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22 results on '"Gerber, James S."'

1. Research priorities for global food security under extreme events.

Author

Mehrabi, Zia, Mehrabi, Zia, Delzeit, Ruth, Ignaciuk, Adriana, Levers, Christian, Braich, Ginni, Bajaj, Kushank, Amo-Aidoo, Araba, Anderson, Weston, Balgah, Roland A, Benton, Tim G, Chari, Martin M, Ellis, Erle C, Gahi, Narcisse Z, Gaupp, Franziska, Garibaldi, Lucas A, Gerber, James S, Godde, Cecile M, Grass, Ingo, Heimann, Tobias, Hirons, Mark, Hoogenboom, Gerrit, Jain, Meha, James, Dana, Makowski, David, Masamha, Blessing, Meng, Sisi, Monprapussorn, Sathaporn, Müller, Daniel, Nelson, Andrew, Newlands, Nathaniel K, Noack, Frederik, Oronje, MaryLucy, Raymond, Colin, Reichstein, Markus, Rieseberg, Loren H, Rodriguez-Llanes, Jose M, Rosenstock, Todd, Rowhani, Pedram, Sarhadi, Ali, Seppelt, Ralf, Sidhu, Balsher S, Snapp, Sieglinde, Soma, Tammara, Sparks, Adam H, Teh, Louise, Tigchelaar, Michelle, Vogel, Martha M, West, Paul C, Wittman, Hannah, You, Liangzhi, Mehrabi, Zia, Mehrabi, Zia, Delzeit, Ruth, Ignaciuk, Adriana, Levers, Christian, Braich, Ginni, Bajaj, Kushank, Amo-Aidoo, Araba, Anderson, Weston, Balgah, Roland A, Benton, Tim G, Chari, Martin M, Ellis, Erle C, Gahi, Narcisse Z, Gaupp, Franziska, Garibaldi, Lucas A, Gerber, James S, Godde, Cecile M, Grass, Ingo, Heimann, Tobias, Hirons, Mark, Hoogenboom, Gerrit, Jain, Meha, James, Dana, Makowski, David, Masamha, Blessing, Meng, Sisi, Monprapussorn, Sathaporn, Müller, Daniel, Nelson, Andrew, Newlands, Nathaniel K, Noack, Frederik, Oronje, MaryLucy, Raymond, Colin, Reichstein, Markus, Rieseberg, Loren H, Rodriguez-Llanes, Jose M, Rosenstock, Todd, Rowhani, Pedram, Sarhadi, Ali, Seppelt, Ralf, Sidhu, Balsher S, Snapp, Sieglinde, Soma, Tammara, Sparks, Adam H, Teh, Louise, Tigchelaar, Michelle, Vogel, Martha M, West, Paul C, Wittman, Hannah, and You, Liangzhi

Abstract

Extreme events, such as those caused by climate change, economic or geopolitical shocks, and pest or disease epidemics, threaten global food security. The complexity of causation, as well as the myriad ways that an event, or a sequence of events, creates cascading and systemic impacts, poses significant challenges to food systems research and policy alike. To identify priority food security risks and research opportunities, we asked experts from a range of fields and geographies to describe key threats to global food security over the next two decades and to suggest key research questions and gaps on this topic. Here, we present a prioritization of threats to global food security from extreme events, as well as emerging research questions that highlight the conceptual and practical challenges that exist in designing, adopting, and governing resilient food systems. We hope that these findings help in directing research funding and resources toward food system transformations needed to help society tackle major food system risks and food insecurity under extreme events.

Published
2022

2. Climate adaptation by crop migration.

Author

Sloat, Lindsey L, Sloat, Lindsey L, Davis, Steven J, Gerber, James S, Moore, Frances C, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Sloat, Lindsey L, Sloat, Lindsey L, Davis, Steven J, Gerber, James S, Moore, Frances C, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, and Mueller, Nathaniel D

Abstract

Many studies have estimated the adverse effects of climate change on crop yields, however, this literature almost universally assumes a constant geographic distribution of crops in the future. Movement of growing areas to limit exposure to adverse climate conditions has been discussed as a theoretical adaptive response but has not previously been quantified or demonstrated at a global scale. Here, we assess how changes in rainfed crop area have already mediated growing season temperature trends for rainfed maize, wheat, rice, and soybean using spatially-explicit climate and crop area data from 1973 to 2012. Our results suggest that the most damaging impacts of warming on rainfed maize, wheat, and rice have been substantially moderated by the migration of these crops over time and the expansion of irrigation. However, continued migration may incur substantial environmental costs and will depend on socio-economic and political factors in addition to land suitability and climate.

Published
2020

3. Climate adaptation by crop migration.

Author

Sloat, Lindsey L, Sloat, Lindsey L, Davis, Steven J, Gerber, James S, Moore, Frances C, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Sloat, Lindsey L, Sloat, Lindsey L, Davis, Steven J, Gerber, James S, Moore, Frances C, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, and Mueller, Nathaniel D

Abstract

Many studies have estimated the adverse effects of climate change on crop yields, however, this literature almost universally assumes a constant geographic distribution of crops in the future. Movement of growing areas to limit exposure to adverse climate conditions has been discussed as a theoretical adaptive response but has not previously been quantified or demonstrated at a global scale. Here, we assess how changes in rainfed crop area have already mediated growing season temperature trends for rainfed maize, wheat, rice, and soybean using spatially-explicit climate and crop area data from 1973 to 2012. Our results suggest that the most damaging impacts of warming on rainfed maize, wheat, and rice have been substantially moderated by the migration of these crops over time and the expansion of irrigation. However, continued migration may incur substantial environmental costs and will depend on socio-economic and political factors in addition to land suitability and climate.

Published
2020

4. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

5. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

6. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

7. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

8. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D’Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockström, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

9. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockstrom, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockstrom, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the transformation of the food system. This Perspective identifies promising technologies, assesses their readiness and proposes eight action points to accelerate innovation.Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

10. Innovation can accelerate the transition towards a sustainable food system

Author

Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockstrom, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, West, Paul C., Herrero, Mario, Thornton, Philip K., Mason-D'Croz, Daniel, Palmer, Jeda, Benton, Tim G., Bodirsky, Benjamin L., Bogard, Jessica R., Hall, Andrew, Lee, Bernice, Nyborg, Karine, Pradhan, Prajal, Bonnett, Graham D., Bryan, Brett A., Campbell, Bruce M., Christensen, Svend, Clark, Michael, Cook, Mathew T., de Boer, Imke J. M., Downs, Chris, Dizyee, Kanar, Folberth, Christian, Godde, Cecile M., Gerber, James S., Grundy, Michael, Havlik, Petr, Jarvis, Andrew, King, Richard, Loboguerrero, Ana Maria, Lopes, Mauricio A., McIntyre, C. Lynne, Naylor, Rosamond, Navarro, Javier, Obersteiner, Michael, Parodi, Alejandro, Peoples, Mark B., Pikaar, Ilje, Popp, Alexander, Rockstrom, Johan, Robertson, Michael J., Smith, Pete, Stehfest, Elke, Swain, Steve M., Valin, Hugo, van Wijk, Mark, van Zanten, Hannah H. E., Vermeulen, Sonja, Vervoort, Joost, and West, Paul C.

Abstract

Technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the transformation of the food system. This Perspective identifies promising technologies, assesses their readiness and proposes eight action points to accelerate innovation.Future technologies and systemic innovation are critical for the profound transformation the food system needs. These innovations range from food production, land use and emissions, all the way to improved diets and waste management. Here, we identify these technologies, assess their readiness and propose eight action points that could accelerate the transition towards a more sustainable food system. We argue that the speed of innovation could be significantly increased with the appropriate incentives, regulations and social licence. These, in turn, require constructive stakeholder dialogue and clear transition pathways.

Published
2020

11. Climate change has likely already affected global food production

Author

Ray, Deepak K., West, Paul C., Clark, Michael, Gerber, James S., Prishchepov, Alexander, V, Chatterjee, Snigdhansu, Ray, Deepak K., West, Paul C., Clark, Michael, Gerber, James S., Prishchepov, Alexander, V, and Chatterjee, Snigdhansu

Published
2019

12. Climate change has likely already affected global food production

Author

Ray, Deepak K., West, Paul C., Clark, Michael, Gerber, James S., Prishchepov, Alexander, V, Chatterjee, Snigdhansu, Ray, Deepak K., West, Paul C., Clark, Michael, Gerber, James S., Prishchepov, Alexander, V, and Chatterjee, Snigdhansu

Published
2019

13. Random Forests for Global and Regional Crop Yield Predictions.

Author

Jeong, Jig Han, Jeong, Jig Han, Resop, Jonathan P, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Fleisher, David H, Yun, Kyungdahm, Butler, Ethan E, Timlin, Dennis J, Shim, Kyo-Moon, Gerber, James S, Reddy, Vangimalla R, Kim, Soo-Hyung, Jeong, Jig Han, Jeong, Jig Han, Resop, Jonathan P, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Fleisher, David H, Yun, Kyungdahm, Butler, Ethan E, Timlin, Dennis J, Shim, Kyo-Moon, Gerber, James S, Reddy, Vangimalla R, and Kim, Soo-Hyung

Abstract

Accurate predictions of crop yield are critical for developing effective agricultural and food policies at the regional and global scales. We evaluated a machine-learning method, Random Forests (RF), for its ability to predict crop yield responses to climate and biophysical variables at global and regional scales in wheat, maize, and potato in comparison with multiple linear regressions (MLR) serving as a benchmark. We used crop yield data from various sources and regions for model training and testing: 1) gridded global wheat grain yield, 2) maize grain yield from US counties over thirty years, and 3) potato tuber and maize silage yield from the northeastern seaboard region. RF was found highly capable of predicting crop yields and outperformed MLR benchmarks in all performance statistics that were compared. For example, the root mean square errors (RMSE) ranged between 6 and 14% of the average observed yield with RF models in all test cases whereas these values ranged from 14% to 49% for MLR models. Our results show that RF is an effective and versatile machine-learning method for crop yield predictions at regional and global scales for its high accuracy and precision, ease of use, and utility in data analysis. RF may result in a loss of accuracy when predicting the extreme ends or responses beyond the boundaries of the training data.

Published
2016

14. Nitrogen use in the global food system: past trends and future trajectories of agronomic performance, pollution, trade, and dietary demand

Author

Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Geochemistry, Lassaletta, Luis, Billen, Gilles, Garnier, Josette, Bouwman, Lex, Velazquez, Eduardo, Mueller, Nathaniel D., Gerber, James S., Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Geochemistry, Lassaletta, Luis, Billen, Gilles, Garnier, Josette, Bouwman, Lex, Velazquez, Eduardo, Mueller, Nathaniel D., and Gerber, James S.

Published
2016

15. Random Forests for Global and Regional Crop Yield Predictions.

Author

Jeong, Jig Han, Gonzalez-Andujar, Jose Luis1, Jeong, Jig Han, Resop, Jonathan P, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Fleisher, David H, Yun, Kyungdahm, Butler, Ethan E, Timlin, Dennis J, Shim, Kyo-Moon, Gerber, James S, Reddy, Vangimalla R, Kim, Soo-Hyung, Jeong, Jig Han, Gonzalez-Andujar, Jose Luis1, Jeong, Jig Han, Resop, Jonathan P, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Fleisher, David H, Yun, Kyungdahm, Butler, Ethan E, Timlin, Dennis J, Shim, Kyo-Moon, Gerber, James S, Reddy, Vangimalla R, and Kim, Soo-Hyung

Abstract

Accurate predictions of crop yield are critical for developing effective agricultural and food policies at the regional and global scales. We evaluated a machine-learning method, Random Forests (RF), for its ability to predict crop yield responses to climate and biophysical variables at global and regional scales in wheat, maize, and potato in comparison with multiple linear regressions (MLR) serving as a benchmark. We used crop yield data from various sources and regions for model training and testing: 1) gridded global wheat grain yield, 2) maize grain yield from US counties over thirty years, and 3) potato tuber and maize silage yield from the northeastern seaboard region. RF was found highly capable of predicting crop yields and outperformed MLR benchmarks in all performance statistics that were compared. For example, the root mean square errors (RMSE) ranged between 6 and 14% of the average observed yield with RF models in all test cases whereas these values ranged from 14% to 49% for MLR models. Our results show that RF is an effective and versatile machine-learning method for crop yield predictions at regional and global scales for its high accuracy and precision, ease of use, and utility in data analysis. RF may result in a loss of accuracy when predicting the extreme ends or responses beyond the boundaries of the training data.

Published
2016

16. Nitrogen use in the global food system: past trends and future trajectories of agronomic performance, pollution, trade, and dietary demand

Author

Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Geochemistry, Lassaletta, Luis, Billen, Gilles, Garnier, Josette, Bouwman, Lex, Velazquez, Eduardo, Mueller, Nathaniel D., Gerber, James S., Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Geochemistry, Lassaletta, Luis, Billen, Gilles, Garnier, Josette, Bouwman, Lex, Velazquez, Eduardo, Mueller, Nathaniel D., and Gerber, James S.

Published
2016

17. Nitrogen use in the global food system: past trends and future trajectories of agronomic performance, pollution, trade, and dietary demand

Author

Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Geochemistry, Lassaletta, Luis, Billen, Gilles, Garnier, Josette, Bouwman, Lex, Velazquez, Eduardo, Mueller, Nathaniel D., Gerber, James S., Bio-, hydro-, and environmental geochemistry, Geochemistry, Lassaletta, Luis, Billen, Gilles, Garnier, Josette, Bouwman, Lex, Velazquez, Eduardo, Mueller, Nathaniel D., and Gerber, James S.

Published
2016

18. Leverage points for improving global food security and the environment.

Author

West, Paul C, West, Paul C, Gerber, James S, Engstrom, Peder M, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Brauman, Kate A, Carlson, Kimberly M, Cassidy, Emily S, Johnston, Matt, MacDonald, Graham K, Ray, Deepak K, Siebert, Stefan, West, Paul C, West, Paul C, Gerber, James S, Engstrom, Peder M, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Brauman, Kate A, Carlson, Kimberly M, Cassidy, Emily S, Johnston, Matt, MacDonald, Graham K, Ray, Deepak K, and Siebert, Stefan

Abstract

Achieving sustainable global food security is one of humanity's contemporary challenges. Here we present an analysis identifying key "global leverage points" that offer the best opportunities to improve both global food security and environmental sustainability. We find that a relatively small set of places and actions could provide enough new calories to meet the basic needs for more than 3 billion people, address many environmental impacts with global consequences, and focus food waste reduction on the commodities with the greatest impact on food security. These leverage points in the global food system can help guide how nongovernmental organizations, foundations, governments, citizens' groups, and businesses prioritize actions.

Published
2014

19. Leverage points for improving global food security and the environment.

Author

West, Paul C, West, Paul C, Gerber, James S, Engstrom, Peder M, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Brauman, Kate A, Carlson, Kimberly M, Cassidy, Emily S, Johnston, Matt, MacDonald, Graham K, Ray, Deepak K, Siebert, Stefan, West, Paul C, West, Paul C, Gerber, James S, Engstrom, Peder M, Mueller, Nathaniel D, Brauman, Kate A, Carlson, Kimberly M, Cassidy, Emily S, Johnston, Matt, MacDonald, Graham K, Ray, Deepak K, and Siebert, Stefan

Abstract

Achieving sustainable global food security is one of humanity's contemporary challenges. Here we present an analysis identifying key "global leverage points" that offer the best opportunities to improve both global food security and environmental sustainability. We find that a relatively small set of places and actions could provide enough new calories to meet the basic needs for more than 3 billion people, address many environmental impacts with global consequences, and focus food waste reduction on the commodities with the greatest impact on food security. These leverage points in the global food system can help guide how nongovernmental organizations, foundations, governments, citizens' groups, and businesses prioritize actions.

Published
2014

20. Solutions for a cultivated planet.

Author

Foley, Jonathan A, Foley, Jonathan A, Ramankutty, Navin, Brauman, Kate A, Cassidy, Emily S, Gerber, James S, Johnston, Matt, Mueller, Nathaniel D, O'Connell, Christine, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, Balzer, Christian, Bennett, Elena M, Carpenter, Stephen R, Hill, Jason, Monfreda, Chad, Polasky, Stephen, Rockström, Johan, Sheehan, John, Siebert, Stefan, Tilman, David, Zaks, David PM, Foley, Jonathan A, Foley, Jonathan A, Ramankutty, Navin, Brauman, Kate A, Cassidy, Emily S, Gerber, James S, Johnston, Matt, Mueller, Nathaniel D, O'Connell, Christine, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, Balzer, Christian, Bennett, Elena M, Carpenter, Stephen R, Hill, Jason, Monfreda, Chad, Polasky, Stephen, Rockström, Johan, Sheehan, John, Siebert, Stefan, Tilman, David, and Zaks, David PM

Abstract

Increasing population and consumption are placing unprecedented demands on agriculture and natural resources. Today, approximately a billion people are chronically malnourished while our agricultural systems are concurrently degrading land, water, biodiversity and climate on a global scale. To meet the world's future food security and sustainability needs, food production must grow substantially while, at the same time, agriculture's environmental footprint must shrink dramatically. Here we analyse solutions to this dilemma, showing that tremendous progress could be made by halting agricultural expansion, closing 'yield gaps' on underperforming lands, increasing cropping efficiency, shifting diets and reducing waste. Together, these strategies could double food production while greatly reducing the environmental impacts of agriculture.

Published
2011

21. Solutions for a cultivated planet

Author

Foley, Jonathan A., Ramankutty, Navin, Brauman, Kate A., Cassidy, Emily S., Gerber, James S., Johnston, Matt, Mueller, Nathaniel D., O'Connell, Christine, Ray, Deepak K., West, Paul C., Balzer, Christian, Bennett, Elena M., Carpenter, Stephen R., Hill, Jason, Monfreda, Chad, Polasky, Stephen, Rockström, Johan, Sheehan, John, Siebert, Stefan, Tilman, David, Zaks, David P. M., Foley, Jonathan A., Ramankutty, Navin, Brauman, Kate A., Cassidy, Emily S., Gerber, James S., Johnston, Matt, Mueller, Nathaniel D., O'Connell, Christine, Ray, Deepak K., West, Paul C., Balzer, Christian, Bennett, Elena M., Carpenter, Stephen R., Hill, Jason, Monfreda, Chad, Polasky, Stephen, Rockström, Johan, Sheehan, John, Siebert, Stefan, Tilman, David, and Zaks, David P. M.

Abstract

Increasing population and consumption are placing unprecedented demands on agriculture and natural resources. Today, approximately a billion people are chronically malnourished while our agricultural systems are concurrently degrading land, water, biodiversity and climate on a global scale. To meet the world's future food security and sustainability needs, food production must grow substantially while, at the same time, agriculture's environmental footprint must shrink dramatically. Here we analyse solutions to this dilemma, showing that tremendous progress could be made by halting agricultural expansion, closing 'yield gaps' on underperforming lands, increasing cropping efficiency, shifting diets and reducing waste. Together, these strategies could double food production while greatly reducing the environmental impacts of agriculture., authorCount :21

Published
2011
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22. Solutions for a cultivated planet.

Author

Foley, Jonathan A, Foley, Jonathan A, Ramankutty, Navin, Brauman, Kate A, Cassidy, Emily S, Gerber, James S, Johnston, Matt, Mueller, Nathaniel D, O'Connell, Christine, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, Balzer, Christian, Bennett, Elena M, Carpenter, Stephen R, Hill, Jason, Monfreda, Chad, Polasky, Stephen, Rockström, Johan, Sheehan, John, Siebert, Stefan, Tilman, David, Zaks, David PM, Foley, Jonathan A, Foley, Jonathan A, Ramankutty, Navin, Brauman, Kate A, Cassidy, Emily S, Gerber, James S, Johnston, Matt, Mueller, Nathaniel D, O'Connell, Christine, Ray, Deepak K, West, Paul C, Balzer, Christian, Bennett, Elena M, Carpenter, Stephen R, Hill, Jason, Monfreda, Chad, Polasky, Stephen, Rockström, Johan, Sheehan, John, Siebert, Stefan, Tilman, David, and Zaks, David PM

Abstract

Increasing population and consumption are placing unprecedented demands on agriculture and natural resources. Today, approximately a billion people are chronically malnourished while our agricultural systems are concurrently degrading land, water, biodiversity and climate on a global scale. To meet the world's future food security and sustainability needs, food production must grow substantially while, at the same time, agriculture's environmental footprint must shrink dramatically. Here we analyse solutions to this dilemma, showing that tremendous progress could be made by halting agricultural expansion, closing 'yield gaps' on underperforming lands, increasing cropping efficiency, shifting diets and reducing waste. Together, these strategies could double food production while greatly reducing the environmental impacts of agriculture.

Published
2011

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