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1. Global injury morbidity and mortality from 1990 to 2017: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: James, Spencer L, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Fox, Jack T, Hamilton, Erin B, Liu, Zichen, S Roberts, Nicholas L, Sylte, Dillon O, Henry, Nathaniel J, LeGrand, Kate E, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdoli, Amir, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abedi, Aidin, Abosetugn, Akine Eshete, Abushouk, Abdelrahman I, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Agudelo-Botero, Marcela, Ahmad, Tauseef, Ahmed, Rushdia, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Eddine Aichour, Miloud Taki, Alahdab, Fares, Alamene, Genet Melak, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alebel, Animut, Alema, Niguse Meles, Alghnam, Suliman A, Al-Hajj, Samar, Ali, Beriwan Abdulqadir, Ali, Saqib, Alikhani, Mahtab, Alinia, Cyrus, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Almasri, Nihad A, Altirkawi, Khalid, Abdeldayem Amer, Yasser Sami, Amini, Saeed, Loreche Amit, Arianna Maever, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, T Antonio, Carl Abelardo, Yaw Appiah, Seth Christopher, Arabloo, Jalal, Arab-Zozani, Morteza, Arefi, Zohreh, Aremu, Olatunde, Ariani, Filippo, Arora, Amit, Asaad, Malke, Asghari, Babak, Awoke, Nefsu, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayano, Getinet, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Azari, Samad, Azarian, Ghasem, Badawi, Alaa, Badiye, Ashish D, Bagli, Eleni, Baig, Atif Amin, Bairwa, Mohan, Bakhtiari, Ahad, Balachandran, Arun, Banach, Maciej, Banerjee, Srikanta K, Banik, Palash Chandra, Banstola, Amrit, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Ba¨rnighausen, Till Winfried, Barrero, Lope H, Barzegar, Akbar, Bayati, Mohsen, Baye, Bayisa Abdissa, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Bekuma, Tariku Tesfaye, Belete, Habte, Benjet, Corina, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhe, Kidanemaryam, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhat, Anusha Ganapati, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bibi, Sadia, Bijani, Ali, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat, Borges, Guilherme, Borzì, Antonio Maria, Boufous, Soufiane, Brazinova, Alexandra, Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich, Budhathoki, Shyam S, Car, Josip, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Félix, Castaldelli-Maia, João Mauricio, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castelpietra, Giulio, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cerin, Ester, Chandan, Joht S, Chanie, Wagaye Fentahun, Chattu, Soosanna Kumary, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chatziralli, Irini, Chaudhary, Neha, Cho, Daniel Youngwhan, Kabir Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Colquhoun, Samantha M, Constantin, Maria-Magdalena, Costa, Vera M, Damiani, Giovanni, Daryani, Ahmad, Dávila-Cervantes, Claudio Alberto, Demeke, Feleke Mekonnen, Demis, Asmamaw Bizuneh, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Demsie, Desalegn Getnet, Derakhshani, Afshin, Deribe, Kebede, Desai, Rupak, Nasab, Mostafa Dianati, da Silva, Diana Dias, Dibaji Forooshani, Zahra Sadat, Doyle, Kerrie E, Driscoll, Tim Robert, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Adema, Bereket Duko, Eagan, Arielle Wilder, Eftekhari, Aziz, Ehsani-Chimeh, Elham, Sayed Zaki, Maysaa El, Elemineh, Demelash Abewa, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I, El-Khatib, Ziad, Ellingsen, Christian Lycke, Emamian, Mohammad Hassan, Endalew, Daniel Adane, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Faris, Pawan Sirwan, Faro, Andre, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fatahi, Yousef, Fekadu, Wubalem, Ferede, Tomas Y, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Ferrara, Pietro, Feyissa, Garumma Tolu, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Folayan, Morenike Oluwatoyin, Foroutan, Masoud, Francis, Joel Msafiri, Franklin, Richard Charles, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Geberemariyam, Biniyam Sahiledengle, Gebre, Abadi Kahsu, Gebremedhin, Ketema Bizuwork, Gebremeskel, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn, Gebremichael, Berhe, Gedefaw, Getnet Azeze, Geta, Birhanu, Ghafourifard, Mansour, Ghamari, Farhad, Ghashghaee, Ahmad, Gholamian, Asadollah, Gill, Tiffany K, Goulart, Alessandra C, Grada, Ayman, Grivna, Michal, Mohialdeen Gubari, Mohammed Ibrahim, Guimarães, Rafael Alves, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Gaurav, Haagsma, Juanita A, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Bidgoli, Hassan Haghparast, Hall, Brian James, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hamidi, Samer, Haro, Josep Maria, Hasan, Md Mehedi, Hasanzadeh, Amir, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hayat, Khezar, Hendrie, Delia, Heydarpour, Fatemeh, Híjar, Martha, Ho, Hung Chak, Hoang, Chi Linh, Hole, Michael K, Holla, Ramesh, Hossain, Naznin, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hu, Guoqing, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Ilic, Irena, Ilic, Milena D, Inbaraj, Leeberk Raja, Indriasih, Endang, Naghibi Irvani, Seyed Sina, Shariful Islam, Sheikh Mohammed, Islam, M Mofizul, Ivers, Rebecca Q, Jacobsen, Kathryn H, Jahani, Mohammad Ali, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jalilian, Farzad, Jayaraman, Sudha, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jha, Ravi Prakash, John-Akinola, Yetunde O, Jonas, Jost B, Joseph, Nitin, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jungari, Suresh Banayya, Ju¨risson, Mikk, Kabir, Ali, Kadel, Rajendra, Kahsay, Amaha, Kalankesh, Leila R, Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamil, Teshome Abegaz, Kanchan, Tanuj, Kapoor, Neeti, Karami, Manoochehr, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassaye, Hagazi Gebremedhin, Kavetskyy, Taras, Kebede, Hafte Kahsay, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kelbore, Abraham Getachew, Kelkay, Bayew, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khalid, Nauman, Khalil, Ibrahim A, Khalilov, Rovshan, Khammarnia, Mohammad, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Maseer, Khanna, Tripti, Khazaie, Habibolah, Shadmani, Fatemeh Khosravi, Khundkar, Roba, Kiirithio, Daniel N, Kim, Young-Eun, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun Jin, Kisa, Adnan, Kisa, Sezer, Komaki, Hamidreza, M Kondlahalli, Shivakumar K, Korshunov, Vladimir Andreevich, Koyanagi, Ai, G Kraemer, Moritz U, Krishan, Kewal, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kumar, Vivek, Kumar, Nithin, Kumar, G Anil, Kumar, Manasi, Kumaresh, Girikumar, Kurmi, Om P, Kuti, Oluwatosin, Vecchia, Carlo La, Lami, Faris Hasan, Lamichhane, Prabhat, Lang, Justin J, Lansingh, Van C, Laryea, Dennis Odai, Lasrado, Savita, Latifi, Arman, Lauriola, Paolo, Leasher, Janet L, Huey Lee, Shaun Wen, Lenjebo, Tsegaye Lolaso, Levi, Miriam, Li, Shanshan, Linn, Shai, Liu, Xuefeng, Lopez, Alan D, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Lyons, Ronan A, Madadin, Mohammed, El Razek, Muhammed Magdy Abd, Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur, Majdan, Marek, Majeed, Azeem, Malagon-Rojas, Jeadran N, Maled, Venkatesh, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Manafi, Navid, Manafi, Amir, Manda, Ana-Laura, Manjunatha, Narayana, Mansour-Ghanaei, Fariborz, Mansouri, Borhan, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Maravilla, Joemer C, March, Lyn M, Mason-Jones, Amanda J, Masoumi, Seyedeh Zahra, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Maulik, Pallab K, Meles, Gebrekiros Gebremichael, Melese, Addisu, Melketsedik, Zeleke Aschalew, N Memiah, Peter T, Mendoza, Walter, Menezes, Ritesh G, Mengesha, Meresa Berwo, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Atte, Merie, Hayimro Edemealem, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miller, Ted R, Mini, GK, Mirica, Andreea, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Mehdi, Mithra, Prasanna, Moazen, Babak, Moghadaszadeh, Masoud, Mohamadi, Efat, Mohammad, Yousef, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, Gholi Mezerji, Naser Mohammad, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammadoo-Khorasani, Milad, Mohammadpourhodki, Reza, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohammed, Jemal Abdu, Mohebi, Farnam, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moodley, Yoshan, Moosazadeh, Mahmood, Moradi, Masoud, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moradpour, Farhad, Morawska, Lidia, Velásquez, Ilais Moreno, Morisaki, Naho, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Mossie, Tilahun Belete, Muluneh, Atalay Goshu, Murthy, Srinivas, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Mustafa, Ghulam, Nabhan, Ashraf F, Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman, Naik, Gurudatta, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Najafi, Farid, Nangia, Vinay, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Naserbakht, Morteza, Nayak, Vinod, Ndwandwe, Duduzile Edith, Negoi, Ionut, Ngunjiri, Josephine W, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Thi Nguyen, Huong Lan, Nikbakhsh, Rajan, Anggraini Ningrum, Dina Nur, Nnaji, Chukwudi A, Nyasulu, Peter S, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oghenetega, Onome Bright, Oh, In-Hwan, Okunga, Emmanuel Wandera, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olagunju, Tinuke O, Bali, Ahmed Omar, Onwujekwe, Obinna E, Asante, Kwaku Oppong, Orpana, Heather M, Ota, Erika, Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, A, Mahesh P, Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pakhale, Smita, Pakshir, Keyvan, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Park, Eun-Kee, Patel, Sangram Kishor, Pathak, Ashish, Pati, Sanghamitra, Patton, George C, Paulos, Kebreab, Peden, Amy E, Filipino Pepito, Veincent Christian, Pereira, Jeevan, Pham, Hai Quang, Phillips, Michael R, Pinheiro, Marina, Polibin, Roman V, Polinder, Suzanne, Poustchi, Hossein, Prakash, Swayam, Angga Pribadi, Dimas Ria, Puri, Parul, Syed, Zahiruddin Quazi, Rabiee, Mohammad, Rabiee, Navid, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiee, Ata, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi, Siavash, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rajabpour-Sanati, Ali, Rajati, Fatemeh, Rakovac, Ivo, Ranganathan, Kavitha, Rao, Sowmya J, Rashedi, Vahid, Rastogi, Prateek, Rathi, Priya, Rawaf, Salman, Rawal, Lal, Rawassizadeh, Reza, Renjith, Vishnu, N Renzaho, Andre M, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezapour, Aziz, Ribeiro, Ana Isabel, Rickard, Jennifer, Rios González, Carlos Miguel, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Saad, Anas M, Sabde, Yogesh Damodar, Sabour, Siamak, Saddik, Basema, Safari, Saeed, Safari-Faramani, Roya, Safarpour, Hamid, Safdarian, Mahdi, Sajadi, S Mohammad, Salamati, Payman, Salehi, Farkhonde, Zahabi, Saleh Salehi, Rashad Salem, Marwa R, Salem, Hosni, Salman, Omar, Salz, Inbal, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Riera, Lidia Sanchez, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Sarker, Abdur Razzaque, Sarveazad, Arash, Sathian, Brijesh, Sawhney, Monika, Sawyer, Susan M, Saxena, Sonia, Sayyah, Mehdi, Schwebel, David C, Seedat, Soraya, Senthilkumaran, Subramanian, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Seyedmousavi, Seyedmojtaba, Sha, Feng, Shaahmadi, Faramarz, Shahabi, Saeed, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi, Sharifi, Hamid, Sheikh, Aziz, Shigematsu, Mika, Shin, Jae Il, Shiri, Rahman, Siabani, Soraya, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Singh, Pankaj Kumar, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Smarandache, Catalin-Gabriel, R Smith, Emma U, Soheili, Amin, Soleymani, Bija, Soltanian, Ali Reza, Soriano, Joan B, Sorrie, Muluken Bekele, Soyiri, Ireneous N, Stein, Dan J, Stokes, Mark A, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Rasul Suleria, Hafiz Ansar, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M, Taddele, Biruk Wogayehu, Tadesse, Degena Bahrey, Tamiru, Animut Tagele, Tarigan, Ingan Ukur, Tefera, Yonatal Mesfin, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekle, Merhawi Gebremedhin, Tekulu, Gebretsadkan Hintsa, Tesema, Ayenew Kassie, Tesfay, Berhe Etsay, Thapar, Rekha, Tilahune, Asres Bedaso, Tlaye, Kenean Getaneh, Tohidinik, Hamid Reza, Topor-Madry, Roman, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tran, Khanh Bao, Tripathy, Jaya Prasad, Tsai, Alexander C, Car, Lorainne Tudor, Ullah, Saif, Ullah, Irfan, Umar, Maida, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Upadhyay, Era, Uthman, Olalekan A, Valdez, Pascual R, Vasankari, Tommi Juhani, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Violante, Francesco S, Vlassov, Vasily, Waheed, Yasir, Weldesamuel, Girmay Teklay, Werdecker, Andrea, Wiangkham, Taweewat, Wolde, Haileab Fekadu, Woldeyes, Dawit Habte, Wondafrash, Dawit Zewdu, Wondmeneh, Temesgen Gebeyehu, Wondmieneh, Adam Belay, Wu, Ai-Min, Yadav, Rajaram, Yadollahpour, Ali, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaya, Sanni, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Vahid, Yip, Paul, Yisma, Engida, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Youm, Yoosik, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yousefi, Zabihollah, Yu, Yong, Yu, Chuanhua, Yusefzadeh, Hasan, Moghadam, Telma Zahirian, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaman, Sojib Bin, Zamani, Mohammad, Zamanian, Maryam, Zandian, Hamed, Zarei, Ahmad, Zare, Fatemeh, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Zhang, Yunquan, Zodpey, Sanjay, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Degenhardt, Louisa, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Hay, Simon I, Mokdad, Ali H, Reiner, Robert C, Sartorius, Benn, and Vos, Theo
Abstract: BackgroundPast research in population health trends has shown that injuries form a substantial burden of population health loss. Regular updates to injury burden assessments are critical. We report Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 Study estimates on morbidity and mortality for all injuries.MethodsWe reviewed results for injuries from the GBD 2017 study. GBD 2017 measured injury-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs) using the Cause of Death Ensemble model. To measure non-fatal injuries, GBD 2017 modelled injury-specific incidence and converted this to prevalence and years lived with disability (YLDs). YLLs and YLDs were summed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs).FindingsIn 1990, there were 4 260 493 (4 085 700 to 4 396 138) injury deaths, which increased to 4 484 722 (4 332 010 to 4 585 554) deaths in 2017, while age-standardised mortality decreased from 1079 (1073 to 1086) to 738 (730 to 745) per 100 000. In 1990, there were 354 064 302 (95% uncertainty interval: 338 174 876 to 371 610 802) new cases of injury globally, which increased to 520 710 288 (493 430 247 to 547 988 635) new cases in 2017. During this time, age-standardised incidence decreased non-significantly from 6824 (6534 to 7147) to 6763 (6412 to 7118) per 100 000. Between 1990 and 2017, age-standardised DALYs decreased from 4947 (4655 to 5233) per 100 000 to 3267 (3058 to 3505).InterpretationInjuries are an important cause of health loss globally, though mortality has declined between 1990 and 2017. Future research in injury burden should focus on prevention in high-burden populations, improving data collection and ensuring access to medical care.
Published: 2020
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2. Estimating global injuries morbidity and mortality: methods and data used in the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study

Author: James, Spencer L, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Fox, Jack T, Hamilton, Erin B, Liu, Zichen, Roberts, Nicholas L S, Sylte, Dillon O, Bertolacci, Gregory J, Cunningham, Matthew, Henry, Nathaniel J, LeGrand, Kate E, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abedi, Aidin, Abegaz, Kedir Hussein, Abosetugn, Akine Eshete, Abushouk, Abdelrahman I, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adsuar, Jose C, Advani, Shailesh M, Agudelo-Botero, Marcela, Ahmad, Tauseef, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Ahmed, Rushdia, Eddine Aichour, Miloud Taki, Alahdab, Fares, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alema, Niguse Meles, Alemu, Biresaw Wassihun, Alghnam, Suliman A, Ali, Beriwan Abdulqadir, Ali, Saqib, Alinia, Cyrus, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Almasri, Nihad A, Altirkawi, Khalid, Abdeldayem Amer, Yasser Sami, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, T Antonio, Carl Abelardo, Anvari, Davood, Yaw Appiah, Seth Christopher, Arabloo, Jalal, Arab-Zozani, Morteza, Arefi, Zohreh, Aremu, Olatunde, Ariani, Filippo, Arora, Amit, Asaad, Malke, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Ayano, Getinet, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Azarian, Ghasem, Badawi, Alaa, Badiye, Ashish D, Baig, Atif Amin, Bairwa, Mohan, Bakhtiari, Ahad, Balachandran, Arun, Banach, Maciej, Banerjee, Srikanta K, Banik, Palash Chandra, Banstola, Amrit, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Ba¨rnighausen, Till Winfried, Barzegar, Akbar, Bayati, Mohsen, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Belete, Habte, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhe, Kidanemaryam, Bhagavathula, Akshaya Srikanth, Bhardwaj, Pankaj, Bhat, Anusha Ganapati, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bibi, Sadia, Bijani, Ali, Boloor, Archith, Borges, Guilherme, Borschmann, Rohan, Borzì, Antonio Maria, Boufous, Soufiane, Braithwaite, Dejana, Briko, Nikolay Ivanovich, Brugha, Traolach, Budhathoki, Shyam S, Car, Josip, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Félix, Castaldelli-Maia, João Mauricio, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castelpietra, Giulio, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cerin, Ester, Chandan, Joht S, Chapman, Jens Robert, Chattu, Vijay Kumar, Chattu, Soosanna Kumary, Chatziralli, Irini, Chaudhary, Neha, Cho, Daniel Youngwhan, Choi, Jee-Young J, Kabir Chowdhury, Mohiuddin Ahsanul, Christopher, Devasahayam J, Chu, Dinh-Toi, Cicuttini, Flavia M, Coelho, João M, Costa, Vera M, Dahlawi, Saad M A, Daryani, Ahmad, Dávila-Cervantes, Claudio Alberto, Leo, Diego De, Demeke, Feleke Mekonnen, Demoz, Gebre Teklemariam, Demsie, Desalegn Getnet, Deribe, Kebede, Desai, Rupak, Nasab, Mostafa Dianati, Silva, Diana Dias da, Dibaji Forooshani, Zahra Sadat, Do, Hoa Thi, Doyle, Kerrie E, Driscoll, Tim Robert, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Adema, Bereket Duko, Eagan, Arielle Wilder, Elemineh, Demelash Abewa, El-Jaafary, Shaimaa I, El-Khatib, Ziad, Ellingsen, Christian Lycke, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Eyawo, Oghenowede, Faris, Pawan Sirwan, Faro, Andre, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Ferrara, Pietro, Fischer, Florian, Folayan, Morenike Oluwatoyin, Fomenkov, Artem Alekseevich, Foroutan, Masoud, Francis, Joel Msafiri, Franklin, Richard Charles, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Geberemariyam, Biniyam Sahiledengle, Gebremariam, Hadush, Gebremedhin, Ketema Bizuwork, Gebremeskel, Leake G, Gebremeskel, Gebreamlak Gebremedhn, Gebremichael, Berhe, Gedefaw, Getnet Azeze, Geta, Birhanu, Getenet, Agegnehu Bante, Ghafourifard, Mansour, Ghamari, Farhad, Gheshlagh, Reza Ghanei, Gholamian, Asadollah, Gilani, Syed Amir, Gill, Tiffany K, Goudarzian, Amir Hossein, Goulart, Alessandra C, Grada, Ayman, Grivna, Michal, Guimarães, Rafael Alves, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Gaurav, Haagsma, Juanita A, Hall, Brian James, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hamidi, Samer, Handiso, Demelash Woldeyohannes, Haro, Josep Maria, Hasanzadeh, Amir, Hassan, Shoaib, Hassanipour, Soheil, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hendrie, Delia, Heydarpour, Fatemeh, Híjar, Martha, Ho, Hung Chak, Hoang, Chi Linh, Hole, Michael K, Holla, Ramesh, Hossain, Naznin, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hu, Guoqing, Ibitoye, Segun Emmanuel, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Inbaraj, Leeberk Raja, Naghibi Irvani, Seyed Sina, Mofizul Islam, M, Shariful Islam, Sheikh Mohammed, Ivers, Rebecca Q, Jahani, Mohammad Ali, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jalilian, Farzad, Jayaraman, Sudha, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jha, Ravi Prakash, John-Akinola, Yetunde O, Jonas, Jost B, Jones, Kelly M, Joseph, Nitin, Joukar, Farahnaz, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Jungari, Suresh Banayya, Ju¨risson, Mikk, Kabir, Ali, Kahsay, Amaha, Kalankesh, Leila R, Kalhor, Rohollah, Kamil, Teshome Abegaz, Kanchan, Tanuj, Kapoor, Neeti, Karami, Manoochehr, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassaye, Hagazi Gebremedhin, Kavetskyy, Taras, Kayode, Gbenga A, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kelbore, Abraham Getachew, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khalid, Nauman, Khalil, Ibrahim A, Khalilov, Rovshan, Khan, Maseer, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khan, Junaid, Khanna, Tripti, Khazaei, Salman, Khazaie, Habibolah, Khundkar, Roba, Kiirithio, Daniel N, Kim, Young-Eun, Kim, Yun Jin, Kim, Daniel, Kisa, Sezer, Kisa, Adnan, Komaki, Hamidreza, Kondlahalli, Shivakumar K M, Koolivand, Ali, Korshunov, Vladimir Andreevich, Koyanagi, Ai, Kraemer, Moritz U G, Krishan, Kewal, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Kugbey, Nuworza, Kumar, Nithin, Kumar, Manasi, Kumar, Vivek, Kumar, Narinder, Kumaresh, Girikumar, Lami, Faris Hasan, Lansingh, Van C, Lasrado, Savita, Latifi, Arman, Lauriola, Paolo, Vecchia, Carlo La, Leasher, Janet L, Huey Lee, Shaun Wen, Li, Shanshan, Liu, Xuefeng, Lopez, Alan D, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lyons, Ronan A, Machado, Daiane Borges, Madadin, Mohammed, Abd El Razek, Muhammed Magdy, Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur, Majdan, Marek, Majeed, Azeem, Maled, Venkatesh, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Manafi, Navid, Manafi, Amir, Manda, Ana-Laura, Manjunatha, Narayana, Mansour-Ghanaei, Fariborz, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Maravilla, Joemer C, Mason-Jones, Amanda J, Masoumi, Seyedeh Zahra, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Maulik, Pallab K, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Melketsedik, Zeleke Aschalew, Memiah, Peter T N, Mendoza, Walter, Menezes, Ritesh G, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Atte, Merie, Hayimro Edemealem, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miazgowski, Bartosz, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miller, Ted R, Mini, G K, Mirica, Andreea, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Mehdi, Mithra, Prasanna, Moazen, Babak, Moghadaszadeh, Masoud, Mohamadi, Efat, Mohammad, Yousef, Darwesh, Aso Mohammad, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, Abdollah, Mohammadpourhodki, Reza, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohammed, Jemal Abdu, Mohebi, Farnam, Mohseni Bandpei, Mohammad A, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Moodley, Yoshan, Moradi, Masoud, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moradzadeh, Rahmatollah, Morawska, Lidia, Velásquez, Ilais Moreno, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Mossie, Tilahun Belete, Muluneh, Atalay Goshu, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Mustafa, Ghulam, Naderi, Mehdi, Nagarajan, Ahamarshan Jayaraman, Naik, Gurudatta, Naimzada, Mukhammad David, Najafi, Farid, Nangia, Vinay, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Naserbakht, Morteza, Nayak, Vinod, Nazari, Javad, Ndwandwe, Duduzile Edith, Negoi, Ionut, Ngunjiri, Josephine W, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Diep Ngoc, Thi Nguyen, Huong Lan, Nikbakhsh, Rajan, Anggraini Ningrum, Dina Nur, Nnaji, Chukwudi A, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oghenetega, Onome Bright, Oh, In-Hwan, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olagunju, Tinuke O, Bali, Ahmed Omar, Onwujekwe, Obinna E, Orpana, Heather M, Ota, Erika, Otstavnov, Nikita, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, P A, Mahesh, Padubidri, Jagadish Rao, Pakhale, Smita, Pakshir, Keyvan, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Park, Eun-Kee, Patel, Sangram Kishor, Pathak, Ashish, Pati, Sanghamitra, Paulos, Kebreab, Peden, Amy E, Filipino Pepito, Veincent Christian, Pereira, Jeevan, Phillips, Michael R, Polibin, Roman V, Polinder, Suzanne, Pourmalek, Farshad, Pourshams, Akram, Poustchi, Hossein, Prakash, Swayam, Angga Pribadi, Dimas Ria, Puri, Parul, Syed, Zahiruddin Quazi, Rabiee, Navid, Rabiee, Mohammad, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiee, Ata, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahim, Fakher, Rahimi, Siavash, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rajabpour-Sanati, Ali, Rajati, Fatemeh, Rakovac, Ivo, Rao, Sowmya J, Rashedi, Vahid, Rastogi, Prateek, Rathi, Priya, Rawaf, Salman, Rawal, Lal, Rawassizadeh, Reza, Renjith, Vishnu, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezapour, Aziz, Ribeiro, Ana Isabel, Rickard, Jennifer, Rios González, Carlos Miguel, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Saddik, Basema, Safarpour, Hamid, Safdarian, Mahdi, Mohammad Sajadi, S, Salamati, Payman, Rashad Salem, Marwa R, Salem, Hosni, Salz, Inbal, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Riera, Lidia Sanchez, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Sarker, Abdur Razzaque, Sarveazad, Arash, Sathian, Brijesh, Sawhney, Monika, Sayyah, Mehdi, Schwebel, David C, Seedat, Soraya, Senthilkumaran, Subramanian, Seyedmousavi, Seyedmojtaba, Sha, Feng, Shaahmadi, Faramarz, Shahabi, Saeed, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Sheikh, Aziz, Shigematsu, Mika, Shin, Jae Il, Shiri, Rahman, Siabani, Soraya, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Singh, Jasvinder A, Singh, Pankaj Kumar, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Soheili, Amin, Soriano, Joan B, Sorrie, Muluken Bekele, Soyiri, Ireneous N, Stokes, Mark A, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M, Taddele, Biruk Wogayehu, Tefera, Yonatal Mesfin, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tekulu, Gebretsadkan Hintsa, Tesema Tesema, Ayenew Kassie, Tesfay, Berhe Etsay, Thapar, Rekha, Titova, Mariya Vladimirovna, Tlaye, Kenean Getaneh, Tohidinik, Hamid Reza, Topor-Madry, Roman, Tran, Khanh Bao, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tripathy, Jaya Prasad, Tsai, Alexander C, Tsatsakis, Aristidis, Car, Lorainne Tudor, Ullah, Irfan, Ullah, Saif, Unnikrishnan, Bhaskaran, Upadhyay, Era, Uthman, Olalekan A, Valdez, Pascual R, Vasankari, Tommi Juhani, Veisani, Yousef, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Violante, Francesco S, Vlassov, Vasily, Waheed, Yasir, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Wiangkham, Taweewat, Wolde, Haileab Fekadu, Woldeyes, Dawit Habte, Wondmeneh, Temesgen Gebeyehu, Wondmieneh, Adam Belay, Wu, Ai-Min, Wyper, Grant M A, Yadav, Rajaram, Yadollahpour, Ali, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaya, Sanni, Yazdi-Feyzabadi, Vahid, Ye, Pengpeng, Yip, Paul, Yisma, Engida, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Youm, Yoosik, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yousefi, Zabihollah, Yu, Chuanhua, Yu, Yong, Moghadam, Telma Zahirian, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaman, Sojib Bin, Zamani, Mohammad, Zandian, Hamed, Zarei, Fatemeh, Zhang, Zhi-Jiang, Zhang, Yunquan, Ziapour, Arash, Zodpey, Sanjay, Dandona, Rakhi, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Hay, Simon I, Mokdad, Ali H, Pigott, David M, Reiner, Robert C, and Vos, Theo
Abstract: BackgroundWhile there is a long history of measuring death and disability from injuries, modern research methods must account for the wide spectrum of disability that can occur in an injury, and must provide estimates with sufficient demographic, geographical and temporal detail to be useful for policy makers. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study used methods to provide highly detailed estimates of global injury burden that meet these criteria.MethodsIn this study, we report and discuss the methods used in GBD 2017 for injury morbidity and mortality burden estimation. In summary, these methods included estimating cause-specific mortality for every cause of injury, and then estimating incidence for every cause of injury. Non-fatal disability for each cause is then calculated based on the probabilities of suffering from different types of bodily injury experienced.ResultsGBD 2017 produced morbidity and mortality estimates for 38 causes of injury. Estimates were produced in terms of incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, cause-specific mortality, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life-years for a 28-year period for 22 age groups, 195 countries and both sexes.ConclusionsGBD 2017 demonstrated a complex and sophisticated series of analytical steps using the largest known database of morbidity and mortality data on injuries. GBD 2017 results should be used to help inform injury prevention policy making and resource allocation. We also identify important avenues for improving injury burden estimation in the future.
Published: 2020
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3. Burden of injury along the development spectrum: associations between the Socio-demographic Index and disability-adjusted life year estimates from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: Haagsma, Juanita A, James, Spencer L, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Fox, Jack T, Hamilton, Erin B, Liu, Zichen, Lucchesi, Lydia R, Roberts, Nicholas L S, Sylte, Dillon O, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Alahdab, Fares, Alghnam, Suliman A, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa M, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid, Anjomshoa, Mina, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Aremu, Olatunde, Arora, Amit, Asayesh, Hamid, Assadi, Reza, Awasthi, Ashish, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Balalla, Shivanthi, Banstola, Amrit, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Ba¨rnighausen, Till Winfried, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Benjet, Corina, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Bhaumik, Soumyadeep, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bijani, Ali, Borges, Guilherme, Borschmann, Rohan, Bose, Dipan, Boufous, Soufiane, Brazinova, Alexandra, Campuzano Rincon, Julio Cesar, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan J, Carvalho, Félix, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Choi, Jee-Young J, Christopher, Devasahayam J, Crowe, Christopher Stephen, Dalal, Koustuv, Daryani, Ahmad, Davitoiu, Dragos Virgil, Degenhardt, Louisa, De Leo, Diego, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Deribe, Kebede, Dessie, Getenet Ayalew, deVeber, Gabrielle Aline, Dharmaratne, Samath Dhamminda, Doan, Linh Phuong, Dolan, Kate A, Driscoll, Tim Robert, Dubey, Manisha, El-Khatib, Ziad, Ellingsen, Christian Lycke, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Faro, Andre, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Franklin, Richard Charles, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Gezae, Kebede Embaye, Gill, Tiffany K, Goulart, Alessandra C, Grada, Ayman, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Rahul, Haghparast Bidgoli, Hassan, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hamidi, Samer, Haro, Josep Maria, Hassankhani, Hadi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hendrie, Delia, Henok, Andualem, Híjar, Martha, Hole, Michael K, Homaie Rad, Enayatollah, Hossain, Naznin, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hu, Guoqing, Igumbor, Ehimario U, Ilesanmi, Olayinka Stephen, Irvani, Seyed Sina Naghibi, Islam, Sheikh Mohammed Shariful, Ivers, Rebecca Q, Jacobsen, Kathryn H, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jayatilleke, Achala Upendra, Jha, Ravi Prakash, Jonas, Jost B, Jorjoran Shushtari, Zahra, Jozwiak, Jacek Jerzy, Ju¨risson, Mikk, Kabir, Ali, Kalani, Rizwan, Kasaeian, Amir, Kelbore, Abraham Getachew, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khafaie, Morteza Abdullatif, Khalid, Nauman, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khoja, Abdullah T, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar A, Kim, Young-Eun, Kim, Daniel, Kisa, Adnan, Koyanagi, Ai, Kuate Defo, Barthelemy, Kucuk Bicer, Burcu, Kumar, Manasi, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lam, Hilton, Lami, Faris Hasan, Lansingh, Van C, Leasher, Janet L, Li, Shanshan, Linn, Shai, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Machado, Flavia R, Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan, Magdy Abd El Razek, Muhammed, Mahotra, Narayan Bahadur, Majdan, Marek, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malik, Manzoor Ahmad, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Manda, Ana-Laura, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Massenburg, Benjamin Ballard, Maulik, Pallab K, Meheretu, Hailemariam Abiy Alemu, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Melese, Addisu, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Atte, Mestrovic, Tomislav, Miazgowski, Tomasz, Miller, Ted R, Mini, GK, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Moazen, Babak, Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Naser, Mohammadibakhsh, Roghayeh, Mohammed, Shafiu, Molokhia, Mariam, Monasta, Lorenzo, Mondello, Stefania, Montero-Zamora, Pablo A, Moodley, Yoshan, Moosazadeh, Mahmood, Moradi, Ghobad, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Morawska, Lidia, Velásquez, Ilais Moreno, Morrison, Shane Douglas, Moschos, Marilita M, Mousavi, Seyyed Meysam, Murthy, Srinivas, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Naik, Gurudatta, Najafi, Farid, Nangia, Vinay, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Ndwandwe, Duduzile Edith, Negoi, Ionut, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nguyen, Son Hoang, Nguyen, Long Hoang, Nguyen, Huong Lan Thi, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nirayo, Yirga Legesse, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew T, Olagunju, Tinuke O, Olivares, Pedro R, Orpana, Heather M, Otstavnov, Stanislav S, P A, Mahesh, Pakhale, Smita, Park, Eun-Kee, Patton, George C, Pesudovs, Konrad, Phillips, Michael R, Polinder, Suzanne, Prakash, Swayam, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rafiei, Alireza, Rahimi, Siavash, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Ramezanzadeh, Kiana, Rawaf, Salman, Rawaf, David Laith, Renzaho, Andre M N, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezaeian, Shahab, Roever, Leonardo, Ronfani, Luca, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Sabde, Yogesh Damodar, Saddik, Basema, Salamati, Payman, Salimi, Yahya, Salz, Inbal, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan, Sanchez Riera, Lidia, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Satpathy, Maheswar, Sawhney, Monika, Sawyer, Susan M, Saxena, Sonia, Saylan, Mete, Schneider, Ione J C, Schwebel, David C, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shams-Beyranvand, Mehran, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sharif-Alhoseini, Mahdi, Sheikh, Aziz, Shen, Jiabin, Shigematsu, Mika, Shiri, Rahman, Shiue, Ivy, Silva, João Pedro, Singh, Jasvinder A, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Soares Filho, Adauto Martins, Soriano, Joan B, Soshnikov, Sergey, Soyiri, Ireneous N, Starodubov, Vladimir I, Stein, Dan J, Stokes, Mark A, Sufiyan, Mu'awiyyah Babale, Sunshine, Jacob E, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tabb, Karen M, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thakur, Jarnail Singh, Tran, Khanh Bao, Tran, Bach Xuan, Tudor Car, Lorainne, Uthman, Olalekan A, Uzochukwu, Benjamin S Chudi, Valdez, Pascual R, Varavikova, Elena, Vasconcelos, Ana Maria Nogales, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Violante, Francesco S, Vlassov, Vasily, Waheed, Yasir, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Wijeratne, Tissa, Winkler, Andrea Sylvia, Yadav, Priyanka, Yano, Yuichiro, Yenesew, Muluken Azage, Yip, Paul, Yisma, Engida, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Younis, Mustafa Z, Yu, Chuanhua, Zafar, Shamsa, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaman, Sojib Bin, Zamani, Mohammad, Zhao, Yong, Zodpey, Sanjay, Hay, Simon I, Lopez, Alan D, Mokdad, Ali H, and Vos, Theo
Abstract: BackgroundThe epidemiological transition of non-communicable diseases replacing infectious diseases as the main contributors to disease burden has been well documented in global health literature. Less focus, however, has been given to the relationship between sociodemographic changes and injury. The aim of this study was to examine the association between disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from injury for 195 countries and territories at different levels along the development spectrum between 1990 and 2017 based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 estimates.MethodsInjury mortality was estimated using the GBD mortality database, corrections for garbage coding and CODEm—the cause of death ensemble modelling tool. Morbidity estimation was based on surveys and inpatient and outpatient data sets for 30 cause-of-injury with 47 nature-of-injury categories each. The Socio-demographic Index (SDI) is a composite indicator that includes lagged income per capita, average educational attainment over age 15 years and total fertility rate.ResultsFor many causes of injury, age-standardised DALY rates declined with increasing SDI, although road injury, interpersonal violence and self-harm did not follow this pattern. Particularly for self-harm opposing patterns were observed in regions with similar SDI levels. For road injuries, this effect was less pronounced.ConclusionsThe overall global pattern is that of declining injury burden with increasing SDI. However, not all injuries follow this pattern, which suggests multiple underlying mechanisms influencing injury DALYs. There is a need for a detailed understanding of these patterns to help to inform national and global efforts to address injury-related health outcomes across the development spectrum.
Published: 2020
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4. Morbidity and mortality from road injuries: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017

Author: James, Spencer L, Lucchesi, Lydia R, Bisignano, Catherine, Castle, Chris D, Dingels, Zachary V, Fox, Jack T, Hamilton, Erin B, Liu, Zichen, McCracken, Darrah, Nixon, Molly R, Sylte, Dillon O, Roberts, Nicholas L S, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Aghamolaei, Teamur, Alghnam, Suliman A, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Badawi, Alaa, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Bekru, Eyasu Tamru, Bennett, Derrick A, Chapman, Jens Robert, Deribe, Kebede, Duko Adema, Bereket, Fatahi, Yousef, Gelaw, Belayneh K, Getahun, Eskezyiaw Agedew, Hendrie, Delia, Henok, Andualem, Hidru, Hagos de, Hosseinzadeh, Mehdi, Hu, Guoqing, Jahani, Mohammad Ali, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo, Jalilian, Farzad, Joseph, Nitin, Karami, Manoochehr, Kelbore, Abraham Getachew, Khan, Md Nuruzzaman, Kim, Yun Jin, Koul, Parvaiz A, La Vecchia, Carlo, Linn, Shai, Majdzadeh, Reza, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Memiah, Peter T N, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Merie, Hayimro Edemealem, R Miller, Ted, Mirzaei-Alavijeh, Mehdi, Mohammad Darwesh, Aso, Mohammad Gholi Mezerji, Naser, Mohammadibakhsh, Roghayeh, Moodley, Yoshan, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Nascimento, Bruno Ramos, Nikbakhsh, Rajan, Nyasulu, Peter S, Omar Bali, Ahmed, Onwujekwe, Obinna E, Pati, Sanghamitra, Pourmirza Kalhori, Reza, Salehi, Farkhonde, Shahabi, Saeed, Shallo, Seifadin Ahmed, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Sharafi, Zeinab, Shukla, Sharvari Rahul, Sobhiyeh, Mohammad Reza, Soriano, Joan B, Sykes, Bryan L, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tadesse, Degena Bahray Bahrey, Tefera, Yonatal Mesfin, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Tlou, Boikhutso, Topor-Madry, Roman, Wiangkham, Taweewat, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yaya, Sanni, Yenesew, Muluken Azage, Younis, Mustafa Z, Ziapour, Arash, Zodpey, Sanjay, Pigott, David M, Reiner, Robert C, Hay, Simon I, Lopez, Alan D, and Mokdad, Ali H
Abstract: BackgroundThe global burden of road injuries is known to follow complex geographical, temporal and demographic patterns. While health loss from road injuries is a major topic of global importance, there has been no recent comprehensive assessment that includes estimates for every age group, sex and country over recent years.MethodsWe used results from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2017 study to report incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, deaths, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life years for all locations in the GBD 2017 hierarchy from 1990 to 2017 for road injuries. Second, we measured mortality-to-incidence ratios by location. Third, we assessed the distribution of the natures of injury (eg, traumatic brain injury) that result from each road injury.ResultsGlobally, 1 243 068 (95% uncertainty interval 1 191 889 to 1 276 940) people died from road injuries in 2017 out of 54 192 330 (47 381 583 to 61 645 891) new cases of road injuries. Age-standardised incidence rates of road injuries increased between 1990 and 2017, while mortality rates decreased. Regionally, age-standardised mortality rates decreased in all but two regions, South Asia and Southern Latin America, where rates did not change significantly. Nine of 21 GBD regions experienced significant increases in age-standardised incidence rates, while 10 experienced significant decreases and two experienced no significant change.ConclusionsWhile road injury mortality has improved in recent decades, there are worsening rates of incidence and significant geographical heterogeneity. These findings indicate that more research is needed to better understand how road injuries can be prevented.
Published: 2020
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5. Global, Regional, and National Cancer Incidence, Mortality, Years of Life Lost, Years Lived With Disability, and Disability-Adjusted Life-Years for 29 Cancer Groups, 1990 to 2017: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study

Author: Fitzmaurice, Christina, Abate, Degu, Abbasi, Naghmeh, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdel-Rahman, Omar, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdoli, Amir, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulle, Abdishakur S. M., Abebe, Nebiyu Dereje, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abu-Raddad, Laith Jamal, Abualhasan, Ahmed, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Advani, Shailesh M., Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshari, Mahdi, Aghaali, Mohammad, Agius, Dominic, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadi, Ayat, Ahmadian, Elham, Ahmadpour, Ehsan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akbari, Mohammad Esmaeil, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Al-Aly, Ziyad, AlAbdulKader, Assim M., Alahdab, Fares, Alam, Tahiya, Alamene, Genet Melak, Alemnew, Birhan Tamene T., Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alinia, Cyrus, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Bakeshei, Fatemeh Allah, Almadi, Majid Abdulrahman Hamad, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Alsharif, Ubai, Alsowaidi, Shirina, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amini, Erfan, Amini, Saeed, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Anbari, Zohreh, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Anjomshoa, Mina, Ansari, Fereshteh, Ansariadi, Ansariadi, Appiah, Seth Christopher Yaw, Arab-Zozani, Morteza, Arabloo, Jalal, Arefi, Zohreh, Aremu, Olatunde, Areri, Habtamu Abera, Artaman, Al, Asayesh, Hamid, Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay, Ashagre, Alebachew Fasil, Assadi, Reza, Ataeinia, Bahar, Atalay, Hagos Tasew, Ataro, Zerihun, Atique, Suleman, Ausloos, Marcel, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide F. G. 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L.
Abstract: IMPORTANCE: Cancer and other noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) are now widely recognized as a threat to global development. The latest United Nations high-level meeting on NCDs reaffirmed this observation and also highlighted the slow progress in meeting the 2011 Political Declaration on the Prevention and Control of Noncommunicable Diseases and the third Sustainable Development Goal. Lack of situational analyses, priority setting, and budgeting have been identified as major obstacles in achieving these goals. All of these have in common that they require information on the local cancer epidemiology. The Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study is uniquely poised to provide these crucial data. OBJECTIVE: To describe cancer burden for 29 cancer groups in 195 countries from 1990 through 2017 to provide data needed for cancer control planning. EVIDENCE REVIEW: We used the GBD study estimation methods to describe cancer incidence, mortality, years lived with disability, years of life lost, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). Results are presented at the national level as well as by Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a composite indicator of income, educational attainment, and total fertility rate. We also analyzed the influence of the epidemiological vs the demographic transition on cancer incidence. FINDINGS: In 2017, there were 24.5 million incident cancer cases worldwide (16.8 million without nonmelanoma skin cancer [NMSC]) and 9.6 million cancer deaths. The majority of cancer DALYs came from years of life lost (97%), and only 3% came from years lived with disability. The odds of developing cancer were the lowest in the low SDI quintile (1 in 7) and the highest in the high SDI quintile (1 in 2) for both sexes. In 2017, the most common incident cancers in men were NMSC (4.3 million incident cases); tracheal, bronchus, and lung (TBL) cancer (1.5 million incident cases); and prostate cancer (1.3 million incident cases). The most common causes of cancer deaths and DALYs for men were TBL cancer (1.3 million deaths and 28.4 million DALYs), liver cancer (572 000 deaths and 15.2 million DALYs), and stomach cancer (542 000 deaths and 12.2 million DALYs). For women in 2017, the most common incident cancers were NMSC (3.3 million incident cases), breast cancer (1.9 million incident cases), and colorectal cancer (819 000 incident cases). The leading causes of cancer deaths and DALYs for women were breast cancer (601 000 deaths and 17.4 million DALYs), TBL cancer (596 000 deaths and 12.6 million DALYs), and colorectal cancer (414 000 deaths and 8.3 million DALYs). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: The national epidemiological profiles of cancer burden in the GBD study show large heterogeneities, which are a reflection of different exposures to risk factors, economic settings, lifestyles, and access to care and screening. The GBD study can be used by policy makers and other stakeholders to develop and improve national and local cancer control in order to achieve the global targets and improve equity in cancer care.
Published: 2019
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6. Global, regional, and national under-5 mortality, adult mortality, age-specific mortality, and life expectancy, 1970–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Wang, Haidong, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M E, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adedoyin, Rufus Adesoji, Adetifa, Ifedayo Morayo O, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Aggarwal, Rakesh, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmad Kiadaliri, Aliasghar, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibthiel, Aiyar, Sneha, Akanda, Ali Shafqat, Akinyemiju, Tomi F, Akseer, Nadia, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alabed, Samer, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alasfoor, Deena, Aldridge, Robert William, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Alhabib, Samia, Ali, Raghib, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Aljunid, Syed M, Alkaabi, Juma M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allam, Shalini D, Allebeck, Peter, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw 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Abstract: Detailed assessments of mortality patterns, particularly age-specific mortality, represent a crucial input that enables health systems to target interventions to specific populations. Understanding how all-cause mortality has changed with respect to development status can identify exemplars for best practice. To accomplish this, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) estimated age-specific and sex-specific all-cause mortality between 1970 and 2016 for 195 countries and territories and at the subnational level for the five countries with a population greater than 200 million in 2016.
Published: 2017
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7. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Fullman, Nancy, Barber, Ryan M, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M E, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmad Kiadaliri, Aliasghar, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Ansari, Hossein, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, 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Kasaeian, Amir, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Kastor, Anshul, Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal, Kawakami, Norito, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kelbore, Sefonias Getachew, Kemmer, Laura, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalil, Ibrahim A, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khang, Young-Ho, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kieling, Christian, Kim, Jun Y, Kim, Yun Jin, Kim, Daniel, Kimokoti, Ruth W, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kisa, Adnan, Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna A, Kivimaki, Mika, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kopec, Jacek A, Kosen, Soewarta, Koul, Parvaiz A, Koyanagi, Ai, Kravchenko, Michael, Krohn, Kristopher J, Kulikoff, Xie Rachel, Kumar, G Anil, Kumar Lal, Dharmesh, Kutz, Michael J, Kyu, Hmwe H, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lansingh, Van C, Larsson, Anders, Lazarus, Jeffrey Victor, Lee, Paul H, Leigh, James, Leung, Janni, Leung, Ricky, Levi, Miriam, Li, Yongmei, Liben, Misgan Legesse, Linn, Shai, Liu, Patrick Y, Liu, Shiwei, Lodha, Rakesh, Looker, Katharine J, Lopez, Alan D, Lorkowski, Stefan, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lozano, Rafael, Lucas, Timothy C D, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Mackay, Mark T, Maddison, Emilie R, Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan, Magdy Abd El Razek, Mohammed, Majdan, Marek, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malhotra, Rajesh, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Mamun, Abdullah A, Manguerra, Helena, Mantovani, Lorenzo G, Manyazewal, Tsegahun, Mapoma, Chabila C, Marks, Guy B, Martin, Randall V, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Martopullo, Ira, Mathur, Manu Raj, Mazidi, Mohsen, McAlinden, Colm, McGaughey, Madeline, McGrath, John J, McKee, Martin, Mehata, Suresh, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Meier, Toni, Meles, Kidanu Gebremariam, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mengistie, Mubarek Abera, Mensah, George A, Mensink, Gert B M, Mereta, Seid Tiku, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Atte, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Micha, Renata, Millear, Anoushka, Miller, Ted R, Minnig, Shawn, Mirarefin, Mojde, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Misganaw, Awoke, Mishra, Shiva Raj, Mitchell, Philip B, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammed, Kedir Endris, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohan, Murali B V, Mokdad, Ali H, Mollenkopf, Sarah K, Monasta, Lorenzo, Montañez Hernandez, Julio Cesar, Montico, Marcella, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moraga, Paula, Morawska, Lidia, Morrison, Shane D, Moses, Mark W, Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff, Mueller, Ulrich O, Muller, Kate, Murthy, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naheed, Aliya, Naidoo, Kovin S, Nangia, Vinay, Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Negoi, Ionut, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nguyen, Grant, Nguyen, Minh, Nichols, Emma, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nomura, Marika, Nong, Vuong Minh, Norheim, Ole F, Noubiap, Jean Jacques N, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew Toyin, Olagunju, Tinuke Oluwasefunmi, Olivares, Pedro R, Olsen, Helen E, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Ong, Kanyin, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Alberto, Owolabi, Mayowa O, PA, Mahesh, Pana, Adrian, Panda, Basant Kumar, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Papachristou, Christina, Park, Eun-Kee, Patton, George C, Paulson, Katherine, Pereira, David M, Perico, David Norberto, Pesudovs, Konrad, Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pigott, David M, Pillay, Julian David, Pinho, Christine, Piradov, Michael A, Pishgar, Farhad, Poulton, Richie G, Pourmalek, Farshad, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajsic, Sasa, Ram, Usha, Ranabhat, Chhabi Lal, Rao, Puja C, Rawaf, Salman, Reidy, Patrick, Reiner, Robert C, Reinig, Nikolas, Reitsma, Marissa B, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Renzaho, Andre M N, Resnikoff, Serge, Rezaei, Satar, Rios Blancas, Maria Jesus, Rivas, Jacqueline Castillo, Roba, Kedir Teji, Rojas-Rueda, David, Rokni, Mohammad Bagher, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Roth, Gregory A, Roy, Ambuj, Rubagotti, Enrico, Sadat, Nafis, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Sagar, Rajesh, Salama, Joseph, Salomon, Joshua A, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan Ramon, Santomauro, Damian, Santos, Itamar S, Santos, João Vasco, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Sartorius, Benn, Satpathy, Maheswar, Sawhney, Monika, Saxena, Sonia, Saylan, Mete I, Schmidt, Maria Inês, Schneider, Ione J C, Schneider, Matthew T, Schöttker, Ben, Schutte, Aletta E, Schwebel, David C, Schwendicke, Falk, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Servan-Mori, Edson E, Shackelford, Katya Anne, Shaheen, Amira, Shahraz, Saeid, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsipour, Mansour, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shariful Islam, Sheikh Mohammed, Sharma, Jayendra, Sharma, Rajesh, She, Jun, Shi, Peilin, Shibuya, Kenji, Shields, Chloe, Shifa, Girma Temam, Shiferaw, Mekonnen Sisay, Shigematsu, Mika, Shin, Min-Jeong, Shiri, Rahman, Shirkoohi, Reza, Shirude, Shreya, Shishani, Kawkab, Shoman, Haitham, Shrime, Mark G, Silberberg, Donald H, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Silva, João Pedro, Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alves, Singh, Jasvinder A, Singh, Virendra, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Skiadaresi, Eirini, Slepak, Erica Leigh, Sligar, Amber, Smith, David L, Smith, Alison, Smith, Mari, Sobaih, Badr H A, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soljak, Michael, Soneji, Samir, Sorensen, Reed J D, Sposato, Luciano A, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Srinivasan, Vinay, Stanaway, Jeffrey D, Stein, Dan J, Steiner, Caitlyn, Steinke, Sabine, Stokes, Mark Andrew, Strub, Bryan, Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Babale, Sunguya, Bruno F, Sur, Patrick J, Swaminathan, Soumya, Sykes, Bryan L, Sylte, Dillon O, Szoeke, Cassandra E I, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tadakamadla, Santosh Kumar, Tandon, Nikhil, Tao, Tianchan, Tarekegn, Yihunie L, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Taveira, Nuno, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tessema, Gizachew Assefa, Thakur, JS, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Thrift, Amanda G, Tiruye, Tenaw Yimer, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Topor-Madry, Roman, Torre, Anna, Tortajada, Miguel, Tran, Bach Xuan, Troeger, Christopher, Truelsen, Thomas, Tsoi, Derrick, Tuem, Kald Beshir, Tuzcu, Emin Murat, Tyrovolas, Stefanos, Ukwaja, Kingsley N, Uneke, Chigozie Jesse, Updike, Rachel, Uthman, Olalekan A, van Boven, Job F M, Varughese, Santosh, Vasankari, Tommi, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Vidavalur, Ramesh, Violante, Francesco S, Vladimirov, Sergey K, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset, Stein Emil, Vos, Theo, Wadilo, Fiseha, Wakayo, Tolassa, Wallin, Mitchell T, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Weichenthal, Scott, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Weiss, Daniel J, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A, Wijeratne, Tissa, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Woldeyes, Belete Getahun, Wolfe, Charles D A, Woodbrook, Rachel, Xavier, Denis, Xu, Gelin, Yadgir, Simon, Yakob, Bereket, Yan, Lijing L, Yano, Yuichiro, Yaseri, Mehdi, Ye, Pengpeng, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zavala-Arciniega, Luis, Zhang, Xueying, Zipkin, Ben, Zodpey, Sanjay, Lim, Stephen S, and Murray, Christopher J L
Abstract: The UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of “leaving no one behind”. Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990–2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030.
Published: 2017
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8. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016

Author: Gakidou, Emmanuela, Afshin, Ashkan, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen M E, Abyu, Gebre Yitayih, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afarideh, Mohsen, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Ali, Komal, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Ansari, Hossein, Antó, Josep M, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Arian, Nicholas, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Azzopardi, Peter, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Ballew, Shoshana H, Barac, Aleksandra, Barber, Ryan M, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barquera, Simon, Barregard, Lars, Barrero, Lope H, Batis, Carolina, Battle, Katherine E, Baumgarner, Blair R, Baune, Bernhard T, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, Derrick A, Bennett, James R, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhansali, Anil, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Bikbov, Boris, Birungi, Charles, Biryukov, Stan, Blosser, Christopher D, Boneya, Dube Jara, Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R, Brauer, Michael, Breitborde, Nicholas J K, Brenner, Hermann, Brugha, Traolach S, Bulto, Lemma Negesa Bulto, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cercy, Kelly, Chang, Hsing-Yi, Charlson, Fiona J, Chimed-Ochir, Odgerel, Chisumpa, Vesper Hichilombwe, Chitheer, Abdulaal A, Christensen, Hanne, Christopher, Devasahayam Jesudas, Cirillo, Massimo, Cohen, Aaron J, Comfort, Haley, Cooper, Cyrus, Coresh, Josef, Cornaby, Leslie, Cortesi, Paolo Angelo, Criqui, Michael H, Crump, John A, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, das Neves, José, Davey, Gail, Davitoiu, Dragos V, Davletov, Kairat, de Courten, Barbora, Defo, Barthelemy Kuate, Degenhardt, Louisa, Deiparine, Selina, Dellavalle, Robert P, Deribe, Kebede, Deshpande, Aniruddha, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Ding, Eric L, Djalalinia, Shirin, Do, Huyen Phuc, Dokova, Klara, Doku, David Teye, Donkelaar, Aaron van, Dorsey, E Ray, Driscoll, Tim R, Dubey, Manisha, Duncan, Bruce Bartholow, Duncan, Sarah, Ebrahimi, Hedyeh, El-Khatib, Ziad Ziad, Enayati, Ahmadali, Endries, Aman Yesuf, Ermakov, Sergey Petrovich, Erskine, Holly E, Eshrati, Babak, Eskandarieh, Sharareh, Esteghamati, Alireza, Estep, Kara, Faraon, Emerito Jose Aquino, Farinha, Carla Sofia e Sa, Faro, André, Farzadfar, Farshad, Fay, Kairsten, Feigin, Valery L, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, João C, Ferrari, Alize J, Feyissa, Tesfaye Regassa, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Fitzmaurice, Christina, Flaxman, Abraham D, Foigt, Nataliya, Foreman, Kyle J, Frostad, Joseph J, Fullman, Nancy, Fürst, Thomas, Furtado, Joao M, Ganji, Morsaleh, Garcia-Basteiro, Alberto L, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye Tewelde, Geleijnse, Johanna M, Geleto, Ayele, Gemechu, Bikila Lencha, Gesesew, Hailay Abrha, Gething, Peter W, Ghajar, Alireza, Gibney, Katherine B, Gill, Paramjit Singh, Gillum, Richard F, Giref, Ababi Zergaw, Gishu, Melkamu Dedefo, Giussani, Giorgia, Godwin, William W, Gona, Philimon N, Goodridge, Amador, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Goryakin, Yevgeniy, Goulart, Alessandra Carvalho, Graetz, Nicholas, Gugnani, Harish Chander, Guo, Jingwen, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Tanush, Gupta, Vipin, Gutiérrez, Reyna A, Hachinski, Vladimir, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hamadeh, Randah Ribhi, Hamidi, Samer, Hammami, Mouhanad, Handal, Alexis J, Hankey, Graeme J, Hanson, Sarah Wulf, Harb, Hilda L, Hareri, Habtamu Abera, Hassanvand, Mohammad Sadegh, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hawley, Caitlin, Hay, Simon I, Hedayati, Mohammad T, Hendrie, Delia, Heredia-Pi, Ileana Beatriz, Hernandez, Julio Cesar Montañez, Hoek, Hans W, Horita, Nobuyuki, Hosgood, H Dean, Hostiuc, Sorin, Hoy, Damian G, Hsairi, Mohamed, Hu, Guoqing, Huang, John J, Huang, Hsiang, Ibrahim, Norlinah Mohamed, Iburg, Kim Moesgaard, Ikeda, Chad, Inoue, Manami, Irvine, Caleb Mackay Salpeter, Jackson, Maria Delores, Jacobsen, Kathryn H, Jahanmehr, Nader, Jakovljevic, Mihajlo B, Jauregui, Alejandra, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, Johansson, Lars R K, Johnson, Catherine O, Jonas, Jost B, Jürisson, Mikk, Kabir, Zubair, Kadel, Rajendra, Kahsay, Amaha, Kamal, Ritul, Karch, André, Karema, Corine Kakizi, Kasaeian, Amir, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Kastor, Anshul, Katikireddi, Srinivasa Vittal, Kawakami, Norito, Keiyoro, Peter Njenga, Kelbore, Sefonias Getachew, Kemmer, Laura, Kengne, Andre Pascal, Kesavachandran, Chandrasekharan Nair, Khader, Yousef Saleh, Khalil, Ibrahim A, Khan, Ejaz Ahmad, Khang, Young-Ho, Khosravi, Ardeshir, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Kieling, Christian, Kim, Jun Y, Kim, Yun Jin, Kim, Daniel, Kimokoti, Ruth W, Kinfu, Yohannes, Kisa, Adnan, Kissimova-Skarbek, Katarzyna A, Kivimaki, Mika, Knibbs, Luke D, Knudsen, Ann Kristin, Kopec, Jacek A, Kosen, Soewarta, Koul, Parvaiz A, Koyanagi, Ai, Kravchenko, Michael, Krohn, Kristopher J, Kromhout, Hans, Kumar, G Anil, Kutz, Michael, Kyu, Hmwe H, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Lalloo, Ratilal, Lallukka, Tea, Lan, Qing, Lansingh, Van C, Larsson, Anders, Lee, Paul H, Lee, Alexander, Leigh, James, Leung, Janni, Levi, Miriam, Levy, Teresa Shamah, Li, Yichong, Li, Yongmei, Liang, Xiaofeng, Liben, Misgan Legesse, Linn, Shai, Liu, Patrick, Lodha, Rakesh, Logroscino, Giancarlo, Looker, Katherine J, Lopez, Alan D, Lorkowski, Stefan, Lotufo, Paulo A, Lozano, Rafael, Lunevicius, Raimundas, Macarayan, Erlyn Rachelle King, Magdy Abd El Razek, Hassan, Magdy Abd El Razek, Mohammed, Majdan, Marek, Majdzadeh, Reza, Majeed, Azeem, Malekzadeh, Reza, Malhotra, Rajesh, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Mamun, Abdullah A, Manguerra, Helena, Mantovani, Lorenzo G, Mapoma, Chabila C, Martin, Randall V, Martinez-Raga, Jose, Martins-Melo, Francisco Rogerlândio, Mathur, Manu Raj, Matsushita, Kunihiro, Matzopoulos, Richard, Mazidi, Mohsen, McAlinden, Colm, McGrath, John J, Mehata, Suresh, Mehndiratta, Man Mohan, Meier, Toni, Melaku, Yohannes Adama, Memiah, Peter, Memish, Ziad A, Mendoza, Walter, Mengesha, Melkamu Merid, Mensah, George A, Mensink, Gert B M, Mereta, Seid Tiku, Meretoja, Tuomo J, Meretoja, Atte, Mezgebe, Haftay Berhane, Micha, Renata, Millear, Anoushka, Miller, Ted R, Minnig, Shawn, Mirarefin, Mojde, Mirrakhimov, Erkin M, Misganaw, Awoke, Mishra, Shiva Raj, Mohammad, Karzan Abdulmuhsin, Mohammed, Kedir Endris, Mohammed, Shafiu, Mohan, Murali B V, Mokdad, Ali H, Monasta, Lorenzo, Montico, Marcella, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Moraga, Paula, Morawska, Lidia, Morrison, Shane D, Mountjoy-Venning, Cliff, Mueller, Ulrich O, Mullany, Erin C, Muller, Kate, Murthy, Gudlavalleti Venkata Satyanarayana, Musa, Kamarul Imran, Naghavi, Mohsen, Naheed, Aliya, Nangia, Vinay, Natarajan, Gopalakrishnan, Negoi, Ruxandra Irina, Negoi, Ionut, Nguyen, Cuong Tat, Nguyen, Quyen Le, Nguyen, Trang Huyen, Nguyen, Grant, Nguyen, Minh, Nichols, Emma, Ningrum, Dina Nur Anggraini, Nomura, Marika, Nong, Vuong Minh, Norheim, Ole F, Norrving, Bo, Noubiap, Jean Jacques N, Obermeyer, Carla Makhlouf, Ogbo, Felix Akpojene, Oh, In-Hwan, Oladimeji, Olanrewaju, Olagunju, Andrew Toyin, Olagunju, Tinuke Oluwasefunmi, Olivares, Pedro R, Olsen, Helen E, Olusanya, Bolajoko Olubukunola, Olusanya, Jacob Olusegun, Opio, John Nelson, Oren, Eyal, Ortiz, Alberto, Ota, Erika, Owolabi, Mayowa O, PA, Mahesh, Pacella, Rosana E, Pana, Adrian, Panda, Basant Kumar, Panda-Jonas, Songhomitra, Pandian, Jeyaraj D, Papachristou, Christina, Park, Eun-Kee, Parry, Charles D, Patten, Scott B, Patton, George C, Pereira, David M, Perico, Norberto, Pesudovs, Konrad, Petzold, Max, Phillips, Michael Robert, Pillay, Julian David, Piradov, Michael A, Pishgar, Farhad, Plass, Dietrich, Pletcher, Martin A, Polinder, Suzanne, Popova, Svetlana, Poulton, Richie G, Pourmalek, Farshad, Prasad, Narayan, Purcell, Carrie, Qorbani, Mostafa, Radfar, Amir, Rafay, Anwar, Rahimi-Movaghar, Afarin, Rahimi-Movaghar, Vafa, Rahman, Mohammad Hifz Ur, Rahman, Muhammad Aziz, Rahman, Mahfuzar, Rai, Rajesh Kumar, Rajsic, Sasa, Ram, Usha, Rawaf, Salman, Rehm, Colin D, Rehm, Jürgen, Reiner, Robert C, Reitsma, Marissa B, Remuzzi, Giuseppe, Renzaho, Andre M N, Resnikoff, Serge, Reynales-Shigematsu, Luz Myriam, Rezaei, Satar, Ribeiro, Antonio L, Rivera, Juan A, Roba, Kedir Teji, Rojas-Rueda, David, Roman, Yesenia, Room, Robin, Roshandel, Gholamreza, Roth, Gregory A, Rothenbacher, Dietrich, Rubagotti, Enrico, Rushton, Lesley, Sadat, Nafis, Safdarian, Mahdi, Safi, Sare, Safiri, Saeid, Sahathevan, Ramesh, Salama, Joseph, Salomon, Joshua A, Samy, Abdallah M, Sanabria, Juan Ramon, Sanchez-Niño, Maria Dolores, Sánchez-Pimienta, Tania G, Santomauro, Damian, Santos, Itamar S, Santric Milicevic, Milena M, Sartorius, Benn, Satpathy, Maheswar, Sawhney, Monika, Saxena, Sonia, Schmidt, Maria Inês, Schneider, Ione J C, Schutte, Aletta E, Schwebel, David C, Schwendicke, Falk, Seedat, Soraya, Sepanlou, Sadaf G, Serdar, Berrin, Servan-Mori, Edson E, Shaddick, Gavin, Shaheen, Amira, Shahraz, Saeid, Shaikh, Masood Ali, Shamsipour, Mansour, Shamsizadeh, Morteza, Shariful Islam, Sheikh Mohammed, Sharma, Jayendra, Sharma, Rajesh, She, Jun, Shen, Jiabin, Shi, Peilin, Shibuya, Kenji, Shields, Chloe, Shiferaw, Mekonnen Sisay, Shigematsu, Mika, Shin, Min-Jeong, Shiri, Rahman, Shirkoohi, Reza, Shishani, Kawkab, Shoman, Haitham, Shrime, Mark G, Sigfusdottir, Inga Dora, Silva, Diego Augusto Santos, Silva, João Pedro, Silveira, Dayane Gabriele Alves, Singh, Jasvinder A, Singh, Virendra, Sinha, Dhirendra Narain, Skiadaresi, Eirini, Slepak, Erica Leigh, Smith, David L, Smith, Mari, Sobaih, Badr H A, Sobngwi, Eugene, Soneji, Samir, Sorensen, Reed J D, Sposato, Luciano A, Sreeramareddy, Chandrashekhar T, Srinivasan, Vinay, Steel, Nicholas, Stein, Dan J, Steiner, Caitlyn, Steinke, Sabine, Stokes, Mark Andrew, Strub, Bryan, Subart, Michelle, Sufiyan, Muawiyyah Babale, Suliankatchi, Rizwan Abdulkader, Sur, Patrick J, Swaminathan, Soumya, Sykes, Bryan L, Szoeke, Cassandra E I, Tabarés-Seisdedos, Rafael, Tadakamadla, Santosh Kumar, Takahashi, Ken, Takala, Jukka S, Tandon, Nikhil, Tanner, Marcel, Tarekegn, Yihunie L, Tavakkoli, Mohammad, Tegegne, Teketo Kassaw, Tehrani-Banihashemi, Arash, Terkawi, Abdullah Sulieman, Tesssema, Belay, Thakur, JS, Thamsuwan, Ornwipa, Thankappan, Kavumpurathu Raman, Theis, Andrew M, Thomas, Matthew Lloyd, Thomson, Alan J, Thrift, Amanda G, Tillmann, Taavi, Tobe-Gai, Ruoyan, Tobollik, Myriam, Tollanes, Mette C, Tonelli, Marcello, Topor-Madry, Roman, Torre, Anna, Tortajada, Miguel, Touvier, Mathilde, Tran, Bach Xuan, Truelsen, Thomas, Tuem, Kald Beshir, Tuzcu, Emin Murat, Tyrovolas, Stefanos, Ukwaja, Kingsley Nnanna, Uneke, Chigozie Jesse, Updike, Rachel, Uthman, Olalekan A, van Boven, Job F M, Varughese, Santosh, Vasankari, Tommi, Veerman, Lennert J, Venkateswaran, Vidhya, Venketasubramanian, Narayanaswamy, Violante, Francesco S, Vladimirov, Sergey K, Vlassov, Vasiliy Victorovich, Vollset, Stein Emil, Vos, Theo, Wadilo, Fiseha, Wakayo, Tolassa, Wallin, Mitchell T, Wang, Yuan-Pang, Weichenthal, Scott, Weiderpass, Elisabete, Weintraub, Robert G, Weiss, Daniel J, Werdecker, Andrea, Westerman, Ronny, Whiteford, Harvey A, Wiysonge, Charles Shey, Woldeyes, Belete Getahun, Wolfe, Charles D A, Woodbrook, Rachel, Workicho, Abdulhalik, Xavier, Denis, Xu, Gelin, Yadgir, Simon, Yakob, Bereket, Yan, Lijing L, Yaseri, Mehdi, Yimam, Hassen Hamid, Yip, Paul, Yonemoto, Naohiro, Yoon, Seok-Jun, Yotebieng, Marcel, Younis, Mustafa Z, Zaidi, Zoubida, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Zavala-Arciniega, Luis, Zhang, Xueying, Zimsen, Stephanie Raman M, Zipkin, Ben, Zodpey, Sanjay, Lim, Stephen S, and Murray, Christopher J L
Abstract: The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of risk factor exposure and attributable burden of disease. By providing estimates over a long time series, this study can monitor risk exposure trends critical to health surveillance and inform policy debates on the importance of addressing risks in context.
Published: 2017
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9. Does access to credit improve household welfare? Evidence from Ethiopia using endogenous regime switching regression

Author: Bocher, Temesgen Fitamo, Alemu, Bamlaku Alamirew, and Kelbore, Zerihun Getachew
Abstract: Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to investigate how credit access affects the welfare of households and sheds light on how household characteristics influence the decision to take credit and the efficiency in credit use. Design/methodology/approach: This study uses data from the fourth round of the Ethiopian Rural Household Survey conducted in 2009, and examines factors that determine the decision to take credit and the effect of such decision on household welfare. The household welfare variable is measured by the food security indicator and total food expenditure. The study employs endogenous Regime Switching model to account for endogeneity in access to credit and self-selection bias in the decision to participate in credit. Findings: The result from the kernel distribution shows households with access to credit have more consumption expenditure than those without access to credit. The ordinary least square regression shows that access to credit increases total consumption by 12 percent without considering self-selection bias. Participation in non-farm activity increases the demand for credit by 17 percent. Land holding, household size, and participation in saving associations increase the probability of getting credit by 5, 11, and 20 percent, respectively. Access to credit appears to have a positive impact on food security in both actual and counterfactual cases for the current credit receivers. Originality/value: This study provides a thorough analysis of the impacts of access to credit on household welfare in Ethiopia. The study contributes to the debate on the link between access to credit and household welfare and provides valuable input for policy makers.
Published: 2017
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9. Does access to credit improve household welfare? Evidence from Ethiopia using endogenous regime switching regression

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