1. Understanding missed diagnostic opportunities in bladder and kidney cancer
- Author
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Zhou, Yin and Walter, Fiona
- Subjects
bladder cancer ,Diagnostic safety ,Early Diagnosis ,Primary Care ,Renal cancer - Abstract
Background Bladder and kidney cancer are among the ten most commonly diagnosed cancers in the UK every year. Delayed diagnosis is associated with poorer survival and patient reported outcomes. Bladder and kidney cancers pose diagnostic challenges as presenting symptoms such as haematuria and lower urinary tract symptoms are common, and can be due to benign causes. Women with bladder cancer in particular, are more likely to experience diagnostic delay and worse survival than men. Kidney cancer is expected to be among the cancers with the fastest increasing incidence over the next 20 years. It is therefore imperative to understand how and why delays, and sub-quality care occurs during the diagnostic process to improve outcomes. Prior work has indicated that missed diagnostic opportunities (MDOs) exist for a range of diseases, including cancer, and may contribute to diagnostic delay. How often and why MDOs might occur in bladder and kidney cancer is unknown. My PhD seeks to address this evidence gap. Aim In this thesis, I combined frameworks from the early cancer diagnosis (the Pathways to Treatment model) and diagnostic research (the SaferDx model) fields to underpin the design, analysis and interpretation of five core studies (a systematic review, three quantitative studies and one mixed-methods study) with the aim to better understand diagnostic delay and MDOs in bladder and kidney cancer. Methods First, I performed a systematic review to examine the factors associated with the quality of the diagnostic process in patients with bladder and kidney cancer. This review highlighted evidence gaps in the definition of timeliness, the quality of assessment of lower risk urological symptoms (other than haematuria), and the clinical and system factors that might contribute to suboptimal quality of the diagnostic process. Next , I performed three quantitative studies (1 to 3) using linked primary care, secondary care imaging data and cancer registry data with 5,322 patients diagnosed with bladder and kidney cancer between January 2012 to December 2015. In Studies 1 and 2, I examined the potential 'diagnostic window' of bladder and kidney cancer following relevant blood or imaging tests, using a novel form of Poisson regression modelling extending Joinpoint regression analysis advised by a medical statistician. Next, I examined for signals of MDOs in bladder and kidney cancer patients who met the 2005 National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines for fast-track referral. I operationalised four NICE-qualifying presentation scenarios (visible haematuria, non-visible haematuria, recurrent UTIs and abdominal mass), and examined the predictors of a prolonged interval from qualifying for NICE-referral to cancer diagnosis (NICE-DI) using multivariable logistic regression (Study 3). Lastly, I performed a prospective, mixed-methods study (Study 4) in 940 symptomatic patients from 9 general practices in East of England. Study 4 consisted of a case note review (n=940) and qualitative patient interviews (n=15). I performed descriptive statistics, and logistic regression to examine predictors of having a referral. I then analysed the qualitative interviews using thematic analysis and used mixed-methods synthesis to provide an overarching understanding of the factors contributing to MDOs. Results The diagnostic window of bladder and kidney cancer was about 6-8 months following an abnormal blood test, or a relevant imaging test. This window represents the time frame during which a potential cancer diagnosis may be achieved, and that more timely diagnosis is possible in at least some patients. My subsequent findings demonstrated that the following aspects of the diagnostic process are likely to harbour MDOs: i. Test delays, highlighting the need to improve access and reduce time-to-testing interval : clinical and disease factors were the most likely to contribute to pre-analytical test delays, including having kidney cancer (due to presentation with less specific symptoms) compared to bladder cancer, having stages other than 4 at diagnosis, presenting with UTI symptoms and not having haematuria pre-diagnosis. Post-analytical test delays might be due to the lack of or poor communication of test results, resulting in the failure to close a diagnostic loop. ii. Variations in time to referral and diagnosis leading to inequality in diagnostic timeliness in patient subgroups: Women, and patients with recurrent UTIs were particularly at risk of no referrals, and prolonged primary care interval, than men and patients with other NICE-qualifying clinical presentations (any type of haematuria or abdominal mass). Patients with lower risk urological symptoms (non-visible haematuria and recurrent UTIs) had 1.5 and 3 times higher odds respectively of experiencing diagnostic delay, compared to patients with visible haematuria. The mechanisms for MDOs involve process breakdowns during the initial patient-doctor consultation, and the follow-up of patients which might contribute to diagnostic delays and MDOs. These include inadequate history taking and examination, clinicians assuming urological symptoms to be UTIs, tendency for GPs to treat recurrent and persistent UTIs without reviews, lack of communication of test results and suboptimal follow-up activities due to results being given by receptionists or not at all. Conclusions My thesis demonstrates that MDOs in primary care exist in the evaluation and diagnostic process of bladder and kidney cancer. In particular, women, and patients with recurrent UTIs are the most at risk of experiencing suboptimal care in the primary care diagnostic process. MDOs secondary to process breakdowns during initial diagnostic assessment, and the follow-up of tests, most likely contribute to the observed diagnostic delays. System factors such as rigid consultation norms may influence these process breakdowns. Targeting patients groups with non-alarm urological symptoms, and improving system and clinician related factors such as access to and availability of tests and clinician willingness to test may reduce MDOs in patients with bladder and kidney cancer.
- Published
- 2022
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