appeared as a result of changes in the amplitude and phase of both the direct waves and later phases, as well as the spectral peaks of the response spectra. Ground-motion variability, in terms of peak ground velocity (PGV) and velocity response spectra (Sv), was evaluated using the residual, or the difference in logarithm of PGV and Sv between the ground motion computed with and without random heterogeneity. While the residual averaged over the surface of the computed area was almost negligible in the studied period range, the variability of the residual was found to increase with distance and to be larger for point sources with shorter durations.

We analyzed strong-motion and broadband recordings of two moderate-magnitude earthquakes that occurred in the Nankai Trough. The first event was the 2004 Mw 6.5 southeast off-Kii peninsula earthquake, an aftershock event inside the Philippine Sea Plate near the Nankai Trough axis. The second event was the 2016 Mw 5.8 southeast off-Mie Prefecture earthquake, an independent event in the rupture area of the 1944 Mw ~ 8 Tonankai earthquake. The centroid depths were 11 and 14 km for the 2004 and 2016 events, respectively. Despite a large difference in the moment magnitude between the two events, the JMA magnitude (Mj) was 6.5 for both the events. We found that the short-period ground motions (e.g., response spectra at periods < 1 s) as well as the much longer-period ground motions (> 20 s) for the 2016 event scaled generally well with the moment magnitude of the event. In contrast, the ground motions from the 2016 event were comparable to those for the larger-moment-magnitude 2004 event at equal distances at periods of about 2–20 s in wide areas and the observed acceleration response spectra at those periods were noticeably underestimated for the 2016 event by the ground motion prediction equation (GMPE) that employs Mw. An examination of the existing subsurface velocity model suggested that the difference in the relative location of the two events with respect to the thick accretionary prism of low seismic velocity most probably caused the comparable amplitude of the seismic waves at those periods. As a result, we posit that the values of Mj are equal for the two events because Mj is estimated using the displacement amplitude of ground motions at periods smaller than about 6 s. On the other hand, GMPE employing Mj generally described the observed data well. The results suggested that the plate boundary earthquakes in the Nankai Trough may excite strong long-period ground motions of engineering importance, and these ground motions appear to be better explained by Mj than by Mw in GMPEs for moderate-magnitude earthquakes in the Nankai Trough subduction zone.

The nationwide strong-motion seismograph network of K-NET and KiK-net in Japan successfully recorded the strong ground motions of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake sequence, which show the several notable characteristics. For the first large earthquake with a JMA magnitude of 6.5 (21:26, April 14, 2016, JST), the large strong motions are concentrated near the epicenter and the strong-motion attenuations are well predicted by the empirical relation for crustal earthquakes with a moment magnitude of 6.1. For the largest earthquake of the sequence with a JMA magnitude of 7.3 (01:25, April 16, 2016, JST), the large peak ground accelerations and velocities extend from the epicentral area to the northeast direction. The attenuation feature of peak ground accelerations generally follows the empirical relation, whereas that for velocities deviates from the empirical relation for stations with the epicentral distance of greater than 200 km, which can be attributed to the large Love wave having a dominant period around 10 s. The large accelerations were observed at stations even in Oita region, more than 70 km northeast from the epicenter. They are attributed to the local induced earthquake in Oita region, whose moment magnitude is estimated to be 5.5 by matching the amplitudes of the corresponding phases with the empirical attenuation relation. The real-time strong-motion observation has a potential for contributing to the mitigation of the ongoing earthquake disasters. We test a methodology to forecast the regions to be exposed to the large shaking in real time, which has been developed based on the fact that the neighboring stations are already shaken, for the largest event of the Kumamoto earthquakes, and demonstrate that it is simple but effective to quickly make warning. We also shows that the interpolation of the strong motions in real time is feasible, which will be utilized for the real-time forecast of ground motions based on the observed shakings.Graphical abstractLarge acceleration because of the station located close to the fault for M6.5 and M7.3 events (KMMH16)Large acceleration due to the local earthquake induced by M7.3 event (OIT009 and OITH11)

In this study, a method for simulating the ground motion of megathrust earthquakes at periods of approximately 2 s and longer was validated by using the characterized source model combined with multi-scale spatial heterogeneity. Source models for the MW8.3, 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake were constructed, and ground motion simulations were conducted to test their performance. First, a characterized source model was generated based on a source model obtained from waveform inversion analysis. Then, multi-scale heterogeneity was added to the spatial distribution of several source parameters to yield a heterogeneous source model. An investigation of the Fourier spectra and 5 % damped velocity response spectra of the simulated and observed ground motions demonstrated that adding multi-scale heterogeneity to the spatial distributions of the slip, rupture velocity, and rake angle of the characterized source model is an effective method for constructing a source model that explains the ground motion at periods of 2–20 s. It was also revealed how the complexity of the parameters affects the resulting ground motion. The complexity of the rupture velocity had the largest influence among the three parameters.

The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is able to process data for its earthquake early warning (EEW) procedure very quickly by employing a seismic intensity expectation method that uses simplified strong motion characteristics. To represent one of these characteristics, the site amplification factor at the seismic intensity station, JMA uses ARV (amplitude ratio of peak ground velocity at the ground surface relative to the engineering bedrock of average S-wave velocity 700 m/s) based on topographic data. As a potential substitute for the ARV, we investigated a station correction based on empirical site amplifications obtained from recent observed seismic intensity data. When estimating this station correction, we removed an effect of the abnormal seismic intensity distribution of deep subduction-zone earthquakes and applied a correction for the earthquake source term to the attenuation relation. Station corrections were obtained for 1258 stations, representing about 30% of all current seismic intensity stations. The correlation between our station corrections at the stations and the site amplification based on topographic data is weak (correlation coefficient = 0.30). The error of the expected seismic intensity was improved by 15% by replacing ARV with the station correction.

The 2007 Niigata-ken Chuetsu-oki earthquake generated strong ground motions in Kashiwazaki and Kariwa, where the world largest nuclear power plant was in operation. Due to the complexity of the aftershock distribution, activation of the northwest-dipping fault and/or the southeast-dipping fault is proposed. To explore the fault geometry and source process of the earthquake, we performed multi-time window linear waveform inversions for both the fault planes from near-fault strong motion data. A fault plane model of 30 km in length by 24 km in width was set to cover the region of aftershock distribution within 24 h of the mainshock. Both inverted slip models provided moment magnitudes of 6.7 with a small asperity near the rupture starting point, and a large asperity approximately 10 km southwest of the rupture initiation, which is located in the region of relatively sparse aftershock distribution. Both the small and large asperities are located near the intersection between the two conjugate fault plane models, and the asperities of both models have similar radiation patterns. Therefore, the difference of the residuals between the observed and synthetic waveforms for both models was not significant, indicating that it is difficult to conclude which fault is the rupture.

We have investigated the rupture process of the 2005 West Off Fukuoka Prefecture earthquake by the multitime- window linear waveform inversion method using the strong ground motion data recorded at 11 K-NET and KiK-net stations. From the waveforms of the P-wave portion, it is indicated that the energy release in the first few seconds was markedly lower than the subsequent part, and this causes difficulty in identifying onset of the S-wave. To decide an appropriate time window for the waveform inversion, we estimate the S-wave onset using aftershock records. The inverted slip distribution shows a single asperity of 8 km × 6 km and its center located 8 km to the southeast and 6 km above the hypocenter. The asperity explains most of the large-amplitude signals in the observed waveforms. The turning point from the initial low-energy-release rupture to the main high-energyrelease rupture is estimated from the spatial variation of the observed initial rupture phase. It is found 3.3 s after the initiation of the rupture at about 4 km to the southeast of the hypocenter. Stress drop during the initial rupture is estimated to be in the same order of those of moderate size aftershocks, which indicates that the initial rupture is an ordinary dynamic rupture.

A great earthquake, named the 2003 Tokachi-oki earthquake, occurred in the southern Kuril subduction zone on 26th September 2003,4:50 JST (41.7797°N, 144.0795°E, 42 km depth; Japan Meteorological Agency). Its ground motion was recoreded at 655 stations of the nationwide strong motion networks, K-NET and KiK-net. A maximum peak ground acceleration of 988 cm/s2(gal) was observed at station HKD100 and amplitudes greater than 200 cm/s2were observed over a wide area of eastern Hokkaido. We used a multi-line linear waveform inversion method to estimate the rupture process from the strong motion data of supplied by 15 stations. We assumed a fault plane model of 140 km × 160 km with strike and dip angles of our fault model are N246°E and 18°, respectively, placed on the estimated upper boundary of the subducting Pacific Plate. The estimated total slip distribution consisted of three major slip areas; (a) around the hypocenter, (b) the northwest part of the fault with the maximum slip of 5.9 m, and (c) the northeast edge of the fault plane. The major asperity (b) was composed of two large slip areas with different slip rate functions: the duration of moment release in the sourtheast part is longer than 15 sec, but in contrast most of the seismic moment of the northwest part was released in a short period of less than 10 sec. Our estimation of the total seismic moment was 2.9 × 1021N·m which corresponded to Mw = 8.2.

Müllerian-inhibiting substance (MIS) plays an essential role in mammalian male sexual development; thus, it is important to determine how the tightly regulated expression of the MIS gene is transcriptionally controlled. Transcription of eukaryotic genes is dependent on regulatory elements in the enhancer and one or both distinct elements in the core promoter: the TATA box, and the initiator (Inr) element. Because the human MIS gene does not contain a consensus TATA and has not been reported to contain an Inr element, we hypothesized that the initiator region of the core promoter was essential for promoter activity. Transient transfection assays were conducted using an immortalized Embryonic Day 14.5 male rat urogenital ridge cell line (CH34) that expresses low levels of MIS. These studies revealed that promoter activity is dependent on the region around the start site (−6 to +10) but not on the nonconsensus TATA region. Electrophoretic mobility shift assays demonstrated that the human MIS initiator sequence forms a specific DNA-protein complex with CH34 cell nuclear extract, HeLa cell nuclear extract, and purified TFII-I. This complex could be blocked or supershifted by the addition of antibodies directed against TFII-I. These data suggest that the human MIS gene contains a functional initiator that is specifically recognized by TFII-I.