1. Predictive performance of newer Asian hepatocellular carcinoma risk scores in treated Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B
- Author
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George V. Papatheodoridis, George Dalekos, Ramazan Idilman, Vana Sypsa, Florian Van Boemmel, Maria Buti, Jose Luis Calleja, John Goulis, Spilios Manolakopoulos, Alessandro Loglio, Margarita Papatheodoridi, Nikolaos Gatselis, Rhea Veelken, Marta Lopez-Gomez, BE (Bettina) Hansen, Savvoula Savvidou, Anastasia Kourikou, John Vlachogiannakos, Kostas Galanis, Cihan Yurdaydin, Rafael Esteban, Harry Janssen, Thomas Berg, Pietro Lampertico, George V. Papatheodoridis, George Dalekos, Ramazan Idilman, Vana Sypsa, Florian Van Boemmel, Maria Buti, Jose Luis Calleja, John Goulis, Spilios Manolakopoulos, Alessandro Loglio, Margarita Papatheodoridi, Nikolaos Gatselis, Rhea Veelken, Marta Lopez-Gomez, BE (Bettina) Hansen, Savvoula Savvidou, Anastasia Kourikou, John Vlachogiannakos, Kostas Galanis, Cihan Yurdaydin, Rafael Esteban, Harry Janssen, Thomas Berg, and Pietro Lampertico
- Abstract
Background & Aims: Recently, several risk scores for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were developed in cohorts of treated Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but they have not been assessed in non-Asian patients. We evaluated the predictability and comparative utility of our PAGE-B and recent Asian HCC risk scores in nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA)-treated adult Caucasian patients with CHB, with or without well-documented compensated cirrhosis but not previous diagnosis of HCC. Methods: We included 1,951 patients treated with entecavir/tenofovir and followed up for a median of 7.6 years. The c-statistic was used to estimate the predictability of PAGE-B, HCC-Rescue, CAMD, mPAGE-B, and AASL score for HCC development within 5 or 10 years. The low- and high-risk group cut-offs were used for estimation of negative (NPV) and positive predictive values (PPV), respectively. Results: HCC developed in 103/1,951 (5.3%) patients during the first 5 years and in another 39/1,428 (2.7%) patients between years 5 and 10. The 3-, 5-, and 10-year cumulative HCC rates were 3.3%, 5.9%, and 9.6%, respectively. All scores offered good 5- and 10-year HCC prediction (c-statistic: 0.78–0.82). NPVs were a
- Published
- 2021
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