1. Screening and prostate cancer mortality: Results of the European Randomised Study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) at 13 years of follow-up
- Author
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Schröder, F.H. (Fritz), Hugosson, J. (Jonas), Roobol-Bouts, M.J. (Monique), Tammela, T.L. (Teuvo), Zappa, M. (Marco), Nelen, V. (Vera), Kwiatkowski, M. (Maciej), Lujan, M. (Marcos), Määttänen, L. (Liisa), Lilja, H. (Hans), Denis, L.J. (Louis), Recker, F. (Franz), Páez, A. (Alvaro), Bangma, C.H. (Chris), Carlsson, S. (Sigrid), Puliti, D. (Donella), Villers, A. (Arnoud), Rébillard, X. (Xavier), Hakama, M. (Matti), Stenman, U-H. (Ulf Hakan), Kujala, P.M. (Paula), Taari, K. (Kimmo), Aus, G. (Gunnar), Huber, A. (Andreas), Kwast, Th.H. (Theo) van der, Schaik, R.H.N. (Ron) van, Koning, H.J. (Harry) de, Moss, S.M. (Sue), Auvinen, A. (Anssi), Schröder, F.H. (Fritz), Hugosson, J. (Jonas), Roobol-Bouts, M.J. (Monique), Tammela, T.L. (Teuvo), Zappa, M. (Marco), Nelen, V. (Vera), Kwiatkowski, M. (Maciej), Lujan, M. (Marcos), Määttänen, L. (Liisa), Lilja, H. (Hans), Denis, L.J. (Louis), Recker, F. (Franz), Páez, A. (Alvaro), Bangma, C.H. (Chris), Carlsson, S. (Sigrid), Puliti, D. (Donella), Villers, A. (Arnoud), Rébillard, X. (Xavier), Hakama, M. (Matti), Stenman, U-H. (Ulf Hakan), Kujala, P.M. (Paula), Taari, K. (Kimmo), Aus, G. (Gunnar), Huber, A. (Andreas), Kwast, Th.H. (Theo) van der, Schaik, R.H.N. (Ron) van, Koning, H.J. (Harry) de, Moss, S.M. (Sue), and Auvinen, A. (Anssi)
- Abstract
Background: The European Randomised study of Screening for Prostate Cancer (ERSPC) has shown significant reductions in prostate cancer mortality after 9 years and 11 years of follow-up, but screening is controversial because of adverse events such as overdiagnosis. We provide updated results of mortality from prostate cancer with follow-up to 2010, with analyses truncated at 9, 11, and 13 years. Methods: ERSPC is a multicentre, randomised trial with a predefined centralised database, analysis plan, and core age group (55-69 years), which assesses prostate-specific antigen (PSA) testing in eight European countries. Eligible men aged 50-74 years were identified from population registries and randomly assigned by computer generated random numbers to screening or no intervention (control). Investigators were masked to group allocation. The primary outcome was prostate cancer mortality in the core age group. Analysis was by intention to treat. We did a secondary analysis that corrected for selection bias due to non-participation. Only incidence and no mortality data at 9 years' follow-up are reported for the French centres. This study is registered with Current Controlled Trials, number ISRCTN49127736. Findings: With data truncated at 13 years of follow-up, 7408 prostate cancer cases were diagnosed in the intervention group and 6107 cases in the control group. The rate ratio of prostate cancer incidence between the intervention and control groups was 1·91 (95% CI 1·83-1·99) after 9 years (1·64 [1·58-1·69] including France), 1·66 (1·60-1·73) after 11 years, and 1·57 (1·51-1·62) after 13 years. The rate ratio of prostate cancer mortality was 0·85 (0·70-1·03) after 9 years, 0·78 (0·66-0·91) after 11 years, and 0·79 (0·69-0·91) at 13 years. The absolute risk reduction of death from prostate cancer at 13 years was 0·11 per 1000 person-years or 1·28 per 1000 men randomised, which is equivalent to one prostate cancer death averted per 781 (95% CI 490-1929) men invited for scree
- Published
- 2014
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