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Accurate automobile-demand forecasting can provide effective guidance for automobile-manufacturing enterprises in terms of production planning and supply planning. However, automobile sales volume is affected by historical sales volume and other external factors, and it shows strong non-stationarity, nonlinearity, autocorrelation and other complex characteristics. It is difficult to accurately forecast sales volume using traditional models. To solve this problem, a forecasting model combining trend extrapolation and causality analysis is proposed and derived from the historical predictors of sales volume and the influence of external factors. In the trend-extrapolation model, the historical predictors of sales series was captured based on the Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Polynomial Regression (PR); then, Empirical Mode Decomposition (EMD), a stationarity-test algorithm, and an autocorrelation-test algorithm were introduced to reconstruct the sales sequence into stationary components with strong seasonality and trend components, which reduced the influences of non-stationarity and nonlinearity on the modeling. In the causality-analysis submodel, 31-dimensional feature data were extracted from influencing factors, such as date, macroeconomy, and promotion activities, and a Gradient-Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) was used to establish the mapping between influencing factors and future sales because of its excellent ability to fit nonlinear relationships. Finally, the forecasting performance of three combination strategies, namely the boosting series, stacking parallel and weighted-average parallel strategies, were tested. Comparative experiments on three groups of sales data showed that the weighted-average parallel combination strategy had the best performance, with loss reductions of 16.81% and 4.68% for data from the number-one brand, 25.60% and 2.79% for data from the number-two brand, and 46.26% and 14.37% for data from the number-three brand compared with the other combination strategies. Other ablation studies and comparative experiments with six basic models proved the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed model. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The appearance of tea leaves is the most intuitive factor in assessing their quality and is an important indicator of the price. The study utilizes machine vision and hyperspectral image technology to develop a rapid method for assessing the appearance quality of seven grades of Dianhong Congou black tea samples based on shape, color, texture, and feature fusion. Using the shape metrics of length, width, perimeter, narrowness, area, and rectangularity, 88 texture values, and nine color values as features, the effectiveness of intelligent recognition algorithms such as support vector machine, random forest, and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) in classifying single features (shape, color, and texture) and fused data models of the categories of Dianhong tea samples was explored. The results showed that the accuracy of the feature fusion-based appearance quality evaluation models was all higher than the modeling results of the corresponding single features, and the accuracy of the LSSVM model based on the fused data was 100%. This study showed that feature data fusion reflects the external information of tea leaves more comprehensively and that intelligent classification algorithms combined with image analysis techniques were an effective strategy for the identification of regional black tea. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The taste of tea is one of the key indicators in the evaluation of its quality and is a key factor in its grading and market pricing. To objectively and digitally evaluate the taste quality of tea leaves, miniature near-infrared (NIR) spectroscopy and electronic tongue (ET) sensors are considered effective sensor signals for the characterization of the taste quality of tea leaves. This study used micro-NIR spectroscopy and ET sensors in combination with data fusion strategies and chemometric tools for the taste quality assessment and prediction of multiple grades of black tea. Using NIR features and ET sensor signals as fused information, the data optimization based on grey wolf optimization, ant colony optimization (ACO), particle swarm optimization, and non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II were employed as modeling features, combined with support vector machine (SVM), extreme learning machine and K-nearest neighbor algorithm to build the classification models. The results obtained showed that the ACO−SVM model had the highest classification accuracy with a discriminant rate of 93.56%. The overall results reveal that it is feasible to qualitatively distinguish black tea grades and categories by NIR spectroscopy and ET techniques. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

SUMMARY: Camellia plants include more than 200 species of great diversity and immense economic, ornamental, and cultural values. We sequenced the transcriptomes of 116 Camellia plants from almost all sections of the genus Camellia. We constructed a pan‐transcriptome of Camellia plants with 89 394 gene families and then resolved the phylogeny of genus Camellia based on 405 high‐quality low‐copy core genes. Most of the inferred relationships are well supported by multiple nuclear gene trees and morphological traits. We provide strong evidence that Camellia plants shared a recent whole genome duplication event, followed by large expansions of transcription factor families associated with stress resistance and secondary metabolism. Secondary metabolites, particularly those associated with tea quality such as catechins and caffeine, were preferentially heavily accumulated in the Camellia plants from section Thea. We thoroughly examined the expression patterns of hundreds of genes associated with tea quality, and found that some of them exhibited significantly high expression and correlations with secondary metabolite accumulations in Thea species. We also released a web‐accessible database for efficient retrieval of Camellia transcriptomes. The reported transcriptome sequences and obtained novel findings will facilitate the efficient conservation and utilization of Camellia germplasm towards a breeding program for cultivated tea, camellia, and oil‐tea plants. Significance Statement: High‐quality transcriptomes of 116 Camellia plants from almost all sections of genus Camellia unveils their deep phylogeny and the transcriptional mechanism underlying the dynamic evolution of quality traits related secondary metabolites, which will facilitate the efficient conservation and utilization of Camellia germplasm towards a breeding program for cultivated tea, camellia, and oil‐tea plants. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Geraniol is a potent tea odorant and exists mainly as geranyl glycoside in Camellia sinensis. Understanding the mechanisms of geraniol biosynthesis at molecular levels in tea plants is of great importance for practical improvement of tea aroma. In this study, geraniol and its glycosides from tea plants were examined using liquid chromatography coupled with mass spectrometry. Two candidate geraniol synthase (GES) genes (CsTPS) and two Nudix hydrolase genes (CsNUDX1-cyto and CsNUDX1-chlo) from the tea genome were functionally investigated through gene transcription manipulation and gene chemical product analyses. Our data showed that in tea leaves, levels of geranyl β -primeveroside were dramatically higher than those of geranyl β -glucoside, while free geraniol was undetectable in this study. A tempo-spatial variation of geranyl β -primeveroside abundance in tea plants existed, with high levels in young and green tissues and low levels in mature or non-green tissues. Cytosolic CsNUDX1-cyto showed higher hydrolysis activity of geranyl-pyrophosphate to geranyl-monophosphate (GP) in vitro than did chloroplastidial CsNUDX1-chlo. A transgenic study revealed that expression of CsNUDX1-cyto resulted in significantly more geranyl β -primeveroside in transgenic Nicotiana benthamiana compared with non-transgenic wild-type, whereas expression of CsNUDX1-chlo had no effect. An antisense oligo-deoxynucleotide study confirmed that suppression of CsNUDX1-cyto transcription in tea shoots led to a significant decrease in geranyl β -primeveroside abundance. Additionally, CsNUDX1-cyto transcript levels and geranyl β -primeveroside abundances shared the same tempo-spatial patterns in different organs in the tea cultivar "Shucha Zao," indicating that CsNUDX1-cyto is important for geranyl β -primeveroside formation in tea plants. Results also suggested that neither of the two candidate GES genes in tea plants did not function as GES in transgenic N. benthamiana. All our data indicated that CsNUDX1-cyto is involved in geranyl β -primeveroside production in tea plants. Our speculation about possible conversion from the chemical product of CsNUDX1-cyto to geranyl β -primeveroside in plants was also discussed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: Food fraud causes significant economic losses for the industry and generates distrust between the consumers and traders. Tea is one of the most valued beverages throughout the world, being vulnerable to economically motivated cheat. The objective of the study was to develop the potential of hyperspectral imaging (HSI) allying multivariate analysis and data fusion to identify the authenticity of Keemun black tea quality categories. Data fusion that integrated of texture characteristics based on grey level co‐occurrence matrix and visible and near‐infrared spectral features via competitive adaptive reweighted sampling (CARS) was as the target data for modelling. Support vector machine (SVM) and random forest (RF) were utilised for the classification of tea samples of seven grades. The RF model using fused data gave the best performance with the correct discriminant rate of 92.70% for the prediction set. This study demonstrated that HSI coupled with RF was effective in identifying tea sample rank. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND Tea (Camellia sinensis L) is a highly nutritious beverage with commercial value globally. However, it is at risk of economic fraud. This study aims to develop a powerful evaluation method to distinguish Chinese official Dianhong tea from various other categories, employing hyperspectral imaging (HSI) technology and chemometric algorithms. RESULTS: Two matrix statistical algorithms encompassing a gray‐level co‐occurrence matrix (GLCM) and a gradient co‐occurrence matrix (GLGCM) are used to extract HSI texture data. Three novel spectral variable screening methods are utilized to select wavenumbers of near‐infrared (NIR) spectra: iteratively retaining informative variables (IRIV), interval random frog, and variable combination population analysis. Feature fusion of image texture characteristics and spectra data are the eigenvectors for model building. Authentic classification models are constructed using the extreme learning machine approach and the least squares support vector machine (LSSVM) approach, coupling them with features from wavelength extraction techniques for assessing the quality of Dianhong black tea. The results demonstrate that the LSSVM model using fused data (IRIV + GLGCM) provides the best results and achieves a predictive precision of 99.57%. CONCLUSION: This study confirms that HSI coupled with LSSVM is effective in differentiating authentic Dianhong black tea samples. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND Grading represents an essential criterion for the quality assurance of black tea. The main objectives of the study were to develop a highly robust model for Chinese black tea of seven grades based on cognitive spectroscopy. RESULTS: Cognitive spectroscopy was proposed to combine near‐infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) with machine learning and evolutionary algorithms, selected feature information from complex spectral data and show the best results without human intervention. The NIRS measuring system was used to obtain the spectra of Chinese black tea samples of seven grades. The spectra acquired were preprocessed by standard normal variate transformation (SNV), multiplicative scatter correction (MSC) and minimum/maximum normalization (MIN/MAX), and the optimal pretreating method was implemented using principal component analysis combined with linear discriminant analysis algorithm. Three feature selection evolutionary algorithms, which were a genetic algorithm (GA), simulated annealing (SA) and particle swarm optimization (PSO), were compared to search the best preprocessed characteristic wavelengths. Cognitive models of Chinese black tea ranks were constructed using extreme learning machine (ELM), K‐nearest neighbor (KNN) and support vector machine (SVM) methods based on the selected characteristic variables. Experimental results revealed that the PSO–SVM model showed the best predictive performance with the correlation coefficients of prediction set (Rp) of 0.9838, the root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) of 0.0246, and the correct discriminant rate (CDR) of 98.70%. The extracted feature wavelengths were only occupying 0.18% of the origin. CONCLUSION: The overall results demonstrated that cognitive spectroscopy could be utilized as a rapid strategy to identify Chinese black tea grades. © 2020 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The evaluation of Chinese dianhong black tea (CDBT) grades was an important indicator to ensure its quality. A handheld spectroscopy system combined with chemometrics was utilized to assess CDBT from eight grades. Both variables selection methods, namely genetic algorithm (GA) and successive projections algorithm (SPA), were employed to acquire the feature variables of each sample spectrum. A partial least‐squares discriminant analysis (PLS‐DA) and support vector machine (SVM) algorithms were applied for the establishment of the grading discrimination models based on near‐infrared spectroscopy (NIRS). Comparisons of the portable and benchtop NIRS systems were implemented to obtain the optimal discriminant models. Experimental results showed that GA‐SVM models by the handheld sensors yielded the best predictive performance with the correct discriminant rate (CDR) of 98.75% and 100% in the training set and prediction set, respectively. This study demonstrated that the handheld system combined with a suitable chemometric and feature information selection method could successfully be used for the rapid and efficient discrimination of CDBT rankings. It was promising to establish a specific economical portable NIRS sensor for in situ quality assurance of CDBT grades. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND The study reports a portable near infrared (NIR) spectroscopy system coupled with chemometric algorithms for prediction of tea polyphenols and amino acids in order to index matcha tea quality. RESULTS: Spectral data were preprocessed by standard normal variate (SNV), mean center (MC) and first‐order derivative (1stD) tests. The data were then subjected to full spectral partial least squares (PLS) and four variable selection algorithms, such as random frog partial least square (RF‐PLS), synergy interval partial least square (Si‐PLS), genetic algorithm‐partial least square (GA‐PLS) and competitive adaptive reweighted sampling partial least square (CARS‐PLS). RF‐PLS was established and identified as the optimum model based on the values of the correlation coefficients of prediction (RP), root mean square error of prediction (RMSEP) and residual predictive deviation (RPD), which were 0.8625, 0.82% and 2.13, and 0.9662, 0.14% and 3.83, respectively, for tea polyphenols and amino acids. The content range of tea polyphenols and amino acids in matcha tea samples was 8.51–14.58% and 2.10–3.75%, respectively. The quality of matcha tea was successfully classified with an accuracy rate of 83.33% as qualified, unqualified and excellent grade. CONCLUSION: The proposed method can be used as a rapid, accurate and non‐destructive platform to classify various matcha tea samples based on the ratio of tea polyphenols to amino acids. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND Keemun black tea (KBT) is one of the most popular tea beverages in China as a result of its unique flavor and potential health benefits. The geographical origin of KBT influences its quality and price. The present study aimed to apply a head‐space solid phase microextraction approach and gas chromatography–mass spectrometry combined with chemometric analysis to profile the volatile compounds of KBT collected from five production areas. RESULTS: Thirty‐one peaks were detected in 61 KBT samples. Hierarchical cluster analysis, principal component analysis (PCA), k‐nearest neighbor (k‐NN) and stepwise linear discriminant analysis (SLDA) were employed to visualize the volatile fractions. The results of unsupervised statistical tools were compared using a test for similarities and distinctions, which showed that different sources may be associated. A satisfying combination of average recognition (91.7%) and cross‐validation prediction abilities (84.6%) was obtained for the PCA–k‐NN. Among all of the statistical tools, SLDA provided promising results, with 100% recognition and 96.4% prediction ability. CONCLUSION: The results obtained in the present study indicate that the volatile compounds can be used as indicators to identify the geographical origin of KBT. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: Photosynthetic pigments perform critical physiological functions in tea plants. Their content is an essential indicator of photosynthetic efficiency and nutritional status. The present study aimed to predict chlorophyll a (Chl a), chlorophyll b (Chl b), total chlorophyll (total Chl), and carotenoid (Car) content in tea leaves under different levels of nitrogen treatment using hyperspectral imaging (HSI) in combination with variable selection algorithms. RESULTS: A total of 150 samples were collected and scanned using the HSI system. The mean spectrum in the region of interest (ROI) was extracted, and the pigment content was measured by traditional chemical methods. Five and seven optimal wavelengths (OWs) were selected using the regression coefficients (RCs) of partial least squares regression (PLSR) and the second‐derivative (2‐Der), respectively. The optimal 2‐Der‐PLSR models for Chl a, Chl b, total Chl, and Car performed remarkably well based on seven OWs with correlation coefficients of prediction (RP) of 0.9337, 0.9322, 0.9333 and 0.9036, root mean square errors in prediction (RMSEP) of 0.1100, 0.0511, 0.1620, and 0.0300 mg g‐1, respectively. CONCLUSION: The results of this study revealed that HSI combined with variable selection method can be employed as a rapid and accurate method for predicting the content of pigments in tea plants. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

BACKGROUND: The instrumental evaluation of tea quality using digital sensors instead of human panel tests has attracted much attention globally. However, individual sensors do not meet the requirements of discriminant accuracy as a result of incomprehensive sensor information. Considering the major factors in the sensory evaluation of tea, the study integrated multisensor information, including spectral, image and olfaction feature information. RESULTS: To investigate spectral and image information obtained from hyperspectral spectrometers of different bands, principal components analysis was used for dimension reduction and different types of supervised learning algorithms (linear discriminant analysis, K‐nearest neighbour and support vector machine) were selected for comparison. Spectral feature information in the near infrared region and image feature information in the visible‐near infrared/near infrared region achieved greater accuracy for classification. The results indicated that a support vector machine outperformed other methods with respect to multisensor data fusion, which improved the accuracy of evaluating green tea quality compared to using individual sensor data. The overall accuracy of the calibration set increased from 75% using optimal single sensor information to 92% using multisensor information, and the overall accuracy of the prediction set increased from 78% to 92%. CONCLUSION: Overall, it can be concluded that multisensory data accurately identify six grades of tea. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: The effects of green tea powder (GTP) on the properties of hard red winter (HRW) flour and Chinese steamed bread were investigated. GTP was blended with HRW flour at levels of 0.00, 1.00, 2.00, 3.00 and 4.00 g GTP/100 g wheat flour. With the addition of GTP, the maximum torque of flour became stronger. The resilience and degree of green colour of steamed bread increased, while hardness and chewiness decreased, with the addition of GTP. The addition of 1.00% GTP did not significantly affect the specific volume, but remarkably influenced the hardness and resilience of steamed bread. In steamed bread formulated with GTP, the antioxidant activity was 0.84 mm TE per g at 1.00% of GTP and increased with GTP levels. The steamed bread had a pleasant flavour, and the degree of overall liking of steamed bread increased with GTP levels to the maximum used in this work. Green tea powder increased the antioxidant activity of steamed bread, and did not affect the quality of steamed bread with a pleasant tea flavour. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: BACKGROUND: Nitrogen (N) fertilizer plays an important role in tea plantation management, with significant impacts on the photosynthetic capacity, productivity and nutrition status of tea plants. The present study aimed to establish a method for the discrimination of N fertilizer levels using hyperspectral imaging technique. RESULTS: Spectral data were extracted from the region of interest, followed by the first derivative to reduce background noise. Five optimal wavelengths were selected by principal component analysis. Texture features were extracted from the images at optimal wavelengths by gray‐level gradient co‐occurrence matrix. Support vector machine (SVM) and extreme learning machine were used to build classification models based on spectral data, optimal wavelengths, texture features and data fusion, respectively. The SVM model using fused data gave the best performance with highest correct classification rate of 100% for prediction set. CONCLUSION: The overall results indicated that visible and near‐infrared hyperspectral imaging combined with SVM were effective in discriminating N fertilizer levels of tea plants. © 2018 Society of Chemical Industry [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]