1. Is there cyclical bias in bank holding company risk ratings?
- Author
-
Curry, Timothy J., Fissel, Gary S., and Hanweck, Gerald A.
- Subjects
Banks (Finance) -- Evaluation ,Bank holding companies ,Banking, finance and accounting industries ,Business - Abstract
To link to full-text access for this article, visit this link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2007.11.009 Byline: Timothy J. Curry (a)(b), Gary S. Fissel (a), Gerald A. Hanweck (b) Keywords: Bank holding company risk ratings; Cyclical bias in bank ratings; Secular trend in bank risk ratings Abstract: This paper examines whether bank holding company (BHC) risk ratings are asymmetrically assigned or biased over business cycles from 1986 to 2003. In a model of ratings determination which accounts for bank characteristics, financial market conditions, past supervisory information, and aggregate macro-economic factors, we find that bank exam ratings exhibit inter-temporal characteristics. First, exam ratings exhibit some evidence of examiner bias for several periods analyzed. When the business cycle turns, examiners sometime depart from standards that they set during the previous phases of the cycle. However, this bias is not widespread or systematic. Second, exam ratings exhibit some inertia. Our results suggest that examiners rate on the side of not changing (rather than upgrading or downgrading) an institution's exam rating. Third, we find robust evidence of a secular trend towards more stringent examination BHC ratings standards over time. Author Affiliation: (a) Division of Insurance and Research, Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), 550 17th st. NW, Washington, DC 20434, United States (b) School of Management, George Mason University, Fairfax, VA, United States Article History: Received 1 March 2007; Accepted 2 November 2007 Article Note: (footnote) [star] The views expressed are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the FDIC or its staff., [star][star] This paper was reviewed and accepted while Prof. Giorgio Szego was the Managing Editor of The Journal of Banking and Finance and by the past editorial board.
- Published
- 2008