1. Bayesian and minimax estimators of loss
- Author
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Allard, Christine and Marchand, Éric
- Abstract
We study the problem of loss estimation that involves for an observable X∼fθthe choice of a first-stage estimator γ^of γ(θ), incurred loss L=L(θ,γ^), and the choice of a second-stage estimator L^of L. We consider both: (i) a sequential version where the first-stage estimate and loss are fixed and optimization is performed at the second-stage level, and (ii) a simultaneous version with a Rukhin-type loss function designed for the evaluation of (γ^,L^)as an estimator of (γ,L). We explore various Bayesian solutions and provide minimax estimators for both situations (i) and (ii). The analysis is carried out for several probability models, including multivariate normal models Nd(θ,σ2Id)with both known and unknown σ2, Gamma, univariate and multivariate Poisson, and negative binomial models, and relates to different choices of the first-stage and second-stage losses. The minimax findings are achieved by identifying a least favourable sequence of priors and depend critically on particular Bayesian solution properties, namely situations where the second-stage estimator L^(x)is constant as a function of x.
- Published
- 2024
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